The leading Main Market ICInsider.com TOP10 listed Radio Jamaica stuns the market this week with blow out first quarter profit of $110 million that compares well with $171 million reported in the last fiscal year, profit could be higher but for a near $70 million provision for bad debt and would have put the result close to our first quarter profit forecast of it beating 2021 full year results.
The bad news is that many persons ignore ICInnsider.com’s forecast of great things to come from the company, with many chasing after it on Friday after the release of the results on Thursday. Some readers bought into the vision but not all. The good news is that, with projected earnings of 45 cents per share, there is much room for this stock to run. The other good news is that there is much more to be gained by owning the stock as the company completes projects that will boost revenues and grow profits in the years to come.
The last dividend paid was 2 cents in July of 2019; before that, 2 cents in September 2016 and 10 cents in September 2015, although profit was only 9 cents per share. A dividend seems due for September this year, and with profits up in the 2021 fiscal year and year to date, shareholders could be looking at an early Christmas present.
The RJR results came close to the end of earning season for the June quarter and stimulated strong buying in the stock, with 9.2 million shares changing hands on Friday, the highest since 8.25 million units were traded on the 19 of July, the second trading day after the company released full year’s results to March. Interest has been building in the stock from the full year release and could get stronger as ICInsider.com gathers that there is good buying interest in it.
With those strong results and the promise of 45 cents per share to be earned for this year and 80 cents in the next year, one would be forgiven if they felt that RJR should be dislodged from the ICTOP10 listing. Well, the top three Main Market stocks are headed again by Radio Jamaica, but the potential gains rose from 296 percent to 300 percent, even as the price moved up to a 52 weeks’ closing high of $2.25 from $2.02 last week, due to upgrading in the earnings to 45 cents per share or $1.1 billion. RJR is followed by Berger Paints, with earnings per share upgraded to $2.45 and JMMB Group, with expected gains of 200 to 300 percent for the three, versus last weeks’ 191 to 296 percent.
CAC2000, a stock with little focus from investors replaces Jetcon Corporation in the Junior Market ICTOP10. Investors should keep watch on CAC2000, with the strong growth in the construction sector that could benefit them.
The PE Ratio of the TOP 10 Junior Market stocks trade at a 44 percent discount to the market average and Main Market stocks 54 percent, indicating the potential gains in these stocks compared with many of those outsides of them.
The top three stocks in the Junior Market, are Elite Diagnostic, followed by General Accident and Medical Disposables, with the potential to gain between 221 percent and 295 percent compared to 256 and 336 percent, last week. Medical Disposables reported vastly improved revenues and profit for the June quarter even without reporting any income from acquiring the 60 percent majority ownership in Cornwall Enterprises. The price of General Accident has languished from last year, even as expansion pointed to improved results for them. They reported a profit of $166 million for the June quarter and $202 million for the half year with EPS of 16 cents and 20 cents respectively, putting them in line to exceed 60 cents for the full year with the last quarter usually the period with highest profits. Caribbean Brokers recorded increased revenues as well as increased expenses, some to promote products. Losses increased in the June quarter and half year, but late 2020 was the period that profit was reported. JMMB Group reported improved June results that more than doubled over 2020 even as cost rose faster than revenues.
This past week, the average gains projected for the Junior Market moved from 218 percent to 193 percent and Main Market stocks to 180 percent from 175 percent.
The Junior Market closed the week with an average PE 12.6 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings and currently trades well below the target of 20 and the recent historical average of 17, for the period to March this year based on 2020 earnings.
The JSE Main Market ended the week with an overall PE of 16.3, a little distance from the 19 the market ended at in March, suggesting a 17 percent rise at a PE of 19 and 23 percent at a PE of 20 from now to March 2022. The Main Market TOP 10 trades at a PE of 7.5, with a 46 percent discount to the PE of that market, well off the potential of 20.
For the Junior Market to trade at the historical average, the PE Ratio would have to rise 38 percent and requires a rise of 63 percent to reach the targeted PE of 20 by March 2022. Main Market stocks would have to rise by 17 percent to hit a PE of 19 and 23 percent to get to the target of 20. 
The Junior Market Top 10 stocks average PE is a mere 6.9, just 54 percent of the market average, indicating substantial gains ahead.
The TOP10 stocks are not always the best in the market but are most likely to be the best winners within a fifteen-month period. IC ranked stocks to filter out the big winners, allowing investors to focus on potentially big winners and help to keep out emotional attachments to stocks.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on likely increase for each company, considering the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.
Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.
The top three stocks in the Junior Market, continue to be Elite Diagnostic, followed by Caribbean Assurance Brokers and Medical Disposables, with the potential to gain between 256 percent and 336 percent compared to 221 and 287 percent, last week. Medical Disposables continues the addition of new products to its portfolio that will add revenues and profit going forward. The acquisition of the 60 percent majority ownership in Cornwall Enterprises, will result in economies of scale and an expanded portfolio to market nationally to an expanded clientele.
The Top10 Main Market leader Radio Jamaica continues to enjoy buying interest that is whittling away the supply of stocks on offer in the market. A barrage of new results are due this coming week as the final reporting day for the period will be Saturday this coming week.
The JSE Main Market ended the week with an overall PE of 16.3, a little distance from the 19 the market ended at in March, suggesting a 17 percent rise at a PE of 19 and 23 percent at a PE of 20 from now to March 2022. The Main Market TOP 10 trades at a PE of 7.5, with a 54 percent discount to the PE of that market, well off the potential of 20.
IC ranked stocks to filter out the big winners, allowing investors to focus on potentially big winners and help to keep out emotional attachments to stocks.
The top three stocks in the Junior Market, continue, with Elite Diagnostic, followed by Caribbean Assurance Brokers and Medical Disposables, with the potential to gain between 221 percent and 287 percent compared to 237 and 291 percent, last week. The top three Main Market stocks are Radio Jamaica in the number one spot, followed by JMMB Group and Guardian Holdings, with expected gains of 184 to 296 percent, versus last weeks’ 183 to 292 percent.
The JSE Main Market ended the week with an overall PE of 16.4, a little distance from the 19 the market ended at in March, suggesting just a 17 percent rise at a PE of 19 and 23 percent at a PE of 20 from now to March 2022. The Main Market TOP 10 trades at a PE of 7.6 or 46 percent of the PE of that market, well off the potential of 20.
The TOP10 stocks are not always the best stocks in the market but ones that are most likely to be the best winners within a fifteen months period. IC ranked stocks to filter out the big winners, allowing investors to focus on potentially big winners and help to keep out emotional attachments to stocks.
That is one reason why many of the selections at the start of the year have done well. Examples are as such, Caribbean Cream up 43 percent for the year to date started the year at the number 2 spot, Caribbean Producers the number 3 spot selection is up 82 percent, Main Event up 73 percent, Medical Disposables up just 12 percent, Stationery & Office Supplies 55 percent, Lumber Depot 116 percent and Mailpac 32 percent. Later, Future Energy Source was added to the list at the IPO stage and is up an impressive 110 percent. Additionally, Jetcon Corporation up 76 percent and Jamaican Teas 100 percent are not being counted. The Main Market with few overall winners for that market so far also produced winners from the TOP15 list, posted at the start of the year, Grace, Carreras, Caribbean Cement and Jamaica Broilers. 
PanJam Investment earnings is downgraded to $4.50 per share and the stock moved out of the TOP10 Main Market listing and is replaced by Scotia Group, now in at tenth spot. There are no changes in or out of the Junior Market list.
The Junior Market closed the week with an average PE 13.1 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings and currently trades well below the target of 20 and the recent historical average of 17 for the period to March this year based on 2020 earnings. For the Junior Market to trade at the historical average, the PE Ratio would have to rise 30 percent and requires a rise of 53 percent to reach the targeted PE of 20 by March 2022. Main Market stocks would have to rise by 17 percent to hit a PE of 19 and 23 percent to get to the target of 20. The Junior Market Top 10 stocks average PE is a mere 6.8, just 52 percent of the market average, indicating substantial gains ahead.
The JSE Main Market ended the week with an overall PE of 16.4, a little distance from the 19 the market ended at in March, suggesting just a 17 percent rise at a PE of 19 and 23 percent at a PE of 20 from now to March 2022. The Main Market TOP 10 trades at a PE of 7.8 or 48 percent of the PE of that market, well off the potential of 20.
This past week the average gains projected for the Junior Market fell from 202 percent last week to 183 percent and Main Market stocks moved to 176 percent from 170 percent.
The Junior Market closed the week with an average PE 13.1 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings and currently trades well below the target of 20 as well as the recent historical average of 17 for the period to March this year based on 2020 earnings. For the Junior Market to trade at the historical average, the PE Ratio would have to rise by 30 percent and requires a rise of 53 percent to reach the targeted PE of 20 by March 2022. Main Market stocks would have to rise by 19 percent to hit a PE of 19 and 24 percent to get to the target of 20. The Junior Market Top 10 stocks average PE is a mere 7.2., just 55 percent of the market average, indicating substantial gains ahead.
This week’s focus: Results for 
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on likely increase for each company, taking into account the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in movements in and out of the lists weekly. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.
This past week the average gains projected for the Junior Market rose from 200 percent last week to 202 percent and Main Market stocks edged down from last week’s 171 percent to 168 percent.
For the Junior Market to trade at the historical average, the PE Ratio would have to rise by 32 percent and requires a rise of 53 percent to reach the targeted PE of 20 by March 2022. Main Market stocks would need to rise by 11 percent to hit a PE of 19 and 17 percent to get to the target of 20.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on likely increase for each company, taking into account the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in movements in and out of the lists weekly. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.
The Junior Market recovered all of its Covid-19 related loss and more in hitting its highest level this week, since the first week of December 2019, helped by a number of ICInsider.com Top stocks of which 6 recorded gains between 69 percent and 81 and two over 100 percent, with the market up 29 percent for 2021 to date. 
The top three stocks in the Junior Market are Elite, Caribbean Assurance and Medical Disposables, with the potential to gain between 223 and 287 percent, following the range of 254 to 276 percent last week. The top three Main Market stocks are Radio Jamaica in the number one spot, followed by JMMB Group and Guardian Holdings, with expected gains of 171 to 379 percent versus last weeks’ 188 to 385 percent.
For the Junior Market to trade at the historical average, the PE Ratio would have to rise by 31 percent and requires a rise of 54 percent to reach the targeted PE of 20 by March 2022. Main Market stocks would need to rise by 11 percent to hit a PE of 19 and 17 percent to get to the target of 20.
Main market had three days of decline but ended the week with a fall of points after recording a strong rise the previous week.
This past week the average gains projected for the Junior stocks slipped from 207 percent last week to 204 percent and the Main Market stocks moved up from last week’s 166 percent up to 172 percent with the upgrading of JMMB earnings.
The Junior Market closed the week with an average PE 13.1 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings and currently trades well below the target of 20 and the recent historical average of 17 for the period to March this year based on 2020 earnings. For the market to trade at the historical average, the PE Ratio would have to rise by 31 percent and require a rise of 52 percent to March 2022 to reach the targeted PE of 20.
The Main Market TOP 10 trades at a PE of 7.9 or 46 percent of the PE of that market, well off the potential of 20.
Scotia Group, along with Caribbean Cream, fell out of the TOP10 based on downward revisions to their earnings for the coming financial year ends. Moving into the Junior Market TOP10 is ISP Finance with the price dropping to $15.60 on Friday and the Main Market listed, Berger Paints moving back in the TOP10 with the price at $13.85 on Friday.
The targeted PE ratio for the market remains an average of 20 based on profits of companies reporting full year’s results up to the second quarter of 2022. Fiscal 2020-21 ended March 2021 with the average PE at 17 for Junior Stocks and 19 times for the Main Market. One reason why the Junior Market stocks have outperformed Main Market ones since last year can be seen from the big difference between the valuations of both markets, with the latter values close to maturity, based on present valuation metrics.
The Junior Market Top 10 stocks average a mere 6.7 at just 51 percent of the market average, indicating substantial gains ahead. The JSE Main Market ended the week with an overall PE of 17.1, a little distance from the 19 the market ended in March, suggesting just an 11 percent rise at a PE of 19 and 17 percent at a PE of 20 from now to March 2022. The Main Market TOP 10 trades at a PE of 7.9 or 46 percent of the PE of that market, well off the potential of 20.
The JSE All Jamaica Composite Index hit 466,915.58 points during the morning session on Friday, before closing lower at 459,273.23, up from 456,395.73, at the close of the previous week, as the market continues to wrestle with resistance.
This week’s focus: Access Financial Services came out with full year results that reflected increased lending and EPS of 50 cents in the March quarter. ICInsider.com upgraded earnings to just under $3 per share for the current fiscal year. Scotia Group also reported results for the six months to April, with a 12 percent rise in profit for the April quarter over the 2020 same quarter and an 11.4 percent rise for the six months results. The big negative is that the loan portfolio continued its decline into the April quarter. ICInsider.com now projects 2021 earnings at $4 per share.
The targeted PE ratio for the market averages 20 based on companies’ profits reporting full year’s results, up to the second quarter of 2022. Fiscal 2020-21 ended March 2021 with the average PE at 17 for Junior Stocks and 19 times for the Main Market.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on likely increase for each company, considering the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate, resulting in periodic movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.