Sagicor Real Estate X Fund oversubscribed

Sagicor Real Estate X Fund, the initial public offer (IPO) of shares which started on September 24 is reported to be oversubscribed and closed on October 18, 2013, the scheduled closing date. The shares are to be listed on the Jamaica Stock Exchange.

The issue was for a minimum of 200 million shares with a maximum of 500,000,000 shares available for subscription in the IPO at a price of $5 each. It is unclear if the oversubscription is for the minimum amount or the initial maximum amount but the company spoke of overwhelming support for the issue.

The terms of the issue allow “removes”  for more shares to be issued in the event that applications are received for more shares than available for subscription and sale in order to satisfy all or part of the applications in excess of the 500,000,000 shares, but not exceeding a further 750,000,000 shares.

Sagicor Jamaica and PIF have indicated that they jointly intend to exercise their options to buy shares at the IPO price with a view of holding up to 80% of the issued shares of X FUND.

Related post | Sagicor offers shares in Real Estate X Fund

TTSE: Big jump in Republic Bank, up $6.06

Monday, 21st october 2013 | Republic Bank, an IC Insider Buy Rated pick, enjoyed a big $6.06 jump in price in Monday’s trading to end at $117.17, a new 52 weeks high as 1,807 units changed hands during trading. The stock is now priced at 16 times 2013 earnings, well below the 23 times that First Citizens and Scotia Bank are currently valued. For Republic to get a similar valuation, it would require a price of around $170. As such the stock still remains on the Buy Rated list. Also, with limited supply currently available, we expect the continuation of  upward price movements.

Republic’s gain helped to push the all TTSE Index up 19.74 to 1,965.81. Market activity resulted from trading in 12 securities of which 3 advanced, 3 declined and 6 traded firm and 1,087,382 shares changing hands valued at $2,104,212.

Angostura Holdings closed firm at $13.50 with 1,771 units trading; First Citizens Bank contributed 16,329 shares with a value of $571,515 as the price closed firm at $35; Guardian Holdings traded 5,000 units and the price was down a cent to close at $15.24; Jamaica Money Market Brokers with a volume of 378,295 shares, traded for $276,155 as the price held firm at the end at 73 cents. At the end, there was demand for over 39,000 units at 73 cents.

TTSEOct21National Commercial Bank exchanged 670,000 shares for a value of $763,500 as the priced closed down 4 cents to $1.14 but the bid was at $1.16 for only 2,000 units and offer of nearly 295,000 units at $1.18. Point Lisas Industrial Port Development Corporation added 10,650 shares valued at $40,151 as the price remained unchanged at $3.77.

IC bid-offer Indicator | At the end of trading, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator showed bids for 3 stocks being higher and 3 stocks with offers lower than their last selling price. This coupled with the lack of supply in the market to meet demand suggest that the market continues to look somewhat bullish for some stocks.

TTSE PE ratio: Angostura off potential buy list

Friday, 18th October 2013 | Angostura’s price spurted this past week on the Trinidad Exchange to hit $13.50 and with a PE of 22.5 has fully discounted any potential gains. The stock price may well head higher due to scarcity of supply but it has moved in to the risk taking category unless investors are buying for the long term.

Trinidad Cement had some gains during the week but still has more room to go. National Flour and National Enterprise also enjoyed gains during the week but still has room to run. Not much else happened during the week and the attractiveness of many stocks remain intact. The Top 6 stocks with potential gains remain TT Cement, TT Berger, Guardian Holdings, National Flour, Point Lisa and Neal & Massy.

TTSE_PE_Oct18There are signs that a number of the companies of the TTSE are gaining increased investor interest that drove prices up for some during the past week with signs of more to come.

Related posts | TTSE PE: Some stocks lose potential

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Paramount misses Buy Rated crown

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Paramount Trading’s past profit performance was adequate for the Junior Market company to be ranked as an IC Insider Buy Rated stock in 2012. However, after two quarters in a row with outsized receivables, we downgraded the stock to the market watch category. Our concerns still stand as we see potential dangers with receivables that are nearly three months sales when the norm would be 30 days and no more than 45 days.

In the company’s latest quarterly report to shareholders at the end of August, total receivables was at $152 million and in May it stood at $146 million but last year August the amount was only $85 million when revenues was $152 million. Inventory at $187 million is also an area of concern. However, since the rate of exchange for the Jamaican dollar is slipping, the higher inventory level can provide an edge in setting prices and margin. The company had cash on hand of $42 million.

Paramount disclosed increased profits for the 3 months to August amounting to $19 million before tax compared to $10.7 million in 2012, up 78 percent. In the previous year 2012, after tax profit reached to $8 million and sales climbed 11 percent from $152 million to $169 million in the quarter. Helping with the increased profit was an improvement in gross profit margin which rose from 29.6 percent to 31.3 percent in the latest quarter versus last year’s and the holding of administrative and other cost to only a 7 percent increase. Other revenues also increase to $3.9 million compared to just $700,000 in 2012. Finance cost climbed from $5.1 million to $5.85 million as borrowing declined from $107.5 million to $74.5 million.

Paramount_silka180x180The company’s management stated that during the quarter they pursued growth opportunities. Production of formulated products for contract manufacturing commenced and the Oxyterge formulated product was launched. They also completed a significant engineering solutions project, representing a value-added service that should result in increased revenues in the future. The company also indicated that they made key management movements and recruited externally to strengthen their leadership capability.

Profits are up in the latest quarter but sales are not likely to make a big surge, which suggest that investors should pay attention as this implies that profit increase after this year may be slow. Hopefully, the changes in management  will address these weaknesses and restore normality to them and reduce the risk.

IC Insider projects earnings for the year of 70 cents per share on the basis that the receivables and inventory are of good quality and will not result in large amounts being written off in later quarters.

Related post | Higher cost flattens Paramount’s profit

Dolphin Cove considers dividend

The Board of Directors of Dolphin Cove will consider a dividend payment at a meeting to be held on October 28, 2013.

Dolphin Cove paid an interim dividend of 10 cents per share on September 16, 2013. The company previously paid a dividend of 10 cents per share on June 6, 2013, as well as one in March this year.

Related posts | Dolphin continues to grow | Growth slows for Dolphin

Image courtesy of Bill Longshaw/FreeDigitalPhotos.net

Insider Trades October 2013

Updated 15th october 2013

Desnoes & Geddes advised that a director purchased 4,860 of the company’s shares on October 14, 2013.

Big Producers & Pan Jam sale | While insiders were buying shares at Mayberry Investments this past week, directors at two of the country’s largest listed companies were offloading big chunks of their holdings.

In the case of Jamaica Producers Group the company advised that a director and a related party sold a total of 14,598,054 of its shares and at Pan-Jamaican Investment Trust the company informed the Jamaica Stock Exchange that a director sold 450,000 shares, both sales taking place on October 10,

On the other hand, Mayberry Investments advised the exchange that a related party purchased 607,866 shares on October 7.

Grace dividend coming

The Board of Directors of Grace Kennedy will consider the payment of an interim dividend to be paid in December 2013 at a meeting scheduled for Thursday, November 7, 2013. Last year the company paid a dividend of 70 cents per share on December 18.

Grace Kennedy earlier this year increased its dividend partially in line with the increase in profits for the period. Accordingly, the company paid an interim dividend of 78 cents per share on September 30 this year.

The previous dividend paid was 70 cents per stock unit on March 27, 2013 and in September 2012, a dividend of 70 cents per share was paid.

Grace Kennedy is an IC Insider Buy Rated Stock

Related posts | Grace’s profit up 41% in June quarter | Buy Rated: Some gains, some losses

Buy Rated misses & gains so far

Friday, 11th October 2013 | This past week was not a great one on the Jamaica Stock Market as the market dropped starting from the previous week’s Thursday until this past Thursday, only partially offset by a rally on Friday. The Trinidad Market held its own with a few days when advancing stocks out numbered declining ones by some margin.

JMMB and Grace Kennedy climbed 14 percent and 25 percent, respectfully, on the Trinidad & Tobago market while Sagicor Finance is up 7 percent and Scotia Investments up 4 percent since we placed them on the Buy Rated list.

Guardian Holdings is down by 8 percent and Neal & Massy by 4 percent and stand as the only two losers of the selected Buy Rated list for the Trinidad Market.

BuyRatedgwthOct11Things have not gone as well in the Jamaican market with 4 stocks showing double digit losses but the majority have held close to the selection price.

The Buy Rated list has a new stock for investors to consider on the T&TSE.  Point Lisas Port Development has been added to based on profits so far this year, which suggest earnings of approximately 40 cents per share from operations and a current price of $3.77, could double in price.

Related posts | TTSE PE: Some stocks lose potential | Buy Rated: Some gains, some losses

The IC Insider’s Buy Rated seal of approval is given to a stock that we believe is a compelling buy with earnings that are strong relative to the price and strong prospects of generating high price gains within the next twelve months.

Our research is backed by published reports of the company’s performance and insights of future earnings that can be found at ICInsider.com. The final decision to buy, or not, is your personal choice.

To find published reports for a Buy Rated stock on IC Insider, please choose the category Buy Rated’ under Company News or enter the company name, in full or part at ‘Search IC Insider’.

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TTSE PE: Some stocks lose potential

Friday, 11 October 2013 | New to Top 6 of our PE Ratio list of stocks on the Trinidad & Tobago Stock Exchange is Point Lisas Port Development as it shows very promising prospects based on the results to June, 2013, excluding the fair value gains or losses on investment property. It now ranks as 5th with a possible 111% potential gain.

Elsewhere, Angostura Holdings’ price has have moved up leaving not much potential gain at current earnings and is now at the bottom of the PE listing with possibly a 15 percent more potential gain. Buyers at this level will be taking on added risk in the hope that 2014 results will continue to show improvement, thus making it an investment worth acquiring based on the scarceness of the stock.

TTSEPE_RatioOct11Guardian Holdings potential gains has been reduced and it slipped to 4th in the ranking with a 181% potential gain. National Flour has appreciated to 3rd place and National Enterprises has moved up in price and down in attractiveness but it could still move up by nearly 30 percent.

As at Friday’s close of the market, the bids look interesting for a number of stocks and the coming week could be compelling for investors and the IC Insider’s PE ranking of potential gains.

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Image courtesy of Jeroen Van Oostrom/ FreeDigitalPhotos.net

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Buy Rated: Some gains, some losses

Since we last looked at the performance of our IC Insider Buy Rated Stocks two weeks ago on 23rd September 2013, there have been some gain and losses. It’s been a full three months since we boldly started to ‘name names’ and now is the right time to do a full recap to see how we’re doing — or not!

Of the eleven Buy Rated stocks on the Trinidad & Tobago Exchange, only two are down, namely Guardian Holdings, off 5 percent and Neal & Massy 4 percent. Trinidad Cement is up 115% and still has room to grow based on its PE Ratio. First Citizens scored a whopping 52% for the short one month timeframe it made the list. Grace Kennedy is up 9 percent, JMMB 10 percent, Sagicor Financial 7 percent and Scotia Investment 6 percent.

So far, Buy Rated selections listed on the Jamaican market are not as successful with no gains to speak about. Meanwhile, Lasco Financial is down 19 percent and Jamaica Broilers is off by 14 percent.

It’s still early days yet. The Buy Rated selections are meant to identify stocks that will do well over the next twelve months. Short term pull backs are not negatives and are in fact buying opportunities for the serious investor.

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Related post | No change to Buy & Watch list | TTSE: PE ratio changes for the top 5Buy rated stock tracking

The IC Insider’s Buy Rated seal of approval is given to a stock that we believe is a compelling buy with earnings that are strong relative to the price and strong prospects of generating high price gains within the next twelve months.

Our research is backed by published reports of the company’s performance and insights of future earnings that can be found at ICInsider.com. The final decision to buy, or not, is your personal choice.

To find published reports for a Buy Rated stock on IC Insider, please choose the category Buy Rated’ under Company News or enter the company name, in full or part at ‘Search IC Insider’.