D&G elevated to Buy Rated!

Desnoes & Geddes brewers of the world renown Red Stripe beer reported profit before taxation of $2.45 billion, a 102 percent increase over the $1.2 billion generated in 2012 and net profit of $1.95 billion. The huge jump in the bottom line came from booking capital gains from the sale of its interest in two eastern Caribbean Breweries in the December quarter, which contributed $970 million to the profit. Excluding this one-off capital gain would result in the 2013 numbers coming in at $1.479 billion for pretax profit or an increase of 21 percent, and $976 million after tax versus $808 in 2012. This translates to 35 cents per share for the six months period.

Profit in the local market before administrative and selling expenses rose 22 percent to reach $1.56 billion but export profits fell slightly to $402 from $468 million in 2012. Based on the latest results, IC Insider is forecasting 80 cents per share earnings for the year to June 2014 and $1.10 for 2015. Based on the company’s expected performance, IC Insider has elevated Desnoes & Geddes to Buy Rated status.

D&GBeerCap280x150pxSales | Revenues grew 12 percent to $7.30 billion, compared with $6.5 billion in 2012 for the six months and grew by a more robust 18.5 percent in the latest quarter to $4 billion.

“The domestic portfolio continues to grow, increasing by 23 percent on growth in the brewed portfolio as well as improved pricing. Export sales declined 28 percent as the shift in production from Jamaica to the USA during the last financial year,” management stated in their release with the financials.

Gross Profit margin ended at 72 percent for the December quarter and 70.8 percent for the six months but the 2012 six months numbers were at a high of 75.8 percent.

Expenses | D&G was able to cut cost even as revenues rose. Marketing cost declined by 9 percent to $497 million, which the company attributes savings as a result of funds expended in 2012 on Jamaica’s 50th independence celebration. Cost containment and the outsourcing of the distribution of its products led to the reduction in general, selling and administrative cost with a fall of 9 percent to $542 million for the six months to December.

Finances | Cash resources climbed to $1.7 billion at the end of 2013 from $1.2 billion in 2012 but receivables jumped to $2.95 billion from just over a $1 billion in 2012 and $1.1 billion in June 2013. The company attributes the rise due mainly to full credit being given to its associated distribution company.

Related posts | D&G, Carreras & C&WJ now Buy Rated | D&G $1billion pay day | Profit inches up at D&G

CWJ loss down with much progress

Cable & Wireless Jamaica released quarterly results showing a loss of $315 million compared to $438 million in 2012 from lower revenues and $120 million in restructuring cost.

The latest quarterly results showed improvement in several areas with changes in revenues and cost. The December quarter showed an overall revenue reduction of 19 percent but cost was down as well. The end result is growth in gross margin with gross profit up to $3.65 billion from $3.27 billion in 2012 and moderate improvement in the bottom-line. However, there is far more happening here than meets the eyes. The company is reporting increased revenue from cellular phone usage coming from both voice and data with a growth in the customer base year-over-year. The pace has been growing since 2012 and is up 11 percent for 2013 in US dollars and is expected to increase even more as data usage grows.

Image courtesy of nokhoog_buchachon/FreeDigitalPhotos.net

Image courtesy of nokhoog_buchachon/FreeDigitalPhotos.net

These quarterly numbers have lots of coded information about current and future performances of a company that has bled much blood in the past few years and is trying hard to recover. For the nine months, loss is $1.75 billion and is down from $2.2 billion in 2012. More importantly, the stage is set for a sharp reduction in losses going forward. Landline revenue was down in keeping with the reduction in local termination rates as well as  CWJ’s cut in landline call rates during the period. A large part of the revenue reduction came from restructuring of the telephone directory cost which now leaves CWJ in a better position as the risk was reduced.

Cost savings were also achieved in restructuring commission payments to mobile credit distributors and the wage bill was down in the quarter. However, administrative and other cost rose due to the outsourcing of the maintenance work for the phone system. IC Insider believes the future is bright for CWJ and is forecasting an absolute profit in the March quarter and an overall profit in 2015 fiscal year.

CWJ grew its mobile subscriber base, increasing by 23% and quarterly mobile service revenue rose 43 percent over the 2012 prior year quarter in local currency. This increase is after the company changed its method of accounting for active users from counting customers having credit on their phones to those who actually used their phones during the last 60 days. Gary Sinclair, LIME’s Managing Director, stated that 55,000 customers were removed from the total as a result of the change. Nevertheless, the overall number of subscribers are up year-over-year and continues to grow in 2014.

In response to the question, “Is December’s income now representative of what can be expected baring growth or contraction on a quarterly basis,” Sinclair stated that EBITA is actually up in January and that is more indicative of what can be expected.

The strategy is clear, cut cost some more and grow the mobile base, the area of strong growth potential.

In trading on Thursday, investors reacted negatively to the news and sold CWJ’s stock down to 31 cents but some buying came in and drove the price up.

With growth to come in revenues and lower cost on the horizon, Cable & Wireless Jamaica is now a Buy Rated stock.

Related posts | D&G, Carreras & C&WJ now Buy Rated | CWJ: Making headway but slowly | Cable & Wireless up 56% in January | $2B slide in landline revenues sinks C&WJ | C&W: Less jobs, more capital spend

Huge mobile growth for C&WJ

Buy Rated Alert! Cable & Wireless Jamaica now elevated to Buy Buy rated from Market Watch based on the strong increase to subscriber base and mobile revenue growth.

Cable & Wireless Communications Plc is reporting that Cable & Wireless Jamaica continued its momentum in growing its mobile subscriber base, increasing by 23% in the December quarter last year over the last quarter of 2012. In a release to investors the UK listed aren’t company said, “Subscriber growth momentum in our Jamaica business was sustained and quarterly mobile service revenue rose 42% on the prior year in local currency”.

cable-and-wireless-worldwide280x150Cable & Wireless Jamaica stock traded on Wednesday, February 5th as high as 32 cents to record a gain of 100 percent for the year to date. However, the price, closed at 31 cents, a gain of 94 percent for the year-to-date and a new 3 year high.

IC Insider understands that between May and November, 250,000 new cellular customers were added to the network and new customers continue to be added at the same pace. In addition, the Christmas promotion went well with some phones sold out ahead of December and most of the phones sold involved data plans. Going forward, it will translate to billions of dollars in increased revenue per annum for the company.

At the close of trading on Monday, there were 5,147,967 shares on offer by Mayberry Investments at 32 cents to sell. The broker switched from selling and instead bought 5,000,000 units at 32 cents at the start of trading on Tuesday.

Related posts | Cable & Wireless up 56% in January

Cargo Handlers’ solid quarter

For the December quarter 2013, revenues excluding interest income, grew by 23 percent for the Montego Bay based and junior listed Cargo Handlers and profit reached $27.99 million, up from $22 million in 2012. Total revenues amounted to $51 million, up from $41.6 million in the previous year’s quarter and operating revenues grew by 9 percent to $44.3 million. Operating expenses grew from $20 million to $23.4 million, an increase of 15 percent.

Earnings per share rose from 53 cents to 67 cents in the quarter, an increase of 26 percent. Earnings for 2014, which ends in September, should be close to $3 per share. For the year to September 2013, the company earned $2.27 per share.

CargoHandlersLiquidBulkCarriersThe results do not yet reflect the proposed acquisition of the tanker operating company for transporting fuel. The company indicates that the acquisition should be concluded during February. A deposit of $69 million against the purchase was made and is included in receivables on the balance sheet in December at $95 million, an increase over $19 million as of September 2013. Cash is down from $131 million in September to $69 million at the end of December. The company is debt free.

The purchase will be fully in cash so there should be further depletion of cash when the deal is concluded. There should be some administrative cost savings as some of the functions now done by the transport company can be transferred to Cargo Handlers thus saving on cost.

A dividend of 50 cents per share was just declared by the company and is payable in March 6, 2014.

Related posts | Cargo Handlers announces acquisition | Profits up at Cargo Handlers

New products for Medical Disposables

Medical Disposables & Supplies has advised the  Jamaica Stock Exchange that they have entered into a distribution agreement with Denk Pharma.

The company indicates that Denk Pharma is a premium Pharmaceutical manufacturer since 1948 with headquarters in Munchen, Germany. Denk has maintained a presence in Jamaica for 16 years and has appointed the company as a co-distributor for its entire product range islandwide.

DenkPharmaMedical Disposables & Supplies was listed on the Junior Market in December last year after a successful IPO.

Related posts | Medical Disposables, OK not great

Image courtesy of DreamDesigns/FreeDigitalPhotos.net

Derrimon Trading goes for $200m

Recently listed Derrimon Trading Company goes the capital market to raise up to J$200,000,000 from an 18 months Secured Commercial Paper with a minimum denominations of J$1,000,000.00 and increments of $100,000 at a fixed rate of 12.25 percent per annum. Interest is payable monthly, which raises the effective rate beyond that stated. The net proceeds from the issue will be used for working capital and general corporate purposes the term sheet states.

The issue date is February 6, 2014 and Maturity is August 6, 2015. Withholding tax shall apply to Note holders in accordance with applicable laws. Mayberry Investments are the brokers for the issue.

Derrimon Trading went public last year December and raised $102.5 million in fresh capital in an IPO offering for working capital, expansion and cost of the IPO estimated not to exceed $9.5 million, the prospectus stated.

Image courtesy of renjith krishnan/FreeDigitalPhotos.net

Image courtesy of renjith krishnan/FreeDigitalPhotos.net

The problem here is that if they succeed with the current issue which involves expensive money, borrowings will exceed equity capital. Borrowed debt should not be more than 50 percent of equity capital, the accepted norm.

The last balance sheet. disclosed at the time of the IPO, showed a company with adequate working capital, requiring more equity injection than the IPO brought in to align the current asset ratio in line with the accepted norm of $2 of current assets versus $1 of current liabilities. Instead, what existed then was $1.15 to $1 and even with the infusion of funds from the IPO, it would have gone to a still inadequate $1.33 to $1.

Related posts |  Derrimon Trading, high risk low returns | Derrimon not over by much

CPJ’s new St Lucia venture

The Board of Directors of Caribbean Producers Jamaica advises that the company signed a Shareholders’ Agreement on February 4th, 2014 to form a joint venture with the Du Boulay Bottling Company, the Coca Cola manufacturer operating in Castries, St. Lucia.

The new company will be called CPJ St Lucia Limited and commences operations as a foodservice distributor in Castries, St. Lucia in the near future. Caribbean Producers will retain controlling interest of this company.

Caribbean Producers Jamaica is an IC Insider’s Buy Rated Stock. Click here for the full list of recommended stocks to purchase.

Related posts | CPJ’s big jump in profits | New additions to Buy Rated list

First Caribbean may be delisted

First Caribbean Bank has left it to the Jamaica Stock Exchange to determine if they will delist the shares, according to an advert put out by the Bank, which is listed on various exchanges within the region.

The JSE advised them that the number of shares in the public hands is less than 20 percent as is the requirement. In addition, the level of trading is below the threshold desirable, being less than 2 percent average over 36 months, prior to the making notice to the Bank. As a result, the advert also indicated that the company was in breach of section 402b (1)(b) of the JSE rules.

After careful review of the matter, the bank has determined that it will not be feasible for either the proportion of the non-majority held shares or the average total traded volume to be raised to the minimum required in the foreseeable future.

FirstCaribbeanLogo150x150The bank has decided that it will accept that it will be delisted by the JSE and has invited the JSE Board to exercise its discretion under rule 411a to delist the bank at its February meeting.

The bank is the largest holding by market share on the exchange and this will be the second large corporation taken off the exchange this year, if in fact, the JSE moves to delist to shares.

Trinidad Guardian Holdings opted not to remain listed on the JSE at the start of 2014 based on the low level of trading in its stock. The JSE went public last year against the background of lower income and profits than the year before and these moves will mean reduced income for the JSE and most likely worsen the loss position they suffered in the last three quarters of 2013.

Related posts | FCIB gets punched | JSE IPO oversubscribed by 41%

Slight gain for Republic Q1 profit

Profit for the quarter of Republic Bank’s first quarter to December 2013 just barely rose to $303 million, up from $296 million in 2012 as net revenues inched up by 2.4 percent to $860 million from $840 in 2012. Operating cost rose faster than revenue gains, ending up at $449 million compared to $421 million in the prior period. It was not all gloom, as loan provision fell to just $2 million compared to $17 million in 2012 and share of associated profit came to $12.7 million versus just $44,000 in 2012.

Profit attributable to Republic’s shareholders came in at $291 million versus $285 million in 2012. For the full year to September 2013, the banking group reported profit of $1.17 billion. Territorially, in the latest quarter Trinidad accounted for $434 million in pretax profit up from $431 million in 2012. Barbados pretax profit contribution was down marginally to $39.4 million from $39.8 million and other territories contributed $63.6 million compared to $63.2million in 2012.

RepublicBanklogo150x150Loans grew by 6.5 percent annualized in the quarter, which is a slower pace than the 7.3 percent growth year over year to December. The difference is not great, but Republic will need to pick-up lending growth to start getting a reasonable growth in profits. There is much scope for increased lending with loans of only $25.6 billion lent out of a total balance sheet of nearly $58 billion in assets and deposits of $545.8 billion.

The Trinidad economy is estimated to have grown by 2.8 percent in 2013. Most likely growth will pick up in 2014. An improving economy should lay the foundation for an uptick in lending over and above what the bank achieved for the last fiscal year and help to move profit up at a faster pace than in the December quarter.

Republic Bank is an ICInsider Buy Rated stock. To view the full list, click here.

Related posts | Republic growth struggle | TTSE PE: Neal & Massy, Republic moves | T&T Inflation picks up

TTSE PE: Neal & Massy, Republic moves

Friday, 31 January 2014 | Neal & Massy and Republic Bank continues to gain this week on the Trinidad Stock Exchange as investors slowly take advantage of the high level of undervaluation of these two stocks.

Meanwhile, investors took profit in First Citizens during the week as the price fell to $38 but recovered $1.99 to close the week at $39.99, down from $43 at its recent peak. The pullback makes First Citizens a more appealing stock at the week’s close with potential gains of 40 percent versus 33 percent last week.

TTSE_PE31Jan2014The Trinidad market continues to offer attractive profit potential for a large number of stocks. The top stocks with the highest potential for gain at over 100% are Trinidad Cement at the upper end with 283%, Point Lisa (271%), Berger (206%), Guardian Holdings (202%), National Flour (175%), and Neal & Massy (125%).

Related posts | Neal & Massy profits up | Republic growth struggle | First Citizens doubles in 5 months

TTSE_PEChart31Jan2014