More fresh ICTOP10 listings

The markets were active this past week with the Junior Market closing at record highs on Thursday and Friday while the main market rose 2,750 points for the week, with former ICTOP10 listed Caribbean Producers hitting a record high of $20 at the close on Friday, up 19 percent from $16.74 last week and a stunning 614 since the start of 2021 as three TOP10 Main Market stocks enjoyed decent gains.
Access Financial fell from the Junior Market ICTOP10, with results for the nine months to December indicating that earnings for the full year will be in the $2 region rather than $2.60 that ICInsider.com previously projected, but it remains high on the 2022 TOP10. Elite Diagnostic traded at a 52 weeks’ high of $4.40 on Friday and ended at $3.73 with a gain of 7 percent in exiting the TOP10. Lumber Depot rose 10 percent to $3.20 and dropped out of the top listing. AMG Packaging rose 18 percent to end at $3.59, while Caribbean Assurance Brokers and Stationery & Office Supplies both gained 3 percent to remain in the TOP10. There are no new listings for the TOP10 Main Market for the week.
Guardian Holdings climbed 6 percent to close at $550, JMMB Group rose 8 percent to $40.99 and Sygnus Credit Investments jumped 10 percent to $15.84.
The sharp price movements in the Junior Market over the recent past weeks reduced the potential gains markedly, with the average increase projected for the TOP 10 Junior Market stocks now at 114 percent versus 119 percent last week and is now lower than the Main Market.
The top three stocks are Lasco Distributors followed by Caribbean Assurance Brokers and Lasco Financial to gain between 128 and 148 percent, compared to 131 and 150 percent, previously.
The potential gains for Main Market stocks moved from 139 percent to this weeks’ 131 percent, with the top three stocks being JMMB Group followed by Guardian Holdings and Sygnus Credit Investments all projected to gain between 155 and 193 percent from 151 and 254 percent last week.
After trading at a big discount to the Main Market for two years, the average PE for both the JSE primary markets has merged at 16.5 times 2021 earnings.
The Junior Market closed the week, with an average PE of 16.5 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings and is currently below the target of 20 and now very close to the average of 17 that was achieved at the end of March last year based on 2020 earnings. The TOP 10 stocks trade at a PE of a mere 9.4, with a 43 percent discount to that market’s average.
The Junior Market can gain 21 percent to March this year, based on an average PE of 20 that would take the index to 4,400 points. Twelve stocks representing 29 percent of all Junior Market stocks with positive earnings are trading at or above this level, averaging 25.
The average PE for the JSE Main Market is 16.5 just 15 percent less than the PE of 19 at the end of March and 21 percent below the target of 20 to March 2022. The Main Market TOP 10 average PE is 8.8 representing a 47 percent discount to the market and well below the potential of 20. A total of 14 stocks or 30 percent of the market trade at or above a PE of 19, with most over 20, for an average roundabout 25, suggesting that the accepted multiple is between 20 and 25 times the current year’s earnings.
ICTOP10 focuses on likely yearly winners, accordingly, the list may or may not include the best companies in the market. ICInsider.com ranks stocks based on projected earnings to highlight winners from the rest, allowing investors to focus on potential winning stocks and helping to remove emotional attachments to stocks that often result in costly mistakes.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on the possible increase for each company, considering the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.