First Citizens lousy investor’s relations

It was once said that as a country, Trinidad wanted to be the financial capital of the Caribbean, but recent activity on the country’s capital market indicates that they have a far way to go in achieving such a goal — if that is possible.

First Citizens Bank launched the largest ever Initial Public Offering (IPO) of shares in the history of the T&T Stock Exchange with a market value of approximately TT$1.1 billion on Monday 15th July at an offer price of TT$22 per share for 48,495,665 shares. The bank said the IPO will assist in widening its capital base in order to facilitate future strategic expansion plans. The offer was slated to close on August 9 and was extended to Monday, August 12th 2013 as the 9th was a public holiday.

First Citizens Brokerage & Advisory Services, a subsidiary of First Citizens Investment Services, is the Lead Broker for the Offer for Sale. The handling of the entire issue is a classic demonstration of poor investor relations and that is not a good sign for investors.

First_Citizensbuilding150x150Listing on September 16 | The T&T Stock Exchange has advised that First Citizens has applied to have its shares listed on the TTSE on September 16th 2013 subject to the approval of its application to list by the Board of the TTSE.

This is madness and is reflective of lack of sensitivity in their financial market. First off, the opening time for the issue was unnecessarily long so those who applied early had their funds tied up without any compensation. Even worse is after nearly a month of closing of the issue, investors are yet to know what is their allocation of shares. First Citizens said on their website that investors will find out between August 30 and September 6.

A check with the T&T Stock Exchange as to why it will take such a long time for the shares to be listed indicates that the problem is not with the Exchange, who are ready to list as soon the information is available and is approved by the Stock Exchange Council. A Stock Exchange source suggests that the delays maybe due to the broking community not being fully conversant with how to execute a timely IPO.

Oversubscription | Information obtained suggests that the issue was about two times oversubscribed with institutional investors probably being the main subscribers resulting in the high level of oversubscription.

While the management has made major missteps in dealing with this issue, IC Insider still rates the stock as Buy Rated based on the issue price and potential earnings. We believe there should be a steep appreciation in the stock’s value when it is compared with others within the financial sector.

Related Posts | First Citizens’ $1B IPO opens today | T&T Citizens Bank IPO oversubscribed | Buy Rated stock list grows

General Accident undervalued, but . . .

General Accident Insurance Company continued to perform well in the second quarter as they did in the first of this year with profit increasing 48 percent to $80 million in the second quarter bringing the six month results to $177.7 million, an increase of 57 percent over the same period in 2012. The company said they made more money in both our underwriting and investment operations and as a result were able to improve their overall profitability and capital efficiency.

Underwriting | For the two quarters, gross premiums grew to $3.2 billion, an increase of 21 percent over the first six months last year. Net earned premiums grew by 8 percent to $443 million. “Premium growth was driven by the healthy organic growth of our core commercial property and motor businesses as well as the execution of facultative transactions on behalf of large domestic and multinational clients,” the company said.

“Our combined ratio improved from 92 percent in the first six months of last year to 90 percent in the first six months of 2013. The improvement in our combined ratio, the insurance industry benchmark for underwriting profitability, occurred despite continued softness in insurance rates and a deteriorating loss ratio. As a result, our underwriting profit in the first half of 2013 stood at $42 million compared to $34 million during the same period last year”, management continued to state.

GeneralAccident_logo150x150Claim expenses rose from $247 million for the year to June last year by 25.5 percent to $310 million in 2013. Management expenses rose from $145 million for the year to June 2012 by 14 percent to $165 million in 2013 and in the latest quarter from $75 million to $88 million, an increase of 17 percent.

Investment Performance | For the six months to June investment income amounted to $145 million, an increase of 68 percent compared to $86 million in the first half of 2012. Investment income in the June quarter was only $52 million much less than the amount generated in the first quarter. A slower fall in the value of the Jamaican dollar would have resulted in a lower gains from foreign currency trading or translation.

Summary | A sharp change in commission expense from a loss of $78 million in the June quarter of 2012 to a small surplus of $6.5 million helped in no small manner to boost the bottom-line in the quarter even as net premiums earned declined from $205 million to $187 million and claims jumped from $118 million to $157 million over the same period.

The company paid out $50 million in cash dividends to shareholders in the first quarter.

Assets jump | The company that had assets totaling $3.9 billion at the end of December last year, has seen a major jump to June to $7 billion mainly as amounts due from reinsurers and co-insurers doubled to $2 billion. The amounts due from policy holders climbed $1.3 billion to $41.8 billion and cash and short term investments increased by $500 million.

On the other hand, amount due to reinsurers and co‐insurers moved up by $1.75 billion, insurance reserves up by $1.3 billion and shareholder’s equity by a little over a $100 million to $1.4 billion since December last year.

Return on average equity is 25 percent which is attractive if the company can maintain the current profit levels. If they can, then earnings per share should reach 35 cents for the year, which makes the stock now priced at $1.85 cents a bargain.

The stock traded at $2.81 in 2011 when profits were not as strong as it is now. Additionally, a number of junior market companies are trading around 6-7.5 times 2013 earnings with General Accident at 5.3 times, suggesting there is room for capital gains in the medium term. Of course Jamaica is in the midst of the hurricane season and some investors may not want to be bold ahead of the end of the season, just in case there is major damage and claims. This stock ought to be watched for benefit from what could be a nice price gain before year end.

Insider call | General Accident is an IC Insider Buy Rated stock.

Related posts | Buy Rated stock list grows | General Accident’s profit up 65 percent

TCL stock gains continue

Friday, 23rd August 2013 | Trinidad Cement continues on its merry march upwards on the Trinidad Stock market thus reducing the potential gains left in the stock. It was this week’s greatest mover, moving from a bid of $1.76 at the end of last week to a closing price of $2.05 this week for a gain of nearly 17 cents. With a potential gain of 544 percent left and the bid being firm at $2.05 with a fair volume, expect to see the stock price increase in the week ahead.

National Flour Mills and Guardian Holdings lost value thus increasing the potential gains in these stocks. Elsewhere values remained the same as at the start of the week. Angostura has a bid of $9.11 at the end of trading on Friday , which is above the last selling price, suggesting that it will trade higher in the week. Guardian Holdings looks as if it could decline some more before it starts to rise.

Based on PR ratios, the Top Four stocks with potential on the TTSe are Trinidad Cement, National Flour, Guardian Holdings and Berger TT.

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Another acquisition for Jamaica Broilers

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Jamaica Broilers Group entered into an agreement on August 20, 2013, to acquire Hamilton’s Smoke House Limited, a leading local producer and processor of premium quality smoked meats, poultry and pork products. The acquisition will strengthen the Company`s presence in the further processed meats segment and complement the Company`s existing product lines. Completion of the acquisition, which is subject to certain conditions, is expected to be within forty-five (45) days. Under the terms of the transaction, the purchase price is to remain confidential.

This is the second acquisition the company has entered into in just over a month. In July, Jamaica Broilers advised that it has entered into an agreement on July 17, 2013, to acquire a leading producer and broker of broiler hatching eggs in the United States of America. “This acquisition, if concluded, is expected to result in the doubling of JBG`s fertile egg production output in the United States.

The group should benefit from economies of scale from both of these acquisitions when fully integrated. Jamaica Broilers reported a 17 percent improvement in after-tax results for the year to April 2013 with profits of $1.1 billion from a 12.5 percent increase in revenues to $26.7 billion. The group has equity capital of $9.7 billion and total assets of $18 billion at the end of April this year.

Insider call | Jamaica Broilers Group is an IC Insider Buy Rated Stock

Dividends to come

Jamaica Public Service Company declared quarterly preference share dividends payable on October 1, 2013 to shareholders on record as at September 13, 2013 with the ex-dividend date is September 11, 2013, as follows:

  • 7% Cumulative Preference Shares “B” – $0.035 per share
  • 5% Cumulative Preference Shares “C” – $0.025 per share
  • 5% Cumulative Preference Shares “D” – $0.025 per share
  • 6% Cumulative Preference Shares “E” – $0.03 per share

Dolphin Cove declared an interim dividend of 10 cents per share payable on September 16, 2013 to shareholders on record as at August 29, 2013. The ex-dividend date is August 27, 2013. The company previously paid a dividend of 10 cents per share on June 6, 2013 to shareholders on record as at May 20, 2013 as well as one in March this year.

Guardian Holdings declared a dividend of TT$0.15 payable on September 5, 2013 to shareholders on record as at August 22, 2013. The ex-dividend date is August 20, 2013.

Proven Investments declared a preference share dividend of $0.10 per share payable on September 23, 2013 to shareholders on record as at September 9, 2013. The ex-dividend date is September 5, 2013.

Proven Investments declared a dividend of US$0.0021 per ordinary share payable on September 10, 2013 to shareholders on record as at August 27, 2013. The ex-dividend date is August 23, 2013.

Related posts | Guardian maintains strong rating |  FX gains & securities boost Proven

Radio Jamaica’s sharp turn

Radio Jamaica made a sharp about turn in profitability in the June quarter reversing a loss of $25 million in 2012 to a small profit of $1.6 million. The change came about as revenues increased by 7.3 percent to $440 million. The company says the change in revenue is due to increased advertising income, flowing from the website’s continuous growth in visitors and increased portfolio of local production in television which contributed favourably to higher income and improvement in response to the sales and marketing.

Also helping the changed bottom line was a doubling of other income from $17.7 million to $34.65 million but it is cost cutting that really did the trick. Selling expenses was cut to $70 million from $76.4 million in 2012, administrative expenses was reduced from $103.7 million down to $98.5 million and other operating expenses which came in at $73.4 million was down from $87 million. RJR negotiated a number of contracts but bringing the cable channel under the same roof as the main studios help cut costs as well. Interest cost was one expense that climbed as loans were taken on to help fund the acquisition the FIFA franchise for matches between 2013 and 2022. This amount climbed from $1.2 million to $5.4 million.

RJR_Newslogo150x150RJR would have suffered revenue decline from the closure of Claro mobile network resulting in less completion in the market as well as the general economic downturn, which started in late 2008. Data to date indicate that the economy is still declining at least up to the first six months of this year. Forecast going forward does not reflect any signs of much economic growth.

The turnaround in profits is welcomed news for investors who have seen profits decline from 2010 when it peaked at $222 million ending with a big loss for the year ended March 2013. Even with the return to profits, the company is not fully out of the woods as the economy is still fragile and things could get more difficult before they get better. In such an environment, the strength of the finances take on even more import.

IC Insider forecast is for the 2013/14 year to show profits of $63 million after tax or earnings per share of 18 cents which would be a big improvement over the $36 million loss reported last fiscal year ending March 2013.

Loan funding is now at $193 million and cash funds at $252 million and receivables is $439 million versus payables of $224 million.

Related posts | RJR’s $106M 4th quarter loss

NASDAQ 3 hour shutter

According to reports, NASDAQ, the second largest stock exchange in the USA and World, halted trading today for 3 hours due to a glitch in its computer system. This is bad news for one of the more popular exchanges that newer companies tend to flock as opposed to the older New York Stock Exchange (NYSE).

Previously, NASDAQ was in the headlines when Facebook debuted on the exchange and trading in the stock was suspended for hours before trading could begin, creating confusion and losses for many. The exchange was slapped with a US$10 million fine and suffered additional losses by paying out compensation to investors as a result of the failure.

Many were fearing that Facebook may shift the listing from NASDAQ to the NYSE but so far this has not happened.

One would expect these failures in third world countries and not in a developed one. The problem with failures is that it reverberates around the world as other exchanges rely on the NASDAQ for prices. In this case, over 50 exchanges worldwide were affected which could result in losses for some investors. More importantly, it affects investor and public confidence in a big way.

Read more | Nasdaq suffers reputation hit after trading freeze

Profit up, margins shrink at Seprod

Shrinking margins and lower gross profit could not prevent Seprod from enjoying a bump in profit of $312 million in the June quarter versus $161 million in 2012 and $542 million for the six months period versus $453 million in 2012.

Seprod got a boost of $107 million from the sales of equities in the June quarter. Also in the quarter, they benefitted from a gain of $54 million from holding of assets in foreign currency. Finance and other operating income rose to $112 million in the quarter, up from $80 million in 2012 and for the six months, $206 million versus $167 million. Management has kept selling and administration cost under control with both areas falling in the latest quarter and just rising slightly for the year to date period. Selling expenses which came out at $100 million for the quarter was $6 million less than in 2012 and admin cost came out at $372 million versus $374 million in 2012. For the six months, selling expenses climbed by $4 million to $198 million and admin went to $784 million up from $751 million in 2012. Finance cost moved up to $42 million from $26 million in the June quarter and in the six months period, it rose from $48 million in 2012 to $82 million in the latest period.

Revenues | Revenues were down 2 percent in the first quarter, falling to $3.7 billion and off by $74 million from the year ago period. However, revenues increased by a healthy 17 percent to $3.7 billion in the June quarter and is up 7 percent for the 6 months to June.

The biggest issue the company is currently having is a sharp fall in profit margin. To June 2012, gross profit as a percentage of direct cost was 28.2 percent and has fallen to 24 percent for the 6 months to June this year and to only 21 percent versus 24 percent in the June quarter. The deterioration has occurred in the distribution segment as profit stagnated at $99 million, a slight 3 percent rise in that area while sales rose 11.5 percent. In the manufacturing segment, profit is up by 12.5 percent to $893 million and revenues is up 3.5 percent to $4.7 billion.

Earnings per share for the 6 month period is $1.05 and the full 12 months to December should be around $1.80-$2.

Finances | Seprod has $3.9 billion in cash and investments. Borrowing is at $2.26 billion up a billion dollars from June 2012. Current assets are well in excess of current liabilities by 3 to 1 and equity stands at a strong $9.6 billion.

Longer term | Seprod has never been one of those sexy companies but it has done remarkably well since listing back in the 1990s. It appears that for 2014 and beyond a lot is being predicated on the fortunes of the sugar operations in St Thomas where the target for sugar production is the processing of 300,000 tonnes of canes that should work out to around 25,000 tonnes of sugar. Management indicates that the expanded canes farms are already planted and the production should be coming in the 2014 crop. The group acquired Bowden Estates with 3,000 acres along with another property in the area and lands that were in bananas have now been planted out in canes. Management states that the sugar company is critical to them as a foreign exchange earner that can supply foreign currencies for the group when needed.

Related posts | Seprod’s dividend consideration | What’s really up at Seprod?

Exports push Jamaican Teas’ profit

A strong 70.6% increase in exports for the nine months to June helped in pushing profit at Jamaican Teas up to $75.3 million or 16 percent when compared to $64.8 million for the similar period of the prior year.

Export sales accounted for 52 percent of the total manufacturing sales for the latest quarter. The improvement in exports was driven mainly by increases in sales to the USA and Trinidad. Results for the June quarter were not as strong as the prior two quarters with an increase of 9.5 percent to $24 million as local sales slipped marginally compared to $22 million in the comparative period in 2012. While the growth in profit for the year may not appear impressive, the quality is far better as there was a large $13 million swing in earnings reported from gains on investments in 2012 resulting from a $10 million gain in 2012. While there was a $3 million loss this year, the net amount is partially offset by a $5 million gain from exchange rate movement.

The group recorded improvement in sales for the first nine months of the financial year, increasing by 34.5 percent to $783 million versus $582 million in the prior year. Improved sales was due to healthy increases in both export and supermarket sales, including the newest supermarket in Sav-La-mar, which was acquired by the company in March 2012.

The supermarkets also contributed to the bottom-line improvements which helped the improvement in revenues and profits. The results do not yet reflect sales from the completed real estate development which the group expect to be reflected in the final quarter of the fiscal year in September.

Image from Behance.net

Image from Behance.net

Associated company | The company’s jointly owned supermarket in Montego Bay, continues to show improvement but has not shown profit to date. Sales in the quarter rose 11% above the similar period of 2012. Management stated, “We enjoyed an encouraging improvement in sales since the start of the quarter pushing us closer to a break even position. Our share of the loss is $2 million in the latest quarter which includes an adjustment of $640,000 to deferred tax asset to reflect the reduction in tax rate from 33 1/3 percent.”

Investment | The company has short and long term investments of $142 million which includes $76 million of quoted equities.

Going forward | There are good indications that the final quarter should be better than that for 2012. In the 2012 final quarter, a large an impairment loss on investments of $9.3 million had to be made. In this year, the situation might swing in the other direction with the booking of the sales of the apartments. Beyond the September year end, the purchase of a property in St. Thomas should start to contribute to profits from the housing development for 72 two-bedroom single family homes.

Regarding another property purchase, management reported that, “The company will be moving the manufacturing operations to a new facility by the end of 2013, it has adequate space for our operations now and for the foreseeable future. While there may be no savings from this move, it is not expected to cost more than the current rental for the existing space. Ownership will result in savings going forward as inflation drives up rental rates.”

Financial position |The group continues to maintain a healthy financial position with good cash flows, adequate bank credit facilities and investments. Receivables increased by $41 million, which is due to a significant increase in exports that have longer credit terms. Management further stated that, “All the short and long term loans will be cleared subsequent to the quarter end from longer term loans and proceeds from the sale of the apartments. The company recently announced plans to issue $200 million of Corporate Bonds with attractive features for the investor including the fact that interest will be paid monthly and will be traded on the Jamaica Stock Exchange. The funds will be used to pay off more expensive debt and assist with funding our next real estate development. We have also obtained medium term financing from Bank of Nova Scotia for funding of the Bell Road property acquisition.”

Related posts | Jamaican Teas expands property arm | Jamaican Teas buys property | Profits up 19% at Jamaican Teas | Is the real estate market bullish?

Blue Power profit up 20%

Blue Power reported profits for the quarter ending June 2013 of $30 million compared to $25 million in the same period last year, an increase of 20% and earnings per stock unit moved from 43 cents to 53 cents in the quarter, an improvement of 23%. While the growth is not bad, the operation was not firing on all cylinders as the increase came totally from the Lumber Depot division which contributed $18 million, improving by 34% over the same period in the previous year, while the Blue Power division added $12 million which was an improvement of 5% over the first quarter of 2012.

Combined sales were $246 million compared to $233 million for the same period last year, an increase of $13 million or just 6% much less than the increase in profit. The Lumber Depot division achieved sales of $175 million versus $154 million the previous year, an improvement of 14% while the Blue Power soap division moved down to $70 million from $79 million for a decrease of 11%. It was not only increased revenues which helped to grow profit for the quarter. Administrative cost was down from $33 million in 2012 to $27.9 million due to a write back of doubtful debt that was made in the last fiscal year to April and non-accrual of certain expense that was made in 2012 but not repeated in this latest quarter. Also, other income almost doubled from $2.2 million to $4.26 million.

BluePower150x150The chairman Dhiru Tanna, in a release with the quarterly report stated that “we are pleased that despite the very challenging economic circumstances facing the country we were able to achieve an improvement in the overall performance. During the quarter, the Blue Power soap division faced serious competition in the market place with wholesalers and distributors shaving their prices significantly to reduce inventories. As a result, our ability to adjust prices in keeping with the exchange rate changes was seriously hampered and our sales actually declined. We have taken steps to offer more vendor-friendly packaging as well as significant promotions which we hope will reverse the trend.”

He went on to say, “We continue to take advantage of our cash position to acquire inventory for resale at advantageous prices which is the main reason for the increase experienced in this category on the balance sheet. Our analysis indicates that this approach is essential to remain competitive in a very stagnant market.”

Finances | Since the April year end, cash has increased to $153 million from $145 million but inventories are up to $198 million from $176.85 million. Accounts receivables has remained flat at $69 million. Amounts due to creditors amounted to $88 million the same level as in April. Equity capital amounted to $375 million and there is no longer any loan capital being used.

Insider call | Blue Power is an IC Insider Buy Rated stock.

Related Posts | Blue Power dividend | Blue Powered huge profit increase