The impact on the market with the presence of an Initial Public Offer opening was not very pronounced this time around, with the One Great Studio opening and closing this past week with the issue being oversubscribed, but the Junior Market did experience a sharp fall early in the week that could well be related to investors seeking funds to invest in the IPO.
In the Main Market, Key Insurance climbed 14 percent to $2.88 to be the sole winner of note, while 138 Student Living crashed 6 percent to $4.11, just a fraction above the APO price for shareholders of $4.05, that is projected to raise just over $2 billion. JMMB Group shed 5 percent to close the week at $27.40, making for a compelling long term investment and Sygnus Credit Investments fell 4 percent to $11.47.
The Junior Market ICTOP10 closed the week with Caribbean Cream dropping 16 percent to $3.50, this comes against the background of sharply falling cost for milk solids, one of the significant input cost in the production of ice cream. Caribbean Assurance Brokers slipped 7 percent to $2.68 and Everything Fresh dropped 14 percent to $1.37 and Image Plus slipped percent to $2.05. Iron Rock Insurance was the gainer of note, rising 10 percent to $2.30.
The pending additional issue of 138 Student Living shares kept the price depressed and with the offer coming public with 513 million shares with an option to upsize by 318.5 million units, it will satisfy a great deal of demand and, therefore, put a short term lid on price appreciation. The situation will be worse as the company lacks the ability to inform investors about its operations in a manner that is befitting of a company its size.
Note that Margaritaville is listed on both the Main Market and the USD Market, with similar values.
At the end of the week, the average PE for the JSE Main Market TOP 10 is 5.1, well below the market average of 12.7. The Main Market TOP10 is projected to have an average of 322 percent to May 2024, based on 2023 forecasted earnings.
The most highly valued Main Market stocks, representing 32 percent of the Main Market, are priced at a PE of 15 to 80, with an average of 29 and 20 excluding the highest PE ratios, with a PE of 22 for the top half and 17 excluding the stocks with the highest PEs.
The Junior Market Top 10 PE sits at 5.3 compared with the market at 10.8. There are 10 stocks representing 21 percent of the market, with PEs from 15 to 40, averaging 21, that is well above the market’s average. The top half of the market has an average PE of 15, possibly the lowest fair value for Junior Market stocks currently, and projected to rise by 271 percent to May 2024.
The divergence between the average PE ratio of the Main and Junior Markets and the overall market valuation are important indicators of the likely gains for ICTOP10 stocks.
The markets are not in a bullish state, but there continue to be cases of slow upward movements in some prices as investors respond to some recent attractive results, leading them to quietly nibble away at a number of stocks, gradually reducing the supply of a number of them that are attractively priced. The list includes stocks such as Access Financial, AMG Packaging, Everything Fresh, Dolphin Cove, Caribbean Cream, Caribbean Assurance Brokers, Lasco Distributors and Lasco Manufacturing, Main Event and Transjamaican Highway.
ICTOP10 focuses on likely yearly winners, accordingly, the list includes some of the best companies in the market, but not always. ICInsider.com ranks stocks based on projected earnings, allowing investors to focus on the most undervalued stocks and helping to remove emotions in selecting stocks for investments that often result in costly mistakes.
IC TOP10 stocks will likely deliver the best returns up to the end of May 2024 and are ranked in order of potential gains, computed using projected earnings for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate, resulting in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.
Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.
