The Junior Market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange index closed trading on Monday with a 40.83 points rise to close at 2,956.96 with the prices of 6 securities advancing, 10 declining and 7 remaining unchanged.
The market closed with a bullish short term signal with 21 securities closing with bids that are the same or higher than the last traded price, suggesting that a wide number of prices will have to increase to get orders filled.
Market activity resulted in 22 securities changing hands, compared to 26 trading on Friday, with an exchange of 996,521 units valued at $4,200,325 versus 3,564,305 units valued at $13,411,844 on Friday.
Trading ended with an average of 45,296 units for an average of $190,924 compared to an average of 137,089 units for an average of $249,136 on Friday. The average volume and value for the month to date, amounts to 105,226 units at $426,586, compared to an average of 113,074 units at $457,447 on the previous trading day. February closed with an average of 338,697 units at an average value of $1,495,774 for each security traded.
IC bid-offer Indicator|At the end of trading, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator reading shows 3 stocks ending with the bid higher than the last selling price and 7 with lower offers.
At the close of the market, Access Financial jumped $5 to close at a 52 weeks’ high of $56, with 5,000 shares, AMG Packaging ended at $2, with 119,595 stock units, Blue Power concluded trading at $33.01, with 3,267 units, Caribbean Cream ended trading 10 cents higher at $7.10, with 10,000 shares, Caribbean Producers finished trading with a loss of 1 cent at $4.40, with 3,661 units. Elite Diagnostic settled with a loss of 1 cent at $3, with 318,518 units, Eppley ended trading 50 cents higher at $10, with 50,000 shares, Express Catering traded with a loss of 2 cents at $4.80, with 6,690 shares, FosRich Group finished trading at $2.68, with 39,164 shares. General Accident closed with a loss of 40 cents at $2.90, with 103,754 stock units, Honey Bun concluded trading with a loss of 55 cents at $4.30, with 30,402 shares, Iron Rock finished at $3, with 3,000 shares, Jamaican Teas ended trading with a loss of 5 cents at $4.50, with 17,590 stock units. Jetcon Corporation traded 12 cents higher at $4, with 18,846 units, Lasco Distributors concluded trading 3 cents higher at $4.18, with 38,811 stock units, Lasco Financial finished with a loss of 20 cents at $4.80, with 34,940 units, Lasco Manufacturing settled with a loss of 5 cents at $4.20, with 79,450 shares. Main Event ended trading with a loss of 39 cents at $5.81, with 21,909 shares, Medical Disposables traded at $4.90, with 2,500 shares, Paramount Trading finished trading 1 cent higher at $3.20, with 4,452 stock units and Stationery and Office closed at $5.50, with 83,972 units. In the junior market preference segment, Derrimon Trading closed with a loss of 15 cents at $2, with 1,000 shares changed hands.
Prices of securities trading for the day are those at which the last trade took place.
Iron Rock & 2 others in TOP 10
The Junior Market continues to fight for the 2018 rally to take root and grow even as interest rates are at their lowest in decades. Technical reading of this market shows the short term 45 day moving average (DMA) has crossed over the 120 DMA, a bullish sign as the market is coming from an oversold position.
With many Junior Market stocks having risen sharply in the last twelve months, it would require gains in profit above most of the recent postings to have pushed prices much higher in the short term. In a number of instances, some junior listed companies are focusing on expansion that will not bear fruit immediately and with some of the stocks pricing in these development into prices already, there are no new information to move prices in the short term. Results for the 2018 first quarter will therefore be critical in determining the performance of the market for the first half of the year.Stationery and Office Supplies got a shot in the arm from audited financial statements to December 2018, showing strong gains in revenues and profit, compared to 2016 and saw the price moving back up to $5.50 and its position in the TOP list down to 8 from number 2 in February. It won’t be long before it drops out of the list as demand push the price higher. General insurance underwriters Iron Rock is now in the list, following improved 2017 results that benefited from strong revenues growth that augurs well for earnings in 2018. The company should also benefit from rising premium rates. Paramount Trading is back in the list and so too is AMG Packaging having disposed of its machinery in the tissue operations and cut cost it in it as well from the closure of that business line. Going into the 2019 fiscal year it should be rid of most of the cost of that operations and therefore focus on the container boxes to meet the existing increased demand. Out goes Dolphin Cove with lower than projected earnings being reported for 2017, followed by Blue Power and tTech with lower results for 2017 than previously projected, that will likely negatively affect 2018 earnings for these companies.
At the close of Friday, the average PE ratio for Junior Market Top stocks ended at 6.3 compared to an average PE for the overall main market is 10 based on 2018 estimated earnings.
IC Insider.com’s TOP 10 stocks now trade at an average discount of 37 percent to the average for the Junior Market Top stocks but it’s a third of what the average PE for the year is likely to be, of 20 times earnings.
tTech, LasFin & Blue Power in TOP 10
The Junior Market is up 7.5 percent for the year to date, helped considerably by three new listings since late December and recovery in the prices of three Lasco companies and a few others.
Investors pushed Treasury bill rates sharply down by 22 percent from 4.63 in December to 3.593 percent in February, while the central bank cut their overnight rates in sympathy to 2.75 percent. On the other hand profit results of companies have been mixed with some showing strong gains and others no so strong. So far stocks prices have yet to move to factor in the lower interest rates.
One company that had good 2017 results was ISP Finance but increased bad debt provisioning curtailed the growth in profits to just one percent after tax, but 20 percent ahead of the net 2016 profits with a 25 percent rise in revenues. The results for 2017 resulted in earnings per share being reduced to $1.20 for 2018 and with a rise in the stock price to $11.05 it is no longer in the TOP stocks. Also going out are, Access Financial and Paramount Trading. Access earnings have been reduced following their third quarter 2017 results.
Entering the TOP 10 Junior Market list are tTech, Lasco Financial and Blue Power. While Lasco Financial had lower profit in the December 2017 quarter than in 2016 that was due to added cost associated with the acquisition of Credi Scotia. The company will see a big jump in profit as a result of the acquisition. tTech is said to be seeing strong growth in clientele following a few years of soliciting new clients business. General Accident had a temporary setback in profit in 2017 due to a major claim but rising premium income margin should help boost profit in 2018 barring any major catastrophic claims. Key Insurance despite incurring cost associated with staff separation amounting to close to $50 million reported improved results for 2017 over 2016 and should go on to record the highest levels of profit in 2018 with expected better margin on insurance underwriting barring any unusually large claims. Stationery and Office had a record 2018 performance and is expected to show improve results in 2018 that will move the price upwards.
At the close of Friday, the average PE ratio for Junior Market Top stocks ended at 6.3 compared to an average PE for the overall main market is 10 based on 2018 estimated earnings.
IC Insider.com’s TOP 10 stocks now trade at an average discount of 39 percent to the average for the Junior Market Top stocks but its less than 50 percent of what the average PE for the year is likely to be, of 15 to 20 times earnings.