FX: Low trading, mixed rate moves

Monday, 14th October 2013 | The level of trading was low for a Monday but that may have been telegraphed from Friday when a larger than expected amount of buying and selling took place in the ForEx market.

Dealers purchased US$26,037,166 in various currencies and sold US$25,335,901. In term of actual US dollars purchased this amounted to $20,638,306 at a closing rate that was unchanged for the day at $103.90 and sold US$21,056,664 at 26 cents less than on Friday at $104.15. Dealers purchased C$1,317,993 for $98.89 at 11 cents less than on Friday and they sold C$785,625 at $101.38 up by 22 cents. £1,076,430 was purchased at $164.62 down by $1.02 and £688,511 was sold at $167.974, 18 cents lower at the end of the day.

FX_TRADE+Currency+Oct14Highs & Lows | The highest and lowest rates generally moved up except for two that were unchanged and the US dollar low for selling, which fell by 21 cents to end at $84.75.

The highest buying rate for the US dollar increased by 5 cents to end at $106.25 while the lowest buying rate was unchanged at $84.96; the highest selling rate was also unchanged at $108.87.

The highest buying rate for the Canadian dollar climbed 30 cents to end at $102.30, the lowest buying rate ended at $80.18, higher by 8 cents; the high for selling rates stood 4 cents higher on the day at $103.46 and the selling low at $96.60 was up $1.40.

FX_TRADE+HighLow+Oct14The British Pound highest buying rate climbed 20 cents to end at $169.20, the lowest buying rate was up 45 cents to $133.67; the highest selling rate increased 90 cents to $172.80 and the lowest selling rate climbed 40 cents to $161.05.

Ghana stocks now up 71.4%

Friday 11th October 2013 | The Ghana Stock Exchange closed the week on Friday at 2,056.27 points gaining more than 36 points for the week as 11 stocks recorded prices gains and 2 declined.

The market gained 71.4% year to date according to data from the stock exchange. During the week Guinness Ghana Brewery gained 14 percent as the price moved up by GH¢0.75 to close at GH¢6.20; the PE for Guinness is around 7 times 2013 earnings. Sam Woode Ltd, involved in publishing of educational books, printing and related businesses went up 50 percent but that was from GH¢0.02 to GH¢0.03; the last financial statements seen for Sam Woode is for 2010.

HFC Bank Ltd, the bank that Republic Bank in Trinidad now owns 40 percent, climbed by 5 percent to GH¢0.68 and Mechanical Lloyd Company gained 5 percent to end at GH¢0.33. Mechanical Lloyd are the exclusive agents for the sale and servicing of BMW cars and motor cycles, Ford vehicles, Massey Ferguson agricultural machinery and Delphi products in Ghana.

The Cedi is the Ghana currency, approximately GH¢2 to the US dollar.

Related posts | Big gains in Ghana Stocks | Republic ups stake in Ghanaian Bank | Ghana Stock Exchange rated best performing in Africa

Grace dividend coming

The Board of Directors of Grace Kennedy will consider the payment of an interim dividend to be paid in December 2013 at a meeting scheduled for Thursday, November 7, 2013. Last year the company paid a dividend of 70 cents per share on December 18.

Grace Kennedy earlier this year increased its dividend partially in line with the increase in profits for the period. Accordingly, the company paid an interim dividend of 78 cents per share on September 30 this year.

The previous dividend paid was 70 cents per stock unit on March 27, 2013 and in September 2012, a dividend of 70 cents per share was paid.

Grace Kennedy is an IC Insider Buy Rated Stock

Related posts | Grace’s profit up 41% in June quarter | Buy Rated: Some gains, some losses

Buy Rated misses & gains so far

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Friday, 11th October 2013 | This past week was not a great one on the Jamaica Stock Market as the market dropped starting from the previous week’s Thursday until this past Thursday, only partially offset by a rally on Friday. The Trinidad Market held its own with a few days when advancing stocks out numbered declining ones by some margin.

JMMB and Grace Kennedy climbed 14 percent and 25 percent, respectfully, on the Trinidad & Tobago market while Sagicor Finance is up 7 percent and Scotia Investments up 4 percent since we placed them on the Buy Rated list.

Guardian Holdings is down by 8 percent and Neal & Massy by 4 percent and stand as the only two losers of the selected Buy Rated list for the Trinidad Market.

BuyRatedgwthOct11Things have not gone as well in the Jamaican market with 4 stocks showing double digit losses but the majority have held close to the selection price.

The Buy Rated list has a new stock for investors to consider on the T&TSE.  Point Lisas Port Development has been added to based on profits so far this year, which suggest earnings of approximately 40 cents per share from operations and a current price of $3.77, could double in price.

Related posts | TTSE PE: Some stocks lose potential | Buy Rated: Some gains, some losses

The IC Insider’s Buy Rated seal of approval is given to a stock that we believe is a compelling buy with earnings that are strong relative to the price and strong prospects of generating high price gains within the next twelve months.

Our research is backed by published reports of the company’s performance and insights of future earnings that can be found at ICInsider.com. The final decision to buy, or not, is your personal choice.

To find published reports for a Buy Rated stock on IC Insider, please choose the category Buy Rated’ under Company News or enter the company name, in full or part at ‘Search IC Insider’.

Buy&WatchOct11

TTSE PE: Some stocks lose potential

Friday, 11 October 2013 | New to Top 6 of our PE Ratio list of stocks on the Trinidad & Tobago Stock Exchange is Point Lisas Port Development as it shows very promising prospects based on the results to June, 2013, excluding the fair value gains or losses on investment property. It now ranks as 5th with a possible 111% potential gain.

Elsewhere, Angostura Holdings’ price has have moved up leaving not much potential gain at current earnings and is now at the bottom of the PE listing with possibly a 15 percent more potential gain. Buyers at this level will be taking on added risk in the hope that 2014 results will continue to show improvement, thus making it an investment worth acquiring based on the scarceness of the stock.

TTSEPE_RatioOct11Guardian Holdings potential gains has been reduced and it slipped to 4th in the ranking with a 181% potential gain. National Flour has appreciated to 3rd place and National Enterprises has moved up in price and down in attractiveness but it could still move up by nearly 30 percent.

As at Friday’s close of the market, the bids look interesting for a number of stocks and the coming week could be compelling for investors and the IC Insider’s PE ranking of potential gains.

TTSEPE_RatioOct11+Top6

Image courtesy of Jeroen Van Oostrom/ FreeDigitalPhotos.net

TTSEPE_RatioOct11+Nextbest

JSE: 6 days of decline ends

Friday, 11 October 2013 | Stock market investors in Jamaica must have breathed a sigh of relief when the end of the week came and ended a relatively painful 6 straight days of decline in the main and junior markets. Friday’s trades brought a ray of hope that things were not all lost, as the one stock, Carreras, that helped to pull the main market indices down, enjoyed some respite on Friday by climbing to $41 from $39 on Thursday. Friday was also another big trading day as two large trades helped push the volume up with 13,896,728 units valued at $282,533,917 trading in the market.

The JSE main index closed at 83,328.28, an increase of 394.03, the all Jamaica Index climbed to 82,309.51 up by 693.30 and the junior market was up by 6.25 to 747.12.

Main market | Carreras managed to put through 45,754 units as the price closed at $41 up $1.99. There appears to be a little more buying interest for the stock with Mayberry on the bid to buy for in-house purposes. The next bids below are at $36 from NCB Capital Markets for in-house purposes. These may lend some level of support for a while but the boarder picture will be the impact that the September results could have on the price when they are released in a few weeks time.

The past week was not filled with many positive sentiments, but there were some big trades going through on a number of days. On Friday, it was the time for Grace Kennedy to shine with a big trade valued at $156,716,459 as investors picked up 2,773,709 units closing the price at $56.50 down by 50 cents. With such a sizeable trade one may be tempted to think that Grace Kennedy was in the market with their buy-back plan. Data showed Stocks & Securities was the main seller while NCB Capital Markets, who bought 1 million units and JMMB Securities with 600,000, were the two large buyers while Stocks & Securities crossed 1 million units. Stocks & Securities crossed 2,914,752 Scotia Group shares while 1 million units were acquired by Scotia Investments for clients as Mayberry sold 1.2 million units resulting in a total of 4,384,221 of Scotia Group shares trading to close at $20.30 down 20 cents, for a value of $91,350,946.

JSEIndicesOct11Elsewhere, Cable & Wireless exchanged 443,865 units firm at 18 cents; Caribbean Cement 27,242 units resulted in a close at $2; First Caribbean International Bank traded 16,176 to close firm at $100; Jamaica Broilers enjoyed a 50 cents recovery as 10,000 units changed hands to close at $4.50. Mayberry Investments traded 60,663 units with the price unchanged at $2.61 at close; National Commercial Bank chipped in with 214,105 shares as the price ended at $18.25 up 5 cents. Radio Jamaica 2,030,000 units traded mostly at $1.32, the closing price, and Sagicor Life put in 260,151 units to close at $8.60 up by 26 cents.

In the preference sector, Jamaica Money Market Brokers 8.75% preference shares changed 364,000 units at $3 and Proven Investments 8% preference shares traded just 78,000 to close unchanged at $5.09.

Junior market | Trading picked up in the junior market as 11 of the companies participated in trading as Blue Power Group traded 21,847 units to close unchanged at $9.28; Caribbean Producers had 383,347 units going through the market to close unchanged at $2.08; Dolphin Cove put in a big trade as 2,228,030 units with a value of $18,490,999 were traded as the price recovered 50 cents to close at $8; General Accident Insurance exchanged 42,051 units to close 14 cents up to end at $1.65.

Jamaican Teas saw 64,007 changing hands as the price slipped by 10 cents to close at $3.80; Lasco Distributors 131,841 units resulted in no change in price of $1.45; Lasco Financial 68,794 units traded to close unchanged at $1.20; Lasco Manufacturing put on 4 cents to close at $1.45 with 87,141 units and Paramount Trading lost 20 cents as 99,615 units traded to close at $3.

IC bid-offer Indicator | At the end of trading, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator showed the market in a sideways movement with bids for 5 stocks being higher and 5 stocks with offers lower than their last selling price.

TTSE: Market looking up

Friday, 11 October 2013 | The Trinidad Stock Market closed the week with 16 securities trading with 6 advancing, 3 declining and 7 trading firm.

There was a total of 769,121 units valued at $4,476,812 passing through the market on a day when Angostura Holdings gained 51 cents to end the day at $11.51 while trading 2,539 units, a new 52 weeks high,  Point Lisas Industrial Port saw 538,447 shares changing hands for a value of $2,034,064, at the close the price lost 2 cents to end at $3.78, Jamaica’s National Commercial Bank had a volume of 83,400 shares trading valued at $98,411with the price closing at $1.16 down 2 cents, Trinidad Cement contributed 38,690 shares with a value of $83,184 with the price remaining unchanged at $2.15, while First Citizens Bank added 30,554 shares valued at $1,069,390 with no change to the price of $35. Scotia Investments traded 21,005 units to close firm at $1.95

Clico Investment Fund posted a volume of 32,285 shares valued at $693,919 as the price advanced by 6 cents to end at $21.49.

TTSEOct11IC bid-offer Indicator | At the end of trading, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator showed the market in a sideways movement with bids for 5 stocks being higher and 3 stocks with offers lower than their last selling price.

As the year progresses into the final quarter, annual results will start to flow along with nine months results for September. The reporting season will trigger interest in a number of stocks that could see higher prices as the year winds to an end. The stocks include Agostini’s, Angostura, National Enterprises, National Flour, Neal & Massy, One Caribbean Media, Point Lisas, Republic Bank, Scotia Bank and Unilever. If these stocks move up in price, especially the banking stocks, then First Citizens could gain a new lease of life.

JSE: Carreras at $39, market down 3% in a week

Thursday, 10th October 2013 | Carreras was selling as high as $61 per share in May this year but that was before the smoking ban was announced in June and the company reported a 30 percent drop in revenues and an even bigger fall in profits for the June quarter as the cigarette price hike earlier in the year took its toll on sales.

Those who made the exit move early are now laughing while others who were banking on a special dividend pay-out are possibly ruing the day they decided to stick it out. The stock, that had some increased buying interest after the September AGM, has seen a big fall out as the company reported sales are off 25 percent since the smoking ban, leaving investors to speculate as to exactly what this means for profits in the short and longer term. Today Carreras traded just 7,212 units, fell to $39.01 at the close, down $4.49. A few brave investors placed bids at $40 to purchase 3,600 units, below there are bids for 425,000 units at and above $38.

Today, the market continued its negative run non-stop from last week Thursday as the prices of 12 stocks fell to only 4 recording gains, a slight improvement over the day before when 16 fell and 6 advanced. Jamaica Producers enjoyed a big trade of 14.6 million shares valued at $270 million as the price closed at $18.50 off by just 3 cents and was the major contributor to the amount of funds passing through the market.

The JSE main index closed at 82,934.25, a decline of 728.08, the all Jamaica Index fell to 81,616.21 off by 1,281.05 and the junior market was off by 8.14 to 740.87. The all Jamaica Index has shed 5.2 percent of its value since last week Thursday by falling 4,213 points, the main market index is off by 2,394 points or nearly 3 percent and the junior market 3.8 percent.

There was trading of 19,118,353 shares valued at $315,360,235.

JSEIndicesOct10Main market | On a day of falling prices, Grace Kennedy was trading at $57, up 25 cents with 68,994 with a value of $3.9 million, the stock traded in Trinidad at J$64. In an overall negative weakness in the market, many prices retreated including Jamaica Broilers that lost 55 cents while trading 27,030 units to close at $4.00; Jamaica Money Market Brokers saw 46,544 units trading as the price closed firm at $8. The stock is traded in T&T at $9.20 on Thursday. National Commercial Bank traded a mere 2,975 to close at $18.20 down 30 cents; Pan Jamaican Investment traded 500,728 units valued at $24.2 million to close at $50.34, up by $1.34; Sagicor Life traded 54,583 units to close at $8.34 down by 17 cents; Scotia Group traded 254,813 units to close at $20.50, down 50 cents with a value of $5,241,227; Scotia Investments traded just 3,019 units to close at $26.50, up by 32 cents.

Jamaica Money Market Brokers 7.50% preference shares traded 77,814 units firm at $2; Proven Investments 8% preference share traded 1,189,280 units valued at $6,053,435 to close firm at $5.09.

Junior market | The junior market has lost much ground in recent weeks and closed down again as most of the stocks trading fell. Access Financial Services traded 412,874 units to close at $8.28 for a 12 cents fall; Caribbean Producers exchanged 20,000 units to close firm at $2.08; Dolphin Cove traded 17,000 units and dropped 50 cents to close at $7.50; General Accident Insurance which closed at $1.61 lost more ground as $1.51 31,167 units traded to close at $1.51, down by 10 cents; Jamaican Teas exchanged 256,274 units to close at $3.90; Lasco Distributors lost 3 cents with 411,800 units to close at $1.45; Lasco Financial Services had another million shares day in trading of 1,028,280 units versus 1,005,106 on Wednesday units to close unchanged at $1.20 and Lasco Manufacturing traded 59,566 units to close at $1.41, down 9 cents.

IC bid-offer Indicator | At the end of trading, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator showed the market in a sideways movement with bids for 6 stocks being higher and 5 stocks with offers lower than their last selling price.

TTSE: Advances outnumber declines

Thursday, 10th October 2013 | Market activity was not robust, but what it lacked in the level of trades was made up by the number of stocks with price changes as trading took place in 15 securities of which 5 advanced, 1 declined and 9 traded firm as 462,619 shares crossed the floor of the Trinidad Exchange valued at $1,645,623.

First Citizens Bank 5,072 units firm at $35; Grace Kennedy gained 21 cents to end the day at $4.01 with only 1,500 units; Guardian Holdings traded 11,508 units to close at $15.01; Jamaica Money Market Brokers recorded 179,544 shares changing hands for a value of $103,268 as the price close up 2 cents to 58 cents. National Commercial Bank with a volume of 166,695 shares traded for $196,700 with the stock gaining 2 cents to $1.18; Neal & Massy Holdings 10,183 $56.51; National Flour Mills 10,000 units firm at 91 cents; Point Lisas contributed 27,000 shares with a value of $102,710 to close unchanged at $3.80; while Sagicor Financial Corporation added 23,478 shares valued at $170,216 to close firm at $7.25; Scotia Investments traded 10,881 units firm at $1.95; Trinidad Cement traded 14,907 units unchanged at $2.15; Scotiabank declined by 15 cents to end the day at $70.10 on small volume.

TTSEOct10Clico Investment Fund recorded a small volume of 725 shares valued at $15,537 as the price advanced by 12 cents to end at $21.43.

IC bid-offer Indicator | At the end of trading, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator showed the market in a sideways movement with bids for 5 stocks being higher and 3 stocks with offers lower than their last selling price.

T&T Inflation picks up

Latest available data from the T&T Central Statistical Office showed that, on a year-on-year basis, inflation rose to 5.1 per cent in August 2013 from 3.8 per cent in July 2013, and 7.9 per cent one year earlier.

This was mainly due to a rise in food inflation, which increased to 7.7 per cent in August 2013 from a low of 4.8 per cent in the previous month. Core inflation inched slightly upwards but remains stable at a little over 3.0 per cent in August 2013. While core inflation demonstrated a slight uptick in August 2013, underlying inflationary pressures still remain well contained.

Related Posts | T&T economy growing

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