Trading closed on Friday, with the market rising to sit just 8 points away from the February 2020 high of 3,066.67 on the first trading day in the month after the Junior Market gained 18.23 points to close at 3,058.26. The market opened 3,017.24 points and gradually wind its way upwards to a peak of 3,062.24 points for the day with just eight minutes of trading left before the close.
Trading ended with 37 securities changing hands compared to 33 on Thursday and ended with 17 rising, nine declining and 11, closed unchanged. The PE Ratio averages 12.3 based on ICInsider.com’s forecast of 2021-22 earnings.
Overall 10,384,599 shares traded at $30,949,770 versus 9,469,995 units at $31,077,238 on Thursday.
Derrimon Trading led trading with 4.47 million shares for 43 percent of total volume followed by Jamaican Teas with 1.89 million units for 18.2 percent and Lumber Depot with 1.18 million units for 11.4 percent market share.
Trading averaged 280,665 units at $836,480 in contrast to 286,970 at $941,734 on Thursday. Trading month to date averages 213,535 units at $700,777, up from 195,271 units at $663,857 on Thursday. Trading in March resulted in an average of 252,633 units at $733,196 trading.
Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows three stocks ending with bids higher than their last selling prices and two with lower offers.
At the close, AMG Packaging advanced 20 cents to $1.90, with 500 stocks changing hands, CAC 2000 lost 25 cents to close at $9.65 in trading 320,549 units. Caribbean Assurance Brokers increased 8 cents to $2.18 after exchanging 3,750 stock units, Caribbean Flavours climbed 8 cents to $2.28 in switching ownership of 50,101 stock units. Consolidated Bakeries dropped 37 cents to $1.38 after exchanging 800 units, Fosrich rose 30 cents to $5.50 with the swapping of 100,350 stock units. General Accident fell 5 cents to $5.78 with 68,658 shares crossing the market, Indies Pharma climbed 5 cents to $4.45, with 185,769 units changing hands. Iron Rock Insurance lost 72 cents to end at $2.88, with an exchange of 1,000 stock units, Jamaican Teas rose 7 cents to $3.19, with 1,885,952 stock units changing hands, Lasco Manufacturing rose 25 cents to $4.59 in an exchange of 89,882 stocks. Limners and Bards gained 4 cents in closing at $2.75 and 103,398 units switching owners, Lumber Depot rose 6 cents to $2.31, trading 1,180,726 stock units. SSL Venture declined 6 cents to close at 55 cents with 331 stock units changing hands and Stationery and Office Supplies declined 7 cents to close at $5.50 after an exchange of 20,000 units.
In the preference segment, CAC 2000 9.5% preference share increased 18 cents to close at $1.38 in trading 6,335 stock units.
Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.
Rising Junior Market shifts IC TOP10
Stationery and Office Supplies (SOS) jumped to the top spot in the Junior Market IC TOP10 this week, with the price falling to $4.78 while PanJam Investment slid into the number two spot for the Main Market, but Radio Jamaica still remains in the number one position.
The top three stocks in the Junior Market are now SOS, followed by Elite Diagnostic Main Event and Jetcon Corporation. The top three Main Market stocks are Radio Jamaica, followed by PanJam and VM Investments. The top three junior Market stocks have the potential to gain between 295 to 318 percent and those in the main market with expected gains of 173 to 452 percent.
TOP 10 stocks had a few changes during the past week, with Berger Paints back in the Main Market TOP10, replacing Sterling Investments that entered the list last week, while for the Junior Market, Caribbean Assurance Brokers returns to the TOP 10 as General Accident moved out.
The Junior Market TOP10 contains several companies that suffered a sharp reversal of fortunes in 2020, with recovery projected in 2021. Green shoots are visible for some, with sales picking up in recent quarters and improving profit.
Some of these companies may require another quarter or two of improvement before meaningful buying starts. Main Event, Caribbean Producers, Knutsford Express, Express Catering and Stationery and Office Supplies are some of the companies that are in this category.
The Main Market has JMMB Group, Jamaica Broilers, Sygnus Credit Investments and Grace Kennedy that are currently in the TOP10 Main Market listing and Caribbean Cement that is just outside.
The Junior Market and the Main Market continue to get support from technical indicators that point to robust gains ahead. To benefit from the growth to come, many investors will need to be on board at an early stage.
This week’s focus: Future Energy Source Company Initial Public Offer of 500 million shares, that ICInsider.com indicated last week should be snapped up quickly by investors, with the company having long-term prospects for strong growth, did just that. NCB Capital Markets, the brokers for the issue, reported on Thursday that the issue, priced at 80 cents per share and opened on Wednesday, closed on Thursday after another Junior Market IPO issue was oversubscribed. The successful closure of the issue will see the number of listed companies rising to 42 from the current 41.
The targeted PE ratio averages 20 based on profits of companies reporting full year’s results, up to the second quarter of 2022. Fiscal 2020-21 ended at 17.2 for Junior Stocks and 19 times for the Main Market at the end of March 2021. With interest rates on government paper below 5 percent and likely to remain there for a few years, there is the likelihood for the average PE ratios to climb higher during the next twelve months.
The Junior and Main markets are currently trading well below the market average, indicating strong gains ahead. The JSE Main Market ended the week, with an overall PE of 14.7 and the Junior Market 9.8, based on ICInsider.com’s projected 2021-22 earnings. The PE ratio for the Junior Market Top 10 stocks average a mere 5.4 at just 55 percent of the market average. The Main Market TOP 10 trades at a PE of 7.4 or 50 percent of the PE of that market.
The average projected gain for the Junior Market IC TOP 10 stocks is 274 percent and 186 percent for the JSE Main Market, based on 2021-22 earnings. IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on likely gain for each company, taking into account the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in movements in and out of the lists weekly. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.
Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.
Rising Junior Market shifts up IC TOP10
During the past week, the Junior Market moved decisively up, with the market index closing well above the 2,900 mark that became a barrier for weeks, surpassing the 3,000 level, but closed trading since Tuesday just a few points below and is poised to move higher in the weeks ahead. Main Market stocks remain in the consolidation zone awaiting profit results to move prices higher.
TOP 10 stocks had a few changes during the past week, with Berger Paints back in the Main Market TOP10, replacing Sterling Investments that entered the list last week, while in the Junior Market, Caribbean Assurance Brokers returns to the TOP 10 as General Accident moved out.
This publication has stated that Junior Market TOP10 contains several companies that suffered a sharp reversal of fortunes in 2020, with recovery projected in 2021. Green shoots are showing for some with sales picking up in recent quarters, with improving profit. Some of these companies may require another quarter or two of improvement before meaningful buying starts. Main Event is one such company, reporting a profit on reduced income for the January quarter. Revenues climbed solidly in the latest quarter over the October and July quarters, but still far below the prior year’s level. Caribbean Producers is another that will definitely benefit from pick up in the tourist trade later in the year. Expect also companies such as Knutsford Express, Express Catering and Stationery and Office Supplies to be on that list.
The Main Market has a number in the list that have put out record profits or show signs of strong earnings in 2021, with the stocks clearly undervalued; these include JMMB Group, Jamaica Broilers, Sygnus Credit Investments and Grace Kennedy that are currently in the TOP10 Main Market listing and Caribbean Cement that is just outside.
Both the Junior Market and the Main Market continue to get support from technical indicators that point to robust gains ahead. To benefit from the growth in the market to come, many investors will need to be on board at an early stage.
This week’s focus: Future Energy Source Company Initial Public Offer of 500 million shares at 80 cents per share opens on Wednesday, with pretax earnings for the fiscal year to March this year around 7 cents per shares. The shares should be snapped up quickly by investors, with the company having long-term prospects for strong growth.
The top three stocks in the Junior Market mostly changed, with the potential to gain between 285 to 288 percent are Elite Diagnostic, followed by Main Event and Jetcon Corporation. The top three Main Market stocks with expected gains of 173 to 433 percent are Radio Jamaica, followed by VM Investments and Jamaica Broilers.
The local stock market’s targeted average PE ratio is 20 based on profits of companies reporting full year’s results, up to the second quarter of 2021. The Junior and Main markets are currently trading well below the market average, indicating strong gains ahead. The JSE Main Market ended the week, with an overall PE of 15 and the Junior Market 10, based on ICInsider.com’s projected 2021-22 earnings. The PE ratio for the Junior Market Top 10 stocks average a mere 5.5 at just 55 percent of the market average. The Main Market TOP 10 stocks trade at a PE of 7.4 or 50 percent of the PE of that market.
The average projected gain for the Junior Market IC TOP 10 stocks is 267 percent and 184 percent for the JSE Main Market, based on 2021-22 earnings. IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on likely gain for each company, taking into account the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in movements in and out of the lists weekly. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.
Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.