The Main and Junior Market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange lost more ground this past week as investors continued profit but left the vast majority of the IC Insider.com TOP 10 stocks holding on the lists.
General Accident is IC TOP 10 focus with an expected cut in MV claims.
The Main Market closed the week with two changes, resulting from down-grading of their earnings. Dropping from the list are PanJam Investment and Sagicor Group and replaced by Jamaica Broilers and Stanley Motta. Only Mailpac Group moved out of the Junior Market TOP 10 and replaced by Access Financial Services that fell to $24.01 on Friday.
The three top Junior Market stocks remain unchanged from last week with Caribbean Producers leading, followed by KLE Group and Lasco Financial with the potential to gain between 307 to 546 percent by 2021. In the Main Market, Radio Jamaica leads the pact, followed by Berger Paints and JMMB Group, with projected gains of 150 to 208 percent.
This week’s focus: General Accident is set to do very well. Last year’s earnings grew 48 percent from an increase of 22 percent in gross premium income and a 25 percent increase in net premium. The company acquired majority shares in the Trinidad based MotorOne Insurance that will add to revenues in 2020. One of the most critical development that investors seem to be ignoring is the likely sharp reduction in claims for motor vehicle accidents during the period of business disruption when there is far less traffic on the roads. Last year, claims amounted to $100 million per month. Historical trends show that the stock tends to remain fairly flat until the second half of a year.
Uncertainties exist in the economy and financial markets accordingly, and it is not possible to determine the exact impact on company earnings for the rest of the year. Actual earnings could vary materially from IC Insider.com’s forecast. Looking beyond the immediate fallout or benefits for companies can be useful in guiding investment decisions for above-average gains in the period ahead.
The targeted average PE ratio of the market is 20 based on the profits of companies reporting full year’s results for the financial year ending after this year’s second quarter, up to the second quarter in 2021. Both the Junior and Main markets are currently trading well below this level. 
The JSE Main Market ended the week, with an overall PE of 12.8 and the Junior Market a mere 9, based on current 2020-21 earnings. The PE ratio for Junior Market Top 10 stocks averages a just 5.3 with the Main Market at a much higher level of 8.5.
The TOP 10 stocks now trade at a discount of 41 percent of the average for Junior Market and Main Market stocks trade at a discount of 34 percent to the overall market. The average projected gain for the IC TOP 10 stocks is 298 percent, for the Junior Market and 140 percent for the JSE Main Market, based on 2020-21 earnings.
IC TOP 10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns to March 2021. Forecasted earnings and PE ratio for the current fiscal year are in determining potential gains. The ranking of stocks is in order of likely increases, with the highest-ranked, being the most attractive. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and will result in movements of the selection in and out of the lists for most weeks. Earnings per share are revised on an ongoing basis when new information is received that affects earnings significantly.
Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.
