LASCO Manufacturing: one for the radar

LASCO Manufacturing enjoyed a 15 percent increased profit for the year ended March 2013 before taxation from increased revenue of 13% for the year. Profit after taxation was up only 9 percent as the 2012 results benefited from a tax credit which boosted the after tax figure. In the latest quarter, revenues were up just 8 percent, a lower pace than the September and December quarters with growth of 21 percent and 15 percent respectively. But the best is yet to come with the near completion of the factory expansion that will cut cost and result in new products being introduced.

4th Quarter | Pretax profit for the March quarter was up 29 percent to reach $175 million. After tax, the increase was just 8 percent. In the March quarter, gross margin increased from 27 percent in 2012 to 30.7 percent and is up from 27 percent in the December quarter. Administrative expenses rose 6.5 percent year over year, much less than the growth in revenues while selling and promotional expenses remained flat for the year, helping to boost profit.

The improvement shown in a better margin and subdued cost increases has been highlighted by management in a report to shareholders. “The company continues to focus on cost control, cost containment, cost management and increased efficiency,” the statement said.

Lasco_FoodManufactoring150x150Financials | Trade Receivables increased by $180 million from $447 million in 2012 which management states was due to a temporary timing difference of payment with one of their distributors and has subsequently been settled. Inventory also increased $210 million from $279 million in 2012. Equity capital was $1.9 billion at the end of March, enough to facilitate the loan taken on, allowing for appropriate coverage.

Factory expansion  | LASCO Manufacturing embarked on 70 percent factory expansion of the manufacturing operation which is nearing completion at the White Marl location. When completed with new machineries in production, cost is expected to be reduced considerably. The areas that the reduction will be most visible include direct production cost, with less direct labour, material waste and cost relating to the double handling of goods. The capital spend on the expansion at the end of March is $1.7 billion out of a budgeted expenditure of J$2.2b. So far the company has drawn down J$1 billion of a loan facility to help fund the capital expenditure with the rest coming from internally generated funds.

“We are poised for further growth as we experienced higher demand for our products in the local and export markets in the past year,” Management said.

Products | The company manufactures several well-known food items such the soy protein based LASCO food drinks, LaSoy Lactose Free, Oats Porridge Mix. It will also package Full Cream Milk Powder and Skimmed Milk Powder and purchase and co-package a wide range of other food items, consumer, personal care, infant care and household products.

Exports | The company exports its products to 23 countries, including UK, Canada and USA. Export sales now represent 9% of overall sales.

Stock outlook | Lasco has a competitive advantage with a well-known and respected brand and the expansion will reduce the cost of production making the existing products even more competitive. New products are to be added to the existing ones and some products that are being manufactured by others will be produced in house.

The stock price raced to $15 after the company announced a 10 for 1 stock split and it gained added support with the release of the recent results. The growth seen during the year, with more to come, makes this stock one that must be on all investors’ radar.

JSE market bullish but paused

Tuesday, 4th June 2013 | The market took a pause today with all the major indices declining as the day saw one of the highest levels of trading for sometime with 13.7 million shares trading with a value of $108 million. At the end of trading 5 stocks bids were higher and 1 stock had offers lower than the last selling price and 2 stocks reached 52 weeks highs.

Price changes | 14 stocks registered price appreciation and 8 declined on a day when 31 stocks traded. Price movements of note are Jamaica Broilers traded 1.55 million units and the price was down 38 cents, JMMB down 50 cents to $9 while there was another day of high trading in the stock with over 3 million units changing hands. National Commercial Bank traded 587,200 between 21 and $22 but closed 20 cents up at 21.20, Pan Jam shed $3 to close at $54 while 31,356 units traded and it was $2.92 up on Scotia Investments when 306,600 units traded between $27 and the closing price of $29.50.

Supreme Ventures traded nearly 2 million shares between $2.90 and $30 and gained 10 cents in the process.

Juniors | In the junior market, Access Financial Services up 41 cents to close back at $8 with a mere 2,700 shares trading, Lasco Distributors fell 90 cents to $14, while trading 47,000 units, Lasco Manufacturing closed at $14 down $1.35 while trading 69,500 units. The stock traded between $14 and $15.35 during the day.

Volume | Decent volumes came from General Accident, Gleaner, RJR, Sagicor Investments, Sagicor Life and Scotia Group.

JSEIndicesJun4

TTSE: Overall market activity up

Tuesday, 4th June 2013 | Activity picked up some what on the Trinidad & Tobago stock exchange at above levels seen for the past few days with 14 securities trading of which 7 advanced, 1 declined and 6 traded firm.

The main market enjoyed a volume of 569,147 shares crossing the floor valued at $13,928,256. The Mutual Fund Market posted a volume of 33,620 shares valued at $707,701.  Trinidad Cement traded 228,027 shares for a value of $217,616, ANSA McAL traded 185,290 shares for $12,455,194. Prestige Holdings accounted for 64,620 shares with a value of $604,197, while Jamaica Money Market Brokers added 54,057 shares valued at $30,793.

West Indian Tobacco Company climbed 89 cents to end the day at $111.00, an all-time high, but only had a mere 300 shares trading.

Although for the past few weeks there have been more advancing stocks to those that declined, market sentiments seem mixed as there is demand for some stocks but none for a number of them. This has been the case for weeks.

At the end of trading 4 stocks bids were higher and 4 stocks had offers lower than the last selling price.

TTSEJun4

Carreras grew income

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In the just concluded financial year ending March, Carreras grew its income from increased volumes and some price adjustment. Operating profit climbed from $5.175 billion to $5.68 billion. Administrative distribution and marketing expenses rose from $1.745 billion to $2 billion. The company is reporting profits of $6.49 billion up from $2.6 billion in 2012.

The latest results have been impacted by a $5.08 billion inflow from the pension funds representing a portion of the pension fund surplus which was distributed to Carreras. The company reported earnings per share from ongoing business of $6.14 versus $5.35 in 2012. Most of the pension surplus was distributed to shareholders as a special dividend. Carreras also picked up foreign exchange gains of $161 million during the year up from $19 in 2012. This may or may not recur in the current financial year ending 2014 and investors will need to pay attention to that.

Tax refund | Of import, is a refund of $1.7 billion of taxes that was paid over to the government and is to be refunded plus cost of legal fees and interest. The government has made provision of half a billion in this year’s budget to pay interest on the indebtedness. The entire amount is expected to be paid out as dividend when received.

Carreras_tobacco150x150The company’s product is not only mature but seems to be less socially accepted. The company has done most of the cost cutting hence increased profits in the future will come mostly from price adjustments. If the company is allowed to keep the price relatively stable for a while, then the possibility of picking up some volume increases may occur.

At the end of the financial year, the company had cash funds of $3.9 billion, some of which will be paid out as dividend in June. Liquidity is good with current assets exceeding current liabilities $4.76 billion to $3 billion. There are no borrowed funds being used in the operations.

Income stock | The stock is essentially one for dividends with the company paying the equivalent of $5.20 per share for the year. Lower interest rates in the financial sector is likely to drive more investors to this stock for the relatively high yield, but with withholding tax at 15 percent on dividends and an unsure growth path for profits, investors may be taking on added risk to eke out a slightly higher return from the dividends paid by Carreras.

Stock outlook | At this time, the stock is price to almost perfection in earnings with a PE of 10 times the latest earnings. The price of the stock to net book value is the highest in the market at more than 11 times.

Investors in this stock should ensure that their portfolio is appropriately balanced. In other words, investors should ensure the stock does not dominate their portfolio.

Big day in FX market

Monday, 3rd June 2013 | It was a big day in the foreign exchange market today as selling out paced buying and the rates slipped with the US dollar close once more to the J$100 market with just 40 cents separating them on the sell side. In all, the total amount of currency traded amounted to the equivalent of US$46.5 million and they sold the equivalent of US$71 million.

US$42.7 million was purchased with US$69.1 million being sold. There was Can$1 million purchased with Can$691,000 sold. £1.66 million pounds were purchased and £1 million was sold. On average, it took 22 cents more to buy US dollars and selling took place at an average of 15 cents more. The authorised dealers bought the Canadian currency for 20 cents less on Monday that on Friday and they sold them at 13 cents more. For the Pound sterling dealers bought the pound at 72 cents more and sold for 11 cents more than on Friday. There was hardly any change to the highest and lowest rates for the US dollar. The Canadian dollar and the pound sterling mostly increased except for the lowest buying rate for the Canadian.

FX_TRADE+Currency+Jun3

FX_TRADE+HighLow+Jun4

JSE jumps as Scotia buys JMMB shares

Monday, 3rd June 2013 | JMMB traded 4.57 million shares, all of which were bought by Scotia Investments for their own account and for clients except for 4,300 units bought by JMMB but sold from in-house for a client. Of the total amount of JMMB shares that traded, 2.7 million units traded at $9.50 each. The rest of the trades took place mostly at $9 per share. The stock traded up 50 cents for the day.

The All Jamaica Composite index closed up a strong 1,544.25 points to close 89,987.54 on day that saw 7.36 million units trading. The index closed at the highest level since January 8th this year when it closed at 89,699.10.

Stocks Gains | Jamaica Broilers traded up to $5 with 1.5 million shares changing hands. Kingston Wharves closed at 52 weeks high of $8, up 40 cents, while trading 10,000 shares on the day. Carreras and Grace Kennedy continued to be in demand, with the former trading 128,110 shares valued at $7.73 million while loosing 45 cents in closing at $60.45 and Grace trading 122,331 units valued at $7.35 million without a price change.

Bull2_150X150Junior market | The junior market was active with AMG Packaging trading 276,077 units in one trade with the stock closing up 10 cents at $4.15. Paramount traded 163,597 units while closing at an all time high of $3.60 up 20 cents. The stock closed with a bid of 559,806 units at $3.50 with no stock on offer which suggests that it will trade higher before long. Access Finance closed down 41 cents to $7.59 on very low volume, Blue Power traded up 71 cents to close at $7.52, an all time high, as 100,200 shares traded. All three Lasco companies traded but not heavily. Manufacturing closed at $15.35 off 4 cents from Friday’s close, Distributors fell slightly, by 10 cents and Financial Services gained 20 cents on Friday’s last traded price.

Advancing stocks greater |  There was trading in 23 stocks on a day that was not all that active. The momentum of the market continues with advancing stocks continuing to be most dominant over declining ones 14 to 5. Four stocks traded at 52 weeks high including Proven ordinary which traded up 0.5 US cents to close at 11.5 US cents.

An indication of things to come can be seen from the bid and offers in relation to the last selling prices. At the end of trading there were 7 stocks with bids higher and only 1 stock with offer that is lower than the last sale price.

  • The main Market Index advanced by 877.17 points (1.00%) to close at 88,455.09.
  • The Select Index advanced by 48.71 points (2.00%) to close at 2,483.29.
  • The All Jamaican Composite was up by 1,544.25 points (1.75%) to 89,987.54.
  • The Junior Market Index advanced by 7.96 points (1.05%) to close at 767.89.
  • The Combined Index advanced by 900.62 points (1.00%) to close at 90,624.63.
  • The US Equities Index advanced by 3.57 points (4.54%) to close at 82.14.

JSEIndicesJun3

 

TTSE: Caution still overwhelms

Monday, 3rd June 2013 | Eight stocks traded on the Trinidad and Tobago exchange today, as four advanced and none declining in price by the end of trade. In another tepid trading session, 62,946 shares crossed the floor of the Exchange with a value of $897,156. Of the total amount traded, Angostura Holdings traded 46,840 shares with a value of $421,560 and NeaL & Massy traded 7,310 shares for $431,290.

In the mutual fund section Clico Investment Fund traded a volume of 10,400 shares valued at $218,920.

West Indian Tobacco traded at an all time high of $110.11 while gaining 5 cents with only 53 shares trading. At the end of trading, there were 5 stocks with bids higher and 5 stocks with offers that are lower than the last sale price.

TTSEJun3

FX gains & securities boost Proven

Increased gains from foreign exchange and securities trading helped Proven Investments to report higher profits than in 2012 in its latest release of its audited financial statements to March this year. The investment bank reported 26 percent higher profits than in the previous year.

While interest income grew from US$7.076 million to $7.36 million, net interest income fell to US$2.89 million from US$3.1 in 2012. However, dividend income grew from $900,000 in 2012 to US$1.26 million in the latest year. Net fair value adjustments and realised gains accounted for US$4.51 million versus US$3.31 million in 2012. But foreign exchange trades delivered US$1.57 million, a turnaround from a loss of US$417,000 in 2012.

Us$_Bankroll280X150Bad debt of US$637 million helped to move up other operating expenses from US$1.9 million to US$2.8 million. The earnings work out at US$0.0141 per share versus US$0.0112 in 2012. The stock closed up slightly at US$0.115 at the end of Monday’s trading before these results were released. There seems to be room for further gains in the stock price with the PE ratio of the stock being 7.7 times the latest earnings. Management will have to pull out all the stops and be creative to drive earnings in the immediate future to continue to make the stock attractive to a wide array of investors.

The company reported assets of US$144 million up from $140 million in 2012. Equity capital stood at US$35.8 million at the end of March 2013. The company is reporting that exchange movement reduced the value of the preference shares during the year from US$11.24 million down US$9.922 million.

Going forward, much will depend on the ability of management to extract more gains from foreign currency trade as well as how well they do in investing in other forms of securities. In this regard investors, who may be interested in the stock, would need to focus on the management’s track record as there is less predictability in the potential earnings in trading securities and currencies.

GOJ: Deficit cut

The GOJ fiscal deficit for April was cut below projection, as revenues were marginally better while expenses, mainly interest cost, were lower than forecast. The deficit that was projected at $3.46 billion ended up $2 billion better, coming in at $1.43 billion.

Revenue growth | Tax on interest delivered $806 million more than planned, but the early payment of dividends in March by some companies resulted in tax on dividends under performing by $219 million. Special consumption tax brought in $735 million more and motor vehicle licenses accounted for $162 million of the increase and tax on telephone performed better than planned by $122 million.

Rollbackthetax150x150Inflows below | There were areas that underperformed. GCT on local sales was 10 percent less reducing revenues by $666 million, surprisingly education tax was less by $144 million and betting & gaming tax brought in $188 million less than planned. Although travel tax was up 152  percent to $1.27 billion, an increase of $765 million tax on international trade was down $425 million as custom duty brought in $284 million less and Special Consumption tax on imports by $898 million. Tax on international trade may have been down as importers would most likely have brought in goods ahead of the new tax measures.

The government would have been pleased with the revenue performance which was slightly more than projected but which would have been even more had some taxpayers not taken advantage of the long time frame between increased taxes and the implementation of them to minimise their tax liability.

Spending down | Government paid $993 million less on interest or  13 percent less than originally planned and also spent less on wages $228 million and $384 million less on capital expenditure and they repaid $1.7 billion net on loans during the month.

LASCO Distributors lowers profit

Revenue for the year to March increased 11 percent, but profits fell by 8 percent cooling the rapid growth experienced in the previous year for Lasco Distributors. The stock price nevertheless jumped just before the release of the results from $10.50 to $15 in response to an announced stock split.  Profit came in at $507 million without any tax charge, down from $550 in 2012 after a tax charge of $30 million. The result helped to maintain the stock at the level reached before the actual results were published as earnings per share came in at $1.51.

Revenues grew by $795 million to $8,255 billion in a period when official data says the local economy recorded negative growth. Gross profit margin declined quite sharply to 19.9 percent  from 21 percent in the prior year due to a what management states is “a one off adjustment to cost of sales related to import duties, absorption in increased volumes for institutional sales at lower margins, and the impact of the volatility of the exchange rate.”

The management statement continued “during the last financial year there were unavoidable disruptions in the supply chain for key products which impacted on revenue and profit performance. Whilst the company makes efforts to improve efficiencies there were also investments for future growth.

lasco_logo_150x150“Administrative and other expenses increased by 15 percent to $871 million, due to organisational changes in staff resources to strengthen the company’s market presence and preparation for impending new projects.

“The company has had success in its marketing activities as it has seen growth in some core categories and deeper penetration in targeted distribution channels. The widening of appeal and stronger brand presence is the platform for newly launched products and other planned projects with our partners.”

Balance sheet | Inventories increased by $535 million over the corresponding period in 2012, primarily due to inventory carried for important institutions and planned major promotional activities for key products which extend beyond March. Trade and other receivables increased by $315 million due to the increased marketing activity and extended credit arrangements for key institutions. “The trade receivables continue to be managed within industry standards and extended terms for supplies to key accounts is achieved in collaboration with our suppliers. Current liabilities also increased as trade and other payables was $267 million over the corresponding period and this is due to the continued supply agreement with our strategic partners,” the company stated in a release to shareholders.

Equity capital stood at $1.89 billion while current assets amounted to $2.7 billion versus current liabilities of $1.16 billion. The company is virtually debt free with just $46 million in overdraft outstanding on the books at March.

LASCOPharma_logo150x150Looking forward | The company has geared up for improved business. Some of it seems to be government related. Additionally, Lasco Manufacturing expansion is well on its way and when completed and in full production, Lasco Distributors will benefit from increased flow of items to market locally.

The stock may be fully valued, currently at $15 each, bearing in mind the valuation of other junior market companies, but profits should improve going forward thus providing opportunities for further gains in the future.

Legal matter | There is a claim by Pfizer Limited (Pfizer) against Lasco Distributors Limited  and others for damages for breach of a patent relating to a particular product. The action has been tried and judgement entered in favour of the company. The judgement has been appealed by Pfizer. The appeal has been heard in the Supreme Court of Jamaica and the court has reserved its judgement. The matter has been further appealed to the Privy Council and the records of appeal have now been settled and communicated to London. It is anticipated that the matter should come before the Privy Council either by the end of this year or during the first quarter of next year.

The attorneys are of the opinion that the company should be successful on this appeal and anticipate that the amount to be recovered by the company may be approximately $400m. If not, the company will be liable for cost estimated at $25M and for an accounting as to profits made by the company as damages to Pfizer for its loss of profit attributable to the sale of the product from the commencement of the company’s dealing to the date of the interim injunction issued on 29 March 2005.

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