It is now official National Commercial Bank (NCB) will be acquiring nearly 30 percent of Guardian Holdings subject to regulatory approvals, making them the largest shareholder in the Trinidad based company that was previously controlled by Jamaica Mutual Life.
The announcement now confirms the ICInsider.com report earlier in the year of NCB’s strong interest in the insurance group of companies. The move is in keeping with IC Insiders’ earlier understanding that both NCB and Proven Investments were targeting approximately 36 percent of Guardian, with the targets being – Tenetic Limited block of 35.84 million which, amounts to 15.46 percent of the company and Arthur Lok Jack’s direct holding of 6.29 percent or 14.59 million units. Arthur Lok Jack’s is listed as having a beneficial interest in Tenetic. Royal Insurance Trinidad holds 22.33 million units or 9.63 percent and RBC Trust T&T controls 4.99 percent or 11.57 million shares. The release from the Guardian shareholders indicates that IFC, who recently bought into Group, is one of the sellers, with no mention of RBC.
The acquisition of Guardian would be a complete reversal, returning the company to its Jamaican roots. Guardian was once majority owned by Jamaica Mutual Life, who sold out their holdings sometime before they ran into problems in Jamaica and folded. The Jamaican entities consider the company to be clean, well run and considerably undervalued. Guardian last traded in Trinidad at TT$13.90.
Guardian is primarily a Life Insurance company but also owns a general insurance arm. NCB operates the well known OMNI Life Insurance Company. Part of the likely synergy in future would be a merger of general insurance companies that both entities own, with Omni to be sold to the Life Insurance arm, resulting in economies of scale. The possibility exists that an expanded general Insurance company could be listed on the stock exchanges within the Caribbean, thus spreading the risk associated therewith. Guardian’s profit attributable to equity shareholders for the nine months to September was $235 million, down from $286 million for 2014.
Net Income from Insurance Activities grew by $80 million to $533 million from $453 million in 2014, however. Investment activities generated net income of $527 million as against $629 million in 2014, a result significantly affected by the fair value losses of $66 million (2014 gains $27 million) that were occasioned by extreme market uncertainty during the month of September. IC Insider estimates that NCB could see profits rising around 40 cents per share for the 2016 financial year if the deal is finalized soon and on the assumption that the price is around the last traded price of the stock.
Caribbean Flavour(ing) future profits
“With the price of the stock, trading at $2.55 for a PE of just over 3 and 2.3 based on IC Insider’s forecast, (is) indicative of much upside potential,” was how Caribbean Flavours was assessed back in August this year, as the stock was elevated to the BUY RATED ranking after the company released its full year results to June.
In the June posting, IC Insider stated, “The company seems poised to hit earnings of 65 cents per share, for the June 2015 financial year, making it attractive for some short-term gains, with the current price of $2.09, at a PE ratio of 3 times earnings.”
Focusing on the end results of Caribbean Flavours & Fragrances for the year to June 2015 with increased profit of 22 percent over 2014 would lead one to look elsewhere, but that would be a big error. For while the nine months to March showed profit down marginally to $39 million from $40 million, profit for the March quarter was up 20 percent over March 2014 quarter, the June quarter increased by 143 percent to $18.77 million from just $7.6 million for June 2014.
The company followed up the improved results for the March and June quarters, with another quarter of strong performance to September, with a 51.3 percent increase in net profit to $20.36 million over the $13.46 million recorded for the similar period in 2014. The improved profit flowed from sales for the quarter jumping 38.20 percent to $87.46 million, compared to the $63.29 million recorded for the same period in 2014.
Caribbean Flavours’ produce with ingredients – the stock closed at a new high.
“The gross profit showed an increase of 28.91 percent moving from $25.487 million to $32.856 million as per our first quarter’s performance. The Company will continue to refine and improve our purchasing strategy in order to extract the necessary efficiencies and improve our cost of sales and gross profit.
The company continues to manage its administrative and general expenses within budget and compared to the 2014 quarter, there was only a 4.4 percent increase,” the report went on to state.
The future looks much brighter than the past year, for the company that manufactures and distributes flavours mainly for the beverage, baking and confectionery industries and also sells food colouring and fragrances. In responding to questions posed at the annual general meeting held on Wednesday 25 of November, directors indicated that the strong performance enjoyed in the September quarter continues into the December quarter.
“We have hardly scratched the surface of the potential market” Derrick Cotterell indicated, “we have moved into the Dominican Republic and Canada where there is much potential for growth and with renewed efforts and products the locally Jamaican market as well”. Cotterell stated that they have increased research into new products such as fragrances and this has opened up new opportunities for them. Trinidad, Cuba and Haiti are countries with potential for growth, they indicated but Haiti is said to be a difficult market to break into but they have contacts there that should make it possible. In addition to the focus on research and developments for new products and new customers the company said they were able to source some of its raw material more cheaply than before.
According to the company’s board, in their comments on the 2015 annual results “the economic environment has allowed the company to grow its revenues and profits by securing new markets for fragrances and increasing the volume of sales of flavours to existing and new customers in foreign markets. Based on the outlook for the coming year, it is expected that the company will continue to improve its profits whilst increasing its market share in the domestic and overseas markets”.
IC Insider projects profits for 2016 at $99 million or $1.10 per share with increased sales and improving profit margins and $1.50 for the 2017 fiscal year. Company is free of interest bearing debt and has net current assets of $221 million including cashfunds of $103 million.
