Two new entries to IC TOP 10

Back in IC TOP 10

The vast majority of listed companies on the Jamaica Stock Exchange will be releasing quarterly results by the end of the week and that could result in significant price movements for some. The major moves should apply mostly in the Junior Market that has several undervalued stocks.
The main market TOP 10 has two new additions this week with Pulse Investments surging back into the list with robust first-quarter results, suggesting that profit for the year could reach 50 cents per share.  Scotia Group also returned to the top flight while Eppley and Proven Investments exited the listing. There was no change to the Junior Market TOP 10 list.
The top three Junior Market stocks continue to be led by Caribbean Producers with projected gains of 254 percent, followed by Iron Rock Insurance with a potential rise of 232 percent and Main Event with 221 percent.
Radio Jamaica remains the lead stock with projected gains of 170 percent, followed by Carreras in the number two spot with likely increases of 106 percent and Berger Paints with projected growth of 95 percent is next.
The main market closed the week with the overall PE of 17.6, up from 17.2 and the Junior Market at 12.1 from 11.8, based on current year’s earnings. The PE ratio for Junior Market Top 10 stocks averages 7.5, with the main market PE at 10.6.
The TOP 10 stocks now trade at a discount of 38 percent to the average for Junior Market stocks and main market stocks trade at a discount of 40 percent to the overall market.
IC TOP 10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns to March next year. Projected earnings, along with the PE ratio for each company’s current fiscal year are used in determining potential gains with the likely gains ranked in descending order with highest-ranked being the most attractive. The increased values will change as stock prices fluctuate and will result in movements of the selection in and out of the lists for most weeks. Earnings per share are revised on an ongoing basis as new information is received that can result in changes in and out of the list.
This report is compiled by persons who may have an interest in the securities commented on.

Main Event leaps into IC TOP 10

Main Event revenues growing nicely profit stalls.

Overall price movement on the Jamaica Stock Exchange was steadier ahead of the month-end but some stocks recorded notable price movements as the JMMB Group APO remained opened.
Main Event shot into the Junior Market TOP 10 list this week in the number 3 position with a switch to earnings for 2020 fiscal year. The company came under selling pressure recently with profit declining in the July quarter although revenues climbed a strong 29 percent over the outturn for the similar quarter in 2018. The company managed to record a modest increase in its nine months profit with earnings per share of 36 cents. If the growth in revenues maintains the trend for 2019 in 2020 and management controls cost that was out of line in 2019, then the company should go on to record a strong increase in profit in the 2020 fiscal year that starts this month.
Honey Bun returns to the Junior Market TOP 10 stocks while Caribbean Flavours and Access Financial with an earnings downgrade, following release of the six months results, are out of the IC TOP 10. Over in the main market, Eppley moved in at the expense of Scotia Group with the price climbing to $58.99 on Friday.
The top three Junior Market stocks, continue to be led by Caribbean Producers with projected gains of 237 percent, followed by Iron Rock Insurance with potential gains of 233 percent followed by Main Event with 226 percent.
Radio Jamaica remains the lead stock with projected gains of 176 percent, followed by Carreras in the number two spot with likely gains of 128 percent and Jamaica Broilers with projected growth of 107 percent is next.
The main market, closed the week with the overall PE of 17.8, up from 17.2 and the Junior Market at 12.1 from 11.8, based on current year’s earnings. The PE ratio for Junior Market Top 10 stocks averages 7.8 with the main market PE at 10.7 from 10.8 for the previous week.
The TOP 10 stocks now trade at a discount of 37 percent to the average for Junior Market stocks and main market stocks trade at a discount of 38 percent to the overall market.
IC TOP 10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns to March next year. Projected earnings, along with the PE ratio for each company’s current fiscal year are used in determining potential gains with the likely gains ranked in descending order with highest-ranked being the most attractive. Potential values will change as stock prices fluctuate and will result in movements of the selection in and out of the lists for most weeks. Earnings per share are revised on an ongoing basis as new information is received that can result in changes in and out of the list.

This report is compiled by persons who may have an interest in the securities commented on.

IC TOP 10 steady in market volatility

The main market slipped on each trading day, this past week with the market index dropping more than 11,000 points and has corrected nearly 8 percent from the peak in August while the Junior Market fell 65 points but the TOP 10 stocks had one change.  
Jetcon Corporation rose in price by the end of the week to $1.99 from $1.85 at the close of the previous week and dropped out of the Junior Market TOP 10, while CAC2000 moved back into the top 10 at the number ten spot.
Market activity resulted in no change to the top three Junior Market stocks, leaving Caribbean Producers with projected gains of 233 percent as the leader, followed by Iron Rock with potential gains of 233 percent and Jamaican Teas with 167 percent.
Radio Jamaica closed the week down at $1.80 from $1.99 with projected gains of 178 percent, up from last week’s 151 percent and remains the leading undervalued main market stock. Carreras is the number two stock with likely gains of 129 percent and Berger Paints with projected gains of 95 percent is next.
The main market closed the week with the overall PE of 17.2 and the Junior Market at 11.8 based on current year’s earnings. The PE ratio for Junior Market Top 10 stocks average is at 7.8 and the main market PE fell to 10.8 from 11.1 for the previous week.
The TOP 10 stocks now trade at a discount of 34 percent to the average for Junior Market stocks and main market stocks trade at a discount of 37 percent to the overall market.
TOP 10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns to March next year. Projected earnings, along with the PE ratio for each company’s current fiscal year are used in determining potential gains with the likely gains ranked in descending order with highest ranked being the most attractive. Potential values will change as stock prices fluctuate and will result in movements of the selection in and out of the lists for most weeks. Earnings per share are revised on an ongoing basis as new information is received that can result in changes in and out of the list.

This report is compiled by persons who may have an interest in the securities commented on.

42% gain pushes MPC out of IC TOP 10

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Infrequent trader MPC Caribbean Clean Energy after just six weeks on the TOP 10 main market chart with the price at $134 dropped out this week, with the price hitting $190 for a gain of 42 percent.
MPC was the only stock leaving the main market listing and is replaced by Stanley Motta with the stock price dropping to $5.50. Jetcon Corporation returns to the Junior Market after General Accident rising to $8 and falling to the 13th position on the overall Junior Market ranking.
Market activity resulted in no change to the top three Junior Market stocks, leaving Caribbean Producers with projected gains of 240 percent as the leader, followed by Iron Rock with potential gains of 204 percent and Jamaican Teas with 158 percent.
Increased investors’ interest pushed the price of Radio Jamaica to $1.99 with projected gains now down to 151 percent from last week’s 213 percent but still remains the leading main market stock with potential gains. Carreras sits at the number two spot with likely gains of 125 percent and Jamaica Broilers with projected gains of 100 percent is next.
The main market, closed the week with the overall PE of 17.3, inching up from 17.2 for the previous week and the Junior Market rose to 12 from 11.1 last week based on current year’s earnings. The PE ratio for Junior Market Top 10 stocks average rose to 7.9 from 7.7 and the main market PE remains at 11.1.
The TOP 10 stocks now trade at a discount of 34 percent to the average for Junior Market stocks and main market stocks trade at a discount of 36 percent to the overall market.
TOP 10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns to March next year. Projected earnings, along with the PE ratio for each company’s current fiscal year are used in determining potential gains with the likely gains ranked in descending order with highest-ranked being the most attractive. Potential values will change as stock prices fluctuate and will result in movements of the selection in and out of the lists for most weeks. Earnings per share are revised on an ongoing basis as new information is received that can result in changes in and out of the list.

This report is compiled by persons who may have an interest in the securities commented on.

Indies Pharma Q3 sales jump 45%

The financial news out of Indies Pharma for its third quarter to July were mixed at best as sale revenues jumped a strong 45 percent to $215 million from $148 million in the 2018 period but profit inched just 9 percent higher to $34 million from $31 million in 2018.
Sale revenues for the nine months to July increased 28 percent to $576 million from $449 million in 2018 but profit soared 41 percent to $113 million from $80 million after-tax liability of $24 million in the similar 2018 period but profit before tax, rose just 8 percent. While many investors are guided by the bottom-line growth, others see great virtue in the growth of the business hence the strong sales increase is viewed as a positive indicator for future hikes in profit.
The less than spectacular growth in profits started in the second quarter ending April when the company posted $33 million before tax after tax compared to $38 million in the same quarter of 2018.
Gross profit margin in the third quarter declined to 63 percent from 68 percent in the 2018 period, but for the year to date, gross profit margin improved to 67 percent from 64 percent in the nine-month period in 2018. Cost of sales rose 68 percent to $79 million from $47 million for the quarter and increased by 18 percent to $189 million from $161 million in 2018 for the year to date. The effect, operating profit fell just 3 percent in the quarter from $35 million from $34 million but increased 4 percent year to date to $113 million from $109 million in 2018.
Administrative expenses rose stunning 51 percent to $104 million in the quarter from $69 million in 2018 and increased 52 percent in the nine months period to $276 million compared to $181 million in 2018.

Vishnu Muppuri – Executive director of Indies.

The spike in administrative expenses resulted from “significant increases incurred for rent, lease and set-up costs for the new facility in Montego Bay Freeport”, Vishnu Muppuri the company’s Executive director, reported. Finance cost declined in the quarter to $85,000 from $3 million in 2018 and from $4 million in 2018 to $281,000 for the nine-month period.
Gross cash flow from operating activities brought in $126 million but changes in working capital including increases to directors and related companies reduced the net inflows to $98 million, after paying dividends of $107 million in February, cash funds ended up at $71 million, down from $101 million at the start of the financial year. Net current assets ended the period at $660 million inclusive of receivables of $197 million, related parties and directors’ receivables of $201 million. Current liabilities stood at just $62 million. The company has no debt as all loans were retired in the 2018 fiscal year. At the end of July, shareholders’ equity stood at $680 million.
The stock traded at $3.25 on the Junior Market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange. Earnings per share came out at 3 cents for the quarter and 9 cents for the nine months and should end around 12 cents for the full year for PE of 27 times earnings. While the stock appears over-priced, the strong growth in revenues for 2019, if it continues, should see 2020 earnings hitting 25 cents per share that would reduce the PE to 13 times in the new fiscal year that starts in November.

Financials & entertainers join IC TOP 10

Scotia Group joins IC TOP 10

The past week saw declines in the markets with the main market falling on each trading day while the Junior Market was up and down. Against that background, three new listings made it to the TOP 10 lists.
Buy Rated Junior Market stocks have two new entrants this week with Dolphin Cove price dropping to $9 and Access Financial trading at $35 joining the list while Honey Bun with the price rising to $6.50 and CAC2000 that rose to $13.50 exiting the top listing. Scotia Group dropped back to $57.10 from $61.50 at the end of the previous week and returns to the main market TOP 10 list at the expense of Stanley Motta.
Market activity resulted in no change to the top three Junior Market stocks, leaving Caribbean Producers with projected gains of 240 percent as the leader, followed by Iron Rock Insurance with potential gains of 201 percent and Medical Disposables with 186 percent.
Radio Jamaica (RJR) share price that slipped during the previous week to a low of $1.35 and closed that week at $1.60, climbed further this past week with increased investors’ interest that pushed the price to $1.80 with projected gains to 213 percent, to remain the leading main market stock. Carreras sits at the number two spot with likely gains of 125 percent and Jamaica Broilers with projected gains of 100 percent is next.  Berger Paints slipped to the fourth spot with a downward revision of earnings to $1.80 for the year.
The main market, closed the week with the overall PE of 17.2, inching up from 17.1 for the previous week and the Junior Market remaining unchanged at 11.1 based on current year’s earnings. The PE ratio for Junior Market Top 10 stocks average remains at 7.7 and the main market PE at 11.1, up from 10.4 at the close of the previous week.
The TOP 10 stocks now trade at a discount of 31 percent to the average for the Junior Market stocks and main market stocks trade at a discount of 36 percent to the overall market.
TOP 10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns to March next year. Projected earnings, along with the PE ratio for each company’s current fiscal year are used in determining potential gains with the likely gains ranked in descending order with highest-ranked being the most attractive. Potential values will change as stock prices fluctuate and will result in movements of the selection in and out of the lists for most weeks. Earnings per share are revised on an ongoing basis as new information is received that can result in changes in and out of the list.

This report is compiled by persons who may have an interest in the securities commented on.

Bun & Teas in IC TOP 10 BUY RATED

Buy Rated Junior Market stocks have two new entrants this week with Honey Bun and Jamaican Teas returning to the top listing. Both companies’ fiscal year ended September, with earnings for the 2020 fiscal year, used in valuing them.
The new listings are expected to benefit from growth in the core business, with Honey Bun continuing to benefit above the norm from the expansion of the factory late last year and new products being manufactured while Jamaican Teas could benefit from investment gains from the portfolio of QWI Investments.
Dropping from the Junior Market TOP 10 are Elite Diagnostic and Express Catering.  There were no changes to the main market TOP 10.
Market activity, left Caribbean Producers with projected gains of 240 percent as the leading Junior Market stock with likely gains, followed by Iron Rock Insurance with potential gains of 204 percent and Medical Disposables with projected gains of 184 percent.
Radio Jamaica (RJR) share price slipped during the week to a low of $1.35 but bounced to close the week at $1.60, pushing projected gains to 213 percent, to remain the leading main market stock. RJR is benefiting from increasing revenues, resulting from a more buoyant economy, the rollout of new services, the signing of an agreement with Flow that will add to revenues without the added cost and lower costs in a number of areas, with more to come. Carreras sits at the number two spot with projected gains of 125 percent with the price slipping a bit during the week and Berger Paints with projected gains of 115 percent in next.
The main market, closed the week with the overall PE of 17.1 down from 17.7 the previous week and the Junior Market is at 11.1 from 11.7 based on current year’s earnings. The PE ratio for Junior Market Top 10 stocks averages 7.7 compared to 7.9 the previous week and the main market PE remains at 10.4.
The TOP 10 stocks now trade at an average discount of 31 percent to the average for the Junior Market Top stocks and main market stocks trade at a discount of 39 percent to the overall market.
TOP 10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns to March next year. Projected earnings, along with the PE ratio for each company’s current fiscal year are used in determining potential gains with the likely gains ranked in descending order with highest-ranked being the most attractive. Potential values will change as stock prices fluctuate and will result in movements of the selection in and out of the lists for most weeks. Earnings per share are revised on an ongoing basis as new information is received that can result in changes in and out of the list.

This report is compiled by persons who may have an interest in the securities commented on.

IC TOP 10 focus on QWI

Attention by investors seems set to be focused on QWI Investments, which commences trading on Monday, but being the end of the month, investors could be seeing other stocks recording interesting movements.
Buy Rated stocks had few changes with Elite Diagnostic and Express Catering climbing back into the Junior Market TOP 10 with the price of Elite dropping to $5.40 from $5.60 at the end of the previous week while Seprod returns to the main market list at the expense of Scotia Group.
Slipping out of the IC TOP 10 listing is Jetcon Corporation that remained at $1.80, Main Event earnings were adjusted down with the decline of profit reported in the July quarter due to increased cost that exceeded revenues and Scotia Group rose to $60 from $57.50 and dropped out of the TOP 10.
Market activity, resulted in Caribbean Producers with projected gains of 244 percent being the leading Junior Market stock with potential gains, followed by Iron Rock with likely gains of 200 percent and Medical Disposables with projected gains of 186 percent.
Radio Jamaica closed the week with projected gains of 194 percent as the leading main market stock with the price falling to $1.70 from $1.90 during the week. Berger Paints sits at the number two spot with projected gains of 132 percent as more interest comes in for this stock coupled with reduced selling ahead of the most important quarter coming up when sales exceed all other quarters and Carreras with projected gains of 112 percent.
The main market closed the week with the overall PE of 17.7 up from 16.7 the previous week and the Junior Market is up to 11.7 from 11.3 based on current year’s earnings. The PE ratio for Junior Market Top 10 stocks averages 7.9 compared to 7.8 the previous week and the main market PE remains at 10.4. These levels of PE ratios point to big upside for TOP 10 stocks.
The TOP 10 stocks now trade at an average discount of 32 percent to the average for the Junior Market Top stocks and main market stocks trade at a discount of 41 percent to the overall market.
TOP 10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns to March next year. Projected earnings, along with the PE ratio for each company’s current fiscal year are used in determining potential gains with the likely gains ranked in descending order with highest-ranked being the most attractive. Potential values will change as stock prices fluctuate and will result in movements of the selection in and out of the lists for most weeks. Earnings per share are revised on an ongoing basis as new information is received that can result in changes in and out of the list.

This report is compiled by persons who may have an interest in the securities commented on.

Increased cost stunts Main Event’s profit

Main Event revenues growing nicely profit stalls.

Sales climbed 29 percent for the quarter to $469 million from $364 million in 2018 but increased cost melted away the revenue gains leaving 40 percent less profit in the July quarter at $15 million, down from $25 million reported in 2018 for Main Event.
The third quarter’s performance is in stark contrast to the second-quarter performance. With $31 million lower revenues, profit in the April 2019 quarter was $62 million, well up on the July quarter’s outcome.
The company, an entertainment production and planning agent, recorded a strong 28 percent growth in revenues for the nine months to July of $1.36 billion, up from $1.07 billion in 2018. Very little of the increased income percolated into more profit for the nine months to July, as profit increased slightly by 2 percent to $108 million from $105 million in 2018.
The strong increase revenue is attributed to the company’s focus on diversifying its income stream that includes M-Style experience that focuses on the wedding market, expansion to the western end of the island and M Academy project, the company directors advised investors.
Gross profit margin in the nine-month period fell to 44 percent from 48 percent in 2018 and was also down in the July quarter by 42 percent, from 45 percent in 2018. Direct expenses climbed 37 percent in the nine months ending July to $761 million from $556 million in 2018, and by 36 percent in the quarter ending July to $271 million from $200 million. Gross profit rose slower than revenues by 21 percent in the quarter to $198 million from $164 million but increased 18 percent for the year to date to $604 million from $510 million in 2018.

Three directors of Main Event, including the mentor who is responsible to ensure compliance with the JSE rules.

Operating and administrative expenses rose a sharp 35 percent to $182 million in the quarter and 25 percent in the nine months to $492 million. Finance cost declined in the quarter to $8 million from $5 million in 2018 and from $14 million to $18 million for the nine-month period. “We have taken note of increased prices in third party inputs and increased inefficiency internally”, the directors indicated.
Gross cash flow from operating activities brought in $213 million, payables of $146 million and dividends of $18 million. At the end of July, shareholders’ equity was $631 million, long term loans of $139 million, net current assets ended the period at $470 billion inclusive of receivables of $375 million, cash and bank balances of $50 million and current liabilities of $240 million.
Earnings per share came out at 4 cents for the quarter and 36 cents for the nine months. IC Insider.com is forecasting 40 cents per share for PE of 14 times earnings, importantly, with the 2019 fiscal year ending in October investors should be looking at the 2020 results to deliver increased profits and stock price appreciation. Continued strong top-line growth and implementation of cost control measures will enhance gains in 2020 and should see earnings hitting 85 cents per share for a PE of 7. The shares are listed on the Junior Market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange and last traded at $5.72.

IC TOP 10 relatively stable

Jamaica Broilers announced a new acquisition last week

The Jamaica stock market was impacted last week by fresh share insurances and acquisitions by two IC TOP 10 listed companies.
Investors’ attention was on pumping funds into Barita Investmentsrights issue and QWI Investmentsinitial public offering in the past week and led to more muted market activity, with the latter attracting more than 4,000 investors and in excess of $1.5 billion.
Other major developments in the past week were the announcement that TOP 10 BUY RATED General Accident picked up 55 percent of the Trinidad based Motor One Insurance company but investors hardly seem to notice. Another Top 10 listing, Jamaica Broilers announced yet another takeover of a poultry processing plant in the USA. Market activity in the coming week will be further affected with Proven Investments selling half of their holdings in Access Financial stock by way of a public offer, at an attractive price of $32 each. Market conditions resulted in just two changes to IC TOP 10 BUY RATED list as CAC 2000 returned to the top 10 Junior Market list, replacing Caribbean Cream and Scotia Group moved back into the main market listing at the expense of Seprod.
Changes in prices left Caribbean Producers with projected gains of 233 percent, followed Iron Rock by with likely gains of 201 percent and tTech with projected gains of 167 percent as the three most attractive Junior Market stocks.
Radio Jamaica closed the week with projected gains of 163 percent as the leading main market stock with the price falling to $1.90 by the end of the week. Berger Paints sits at the number two spot with projected gains of 121 percent as more interest comes in for this stock coupled with reduced selling ahead of the most important quarter coming up when sales exceed all other quarters and Carreras with projected gains of 112 percent.
The main market, closed the week with the overall PE of 16.7 down from 17.7 the previous week and the Junior Market is down to 11.3 from 11.6 based on current year’s earnings. The PE ratio for Junior Market Top 10 stocks averages 7.8 compared to 7.7 the previous week and the main market PE slips to 10.4. These levels of PE ratios point to big upside for TOP 10 stocks.
The TOP 10 stocks now trade at an average discount of 31 percent to the average for the Junior Market Top stocks and main market stocks trade at a discount of 38 percent to the overall market.
TOP 10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns to March next year. Projected earnings, along with the PE ratio for each company’s current fiscal year are used in determining potential gains. The likely gains are ranked in descending order, with the highest-ranked being the most attractive and moving down the least attractive. Potential values will change as stock prices fluctuate and will result in movements of the selection in and out of the lists for most weeks. Earnings per share are revised on an ongoing basis as new information is received that can result in changes in and out of the list.

This report is compiled by persons who may have an interest in the securities commented on.