Junior record 17 points away – Monday

tTech closed at a new all-time high of $6.50 on Monday.

tTech closed at a new all-time high of $6.50 on Monday.

The Junior market moved one step closer at the close on Monday, to take out the old record high reached in February this year. The market is only 16.25 points adrift and came within 6 points of it during trading in the morning, today.
The market closed with 7 stocks rising, while 5 declined out of 14 securities that traded. The junior index gained 6.52 points, to close at 2,340.95 and is up 30.7 percent ahead of the close of 2015.
Trading volume and value rose 37 percent or more, from Friday’s levels, ending with 1,873,272 units valued at units changing hands, 37 percent more than on Friday, while the value traded climbed by 65 percent to $10,709,100, from $6,508,601 on Friday.ICI Jm sum 26-09-16 Market activities ended with 7 securities closing with bids higher than their last selling prices and 1 ending with a lower offer.
Cargo Handlers stock has not traded since it closed at $86.10 on September 12, the market closed with the bid at $90.05 to buy 3,000 units, with no units offered for sale, next in line to buy is 5,765 shares at $90.01, there were stocks offered for sale at the close. Key Insurance that reported poor second quarter results continued with the offer at $2.30 to sell 30,000 units and at $2.35, there is 18,566 shares for sale and immediately below, is an offer of 152,290 units at $2.37, compared with the last sale of $2.49. There were no bids to buy the stock at the close.
AMG Packaging jumped 16 cents and ended trading at $17.50 with 31,715 units changing hands, Caribbean Cream fell 10 cents with 568,043 shares changing hands to close at $9.10, after trading 457,275 shares as low as $8. Caribbean Flavours traded 5,500 units to end at $8 with the loss of 1 cent, General Accident closed trading with 541,570 units at $2.20 after rising 10 cents but traded as high as $2.80 in the morning session, Honey Bun fell 25 cents in trading just 22,800 units to end at $6.ICI jm trade 26-09-16 Iron Rock Insurance traded 10,750 shares and gained 2 cents to end at $3.30, Jamaican Teas traded 122,341 units to end at $4, Jetcon Corporation had 15,745 units changing hands, to end at $4.70, KLE group traded 1,100 shares with the price rising 1 cent to $1.85. Knutsford Express closed with a loss of 2 cents, at $24.48 with just 190 units changing hands, Lasco Distributors closed with 386,432 units trading and ended at $7.05. Lasco Financial ended with 15,850 shares changing hands at $3.25, after declining by 3 cents, Lasco Manufacturing rose 25 cents and closed at $5 with 138,708 shares trading and tTech traded 12,528 shares to end at a new record high of $6.50 after gaining 70 cents.

RJR & General Accident in Top 5

JM indxPrices on the Jamaica Stock Exchange are on the move again as the last quarter of the year approaches. As prices rise so does the PE ratio. The top PE in the main market is at 17 while in the junior market is around 18.
Charts of both markets show them in a bullish state, with the markets hitting higher lows and higher highs, a strong indication that they will be moving higher. More than 50 percent of main and junior market stocks are priced below the markets average PE of 9.5 and 10.4 respectively.
Against this background, IC Insider’s Top 5 selection has one new listing in the main and junior market list as Grace Kennedy and Jetcon Corporation are replace by Radio Jamaica and General Accident in position 5 and 4 respectively. Jetcon hit new highs during the week and closed at $4.70 up from $4.35 at the start of the week. Radio Jamaica earnings have been upgraded to 25 cents per share with increased revenues and cost cutting. General Accident is not without risk but earnings for 2016 are up 155 percent against a battered first half of 2015 and 2016 should better the 31 cents earned for the 2015 financial year.
AMG Packaging remains at the top of the junior market list even as the price moved up while JMMB Group is atop the main market with Caribbean Cement drops to 4th with a rise of $4 during the week. Investors attempted to trade Carib Cement at $34 but market breaker stop it from standing the stock which closed at $30 traded as high as $32. There are just six offers in the market starting at $34 and worth keeping an eye on this one for more gains this week. Barita Investments traded up to $4 during the past week and could well end back at this level during the days ahead as supply declines and demand increases.
Top 5 stks 24-9-16Watch these stocks for action this week – Access Financial Services with the bid at $18.50 with no stock on offer, Blue Power with a wide gap between bid and offer, Cargo Handlers with the bid moving away from the last sale price of $86.10 with the offer at $100. Caribbean Cream with increasing demand, Caribbean Producers gaining support after poor full year results, Derrimon Trading and General Accident with bids getting stronger, Jetcon Corporation with supply and increasing interest, Medical Disposables and tTech with supplies.
From the main market the main action could come from the following, Barita Investments, Caribbean Cement, Jamaica Stock Exchange, JMMB Group, Radio Jamaica, Sagicor Group, Scotia Group, Seprod and Sterling Investments.

Juniors just 22 points from record

The junior market is within reach of a new high.

The junior market is within reach of a new high.

The Junior market moved one step closer at the close on Friday to take out the old record high and is now only 22.31 points adrift.
The market closed 5 stocks rising, while 5 declined out of 13 securities that traded. The market index gained 12.01 points, to close at 2,334.43 and is 30.3 percent ahead of the close of 2015.
Trading volume and value rose 25 percent or more from Thursday’s levels, ending with 1,372,103 units changing hands, 35 percent more than on Thursday, while the value traded climbed by 25 percent to $6,508,601, from $5,213,760 changing hands on Thursday. Market activities ended with 4 securities closing with bids higher than their last selling prices and 3 ending with lower offers.
ICI Jm sum 23-09-16At the close, Cargo Handlers stock price closed with the bid at $90.05 with 3,000 units, nearly $4 ahead of the last sale price with no units offered for sale, next in line to buy is 5865 shares at $90, there were 1,000 units offered at $100. Key Insurance that reported poor second quarter results continued with the offer at $2.35 to sell 18,566 shares, immediately below, is an offer of 152,290 units at $2.38, compared with the last sale of $2.49. There were no bids to buy the stock at the close.
AMG Packaging jumped 16 cents and ended trading with 16,039 units at $17.15, Caribbean Cream rose 10 cents with 122,700 shares changing hands at $9.20, Consolidated Bakeries lost by 5 cents to end at $2.35 with 46,000 units changing hands, ICI jm trade 23-09-16C2W Music ended at 23 cents with 1,200 shares changing hands after rising 3 cents. Derrimon Trading rose 40 cents to end at $3.50 with 2,000 shares trading, General Accident closed trading with 600,171 units at $2.10, Honey Bun gained 10 cents in trading just 86,500 units to end at $6.25. Jetcon Corporation had 17,344 units changing hands to end at with a loss of 25 cents at $4.70. Lasco Distributors closed with 312,271 units trading and ended at $7, Lasco Manufacturing fell 5 cents and closed at $4.75 with 119,872 shares trading, Medical Disposables traded 16,733, shares with the price remaining unchanged at $4 and tTech traded 11,273 shares to end at $6.

Rising junior stocks inch decliners – Wednesday

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Jetcon ended trading at a new closing high of $4.95 on Wednesday.

Jetcon ended trading at a new closing high of $4.95 on Wednesday.

The Junior market never exhibited the bullishness seen in the main market and closed on Wednesday, with the market falling slightly with 6 stocks rising, while 5 declined out of 18 securities that traded. Trading volume and value dropped over 30 percent from Tuesday’s levels.
The market index eased with 17.09 points, to close at 2,300.92. Market activities ended with 7 securities closing with bids higher than their last selling prices and 4 ending with lower offers.
Trading ended with 635,440 units changing hands, 30 percent less than on Tuesday, while the value traded dropped by 31 percent, with $2,690,732, compared to $3,876,442 changing hands on Tuesday.
At the close, Cargo Handlers have not traded for a few days but today the stock closed with the bid at $90.01 with 5,765 units, nearly $4 ahead of the last sale price with no units offered for sale. Key Insurance that ICI Jm sum 21-09-16reported poor second quarter results has not traded with the offer at $2.37 to sell 152,290 units compared with the last sale of $2.49, there continues to be no bids on the stock at the close.
Access Financial end trading with 1,889 units to end at $18.40, after falling 10 cents, Caribbean Cream gained 10 cents with 6,914 shares changing hands at $9.20, Caribbean Flavours lost just 1 cent in closing at $8 with 9,500 shares changing hands, Caribbean Producers traded just 46,370 shares to close at $3.40. Consolidated Bakeries lost 7 cents to end at $2.35 with 3,000 units changing hands. Dolphin Cove lost $1.30 and ended at $13.70 with 100 shares trading, General Accident gained 20 cents and closed trading with 91,267 units at $2.25, Honey Bun gained 39 cents in trading 54,391 units to end at $6.24, Iron Rock Insurance traded 1,250 shares to close at $3.30 with a gain of 2 cents. ICI jm trade 21-09-16Jamaican Teas had 116,983 units changing hands at $4. Jetcon Corporation rose 45 cents in trading at new record high of $4.95, with 51,980 units changing hands, KLE Group ended at $1.80 with 45,000 shares changing hands after rising by 30 cents, Knutsford Express had 2,191 units changing hands to end at $24. Lasco Distributors closed with 44,000 units trading and ended with a loss of 24 cents at $6.80, Lasco Financial had 16,585 shares changing hands to close at $3.25, Lasco Manufacturing closed at $4.80 with 60,576 shares trading, Medical Disposables traded 78,577 shares with the price remaining unchanged at $4 and tTech traded 4,867 shares at $6.

Mild losses for juniors – Tuesday

Jetcon ended at a new closing high of $4.50 on Tuesday, with gains of 100% since listing in March.

Jetcon ended at a new closing high of $4.50 on Tuesday, with gains of 100% since listing in March.

The Junior market closed on Tuesday, with the market fell slightly with 5 stocks rising, while 6 declined out of 15 securities that traded. Trading volume and value changed moderately from Monday’s levels. The market index fell 8.18 points, to close at 2,318.01. Market activities ended with 7 securities closing with bids higher than their last selling prices and 4 ending with lower offers.
Trading ended with 907,063 units changing hands, 9 percent more than on Monday, while the value traded dropped just 5 percent, with $3,876,442, compared to $4,086,204 changing hands on Monday.
At the close, Cargo Handlers have not traded for a few days but today the stock closed with the bid at $89.01 with 100 units, nearly $3 ahead of the last sale price with 1,000 units offered for sale at $1,000.ICI Jm sum 20-09-16 As was the case on Monday, Key Insurance did not trade but seems set to trade at a new low when next it does with the offer at $2.37 to sell 152,290 units compared with the last sale of $2.49, there were no bids on the stock at the close.
Caribbean Cream gained 10 cents with 20,000 shares changing hands at of $9.10, Caribbean Flavours gained just 1 cent in closing at $8.01 with 4,749 shares changing hands, Caribbean Producers traded just 20,130 shares and lost 20 cents to close at $3.40. Consolidated Bakeries lost 1 cent to end at $2.42 with 26,559 units changing hands. General Accident closed trading with 348,954 units at $2.05, with a 15 cents loss, Honey Bun traded 800 units to end at $5.85, Jamaican Teas had 1,100 units changing hands at $4. Jetcon Corporation rose 35 cents in trading at new record high of $4.80, with 34,983 units changing hands but ended at new closing high of $4.50, to gain 100 percent, since listing in late March. ICI jm trade 20-09-16Knutsford Express lost 50 cents with 1,559 units changing hands to end at $24, Lasco Distributors closed with 76,469 units trading and ended with a gain of 14 cents at $7.04. Lasco Financial gained 15 cents with 1,165 shares changing hands to close at $3.25. Lasco Manufacturing lost 10 cents to close at $4.80 with 146,842 shares trading, tTech traded 46,953 shares and closed at $6, Derrimon Trading preference share gained 5 cents and ended with 500 units changing hands to close at $2.20 and Eppley 9.5% preference share, fell 20 cents in trading 176,300 shares, to end at $6.30.

Juniors make big gains – Monday

Eppley 9.5% preference share closed at a new high of $6.50 in Monday.

Eppley 9.5% preference share closed at a new high of $6.50 in Monday.

The Junior market closed on Monday, with the market index rose strongly by 1.28 percent but with 4 stocks that gained, while 5 declined out of 12 securities that traded. Trading volume and value fell sharply from Friday’s levels.
At the close the stock had a bid of $4.35 to buy 15,000 units, 10,200 units was the lowest offer at $4.80.
The market index gained 29.34 points, to close at 2,326.19. Market activities ended with 8 securities closing with bids higher than their last selling prices and 3 ending with lower offers.
ICI Jm sum 19-09-16Trading ended with 835,628 units changing hands, 83 percent less than on Friday, while the value traded dropped 87 percent, with $4,086,204, compared to $32,514,713 changing hands on Friday.
At the close, Caribbean Cream closed trading with 133,630 shares changing hands at of $9, earlier in the trading session the stock traded at $9.50. Caribbean Producers traded just 13,000 shares and rose 15 cents to close at $3.60. Consolidated Bakeries closed with a loss of 1 cent at $2.43 with 105,051 units changing hands. General Accident closed trading with 81,654 units, to close at $2.20, with a 9 cents loss, Honey Bun gained 32 cents in trading 4,300 units to end at $5.85, ICI jm trade 19-09-16 Jetcon Corporation fell 15 cents and ended at $4.15 with 65,867 units changing hands, after trading at new record high of $4.40. As was the case on Friday, Key Insurance has not traded but seems set to trade at a new low with the offer still at $2.38 compared with the last sale of $2.49, there were no bids on the stock at the close. Lasco Distributors closed with 76,600 units trading and ended with a loss of 15 cents at $6.90. Lasco Financial fell 20 cents with 14,000 shares changing hands to close at $3.10. Lasco Manufacturing closed at $4.90 with 177,726 shares trading, Medical Disposables traded 129,000 shares and closed at $4 and Eppley 9.5% preference share, gained 39 cents in trading 7,100 shares, to end at a 52 weeks’ closing high of $6.50, after trading as high as $7.

Junior market jumps sharply

Trading on the Jamaica Stock Exchange, saw big gains in the market indices with the junior market out pacing the gains with a jump of 42 points or 1.8 percent and led the combined index to gain over 1,000 points in the early morning session.
ici Int -19-9-16The market commenced the week with more than 1 million shares each trading in Cable & Wireless 1,591,675 units as the price held firm, Carreras traded 1,136,267 units as the price fell 50 cents for and National Commercial Bank had 319,588 shares trading at $40. Volume traded in other stocks was very moderate.
Barita Investments traded 9,250 shares at $3.51 with the price gaining 26 cents, Mayberry Investments traded 500 and gained 35 cents to $3.85, Seprod gained 99 cents in trading 1,000 shares at $21.50 and Jamaican Teas gained 40 cents in trading 27,700 shares at $4.
At 10:45 am 20 securities traded, resulting in a volume of 3,175,290 shares changing hands compared to 33,336,371 shares carrying a value of $1,215,936,825 on Friday. The average number of shares traded amounts to 158,765 units compared to 1,515,290 units on Friday. The number of stocks falling are 4 while the prices of 9 securities rose as the market continues to consolidate.
The all Jamaica Composite Index gained 813.86 points to 177,744.33, the Jamaica Stock Exchange Market Index climbed 727.73 points to 159,976.80, the Jamaica Stock Exchange combined index jumped 1,106.08 points to close at 172,387.46 and the junior market index rose 41.88 points to 2,338.84.

Buy stocks before the explosion

Image courtesy of suphakit73/FreeDigitalPhotos.net

Image courtesy of suphakit73/FreeDigitalPhotos.net

Stocks in the main market are hardly moving in any direction currently with prices up one day and down another and with the all Jamaica index gaining just 6 percent to date. That is not the case in the junior market, as investors seek out what they see as undervalued stocks and in the process drove up these stocks 27 percent for the near nine months of the year.
Both markets have some appealing choices that offer investors a great deal of potential upside. Investors have been making big mistakes by ignoring these opportunities. The errors keep showing in junior market stocks where many wait until prices start to move before trying to buy, at which time the volumes dry up and prices have to move steeply for sellers to be induced to dispose of stocks. Recent cases in point are, ISP Finance, the stock was available under $3 but there were very few buyers, now there are many buyers with bids in the $6 region, a level at which there has been no stock offered for sale since it traded nearly 23,000 units at $6, earlier in September. Jetcon Corporation is another case, with the stock trading below the $3 level for a long time until recently, even as the profit of the company is running at almost twice the pace of 2015, now they are more investors interested at the higher prices at a time when the supply has evaporated. Caribbean Cream is yet another, with IC Insider pointing to strong increase in profits for a long time, now buyers are in at much higher prices but supply is limited. tTech is yet another example with the stock trading for a long time in the $4 region now there is virtually no supply as interest in the stocks grows.
KremiIceCreamConesFREE280x150While some investors focus on trailing quarterly earnings as the basis for valuing stocks, they tend to miss out on companies with explosive growth in profits. There is also the tendency to ignore one off time items. The case of Caribbean Cement is an excellent one. A Brokerage house has the earnings at just over $2 for 2016, but the ongoing earnings are likely to be in the $5.50 region for 2016 and this is what they should be using to value the company. Investors seem to miss the main point. The company incurred cost for reducing labour which will show up as lower operating cost in future periods, but investors don’t seem to appreciate that fact, added to what now appears to be an economy that is growing and could grow even more making Cement, a huge buy. The same can be said for National Commercial Bank and Scotia Group that are having a great 2016.
An indication of where values could reach based on this year’s earnings can be gleaned from three stocks selling at PE ratios that are 16 to 17.5 times this year’s earnings with 11 out of the 29 junior listings having a PE of 10 times or more with, an average of 13.5. The average of the junior market is now at 10 times 2016 earnings with several stocks selling below. In the main market the top 11 stocks average PE is just over 15 with the overall average for the market at 9.
Based on close of the market on Friday the stocks to watch in the coming week are AMG Packaging that fell back sharply in the past week and is on IC Insiders top 5 junior market buys, Blue Power with limited supply. Cargo Handlers still in demand with the announcement of the 10 to 1 stock split and with the bid at $87.05 versus the last sale of $86.10. Caribbean Cream with limited supply and increased buying, Honey Bun with good demand and declining supply, but the price could be heavy with a PE of 17. The 2016 fiscal year ends this month, so investors may want to focus on the 2017 numbers as the main reason for buying. ISP Finance with no supply but with bid at $6.50 compared to last sale of $6 and with the success of the $150 million bond issue, could move if some supply appear.
Scotiabank with profit up 47% for the July quarter the stock could be very active this week.

Scotiabank with profit up 47% for the July quarter the stock could be very active this week.

Jetcon Corporation has seen increased demand come to buy with the stocks still in the IC Insider’s top 5 list. Knutsford Express, Lasco Financial, Medical Disposables, Paramount Trading with no stock on offer and tTech could all make positive moves. Keep an eye on Key Insurance that is set to fall with disappointing interim results reported recently, there is no bid to buy the stock which is offered for sale at $2.38.
Main market activity has been fluid, there are no indications from Friday’s trading, that there will be much change. Investors should keep an eye on Barita Investments, IC Insider’s Top stock in the main market, with bids at $3.51 at the close on Friday, compared with a last sale price of $3.25. There are currently only 5 offers on the board, amounting to 70,000 units and Scotia Group that is set to report earnings for 2016 in the region of $4 per share, after reporting a 47 percent jump in the July quarter. Investors may want to keep an eye out for Cable & Wireless that could well report decent profit for the 12 months to March next year. Note the company’s year end is set to change to December.

Derrimon in Paramount out – Top 5

AMG Packaging is IC Insider's top junior market stock for growth in the next 12 months.

AMG Packaging is IC Insider’s top junior market stock for growth in the next 12 months.

Paramount Trading jumped 25 percent from $14 to $17.50 for the week ending September 16, pushing it out of the IC Insider Top 5 junior market stocks, allowing another trading company, Derrimon Trading, to enter the list in its place.
Paramount Trading price movement is directly related to limited supply of the stock. There are good prospects for increased earnings to flow from expansion into the processing of lubricants, for the local market. Production is expected to get on the way in the first quarter of 2017. With a PE ratio of 7.6 times 2017 projected earnings, the stock remains attractive. With the limited supply, the stock seems a prime candidate for a stock split later this year.
Jetcon Corporation seems set to move out of the top 5 by the end of the week, if the trend of increased demand and limited supply continues. During the past week, the stock gained 24 percent based on the closing bids that were higher than the last sale price. AMG Packaging fell sharply in the week and has pushed the stock to top of the list, while Medical Disposables has moved down to 3 due to a revision downwards of earnings to 60 cents per share and an increase in the stock price.
Top 5 jm-mm -18-9-16rDerrimon enters as number 4 but the company is highly leveraged but expanding. Derrimon Trading reported slightly increased profit of $32.2 million or 12 cents per share up from $30.6 million in the June quarter with profit of $58.5 million compared to $51.2 million for the six months to June, with 3.5 percent growth is sales in the June quarter and 6 percent for the six months year over year. Other income grew but the company’s share of associated profit fell in both periods, while costs were held tightly.
Barita Investments is the only stock in the top 5 main market list, to show any major change, with the bid moving up to $3.51 at the close of the week and seeming set to trade in the $4 region sooner than later, with limited supply on the offer.

5 juniors rise 2 down – Friday

 Jetcon Corporation traded at a new high of $4.30 on Friday to gain 91% since listing.

Jetcon Corporation traded at a new high of $4.30 on Friday to gain 91% since listing.

The Junior market closed on Friday, with the market index rising moderately as 5 stocks gained, while 2 declined out of 15 securities that traded. Traded volume and value jumped sharply above Thursday’s low levels.
Jetcon Corporation was the only stock trading at a new high, the price rose 30 cents in closing at new record high of $4.30 with 84,170 units changing hands. At the close the stock had a bid of $4.35 to buy 15,000 units, 10,200 units was the lowest offer at $4.80. Key Insurance did not trade, but seems set to trade at a new low with the offer at $2.38 compared with the last sale of $2.49, there were no bids on the stock at the close.
ICI Jm sum 16-09-16The market index gained 18.92 points, to close at 2,296.85. Market activities ended with 4 securities closing with bids higher than their last selling prices and 2 ending with lower offers.
Trading ended with 4,977,327 units changing hands, 253 percent more than on Thursday, while the value traded jumped 465 percent, with $32,514,713, compared to $5,750,259 changing hands on Thursday.
At the close, AMG Packaging traded 10,243, shares with the price dropping 22 cents to close at $15, Caribbean Cream gained 30 cents and closed with 81,236 shares changing hands at of $9, earlier in the trading session the stock traded at $9.50. Caribbean Flavours traded 7,000 shares to close at $8, Caribbean Producers traded just 2,000 shares and rose 15 cents to close at $3.45. Consolidated Bakeries closed with a gain of 4 cents t0 $2.44 with 2,549 units changing hands.ICI jm trade 16-09-16 General Accident closed trading with 10,000 units, to close at $2.29, Knutsford Express Services dropped 50 cents to end with 2,746 units trading at $24.50, Lasco Distributors closed with 3,769,952 units trading and ended with a gain of 8 cents at $7.05. Lasco Financial with 10,000 shares changing hands closed at $3.30. Lasco Manufacturing rose 45 cents and closed at $4.90 with 801,743 shares trading, Medical Disposables traded 53,000 shares and closed at $4, Sweet River had just 1,150 shares changing hands at $3.85 and Eppley redeemable 2019 preference share, traded 80,000 shares, unchanged at $6.10.