Proven dominates Thursday’s trading session

Proven Investments dominated trading in exchanging the largest block of shares, with just over one million units for 91 percent of the day’s volume, driving the volume traded to a 777 percent increase and the value jumping 942 percent over Wednesday’s level, at the close of the Jamaica Stock Exchange USD market on Thursday.
Similar to Wednesday, six securities traded, with the prices of one rising and five declining. The JSE USD Equity Index lost 1.86 points to end at 183.91. The PE Ratio, a measure that computes the appropriate value of stocks, averages 11.5 based on ICInsider.com’s earnings forecast for 2021-22.
Overall, 1,158,188 shares traded for US$253,151 compared to 132,046 units at US$23,136 on Wednesday. Trading averaged 193,031 units at US$42,192, compared to 22,008 shares at US$3,856 on Wednesday. Trading month to date averages 74,640 units at US$16,267 in contrast to 19,998 units at US$4,302 on Wednesday. July ended with an average of 178,541 units for US$18,099.
Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows one stock ended with the bid higher than the last selling price and none ended with a lower offer.
At the close, First Rock Capital slipped 0.06 of a cent to 7.2 US cents in exchange of 4,024 shares, Proven Investments dropped 0.98 of a cent to 24 US cents with investors swapping ownership of the market topping 1,049,188 shares, Sterling Investments lost 0.08 of a cent to end at 2.07 US cents with 1,633 stock units passing through the market. Sygnus Credit Investments shed 1.3 cents to close at 14 US cents with 200 stocks changing hands, Sygnus Credit Investments fell 1 cent to 12 US cents with 3,143 units traded and Transjamaican Highway gained 0.02 of a cent to end at 0.80 US cents with 100,000 shares crossing the exchange.

Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.

Slippage for JSE US Market on Wednesday

Tuesday’s rally was short-lived for the JSE USD market, with the market Index dropping 8.60 points to settle at 185.77 points on Wednesday, into negative territory for the year, after six securities changed hands versus seven on Tuesday and ended, with two stocks rising, one declining and three closing unchanged.
The PE Ratio, a measure that computes an appropriate value of stocks, averaged 11.7 based on ICInsider.com’s forecast earnings for 2021-22.
A total of 132,046 shares traded for US$23,136 versus 127,924 units at US$32,789 on Tuesday.
Trading averaged 22,008 units at US$3,856, compared to 18,275 shares at US$4,684 on Tuesday. Month to date averages 19,998 units at US$4,302. July ended with an average of 178,541 units for US$18,099.
 Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows one stock ended with the bid higher than the last selling price and two with lower offers.
At the close, Proven Investments spiked 1.94 cents to 24.98 US cents with 5,102 shares passing through the market, Sterling Investments remained at 2.15 US cents with a transfer of 13,589 stocks, Sygnus Credit Investments finished at 13 US cents with 963 stock units traded and Transjamaican Highway fell 0.14 of a cent to 0.78 US cents with 101,550 shares crossing the exchange.
In the preference segment, JMMB Group 5.75% climbed 3 cents to US$2.05 with investors switching ownership of 9,342 units and JMMB Group 6% closed at US$1.03 with 1,500 shares changing hands.

Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.

JSE USD market rallies into August

 The JSE USD Equity Index climbed 7.62 points to 194.37 to start off the new month on a positive note on Tuesday, as the market builds on gains made on Friday to close out the old month after an exchange of 43 percent fewer shares than on Friday, with the value falling 50 percent.
Seven securities changing hands up from four on Friday, with the prices of three stocks rising,  three declining and one ending unchanged.
The PE Ratio, a measure that computes appropriate values for stock, averages 11.9 based on ICInsider.com’s forecast of 2021-22 earnings.
Trading accounted for 127,924 shares changing hands for US$32,789 down from 224,358 units at US$65,431 on Friday.
Trading averaged 18,275 units at US$4,684, compared to 56,090 shares at US$16,358 on Friday. July ended with an average of 178,541 units for US$18,099.
Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows two stocks ended with bids higher than the last selling prices and one with a lower offer.
At the close, First Rock Capital rose 0.01 of a cent to 7.26 US cents after trading 45,850 shares, Margaritaville settled at 9 US cents with 20 stocks changing hands, Productive Business Solutions fell 3 cents to 77 US cents with a transfer of 194 units. Proven Investments lost 1.96 cents to close at 23.04 US cents with 75,056 shares passing through the market,  Sygnus Credit Investments popped 1 cent to 13 US cents with 1,504 units traded and Transjamaican Highway climbed 0.17 of a cent to 0.92 US cents with 100 stock units crossing the exchange.
In the preference segment, JMMB Group 5.5% shed 30 cents to close at US$2 with 5,200 shares changing hands.

Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.

Change in ICTOP10 picks

Mid-year results are now flowing unlike anything seen in the local market in recent years. Most companies reported gains in revenues and profits, but investors’ interest seems lukewarm in the aftermath of the results, even as interest in ICTOP10 number 1 stock, Radio Jamaica (RJR) continues to be robust as more investors turn their eyes to what is a major turnaround in fortunes.
GraceKennedy reported continued strong numbers, showing improvement in revenues and profit, so too did Caribbean Cement and Berger Paints. Investors don’t seem to buy into Berger’s major change in operations and the implication for profit from the major surge in revenues. Based on the six months numbers, the company’s earnings for 2021 is upgraded to $2 per share. All three Lasco companies reported improved revenues and profit for the June Quarter, but the stocks are stuck at prerelease prices.
Investors should ignore the lukewarm response now and accumulate some of these stocks to profit from later in the year when the inevitable buying comes in for them. Access Financial reported improved results for the June quarter after reporting modest gains in lending. NCB Financial also released results but the details suggest caution, with the performance being helped by onetime income or cost reduction. Jamaica Stock Exchange reported improved June quarter numbers, but improvement is not strong enough to justify the current price the stock trades at.
Sterling Investments returns to the TOP10 Main Market listing, after replacing Scotia Group that recorded a rise in its price from last weeks’ $38.75 to $42 at the close of trading on Friday. There are no changes in or out of the Junior Market list.
The top three stocks in the Junior Market, continue, with Elite Diagnostic, followed by Caribbean Assurance Brokers and Medical Disposables, with the potential to gain between 221 percent and 287 percent compared to 237 and 291 percent, last week. The top three Main Market stocks are Radio Jamaica in the number one spot, followed by JMMB Group and Guardian Holdings, with expected gains of 184 to 296 percent, versus last weeks’ 183 to 292 percent.
This past week the average gains projected for the Junior Market, moved up from 202 percent last week, back to 207 percent and Main Market stocks moved to 173 percent from 164 percent.
The Junior Market closed the week with an average PE 13.3 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings and currently trades well below the target of 20 as well as the recent historical average of 17, for the period to March this year based on 2020 earnings.
The JSE Main Market ended the week with an overall PE of 16.4, a little distance from the 19 the market ended at in March, suggesting just a 17 percent rise at a PE of 19 and 23 percent at a PE of 20 from now to March 2022. The Main Market TOP 10 trades at a PE of 7.6 or 46 percent of the PE of that market, well off the potential of 20.
For the Junior Market to trade at the historical average, the PE Ratio would have to rise 28 percent and requires a rise of 50 percent to reach the targeted PE of 20 by March 2022. Main Market stocks would have to rise by 17 percent to hit a PE of 19 and 23 percent to get to the target of 20. The Junior Market Top 10 stocks average PE is a mere 6.7, just 50 percent of the market average, indicating substantial gains ahead.
The TOP10 stocks are not always the best stocks in the market but ones that are most likely to be the best winners within a fifteen months period. IC ranked stocks to filter out the big winners, allowing investors to focus on potentially big winners and help to keep out emotional attachments to stocks.
 IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on likely increase for each company, taking into account the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in movements in and out of the lists weekly. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.

Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.

 

JSE US Market crawls back on Thursday

Trading on the USD market closed on Thursday with an exchange of 59 percent fewer shares at 94 percent less value than on Wednesday, resulting in an even number of stocks rising and falling.
Trading ended with five securities changing hands, up from four on Wednesday, with the prices of two rising,  two declining and one remaining unchanged. The JSE USD Equity Index added 1.24 points to end at 186.73.
The PE Ratio, a measure that computes appropriate values of stocks, averaged 11.6 based on ICInsider.com’s forecast of 2021-22 earnings.
Overall, 340,689 shares traded for US$8,870, down from 826,816 units at US$151,135 on Wednesday.
Trading averaged 68,138 units at US$1,774, compared to 206,704 shares at US$37,784 on Wednesday. For the month to date trading averages 182,914 units for at US$18,161 in contrast to 188,277 units at US$18,927 on Wednesday. June ended with an average of 87,444 units for US$6,162.
Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows one stock ending, with the bid higher than the last selling price and three, with lower offers.
At the close, First Rock Capital dropped 0.6 of a cent to end at 7.2 US cents with an exchange of 26,683 shares, Proven Investments rose 2.47 cents to 25.48 US cents with 8,293 stocks traded, Sygnus Credit Investments lost 1 cent to end at 12 US cents with a transfer of 20,463 units and Transjamaican Highway ended at 0.75 US cents with 285,000 stock units crossing the exchange.
In the preference segment, JMMB Group 6% gained 6 US cents to US$1.09 with 250 shares changing hands.

Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.

More losses for JSE USD on Wednesday

Trading on the USD market ended on Wednesday with the index slipping as investors exchanged 2,387 percent more shares than on Tuesday at 4,438 percent greater value, resulting in an even number of stocks rising and falling.
Trading ended with four securities changing hands, compared to five on Tuesday, with the prices of two stocks rising and two declining.
The JSE USD Equity Index lost 3.65 points to end at 185.49. The PE Ratio, a measure that computes appropriate stock values, averages 11.7 based on ICInsider.com’s forecast of 2021-22 earnings.
A total of 826,816 shares traded at US$151,135 up from 33,246 units at US$3,331 on Tuesday. Trading averages 206,704 shares at US$37,784, compared to 6,649 units at US$666 on Tuesday. Trading month to date averages 188,277 units at US$18,927 versus 187,562 units at US$18,195 on Tuesday. June ended with an average of 87,444 units for US$6,162.
Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows one stock ended, with the bid higher than the last selling price and two with lower offers.
At the close, First Rock Capital slipped 0.1 of a cent to 7.8 US cents with the transfer of 1,808 shares, Proven Investments gained 0.01 of a cent to end at 23.01 US cents with 584,904 units passing through the market, Sygnus Credit Investments rose 0.8 of a cent to 13 US cents, with 70,000 stocks changing hands and Transjamaican Highway fell 0.13 of a cent to 0.75 US cents, with 170,104 shares crossing the exchange.

Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.

JSE USD Market slips on Tuesday

Trading on the USD market ended on Tuesday with the market declining as investors transferred 92 percent fewer shares than on Monday for 78 percent less the value, resulting in more stocks falling than rising.
Trading ended with five securities changing hands, compared to six on Monday, with the prices of one stock rising and four declining.
 The JSE USD Equity Index fell 5.46 points to end at 189.14. The PE Ratio, a measure that computes appropriate stock values, averages 12 based on ICInsider.com’s forecast of 2021-22 earnings.
Overall, 33,246 shares traded for US$3,331 compared to 412,152 units at US$15,255 on Monday.
Trading averaged 6,649 units at US$666, compared to 68,692 shares at US$2,542 on Monday. Trading month to date averages 187,562 units at US$18,195 versus 196,792 units at US$19,089 on Monday. June ended with an average of 87,444 units for US$6,162.
 Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows one stock ended with a higher bid than their last selling prices and three with lower offers.
At the close, First Rock Capital gained 0.74 of a cent to end at 7.9 US cents with 13,597 shares traded, Proven Investments dropped 2 cents to 23 US cents with an exchange of 4,332 stocks, Sygnus Credit Investments J$ denominated stock declined 0.7 of a cent to finish at 15.3 US cents with a transfer of 48 units. Sygnus Credit Investments US$ denominated stock fell 0.8 of a cent to 12.2 US cents with investors switching ownership of 10,250 stock units and Transjamaican Highway slipped 0.05 US of a cent to 0.88 of a US cent with 5,019 stocks crossing the exchange.

Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.

Trading plunged on JSE USD Market

Trading on the USD market closed on Monday with the market index rallying 5.65 points to 194.60 after the volume traded plunged by 95 percent and the value dropped 99 percent from Friday’s levels, resulting in an even number of stocks falling and rising.
Similar to Friday six securities traded, with two rising, two declining and two remaining unchanged.
The PE Ratio, a measure that computes an appropriate stock value, averaged 12.1 based on ICInsider.com’s forecast of 2021-22 earnings.
Overall, 412,152 shares traded accounting for US$15,255 in contrast to 8,332,589 units  at US$1,043,788 on Friday.
Trading averaged 68,692 units at US$2,542, versus 1,388,765 shares at US$173,965 on Friday. Month to date trading averages 196,792 units at US$19,089 in contrast to 205,146 units at US$20,168 on Friday. June ended with an average of 87,444 units for US$6,162.
Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows one stock ending with a higher bid than its last selling price and four with lower offers.
At the close, First Rock Capital dipped 0.84 of a cent to 7.16 US cents with an exchange of 37,444 shares, Margaritaville remained at 9 US cents with 150 stock units traded, Proven Investments rose 1 cent to finish at 25 US cents with ownership of 30,400 stocks switching. Sygnus Credit Investments fell 1 cent to 13 US cents with a transfer of 11,163 units and Transjamaican Highway rallied 0.13 of a cent cents to 0.93 of a US cent with 332,495 stock units crossing the exchange.
In the preference segment, JMMB Group 6% closed at US$1.03 with 500 shares changing hands.

Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.

#1 ICTOP10 pick to stun market

ICTOP10 number 1 stock, Radio Jamaica (RJR) price moved up 22 percent since releasing full year results recently, with the stock trading at the highest price in a year, it is set to lose the number one spot sooner than later. The company reported just 7 cents per share from reduced revenues. On the surface, the stock price should at best remain at the prerelease price around $1.70 level, but there is much more to those results that only a more detailed assessment would reveal.

Media house, RJR traded most shares on friday

Based on ICInsider.com research, investors should expect the first quarter profit to exceed the 2021 fiscal year results of $171 million on the way to record just under $1 billion in profit for 2022 to give investors a big payday.
RJR is the sort of stock that few would have on their buy list. After all, the company has not performed particularly well in recent years. Worse the Cocvid-19 pandemic made matters tough for them, with contraction in revenues and initially, reduced profit. What goes for RJR would apply to many of the ICInsider.com top stocks for 2021. ICInsider.com goes beyond the actual results to find important information that is not always useful to many but can provide guidance into the future and expose above average profit growth.
That is one reason why many of the selections at the start of the year have done well. Examples are as such, Caribbean Cream up 43 percent for the year to date started the year at the number 2 spot, Caribbean Producers the number 3 spot selection is up 82 percent, Main Event up 73 percent, Medical Disposables up just 12 percent, Stationery & Office Supplies 55 percent, Lumber Depot 116 percent and Mailpac 32 percent. Later, Future Energy Source was added to the list at the IPO stage and is up an impressive 110 percent. Additionally, Jetcon Corporation up 76 percent and Jamaican Teas 100 percent are not being counted. The Main Market with few overall winners for that market so far also produced winners from the TOP15 list, posted at the start of the year, Grace, Carreras, Caribbean Cement and Jamaica Broilers.
The TOP10 stocks are not always the best in the market but are most likely to be the best winners within a fifteen-month period. IC ranked stocks to filter out the big winners, allowing investors to focus on potentially big winners and help to keep out emotional attachments to stocks.
PanJam Investment earnings is downgraded to $4.50 per share and the stock moved out of the TOP10 Main Market listing and is replaced by Scotia Group, now in at tenth spot. There are no changes in or out of the Junior Market list.
This past week the average gains projected for the Junior Market moved up from 183 percent last week back to 202 percent and Main Market stocks moved to 164 percent from 176 percent.
The top three stocks in the Junior Market continue, with Elite Diagnostic heading the list, followed by Caribbean Assurance Brokers and Medical Disposables, with potential to gain between 237 percent and 291 percent compared to 233 and 242 percent last week. The top three Main Market stocks are Radio Jamaica in the number one spot, followed by JMMB Group Guardian Holdings, with expected gains of 183 to 292 percent as RJR price rose and reducing its future potential growth, versus last weeks’ 181 to 379 percent.
The Junior Market closed the week with an average PE 13.1 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings and currently trades well below the target of 20 and the recent historical average of 17 for the period to March this year based on 2020 earnings. For the Junior Market to trade at the historical average, the PE Ratio would have to rise 30 percent and requires a rise of 53 percent to reach the targeted PE of 20 by March 2022. Main Market stocks would have to rise by 17 percent to hit a PE of 19 and 23 percent to get to the target of 20. The Junior Market Top 10 stocks average PE is a mere 6.8, just 52 percent of the market average, indicating substantial gains ahead.
The JSE Main Market ended the week with an overall PE of 16.4, a little distance from the 19 the market ended at in March, suggesting just a 17 percent rise at a PE of 19 and 23 percent at a PE of 20 from now to March 2022. The Main Market TOP 10 trades at a PE of 7.8 or 48 percent of the PE of that market, well off the potential of 20.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on likely increase for each company, considering the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.

Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.

Sygnus dominates USD market on Friday

Sygnus Credit Investments commanded 89 percent of the stocks traded on the JSE USD market on Friday after an exchange of 7.4 million units of the company’s shares and driving the overall volume of the market up by a huge 3,226 percent over Thursday, with a value that was 1,610 percent greater.

Sygnus Credit Investments traded most shares on the USD market.

Overall, 8,332,589 shares traded in exchange for US$1,043,788 compared to 250,508 units at US$61,050 on Thursday.
Trading ended with six securities changing hands, compared to eight on Thursday with the prices of three stocks rising, none declining and three remaining unchanged.
The JSE USD Equity Index slipped 2.26 points to end at 188.95 at the close.
The PE Ratio, a measure that computes an appropriate stock value, averages 12.1 based on ICInsider.com’s forecast of 2021-22 earnings.
Trading averaged 1,388,765 units at US$173,965, compared to 31,314 shares at US$7,631 on Thursday. The average month to date comes out at 205,146 units at US$20,168 in contrast to 122,568 units at US$9,438 on Thursday. June ended with an average of 87,444 units for US$6,162.
Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows one stock ending with the bid higher than the last selling price and three with lower offers.
At the close, First Rock Capital gained 0.1 of a cent to close at 8 US cents, with 285 shares changing hands, Margaritaville settled at 9 US cents with an exchange of 30,000 units, Proven Investments ended at 24 US cents with 4,218 stocks traded. Sygnus Credit Investments rose 0.2 of a cent to 14 US cents, with a transfer of 7,427,937 stock units and Transjamaican Highway gained 0.05 of a cent to close at 0.8 of a US cent with 865,149 shares crossing the exchange.
In the preference segment, JMMB Group 6% closed at US$1.03 with 4,000 stock units changing hands.

Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.