Market activity ended on the Jamaica Stock Exchange Main Market on Tuesday, with the volume of stocks traded rising 15 percent with an 11 percent lower value than on Monday as rising stocks exceeded those declining with 55 securities similar to Monday, ended with 23 and rising, 21 declining and 11 ending unchanged.
The All Jamaican Composite Index rallied 1,325.22 points to 435,745.89, the JSE Main Index rose 1,253.18 to 380,911.94 and the JSE Financial Index popped 0.45 points to settle at 90.54.
The PE Ratio, a formula to ascertain appropriate stock values, averages 13.9 for the Main Market. The JSE Main and USD Market PEs are computed using ICInsider.com’s forecasted earnings for companies with financial years ending up to the close of August 2023.
Overall, 10,333,462 shares were exchanged for $71,873,511 compared to 8,975,299 units at $80,967,249 on Monday. Trading averages 187,881 units at $1,306,791, compared to 163,187 shares at $1,472,132 on Monday and month to date, an average of 183,621 units at $1,830,126, versus 183,006 units at $1,905,673 on the previous trading day. June closed with an average of 281,913 units at $5,309,050.
QWI Investments led trading with 3.46 million shares for 33.5 percent of total volume followed by Wigton Windfarm with 1.26 million units for 12.2 percent of the day’s trade and Transjamaican Highway, 836,971 units for 8.1 percent of market share.
Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows 12 stocks ended with bids higher than their last selling prices and three with lower offers.
At the close, Berger Paints rose 88 cents to end at $12.39 in switching ownership of 9 shares, Caribbean Cement shed 50 cents to finish at $63.50 in exchanging 2,526 stocks, Eppley Caribbean Property Fund advanced $1 to $40.50, with 1,111 units crossing the market. GraceKennedy fell $2.48 to $100 after finishing trading 4,960 stock units, Guardian Holdings gained $3 in closing at $505, with 1,018 units crossing the exchange, Jamaica Broilers rallied $1.88 to $28.90 with 601,198 stocks clearing the market. Jamaica Stock Exchange popped 45 cents to end at $18.45 after 19,861 shares crossed the market, Kingston Properties lost 45 cents to close at $7 in trading 71,060 stock units, Mayberry Jamaican Equities declined $1.66 in closing at $12 with 40,646 units changing hands. NCB Financial increased $1.98 to $98.98 with an exchange of 123,916 stock units, Palace Amusement climbed $40 in closing at $900 with the swapping of 3 stocks, Portland JSX dropped 50 cents to close at $10.50, with 1,376 shares changing hands. Proven Investments fell $1.50 to $34 in an exchange of 3,919 stock units, Pulse Investments lost 47 cents in ending at $3.70 while exchanging 509,000 shares, Salada Foods gained 39 cents to end at $5.78 trading 5,235 units. Scotia Group rallied 50 cents in closing at $37 after exchanging 26,741 stocks and Seprod declined 50 cents to end at $71 after trading 133,083 stocks.
In the preference segment, Jamaica Public Service 9.5% dropped $1 to $2999 after exchanging 101 stock units.
Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.
Big gains for ICTOP10 stocks
The markets bobbed and weaved this past week as investors mostly remained on the sidelines until late this month, ahead of the imminent release of second quarter results. Notwithstanding, there were a few strong moves in both markets.
In the Junior Market, Caribbean Cream climbed 16 percent to $4.66, followed by an 11 percent rise for Access Financial, while Lasco Distributors rose 7 percent to $3.43 and Elite Diagnostic gained 6 percent to close at $3.70. The Main Market saw Key Insurance jumping 23 percent to $4.17.
The Main Market, Radio Jamaica, dropped 15 percent to $2.47 and Berger Paints gave up 10 percent at $11. In the Junior Market, Medical Disposables, CAC 2000 and Lasco Financial fell 5 percent.
The week ended with one new listing in the TOP10 Main market as Key Insurance moved on with the strong gain mentioned above and Jamaica Broilers surged in following a jump in projected earnings after posting full year results.
Keep a careful watch on AMG Packaging, Dolphin Cove, Express Catering, General Accident Lasco Distributors, Lasco Manufacturing and Stationery and Office Supplies. Dolphin Cove, Caribbean Producers, Express Catering will be significant beneficiaries of the strong rebound in tourist arrivals and the supply of General Accident has declined sharply over the past few weeks.
The average PE for the JSE Main Market TOP 10 is 6.2, well below the market average of 14.1, while the Junior Market Top 10 PE is 6.1 versus the market at 13.2. The Junior Market TOP10 is projected to gain an average of 235 percent to May 2023 and the Main Market 244 percent.
ICTOP10 focuses on likely yearly winners, accordingly, the list includes some of the best companies in the market but not always. ICInsider.com ranks stocks based on projected earnings to highlight winners from the rest, allowing investors to focus on potential winning stocks and helping to remove emotions from selecting stocks that often result in costly mistakes.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to the end of May 2023 and are ranked in order of potential gains, computed using projected earnings for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate, resulting in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.
Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.
Big price rise in ICTOP10
The markets closed with contrasting styles on Friday, with Junior Market listed Caribbean Cream dropping 27 percent to $4.01 and the main market listed Radio Jamaica rising 21 percent to $2.90, with the stock triggering the circuit breaker as investors exchanged 2.9 million units of the company’s shares on Friday.
It is unclear why RJR, a stock that was previously under selling pressure, surprisingly, surged at the week’s close. Caribbean Cream came under pressure after the company reported a loss for the year to February. Investors will have to await the first quarter results in a few days to determine whether the new year will see a return to brighter days.
Five Junior Market ICTOP10 stocks fell and four rose, while in the TOP10 Main Market, six stocks gained and two fell with none exceeding 4 percent, but for RJR.
Elsewhere in the Junior Market, C2000 climbed 11 percent to $10.30. In comparison, Access Financial and Elite Diagnostic gained 5 percent each to close the week at $21.01 and $3.50, respectively. In contrast, Caribbean Assurance Brokers lost 6 percent as Jetcon Corporation and Lasco Financial all fell 5 percent.
The week ended with one new listing in the TOP10 as mild gains by General Accident and a fall in the price of Dolphin Cove resulted in them swapping places.
VM Investments moved out in the TOP10 Main Market and Key Insurance moved into the TOP 10.
It is pretty clear that many investors are investing in the dark with the hope that some overvalued stocks will continue to deliver above average gains into the future, but not many people know that yesterday’s winners may not have tomorrow’s significant gains. They ignore the long established feature of the market going back almost 40 years of the IC 80/20 rule and rule of 72. The IC 80/20 rule is that only two out of ten stocks on average in one year end up in the top 10 the following year. The essence of this is that it is not prudent to invest in the vast majority of last year’s top 10 stocks, especially those that did exceptionally well and are unlikely to repeat.
Rule of 72 is simple. Divide 72 by the rate of return easily shows how quickly money can double. How does this apply to stocks? Last year the Junior Market rose 30 percent and for 2022, so far, by 27 percent. These growth rates indicate that an investment in all 45 stocks in this market would double every two and a half years based on the 2021 increase and roughly one year and four months using the year to date growth. What all of this is saying, investors don’t need to be chasing popular stocks to make good money in the market, choose those that are undervalued, with profit set to grow sufficiently to give a boost to the stock price.
Keep a careful watch on AMG Packaging, Dolphin Cove, Express Catering, Lasco Distributors, Lasco Manufacturing and Stationery and Office Supplies. Dolphin Cove, Caribbean Producers and Express Catering will be significant beneficiaries of the strong rebound in tourist arrivals.
The average PE for the JSE Main Market TOP 10 is 6.2, well below the market average of 15, while the Junior Market Top 10 PE is six versus the market at 12.9. The Junior Market TOP10 is projected to gain an average of 242 percent to May 2023 and the Main Market 229 percent.
ICTOP10 focuses on likely yearly winners, accordingly, the list may or may not include the best companies in the market. ICInsider.com ranks stocks based on projected earnings to highlight winners from the rest, allowing investors to focus on potential winning stocks and helping to remove emotional attachments to stocks that often result in costly mistakes.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to the end of May 2023 and are ranked in order of potential gains, based on the possible increase for each company, considering the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.
Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.