Big Spike in trading volume on Tuesday

Lumber Depot dominated trading with

Lumber Depot traded 61.5 percent of the total volume of stocks, trading on the Junior Market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange after sellers pushed 9.62 million shares, with the price plunging to a low of $2.50 during the day but recovered to close at $2.94, but with the bid at $2.58 to buy 22,010 shares.
Jetcon Corporation closed with just one bid to buy 73,805 shares at 65 cents, well off the last traded price of $1.30.
Market activity led to 36 securities trading compared to 34 on Friday and ended with the prices of 14 stocks rising, 17 declining and five closing unchanged.
The Junior Market Index slipped 3.54 points to 3,319.23. The PE Ratio, a measure used to compute an appropriate value of a stock, averages 12.9 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings forecast.
The market closed on Tuesday, with the volume of stocks traded spiking 627 percent, with 537 percent greater value than on Friday. Trading volume surged to 15,655,131 shares for $44,661,348 compared to 2,153,858 units at $7,010,164 on Friday.
Derrimon Trading had the second highest volume with 11.2 percent of the day’s trade after an exchange of 1.75 million shares and  Future Energy Source was next, with a 9.3 percent market share with an exchange of 1.46 million units.
Trading averaged 434,865 units at $1,240,593 in contrast to 63,349 at $206,181 on Friday. Trading for July closed with an average of 163,918 units at $481,755.
Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows one stock ending with the bid higher than its last selling price and one with a lower offer.
At the close, Blue Power rose 9 cents to $3.35 with 9,841 shares changing hands, CAC 2000 gained $1.42 to finish at $10.92, with an exchange of 921 stocks, Caribbean Cream slipped 8 cents to $5.80 with investors switching ownership of 880,910 units.  Future Energy Source added 5 cents to close at $1.43,  with 1,459,917 stock units traded, GWest Corporation rallied by 5 cents to 99 cents with a transfer of 800 shares, Indies Pharma advanced 19 cents to $3.79,  with 60,800 stocks changing hands. Iron Rock Insurance climbed 28 cents to $3.88 with an exchange of 33,165 stock units, Jamaican Teas lost 7 cents to finish at $3.95, with 233,852 units passing through the market, Lasco Manufacturing slipped 5 cents to $5.20 with 116,657 shares traded. Lumber Depot fell 36 cents to $2.94 with a transfer of 9,623,115 stock units, Medical Disposables shed 49 cents to finish at $4.50 with 825 units changing hands, SSL Venture popped 11 cents to 87 cents, in switching ownership of 5,744 shares. Stationery and Office Supplies rallied $1.12 to $6.88 with 879 stock units traded and Tropical Battery lost 10 cents to close at $1.30 with 28,827 units crossing the exchange.
In the preference segment, CAC 2000 9.5% advanced 20 cents to $1 with 8,606 stocks changing hands.

Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.

Junior Market rallies to close out July

The market closed on Friday, with the volume of stocks traded declining by 33 percent and the value slipping 29 percent from Thursday outcome, after 34 securities traded, similar to Thursday, with prices of 12  rising, 10 falling and 12 closing unchanged leading the Market Index to spike 14.49 points to close at 3,322.77 on the Jamaica Stock Exchange Junior Market.
The market that closed at 3,370.59 points in June, tried to build on it during July, moving up to 3,421.90  points in Mid-month, failed to hang on to the gains and end up closing below the June close. The PE Ratio, a measure used to compute appropriate stock values, averages 13.2 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings forecast.
Trading ended with 2,153,858 shares changing hands for $7,010,164 compared to 3,204,788 units at $9,817,160 on Thursday.
Future Energy Source led trading with 26.2 percent of total volume, after an exchange of 563,890 shares, Jamaican Teas followed with 21.5 percent, for 462,064 units and Tropical Battery 11.2 percent with an exchange of 240,306 units.

Trading averaged 63,349 units at $206,181 in contrast to 94,258 at $288,740 on Thursday. Month to date, trading averages 163,918 units at $481,755, versus 168,538 units at $494,416 on Thursday. June closed with an average of 225,705 units at $644,459.
 Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows eight stocks ending with bids higher than their last selling prices and one with a lower offer.
At the close, Access Financial jumped 85 cents to $21.49 with an exchange of 548 shares, AMG Packaging advanced 15 cents to $1.65 with 4,855 stocks changing hands, Blue Power fell 32 cents to $3.26 with 10,603 stock units traded. Caribbean Flavours gained 9 cents to close at $2.07, with 2,512 units passing through the market, Elite Diagnostic slipped 5 cents to $3.10 with a transfer of 482 shares, Future Energy Source lost 12 cents to finish at $1.38 with an exchange of 563,890 stocks. GWest Corporation declined by 5 cents to 94 cents with 10,000 units changing hands, Lasco Distributors dropped 16 cents to $4.04 with 1,222 stock units traded, Lumber Depot fell 10 cents to $3.30, with 15,040 shares passing through the market. Main Event climbed 43 cents to $4.79 with a transfer of 13,551 units, Medical Disposable  jumped 46 cents to $4.99 with investors switching ownership of 13,999 stocks and Stationery and Office Supplies shed $1.49 to close at $5.76 with 13,525 shares crossing the exchange.

Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.

Junior Market ekes out gains on Thursday

Trading closed with the Junior Market advancing, with a modest rise in the market index on Thursday as the volume of stocks traded plunged 75 percent and the value dipped 76 percent from Wednesday and leaving declining stocks muscling out those rising.
A total of 34 securities traded on Thursday, up from 33 on Wednesday and ended with the prices of 11 stocks rising, 13 declining and 10 closing unchanged.
At the close, the Junior Market Index squeezed out a gain of 5.52 points to finish at 3,308.28. The PE Ratio, a measure used to compute appropriate stock values, averages 12.9 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings forecast.
Trading ended with 3,204,788 shares changing hands for $9,817,160 down from 13,080,154 units at $40,382,215 on Wednesday. Future Energy Source was the volume leader with 36.2 percent after trading 1.16 million shares, Lumber Depot followed, 11.9 percent, with 382,752 units and Fontana 10.6 percent, with 340,798 units.
Trading averaged 94,258 units at $288,740 in contrast to 396,368 at $1,223,703 on Wednesday. Month to date trading averages 168,538 units at $494,416, versus 172,116 units at $504,321 on Wednesday. June closed with an average of 225,705 units at $644,459.
Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows three stocks ending with bids higher than their last selling prices and four with lower offers.
At the close, Access Financial dropped 85 cents to $20.64 with an exchange of 2,738 shares, AMG Packaging slipped 5 cents to $1.50 with 200,000 stocks changing hands, Blue Power lost 5 cents to end at $3.58 with a transfer of 9,020 units. Caribbean Cream dipped by 7 cents to $5.88 with 46,990 stock units traded, Caribbean Flavours fell 9 cents to $1.98, with 157,522 shares passing through the market, Elite Diagnostic rose 5 cents to $3.15 in exchanging 1,710 units. Express Catering shed 59 cents to finish at $5.40 with 11,054 stock units changing hands, Honey Bun rallied 23 cents to $6.75 with a transfer of 99,760 shares, iCreate popped 6 cents to 86 cents with 21,745 units traded. Indies Pharma rose 10 cents to $3.60 with investors switching ownership of 7,036 stocks, Jamaican Teas added 6 cents to settle at $4.02, with an exchange of 218,068 stock units.Knutsford Express spiked 49 cents to $7.69 with 240 shares changing hands. Lasco Distributors spiked 39 cents to $4.20 with a transfer of 180,263 units, as investors responded positively to the company’s first quarter results that saw profit rising by 58 percent. Lasco Manufacturing gained 5 cents to close at $5.25 with 79,177 stocks traded, Lumber Depot rose 5 cents to $3.40 with investors switching ownership of 382,752 stock units, Main Event dropped 94 cents to $4.36, with 3,170 units changing hands and Stationery and Office Supplies advanced 10 cents to $7.25 with 13,696 shares crossing the exchange.

Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.

 

Junior Market slippage continues on Wednesday

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The Junior Market Index dropped a further 22.00 points for a third consecutive day of decline on Wednesday to settle at 3,302.76 as trading closed, with the volume of stocks exchanged climbing 45 percent over Tuesday’s level, with the value up by 24 percent.  
Market activity led to 33 securities trading compared to 34 on Tuesday and ended with the prices of just eight stocks rising, 14 declining and 11, closing unchanged.
The PE Ratio, a measure used to compute appropriate stock values, averages 12.8 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings forecast.
A total of 13,080,154 shares traded for $40,382,215 compared to 9,034,942 units at $32,570,639 on Tuesday.
Lumber Depot led trading with 78.7 percent of total volume in trading 10.29 million shares followed by Future Energy Source 11.1 percent with 1.46 million units and Tropical Battery 1.4 percent with 178,671 units.
Trading averages 396,368 units at $1,223,703 in contrast to 265,734 at $957,960 on Tuesday. Trading month to date averages, 172,116 units at $504,321, compared to 161,120 units at $469,047 on Tuesday. June trading averaged 225,705 units at $644,459.
Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows four stocks ending with bids higher than their last selling prices and five with lower offers.
At the close, AMG Packaging rose 5 cents to $1.55, with 24,120 shares traded, Everything Fresh popped 6 cents to $1.05 with an exchange of 2,573 units, Express Catering jumped 49 cents to $5.99 with a transfer of 37,700 stock units. Future Energy Source dropped 16 cents to $1.50, with 1,457,121 stocks changing hands, General Accident rallied 47 cents to $5.47 with a transfer of 6,000 shares, Indies Pharma fell 25 cents to $3.50, with 70,689 units passing through the market. Jetcon Corporation slipped 8 cents to $1.31, with 110,000 stocks traded, Knutsford Express shed 49 cents to settle at $7.20, with an exchange of 3,067 shares, Lasco Distributors slipped 5 cents to $3.81 with a transfer of 27,161 units. Lasco Financial rose 5 cents to $3.15 with investors switching ownership of 900 stocks, Lumber Depot fell 10 cents to $3.35, with 10,289,932 shares traded, Main Event climbed 50 cents to $5.30 with a transfer of 1,928 stocks and Medical Disposables slipped 5 cents to $4.55 with 7,560 units crossing the exchange.
In the preference segmentCAC 2000 9.5% dropped 40 cents to close at a 52 weeks’ low of 80 cents, with 38,147 shares changing hands as the yield on the stock climbed to 11%.

Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.

Sharp Junior Market decline on Monday

The Junior Market lost momentum on Monday, virtually undoing Friday’s gains, as the index gave up 32.49 points to end at 3,336.54 as trading closed with the volume of stocks traded slipping slightly below Friday’s level after 19 percent less value chased after stocks.
Market activity led to 37 securities trading compared to 33 on Friday and ended with the prices of 12 rising, 16 declining and nine closing unchanged and two stocks closed at 52 weeks’ low.
The PE Ratio, a measure used to compute an appropriate value of a stock, averages 13 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings forecast.
Overall, 5,432,434 shares traded for $13,895,368 compared to 5,307,749 units at $17,164,498 on Friday.
Future Energy Source led trading with 41.9 percent of total volume after an exchange of 2.28 million shares, followed by Everything Fresh 8.2 percent, with 445,595 units and Jamaican Teas 7.8 percent, with an exchange of 424,325 units.
Trading averaged 146,823 units at $375,550 in contrast to 160,841 at $520,136 on Friday. Trading month to date, averages 155,553 units at $443,033, compared to 156,090 units at $447,181 on Friday. June closed, with an average of 225,705 units at $644,459.
Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows three stocks ending with bids higher than their last selling prices and three with lower offers.
At the close, AMG Packaging advanced 10 cents to $1.66 with 301,518 shares changing hands, Blue Power rallied 27 cents to $3.62, with 3,150 units traded, Caribbean Assurance Brokers rose 8 cents to $1.99 with a transfer of 2,294 stocks. Caribbean Flavours popped 6 cents to $2.06, with investors switching ownership of 111,699 shares, Express Catering fell 8 cents to $5.96 with an exchange of 775 units, Fosrich slipped 5 cents to $8.10 with 4,200 stocks passing through the market. General Accident shed 60 cents to finish at a 52 weeks’ low of $5 with 50,410 shares changing hands, Indies Pharma dropped 31 cents to $3.65 with 117,359 units traded, Iron Rock Insurance climbed 28 cents to $3.88 with a transfer of 156,125 stocks. Knutsford Express dropped 71 cents to $7.69, with an exchange of 38,041 shares, Lasco Financial rose 6 cents to $3.18, with 3,854 units passing through the market, Lasco Manufacturing spiked 42 cents to $5.25 with 25,178 stocks changing hands. Mailpac Group rallied 5 cents to $3.85 with a transfer of 253,262 stock units, Main Event lost 10 cents to end at $5.10 with 6,490 shares traded, Medical Disposables fell 20 cents to $4.55, with 12,600 units passing through the market. Paramount Trading dipped 9 cents to close at a 52 weeks’ low of $1.06, with investors switching ownership of 101,382 stocks and SSL Venture rose 7 cents to 80 cents with 3,983 shares crossing the exchange.
 Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.

Grace Kennedy exits ICTOP10 with record price

The Junior Market recovered all of its Covid-19 related loss and more in hitting its highest level this week, since the first week of December 2019, helped by a number of ICInsider.com Top stocks of which 6 recorded gains between 69 percent and 81 and two over 100 percent, with the market up 29 percent for 2021 to date.
At the close of the week, tTech entered the Junior Market TOP10 and ISP Finance fell out after the price of the latter climbed from $17.98 to $22.43 and in the Main Market long time TOP10 candidate Grace Kennedy finally slipped out with a record breaking price of $105.98 for a 64 percent rise since January, allowing Sterling Investments to return to the TOP10.
The Jamaica Stock Exchange Main Market has not performed as well as the Junior Market, with the fall in the financial sector led by NCB Financial Group, but there are a few individual stocks that continue to deliver gains in 2021 and a few that possess the potential to move decidedly higher.
This past week the average gains projected for the Junior Market slipped from 204 percent last week to 200 percent and Main Market stocks edged down from last week’s 172 percent to 171 percent.
The top three stocks in the Junior Market are Elite, Caribbean Assurance and Medical Disposables, with the potential to gain between 223 and 287 percent, following the range of 254 to 276 percent last week. The top three Main Market stocks are Radio Jamaica in the number one spot, followed by JMMB Group and Guardian Holdings, with expected gains of 171 to 379 percent versus last weeks’ 188 to 385 percent.
The Junior Market closed the week with an average PE 13.1 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings and currently trades well below the target of 20 as well as the recent historical average of 17 for the period to March this year based on 2020 earnings. For the Junior Market to trade at the historical average, the PE Ratio would have to rise by 31 percent and requires a rise of 54 percent to reach the targeted PE of 20 by March 2022. Main Market stocks would need to rise by 11 percent to hit a PE of 19 and 17 percent to get to the target of 20.
The Junior Market Top 10 stocks average PE is a mere 6.8, just 53 percent of the market average, indicating substantial gains ahead. The JSE Main Market ended the week with an overall PE of 16.9, a little distance from the 19 the market ended at in March, suggesting just an 11 percent rise at a PE of 19 and 17 percent at a PE of 20 from now to March 2022. The Main Market TOP 10 trades at a PE of 7.8 or 45 percent of the PE of that market, well off the potential of 20.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on likely increase for each company, taking into account the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in movements in and out of the lists weekly. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.

Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.

JMMB moves to #2 in Main Market ICTOP10

The two main Jamaica Stock Exchange markets may have broken loose from the area of resistance, but they continue to be hemmed in around current trading levels, with Junior Market closing below last week’s close with three days of decline and the Main market had three days of decline but ended the week with a fall of points after recording a strong rise the previous week.
Caribbean Cream is back with earnings per share now at 70 cents for the current year, while Future Energy Source reached new highs during the week and is out of the IC Junior Market TOP10. In the Main Market, there was no change in the list, but earnings per share for JMMB Group is upgraded to $6 for the current year and the stock is now the second best main market stock, with potential to gain over 200 percent for the next twelve months.
There are still several stocks that are severely undervalued, with the scope to record above average gains up to the first half of 2022. This past week the average gains projected for the Junior stocks slipped from 207 percent last week to 204 percent and the Main Market stocks moved up from last week’s 166 percent up to 172 percent with the upgrading of JMMB earnings.
The top three stocks in the Junior Market continue to be Elite Diagnostic heading the list, followed by Caribbean Assurance Brokers and Medical Disposables, with the potential to gain from 254 to 276 percent, after the range fell from 247 to 300 percent last week. The top three Main Market stocks are Radio Jamaica in the number one spot, followed by JMMB Group and Guardian Holdings, with expected gains of 171 to 379 percent versus last weeks’ 160 to 391 percent.
The Junior Market closed the week with an average PE 13.1 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings and currently trades well below the target of 20 and the recent historical average of 17 for the period to March this year based on 2020 earnings. For the market to trade at the historical average, the PE Ratio would have to rise by 31 percent and require a rise of 52 percent to March 2022 to reach the targeted PE of 20.
The Junior Market Top 10 stocks average PE is a mere 6.8, just 51 percent of the market average, indicating substantial gains ahead. The JSE Main Market ended the week with an overall PE of 17.1, a little distance from the 19 the market ended at in March, suggesting just an 11 percent rise at a PE of 19 and 17 percent at a PE of 20 from now to March 2022. The Main Market TOP 10 trades at a PE of 7.9 or 46 percent of the PE of that market, well off the potential of 20.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on likely increase for each company, considering the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in movements in and out of the lists weekly. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.

Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.

New ICTOP10 entrants

In a week when the main and junior markets of the Jamaica Stock exchange broke loose from resistance, with the Junior Market just creeping away and the Main market surging more than 14,000 points up, as investors appear more bullish than they have been for some time.
Scotia Group, along with Caribbean Cream, fell out of the TOP10 based on downward revisions to their earnings for the coming financial year ends. Moving into the Junior Market TOP10 is ISP Finance with the price dropping to $15.60 on Friday and the Main Market listed, Berger Paints moving back in the TOP10 with the price at $13.85 on Friday.
JMMB Group
came outwith solid results for the full year to March, leading to a revision of the projection for the 2022 fiscal year, making the stock a solid buy even after it rose 12 percent to $38.45 from $32.50 last week, Grace Kennedy jumped 5 percent from $94.97 last week to close at $99.46, PanJam Investment moved up 11 percent from $54.50 to $69 and Future Energy Sources closed the week at a 52 weeks’ high of $1.10, to be marginally up for the week from $1.07.
The average gains projected for the Junior Market slipped from 210 percent last week to 207 percent as the market slowly rises. The average projected gains for the Main Market stocks dropped last week from 170 to 166 percent as the market gained 3 percent for the week.
The top three stocks in the Junior Market continue to be Elite Diagnostic heading the list, followed by Medical Disposables and Caribbean Assurance Brokers, with the potential to gain between 247 to 300 percent. The top three Main Market stocks are Radio Jamaica in the number one spot, followed by PanJam Investments and JMMB Group, with expected gains of 160 to 391 percent.
The targeted PE ratio for the market remains an average of 20 based on profits of companies reporting full year’s results up to the second quarter of 2022. Fiscal 2020-21 ended March 2021 with the average PE at 17 for Junior Stocks and 19 times for the Main Market. One reason why the Junior Market stocks have outperformed Main Market ones since last year can be seen from the big difference between the valuations of both markets, with the latter values close to maturity, based on present valuation metrics.
The Junior Market, with an average PE 13 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings, is currently trading well below the target, as well as the recent historical average of 17, for the market to get to last year average, would require a 32 percent rise in the market, that would equate to a rise of 54 percent to March 2022 if it were to reach the targeted PE of 20. The Junior Market Top 10 stocks average a mere 6.7 at just 51 percent of the market average, indicating substantial gains ahead. The JSE Main Market ended the week with an overall PE of 17.1, a little distance from the 19 the market ended in March, suggesting just an 11 percent rise at a PE of 19 and 17 percent at a PE of 20 from now to March 2022. The Main Market TOP 10 trades at a PE of 7.9 or 46 percent of the PE of that market, well off the potential of 20.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on likely increase for each company, taking into account the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in movements in and out of the lists weekly. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.

Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.

122% gain pushes stock out of ICTOP10

Two companies in the transportation sector swapped places in the IC Junior Market TOP10 this week as another TOP10 stock gained more than 100 percent for the year, the fourth such feat for the Junior Market TOP10. Jetcon Corporation’s price popped 61 percent for the week to a 52 weeks’ high of $1.75 to record gains of 122 percent for the year to date and dropped out of the TOP10, and is replaced by Future Energy Sources.
Other than Jetcon, prices of other TOP10 stocks had notable increases during the past week; these include; Jamaica Broilers and Grace Kennedy from the main market but Radio Jamaica, PanJam and Scotia Group prices took hits. In the Junior Market, Caribbean Cream, Access and Stationery and Office Supplies had nice gains resulted in the average gains projected slipping from 216 percent last week to 210 percent. The average projected gains for the Main Market stocks inched up last week from 169 to 170 percent.
The Junior Market closed the week at 3,327.84, down from 3,339.02, last week, as it continues to consolidate around the zone of resistance. The JSE All Jamaica Composite Index hit 466,915.58 points during the morning session on Friday, before closing lower at 459,273.23, up from 456,395.73, at the close of the previous week, as the market continues to wrestle with resistance.
The top three stocks in the Junior Market are Elite Diagnostic heading the list, followed by Medical Disposables and Caribbean Assurance, with potential to gain between 250 to 303 percent. The top three Main Market stocks are Radio Jamaica in the number one spot, followed by PanJam Investments and Wisynco, with expected gains of 153 to 394 percent.
This week’s focus: Access Financial Services came out with full year results that reflected increased lending and EPS of 50 cents in the March quarter. ICInsider.com upgraded earnings to just under $3 per share for the current fiscal year. Scotia Group also reported results for the six months to April, with a 12 percent rise in profit for the April quarter over the 2020 same quarter and an 11.4 percent rise for the six months results. The big negative is that the loan portfolio continued its decline into the April quarter.  ICInsider.com now projects 2021 earnings at $4 per share.
The targeted PE ratio for the market averages 20 based on companies’ profits reporting full year’s results, up to the second quarter of 2022. Fiscal 2020-21 ended March 2021 with the average PE at 17 for Junior Stocks and 19 times for the Main Market.
The Junior Market, with an average PE 12.6 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings, is currently trading below the target, as well as the recent historical average of 17.1; this represents another 35 percent rise in the market that would equate to a rise of 59 percent to March 2022. The Junior Market Top 10 stocks average a mere 6.6 at just 53 percent of the market average, indicating substantial gains ahead. The JSE Main Market ended the week with an overall PE of 17.1, still some distance from the 19 the market ended March, suggesting a 17 percent rise from now to March 2022. The Main Market TOP 10 trades at a PE of 7.8 or 45 percent of the PE of that market and well off the potential of 20.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on likely increase for each company, considering the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate, resulting in periodic movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.
Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.

ICTOP10 – Guardian a better buy now

The average gains projected for the Junior Market fell from 225 percent last week to 218 percent as the prices of a number of the top 10 stocks rose during the past week, but with no new entrant to either Top 10 list. The average projected gains for the Main Market stocks move up from 162 to 169 percent helped in a big way by the fall of Guardian Holdings from $790 last week to $763.  

Guardian Holdings hit a low of J$750 on Friday.

The price slippage for Guardian shares below $790 provides investors a better value proposition, with the PE at 8.3 times, rather than 8.6 that the NCB Global offer price for the 2 million shares they are offering to the public.
The markets continue to face resistance this past week, with the Junior Market is trading at the very top of its upward sloping channel while the JSE Main Market sits a few thousand points away and facing turbulence in getting to the peak. With the two Lasco companies releasing results after the market closed on Friday it will be interesting to see what investors do with their prices. If they rise appreciable the resistance is likely to be broken and clear the way to move to a new yearly high in the weeks ahead.
The Junior Market closed the week at 3,329.50, up slightly from 3,324 at the end of the previous week. The JSE All Jamaica Composite Index ended at 454,375.81 on Friday, marginally lower than 454,479.33 at the close of the previous week.
The top three stocks in the Junior Market, remain unchanged for this week, with Elite Diagnostic heading the list, followed by Caribbean Assurance Brokers and Caribbean Producers, with the potential to gain between 255 to 303 percent. The top three Main Market stocks are Radio Jamaica in the number one spot, followed by PanJam Investments and Wisynco, with expected gains of 149 to 371 percent.
This week’s focus: RJR suffered badly from the effects of the curtailment of business in 2020 after showing signs of recovering from the prior years’ slow growth and high cost of operations. In 2020 they moved to deal with the pressure the fallout had and showed marked improvement in the second half of the calendar year. Importantly, there was significant cost cutting with the third quarter showing the effects with vastly improved results.
The impression given in the group’s December quarterly report is that the sharp fall in direct operating, selling and marketing costs were directly related to the fall off in revenues. That of course is only part of the story. The fall in cost has been far greater than the reduction in revenues suggesting that actual cost cutting was effected. ICInsider.com confirmed that the group that made some staff redundant also made changes by discontinuing unprofitable programs and publications. “Regarding cost reductions, some changes in the distribution network and workflows are permanent,” this publication was informed but revenues for some of the newspapers continue to run below pre Covid-19 levels.
The targeted PE ratio for the market averages 20 based on profits of companies reporting full year’s results, up to the second quarter of 2022. Fiscal 2020-21 ended March 2021 with the average PE at 17 for Junior Market stocks and 19 times for the Main Market.
The Junior Market with an average PE 12.4 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings, is currently trading below the target, as well as the recent historical average of 17, this represents another 37 percent rise in the market that would equate to a rise of 61 percent to March 2022. The Junior Market Top 10 stocks average a mere 6.4 at just 52 percent of the market average, indicating substantial gains ahead. The JSE Main Market ended the week with an overall PE of 7.8, some distance from the 19 the market ended March, suggesting a 17 percent rise from now to March 2022. The Main Market TOP 10 trades at a PE of 7.8 or 48 percent of the PE of that market and well off the potential of 20.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on likely increase for each company, taking into account the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in movements in and out of the lists weekly. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.

Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.