A few weeks ago General Accident jumped the IC Insider.com Junior Market TOP 10, gaining 75 percent since late May. This past week, yet another IC top 10 listed stock made big gains, after the company posted a strong increase in its first-quarter profit.

Caribbean Cream posts big gains in profit in Q1.

Elsewhere, poor full-year profit results of $58 million versus $113 million in 2019, from Medical Disposables, hit with a big inventory write-off, resulted in a revised downward projection for the 2021 fiscal year results. Lumber Depot earnings for fiscal 2021, was revised to 12 cents per share, following released audited accounts, showing a profit of just 3 cents per share or $22 million for the nine months to April.  
This week’s focus: Caribbean Cream posted a 31 percent rise in profit to $27 million, for earnings per share of 7 cents, saw investors responding strongly to them in driving the stock 28.5 percent higher at its recent peak on Friday, closed the week at $3.25, for an increase of 16 percent. The stock traded down to $2.47 at the beginning of July, those who bought at that price are laughing all the way to the bank with a nice 31 percent gain so far and the month is yet to end.
The company reported a 4 percent rise in sales, with cost kept to 2019 levels, even with a big hike in depreciation charges, while sales and market expenses declined. IC Insider.com is projecting 60 cents per share earnings for the current year as the company enjoys increase sales and lower raw material input cost with the price of milk solids falling on the world market, recently. There are just about six offers on the stock exchange board at the close on Friday with the lowest offer at $4.30 and the only large visible offer for 500,000 shares at $6.
The top three stocks in each market saw little change in the rankings, leaving the top three Junior Market stocks, with the potential to gain between 268 to 679 percent by March 2021 are Caribbean Producers, followed by Lasco Financial and Caribbean Cream in the third position. Lasco Financial came out with lousy audited profit to March but the results included a big $650 million loss provision for impaired loans. Excluding this provision, the profit would have spiked nicely for the year. Investors should watch the current year for early signs of profit recovery. Caribbean Cream’s latest results demonstrate how powerful recovery situations can be for investors.
The top three stocks in the Main Market, with expected gains of 189 to 210 percent are Radio Jamaica followed by Berger Paints and JMMB Group that reported decent full-year March results.
During the early summer months, the local market tends to move sideways as trading recedes from more robust levels. Investors should keep their eyes on the market less they miss good opportunities, as is the case in the near 75 percent rise in the price of General Accident since May 7 and Caribbean Cream. No doubt, there will be others before summer ends.
The targeted average PE ratio of the market is 20 based on the profits of companies reporting full year’s results from now to the second quarter in 2021. Both the Junior and Main markets are currently trading well below this level. The JSE Main Market ended the week, with an overall PE of 15 and the Junior Market at just 11, based on IC Insider.com’s projected 2020-21 earnings. The average PE ratio of the Junior Market has been slowly rising and narrowing the gap on the Main Market as investors seem to see better profit opportunities in this sector. The PE ratio for the Junior Market Top 10 stocks averages a mere 5.9 at just 54 percent to the average of the overall Junior Market. The Main Market TOP 10 stocks trade at 8.5 or 56 percent of the PE of the overall market.
The average projected gain for the IC TOP 10 stocks is 272 percent, for the Junior Market and 144 percent for the JSE Main Market, based on 2020-21 earnings, an indication that there is the potential to make greater gains in the Junior Market than in the Main Market.
IC TOP 10 stocks are likely to deliver some of the best returns up to March 2021. The projected gain for each company’s stock is computed, by using the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. The ranking of stocks is in order of likely increases, with the highest-ranked, being the most attractive. The ranking of stocks is in order of likely increases, with the highest-ranked, being the most attractive. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and will result in movements of the selection in and out of the lists for most weeks. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.

Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.