Trading picked up on the Junior Market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange Tuesday, with the volume of stocks traded rising 38 percent with a 21 percent higher value than on Monday, resulting in 44 securities trading versus 46 on Monday and ended with rising and declining stocks sharing 15 each as 14 closed unchanged.
A total of 10,954,252 shares traded for $31,979,360 compared to 7,922,625 units at $26,322,732 on Monday. Trading averaged 248,960 shares at $726,804 in contrast to 172,231 shares at $572,233 on Monday with month to date, averaging 546,266 units at $1,795,806 compared to 605,458 units at $2,008,639 on the previous trading day. July closed with an average of 512,709 units at $2,574,304. Dolla Financial led trading with 1.84 million shares for 16.8 percent of total volume, followed by Fosrich with 1.73 million units for 15.8 percent of the day’s trade and JFP Limited with 1.13 million units for 10.3 percent market share.
At the close, the Junior Market Index rose 10.06 points to settle at 4,134.16.
The PE Ratio, a measure of computing appropriate stock values, averages 12.7. PE ratios of Junior Market stocks incorporate ICInsider.com projected earnings for companies with financial year end that falls between November this year and August 2023.
Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows two stocks ending with bids higher than their last selling prices and one with a lower offer.
At the close, Access Financial increased $2 to end at $22 in trading six shares, CAC 2000 climbed $2 in ending at $9, with five stocks clearing the market, Caribbean Assurance Brokers rallied 19 cents in closing at $2.79 after exchanging 83,905 stock units. Caribbean Cream shed 14 cents to close at a 52 weeks’ low of $3.88, with an exchange of 25,659 units, Consolidated Bakeries declined 12 cents to $1.60 in exchanging 623,522 units, Derrimon Trading fell 17 cents to $2.35 in switching ownership of 897,374 stocks. Dolphin Cove advanced 49 cents in closing at $15.30, after 6,098 shares crossed the market, Elite Diagnostic rose 11 cents to end at $3.43 with the swapping of 2,600 stock units, Fontana dropped 35 cents to close at $9.60 after trading 159,984 stocks. iCreate gained 10 cents in ending at $4.40 while exchanging 364,128 units, KLE Group lost 30 cents after ending at $1.80 after trading 4,495 stock units, Mailpac Group fell 11 cents to close at $2.20 after exchanging 739,265 shares. Main Event declined $1.07 to end at $6.10 and closed with an exchange of 13,170 shares, SSL Venture popped 14 cents to $3.70, with 16,855 stock units changing hands and Stationery and Office Supplies dropped 50 cents in closing at $17.50, with 37,085 stocks crossing the exchange.
Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.
Three changes to ICTOP10
The past week ended with new entrants to the ICTOP listing, with Dolphin Cove and Paramount Trading reentering the Junior Market list while 138 Student Living enters the TOP10 Main market list.
Jetcon Corporation and Lasco Financial are out of the Junior Market TOP10, and Caribbean Cement left the Main Market list.
The Junior Market suffered some declines, no doubt connected to investors focusing on the latest IPO – OneonOne Educational Services to hit the market, as they seek funds to go into the issue, continuing a feature visible in the market for most popular IPOS. The Main Market moves were less pronounced, with just one significant fall.
In the Junior Market, Elite Diagnostic gained 7 percent to $3.45 and General Accident was up 8 percent to $5.50. Access Financial and CAC 2000 dipped 13 percent to $20.01 and $7.20, respectively and Caribbean Cream and Jetcon Corporation slipped 6 percent to $4.02 and $1.20, respectively. Caribbean Assurance Brokers ended 4 percent lower at $2.50 but has limited stocks offered, with most offers over $2.70.
The Main Market ended the week with Guardian Holdings jumping a sharp 29 percent to $650 on limited volume. There are now less than 1,000 shares offered for sale. At the close, there was an offer of 76 shares at $594 and the highest bid was $505 to buy 2012 shares. Profit for the June Quarter was TT$256 million, up 220 percent from $80 million in 2021, with six months moving up by 70 percent from $256 million to TT$436 million. The EPS comes out at TT$1.88 or J$43. The other big move was by Productive Business Solutions, falling 12 percent to US$1.
The average PE for the JSE Main Market TOP 10 is 6.2, well below the market average of 13.9, while the Junior Market Top 10 PE sits at 5.9 versus the market at 12.8. The Junior Market is projected to rise by 243 percent and the Main Market TOP10 is projected to gain an average of 239 percent each to May 2023.
ICTOP10 focuses on likely yearly winners, accordingly, the list includes some of the best companies in the market but not always. ICInsider.com ranks stocks based on projected earnings to highlight winners from the rest, allowing investors to focus on potential winning stocks and helping to remove emotions in selecting stocks for investments that often result in costly mistakes.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to the end of May 2023 and are ranked in order of potential gains, computed using projected earnings for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate, resulting in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.
Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.
ICTOP10 picks remove dreaming
The ICTOP listing is meant to remove dreaming from investors’ arsenal of investment tools and place them on more solid grounds. The performance of Fosrich last week illustrates that vividly, with the stock hitting the pre-split equivalent of $54.20 on Wednesday only for the price to fall back to a low of $3 on Friday or the equivalent of $30 on a pre-split basis.
The above shows that many investors are groping in the dark, hoping that a stock with the wind behind its back must be one to buy to make money. They ignore the simple but profound principle of buying low and selling high. The other factor that shows up in the judgement is why buy the stock after the split when it is more expensive than if purchased before. this is an age-old issue where investors feel that they are buying the stock cheaper than before but in fact, they are paying more for it and therefore reduce potential profit.
Fosrich may have a bright future but what about the many stocks that are undervalued in the market, why chase expensive ones? When Fosrich reports second quarter earnings this coming week investors will get a glimpse to see whether it was smart to buy the stocks at the elevated prices last week. Investors made the same error with Salada Foods buying it at $10 when it was not worth much more than $3 now the stock is slowly adjusting to reality. Investors in Fesco at $8 are feeling the paid as the stock slowly retreats and is now under $6. Investors in SSL Venture Capital will soon discover some nastiness of speculating in the dark.
There was one change to the Junior Market TOP10 listings this past week, with General Accident returning at the expense of Dolphin Cove which rose 6 percent during the week to $15.93, the former price dropped to $5.07 from $5.99 at the close of the previous week.
Elite Diagnostic fell 9 percent to $3.21 and CAC 2000 dipped 3 percent to $8.25. Jetcon Corporation rose 9 percent to $1.27 and Caribbean Assurance Brokers rallied 8 percent to $2.60 after the company reported six months results showing a profit of $4.45 million, up from a loss of $31 million last year for the same period, ICInsider.com upgraded earnings to 45 cents per share, from 40 cents previously. The Main Market ended the week, with no significant price changes.
Investors should keep a careful watch on Caribbean Assurance Brokers, Dolphin Cove, Express Catering, General Accident, Jamaica Broilers, Lasco Distributors, Lasco Financial, Lasco Manufacturing, Stationery and Office Supplies and Paramount Trading. Dolphin Cove, Caribbean Producers, Express Catering will be major beneficiaries of the strong rebound in tourist arrivals and the supply of General Accident has declined sharply over the past few weeks, but investors may be reluctant to pile into the stock ahead of the hurricane season.
The average PE for the JSE Main Market TOP 10 is 6.2, well below the market average of 13.9, while the Junior Market Top 10 PE sits at 6 versus the market at 12.9. The Junior Market is projected to rise by 238 percent and the Main Market TOP10 is projected to gain an average of 235 percent each to May 2023.
The prospectus for One on One IPO is out with just over 125 million shares earmarked for the wider public. The PE ratio based on the company’s projections to August 2022 is just under 7 cents per share before tax for a PE ratio of around 14.5 just above the market average of 12.9. Based on where recent IPOs are valued investors can look for a price after listing around $1.50 but investors have priced many of them closer to 30 times 2022 earnings in which case a price of $2 is not out of the reckoning.
ICTOP10 focuses on likely yearly winners, accordingly, the list includes some of the best companies in the market but not always. ICInsider.com ranks stocks based on projected earnings to highlight winners from the rest, allowing investors to focus on potential winning stocks and helping to remove emotions in selecting stocks for investments that often result in costly mistakes.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to the end of May 2023 and are ranked in order of potential gains, computed using projected earnings for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.
Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.