Jamaica continues to benefit from a big surge in remittance inflows that started in May last year and is continuing with a big 28.7 percent jump to US$309 million in May this year, from $240 million in May last year.
This year’s performance is important as it was in May 2020 that the big upsurge in inflows commenced, with May 2020 inflows rising by 15.7 percent over 2019 inflows, bettering the decline recorded in March and April last year to the same months in 2019. For the year to date, total remittance inflows are up an incredible 42 percent over 2020 to reach US$1.4 billion for the five months period from US$987 million in 2020.
With the final seven months of 2020 generating inflows of $1.9 billion, total inflows for the current year should exceed US$3.4 billion and is likely to move closer to $3.9 billion based on the outturn for June this year over 2020.
Persons and businesses interested in foreign exchange developments for Jamaica should pay keen interest in what is happening in this market segment. If the remittances this year hold in 2022, with the rebound in stopover visitor arrivals set to return to normal levels in that year as well, would Jamaica be in a comfortable position for the central bank to build up reserves handily and it could also lead to some revaluation to the local currency.