Trading dropped sharply on the Jamaica Stock Exchange Junior Market Wednesday, with the volume of stocks traded dropping 97 percent and the value falling 98 percent from trading on Tuesday as 43 securities trading versus 42, ending with just ten rising, 22 declining and 11 closed unchanged.
The Junior Market Index rose 48.92 points to 4,365.44. A total of 8,244,571 shares were exchanged for $33,814,146 versus 247,822,804 units at $1,466,458,584 on Tuesday.
Trading averaged 191,734 shares at $786,375 versus 5,900,543 units at $34,915,681 on Tuesday, averaging 1,640,690 stock unitsmonth to date at $9,303,263, down from 2,131,281 shares at $12,186,933 on the prior trading day. June closed with an average of 429,016 units at 1,630,104.
Dolla Financial led trading with 2.31 million shares for 28 percent of total volume, followed by Limners and Bards with 1.04 million units for 12.6 percent of the day’s trade and Future Energy Source with 765,240 units for 9.3 percent market share.
The PE Ratio, a measure of computing appropriate stock values, averages 13.1. The PE ratios of Junior Market stocks incorporate ICInsider.com projected earnings for companies with financial year end that falls between November this year and August 2023.
Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows seven stocks ended with bids higher than their last selling prices and one with a lower offer.
At the close, AMG Packaging popped 22 cents to close at $4.30 with an exchange of 27,105 shares, CAC 2000 climbed 90 cents in closing at $9.90 after trading 25 units, Caribbean Cream rose 11 cents to $4.61 after exchanging 82,766 stocks. Dolphin Cove declined by 74 cents to end at $16.20, with 25,997 stock units changing hands, Everything Fresh shed 21 cents to end at $1.22 in trading 79,402 stock units, Fontana lost 20 cents to $10.30, with 98,471 stocks crossing the market. Fosrich advanced $2.01 to end at a 52 weeks’ high of $38 in an exchange of 173,538 units, Future Energy Source dropped 25 cents to $6.05 after trading 765,240 shares, Honey Bun fell 48 cents to $8.51 in switching ownership of 4,872 stocks. iCreate lost 20 cents after ending at $4, with 209,580 units crossing the market, Jetcon Corporation increased 13 cents to $1.34, with 215,974 shares changing hands, Knutsford Express dropped $1.28 in ending at $6.66 with the swapping of 20,000 stock units. Lasco Financial shed 14 cents to end at $3.05 with 342,337 stocks crossing the exchange, Lasco Manufacturing fell 12 cents to $4.53 while exchanging 36,733 stock units, Main Event declined 26 cents in closing at $7.17 after 43,651 shares changed owners. SSL Venture lost 12 cents in ending at $3.58 after trading 2,113 units and Stationery and Office Supplies shed 35 cents to end at $13, with 25,603 shares clearing the market.
Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.
Big price rise in ICTOP10
The markets closed with contrasting styles on Friday, with Junior Market listed Caribbean Cream dropping 27 percent to $4.01 and the main market listed Radio Jamaica rising 21 percent to $2.90, with the stock triggering the circuit breaker as investors exchanged 2.9 million units of the company’s shares on Friday.
It is unclear why RJR, a stock that was previously under selling pressure, surprisingly, surged at the week’s close. Caribbean Cream came under pressure after the company reported a loss for the year to February. Investors will have to await the first quarter results in a few days to determine whether the new year will see a return to brighter days.
Five Junior Market ICTOP10 stocks fell and four rose, while in the TOP10 Main Market, six stocks gained and two fell with none exceeding 4 percent, but for RJR.
Elsewhere in the Junior Market, C2000 climbed 11 percent to $10.30. In comparison, Access Financial and Elite Diagnostic gained 5 percent each to close the week at $21.01 and $3.50, respectively. In contrast, Caribbean Assurance Brokers lost 6 percent as Jetcon Corporation and Lasco Financial all fell 5 percent.
The week ended with one new listing in the TOP10 as mild gains by General Accident and a fall in the price of Dolphin Cove resulted in them swapping places.
VM Investments moved out in the TOP10 Main Market and Key Insurance moved into the TOP 10.
It is pretty clear that many investors are investing in the dark with the hope that some overvalued stocks will continue to deliver above average gains into the future, but not many people know that yesterday’s winners may not have tomorrow’s significant gains. They ignore the long established feature of the market going back almost 40 years of the IC 80/20 rule and rule of 72. The IC 80/20 rule is that only two out of ten stocks on average in one year end up in the top 10 the following year. The essence of this is that it is not prudent to invest in the vast majority of last year’s top 10 stocks, especially those that did exceptionally well and are unlikely to repeat.
Rule of 72 is simple. Divide 72 by the rate of return easily shows how quickly money can double. How does this apply to stocks? Last year the Junior Market rose 30 percent and for 2022, so far, by 27 percent. These growth rates indicate that an investment in all 45 stocks in this market would double every two and a half years based on the 2021 increase and roughly one year and four months using the year to date growth. What all of this is saying, investors don’t need to be chasing popular stocks to make good money in the market, choose those that are undervalued, with profit set to grow sufficiently to give a boost to the stock price.
Keep a careful watch on AMG Packaging, Dolphin Cove, Express Catering, Lasco Distributors, Lasco Manufacturing and Stationery and Office Supplies. Dolphin Cove, Caribbean Producers and Express Catering will be significant beneficiaries of the strong rebound in tourist arrivals.
The average PE for the JSE Main Market TOP 10 is 6.2, well below the market average of 15, while the Junior Market Top 10 PE is six versus the market at 12.9. The Junior Market TOP10 is projected to gain an average of 242 percent to May 2023 and the Main Market 229 percent.
ICTOP10 focuses on likely yearly winners, accordingly, the list may or may not include the best companies in the market. ICInsider.com ranks stocks based on projected earnings to highlight winners from the rest, allowing investors to focus on potential winning stocks and helping to remove emotional attachments to stocks that often result in costly mistakes.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to the end of May 2023 and are ranked in order of potential gains, based on the possible increase for each company, considering the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.
Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.
Juniors fall JSE Main Market rises
Access Financial was one of the standout performers in trading on Monday with a jump of $3.50 following the release of full year results showing a profit after taxing climbing 65 percent to $438 million as investors warmed to the news, but the move had little impact on the overall Junior Market that slipped in value at the close. But Main Market stocks inched higher at the finish.
At the same time, recently listed Dolla Financial continued to trade above average volumes for Junior Market stocks, with 6.9 million shares accounting for 41 percent of Junior Market trading on Monday, but the price eased just a few cents at the close.
The market closed with the JSE Combined Index adding 826.79 points to close at 396,711.44, while the All Jamaican Composite Index climbed 1,833.85 points to end at 437,818.37, the JSE Main Index climbed 1338.41 points to 382,525.24, the Junior Market index lost 47.28 points in closing at 4,342.19 and the JSE USD market index lost 1.68 points to close at 217.99.
Investors exchanged 31,176,437 shares in all markets, with the value of stocks traded in the Main and Junior Markets ending at $134.1 million and in the JSE USD market, US$9,897.
The market’s PE ratio ended at 23.3 based on 2021-22 earnings and 13 times those for 2022-23 at the close of trading.
Investors need measures and pertinent information to navigate many investment choices in the local stock market successfully. The ICInsider.com PE ratio chart and the more detailed daily report charts provide investors with regularly updated information to help decision-making.
Investors should use the chart to help make rational investment decisions by investing in stocks close to the average for the sector and not going too far from it unless there are compelling reasons to do so. This approach helps to take emotions out of the investment decision and put in on fundamentals while at the same time not being too far from the majority of investors. Investors who buy when the price of a stock is close to the average will find that they are not inclined to overpay for a stock.
The ICInsider.com PE Ratio chart covers all ordinary shares on the Jamaica Stock Exchange. It shows companies grouped on an industry basis, allowing easy comparisons between the same sector companies and the overall market.
The net asset value of each company is reported as a guide to quickly assess the value of stocks based on this measure. The chart also shows daily changes in stock prices and the percentage year to date price movement based on the last traded prices. Dividends payable and yields for each company are shown in the Main and Junior Markets’ daily report charts that show the closing volume for the bids and offers.
The EPS & PE ratios are based on 2021 and 2022 actual or projected earnings, excluding major one off items. The PE Ratio is the most popular measure used to determine the value of stocks.