The Ansa McCal Group has delivered top line revenues of $1,439 million compared to $1,305 million in 2012, an increase of 10% and this translated to a 6% increase in pre-tax and after tax profit and a 6% increase in EPS over the prior year thanks to lower interest cost.
The real issue is that profit fell in the quarter before charging interest on loan funding. But for this, profit would have been down as the group reported operating profit of $211 million down from $222 million in 2011 first quarter. A $24 million reduction in interest cost based on a decision of the Group to reduce their exposure to the possibility of interest rates increases and paid down the level of indebtedness by reducing long term debt of $812 million in 2011 to just $13 million at the end of 2012, helped the Group to deliver the profit of $163.5 million after tax as opposed to $153.8 million in the 2011 period before non-controlling interest in subsidiary. Profit due to the Group’s shareholders amount to $142 million versus $132 million in 2012 or 82 cents per share. All this translate to cost rising faster than income. Not a great surprise as Trinidad has suffered from above normal inflation while the economy is essentially in a recession although 2012 showed moderate growth after three years of declines.
In 2012 the Group made profits of $634 million, in 2011 the profit was $597 million but that was down from the $621 million earned in 2010. However, the Group, looks to be on track to earn around $4 per share for 2013.
A report from the company’s management indicates that “the Group has seen improved performance in Manufacturing, Trading, Distribution, Automotive, Media and Services. The growth in Manufacturing is particularly strong in the construction sector, which indicates increased activity in the economy and this sector remains a key driver of national economic growth. The Group continues to be well positioned to deliver on key strategic initiatives which have been previously announced, inclusive of the new block plant and the ERP project. Based on these factors, we are confident that we are on track to meet our full year targets.”
Cash flow | It is not difficult to see why the loans were paid down in 2012 as the company is throwing off lots of cash with cash flow of more than $411 million for the first quarter helping to swell the cash to $1.78 billion at the end of March, up from December’s $1.366 billion. In 2012 the Group spent $409 million on fixed assets and in 2011, $387 million as they continue to invest for expansion and modernisation. The amount spent in 2012 includes the Group’s acquisition of a furniture manufacturing and retail of appliances and electronic and electrical equipment that operates in Trinidad and Barbados.
Financials | Interestingly, profits have been growing since 2008 but return on equity has fallen each year as the equity to debt ratio improves with the cost of debt being less than the return on equity. Only time will tell if management did the correct thing in paying down cheap debt instead of paying investors more in dividends. This is also a sign that the company is reaching or has reached a level of maturity in the market where its know-how is honed, hence investment opportunities have become limited to utilising its own funds and that of others.
Segments & results | Manufacturing, packaging & brewing enjoyed 10 percent increase in revenues and 34 percent in pre-tax profit, the Automotive, trading & distribution recorded a 12 percent increase in revenues and 41.6 percent growth in pre-tax profit, Insurance & financial services suffered a 1.3 percent decrease in revenues and 11.5 percent fall in pre-tax profit, Media including radio, television and newspaper, services & parent company, increased by 21 percent but generated a 15 percent drop in pre-tax profit.
Buy hold sell |The Group’s finances is strong with a well-diversified portfolio of businesses that can help it weather storms. Unless the Trinidad & Tobago economy springs back to life soon there is little hope for rapid growth in profits. The PE of the stock is around 17 this year’s earnings and the dividend yield is low with a dividend of $1.10 per annum, hence the stock would not be attractive to investors looking to invest for income purposes. The growth rate frankly does not warrant a PE of such heights for the stock. Investors should consider lightening up on this stock based on the above negatives.
The stock trades on the Trinidad & Tobago Stock Exchange.
