TTSE: First Citizens up 52%

Wednesday, 18th September 2013 | First Citizens Bank traded 23,952 units valued at $801,194 as the price hit another 15 percent maximum price movement, the third consecutive day the stock activated the circuit breaker.

Importantly there are 1,272,755 units to buy at the closing price of $33.45, which was up $4.36 for the day. Although the advance decline ratio was positive as 6 advanced and 2 declined, it was the movement of First Citizens stock that was behind the gain of the All Trinidad & Tobago index by 23.24 to 1,886.79.

Upward price momentum seems to be in favour of First Citizens as demand remains intact. However, First Citizens’ PE ratio at 22.3 times this year’s earning is now close to Scotiabank, while Republic Bank is way down at 15 times. Rational investors will take these factors into consideration when investing. The PE suggests that a short term top is not too far off. IC Insider had projected $35 but that seems a bit conservative based on what has happened to date and the lack of offers in the market so far. This is one worth watching.

Trading accounted for stocks of 11 companies changing hands as 616,236 units traded for a value of $2,479,793.

TTSESept18Jamaica Money Market Brokers continue to be in demand trading 514,481 shares for a value of $257,241; Jamaica’s Scotia Investments contributed 25,000 shares for $50,000 as the stock closed down 5 cents to close at $2. Sagicor Financial Corporation added 13,629 shares valued at $94,841. Scotia Bank gained 2 cents to $70.04 a new 52 weeks high as it traded 11,743 units; Guardian Holdings moved up 2 cents to $14.52 on 2,350 shares changing hands. Trinidad Cement inched up 2 cents to $2.02 but with just 4,000 units and Angostura Holdings traded at a new 52 weeks high of $10.01 but with just 500 units trading. Clico Investment Fund traded 18,375 shares valued at $396,063 as the price inched down a cent to end at $21.55.

IC bid-offer Indicator| At the end of trading, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator showed that there were bids for 4 stocks being higher and 2 stocks with offers lower than their last selling price.

Related post | First Citizens off Buy Rated list

TTSE: First Citizens in high demand closes at $29.09

Tuesday, 17th September 2013 | There was only trading in 20 units of the newly listed First Citizens Bank (FCB) but that was all that was needed to push the price to an all time high of $29.09. The price movement triggered the circuit breaker again, as it did on Monday, the first day of trading for the stock.

The price movement helped the all Trinidad & Tobago Index to climb 1 percent or 20 points to 1,863.55. At the end of trading there were 2,224,089 FCB shares on the bid to buy at $29.09 and there were no shares on offer as happened on Monday. The stock can trade as high as $33.45 on Wednesday. IC Insider’s initial forecast that it will hit $35 in this run up seems much closer now than before the start of this week. At the current price, the PE is 19.4 times this year’s earnings. Scotia Bank is at 22.50 times earnings presently, which means that if the FCB PE gets to that level, the price would be $34, a nice 54 percent gain in a few days from the issue price of $22. Meanwhile, another stock with appreciation potential, Trinidad Cement, claimed back the $2 level as the price rose today by 5 cents to close at $2 with 10,000 shares.

TTSESept17Trading took place in 13 securities as 3 advanced, 2 declined and 5 traded firm as 732,197 units traded at a value of $2,920,110. Jamaica Money Market Brokers had 618,901 shares changing hands for a value of $310,611 with the price closing firm at 50 cents. Jamaica’s National Commercial Bank traded a volume of 40,644 shares for $46,741 firm at $1.15. Neal & Massy Holdings contributed 24,578 shares with a value of $1,376,496, the price lost 10 cent to close at $56. Republic Bank traded 4,033 units at $110.04 up 2 cents. First Caribbean International Bank fell $1.00 to close at $6.75, a new 52 weeks low with just 1,029 units trading.

Clico Investment Fund share price remained unchanged to close at $21.56, with a volume of 31,084 shares valued at $670,094.

IC bid-offer Indicator | At the end of trading, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator continues to show signs of a fluid market with bids for 3 stocks being higher and 3 stocks having offers lower than their last selling price.

TTSE: First Citizens triggers breaker

Monday, 16th September 2013 | First Citizens Bank stock hits $25.30, up 15 percent in early trading on the Trinidad & Tobago Stock Exchange as just 1,000 units traded. At the end of trading there were bids for 3,187,700 units at $25.30 and there were no stocks on offer, a clear sign of higher price in the days ahead.

The company that had a successful initial public offer of shares (IPO) between July and August when it was twice oversubscribed saw the stock price hitting the maximum it could trade a for the day based on the circuit breaker rule. At the current price, the PE of the stock is 17 times earnings based on the level of oversubscription and the value of other bank stocks IC Insider sees the prospects for the stock to reach $35 in this run up.

Other significant trading saw Jamaica Money Market Brokers exchanging 410,000 units firm at 50 cents for a value of $205,000 after the company announced that it has been cleared to acquire the remaining 50 percent of Intercommercial Bank to bring their shareholding to full 100% ownership.

Trinidad Cement traded 69,000 shares for $134,550 as the stock traded firm at $1.95; National Commercial Bank of Jamaica contributed 10,000 shares with a value of $11,500, while Republic Bank added 5,000 shares valued at $550,100.

Guardian Holdings closed up 48 cents at $14.50 but on only 100 units; National Flour traded 2,352 units and put on a cent to close at 76 cents, while Neal & Massy put in 3,103 units gaining 4 cents to close at $56.04. Clico Investment Fund, swapped 125,081 shares valued at $2,696,856 as the price remained at $21.56.

TTSESept16Trading activity on the First Tier Market registered a volume of 628,942 shares crossing the floor valued at $3,937,088 as there was trading in 14 securities of which 6 advanced, none declined and 8 traded firm.

At the end of trading, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator was showing signs of a fluid market continuing with bids for 2 stocks being higher and 4 stocks having offers lower than their last selling price.

Related posts | First Citizens shares set to explode | T&T Citizens Bank IPO oversubscribed | Buy Rated stock list grows | JMMB grows assets $24B to $200B

 

TTSE: PE ratio not much change

Friday, 13th September | There’s not much change to the PE Ratios for stocks on the Trinidad Stock Market as prices changes have remained muted for much of the past week. There are signs that with the allocation of the First Citizens Bank shares, funds may have been freed up for trading in other stocks.

On Monday, First Citizens is expected to commence trading and that is likely to make an immediate difference to the PE for that stock. There are others that appear ready to move in the days ahead. Trinidad Cement with the big pull back should attract some buying interest again.

TTSE PE RatioSep13We have removed National Enterprises from Finance and Banks to Conglomerates as the company is a holding company for a number of industrial enterprises in Trinidad.

Related posts | First Citizens shares set to explode | TCL up 209% in two months

TTSE: Angostura ends on a high

Friday, 13th September 2013 | There was trading in 13 securities on Friday, 5 advanced, 1 declined and 7 traded firm as 577,825 units traded at a value of $3,265,401.

Jamaica Money Market Brokers had 200,000 shares changing hands for a value of $100,000; Sagicor Financial Corporation exchanged a volume of 183,334 shares for $1,265,005; Angostura Holdings did the same with 77,088 shares with a value of $770,640 as the price put on 39 cents to end the day at a 52 weeks high of $10, while Trinidad Cement added 60,000 shares valued at $117,000.

Scotiabank Trinidad & Tobago declined by a cent end the day at $70.02 but with only 200 units trading.

Clico Investment Fund share price gained a cent to close at $21.56 with a volume of 19,565 shares valued at $421,821. Praetorian Property Mutual Fund traded 4,000 units and closed firm at $3.41.

IC bid-offer Indicator| At the end of trading, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator was showing signs of a fluid market with bids for 3 stocks being higher and 4 stocks having offers lower than their last selling price.

TTSESept13First Citizens| Next week should be rather interesting as on Monday, First Citizens Bank is scheduled to start trading. The stock cannot trade above $25.30 as the market is restricted by a circuit breaker, which limits the daily price movement to 15 percent. This means that based on the issue price of $22, the maximum allowed for Monday is $3.30.

Related posts | First Citizens shares set to explode

TTSE: Trading picks up

Thursday, 12th September 2013 | Activity on the Trinidad & Tobago Stock Exchange picked up resulting in trading in 15 securities of which 5 advanced, none declined and 10 traded firm as 796,303 units traded valued at $8.24 million. There were two new 52 weeks high during the day as National Enterprises traded as high as 16.05 but closed lower at the end of trading and Scotia Bank closed at a new 52 weeks high at $70.03.

Jamaica’s Grace Kennedy fresh from a road show in Trinidad, which an IC Insider source indicates was well received, had volume of 200,000 shares changing hands for a value of $660,000, followed by Jamaica Money Market Brokers with a volume of 163,000 shares for $81,500. ANSA McAL traded 20,000 units at $66.28 with no change in price at the end of trading; National Enterprises contributed 117,336 shares valued at $1,878,749; Neal & Massy exchanged 32,616 units at $56; Sagicor Financial Corporation added 96,953 shares valued at $668,898. Trinidad Cement had 92,000 units changing hands firm at $1.95 and Clico Investment Fund share price gained a cent to close at $21.55, with a volume of 58,598 shares valued at $1,262,510.

TTSESept12Ansa Merchant Bank exchanged just 1,000 shares at $39 up 40 cents.

IC bid-offer Indicator| At the end of trading, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator was showing signs of a fluid market with bids for 4 stocks being higher and 2 stocks having offers lower than their last selling price.

Image courtesy of watcharakun/FreeDigitalPhotos.net

TTSE: Low activity day

Wednesday, 11th September 2013 | In a low trading day, market activity on the Trinidad & Tobago Stock Exchange resulted in trading in 8 securities of which 2 advanced, none declined and 6 traded firm.

Market activity resulted in a volume of 372,425 shares valued at$2,043,195. Trinidad Cement had 310,000 shares changing hands for a value of $604,500 as the stock closed firm at $1.95, Sagicor Financial Corporation had 16,397 shares traded valued at $112,319. Agostini’s contributed 9,246 shares with a value of $159,494, while Scotiabank Trinidad & Tobago added 8,350 shares valued at $584,629, increasing by a cent to end the day at $70.02.

TTSESept11Clico Investment Fund was the only active security on the Mutual Fund Market, posting a volume of 24,000 shares valued at $516,940. CLICO INVESTMENT FUND remained at $21.54.

IC bid-offer Indicator| At the end of trading, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator was showing signs of a fluid situation for the market with bids for 2 stocks being higher and 2 stocks having offers lower than their last selling price

First Citizens shares set to explode

A whopping $3.3 billion chased $1 billion of shares that were on offer in the twin island state of Trinidad and Tobago between July and August leading to a massive oversubscription for the 48 million First Citizens Bank shares at a very attractive price of TT$22 each. The high level of oversubscription is bound to result in a massive jump in the stock price after it opens on Monday, September 16 as some of 12,435 applicants who got less shares than they wanted will enter the secondary market to snap up more shares before the price gets too high.

Employees of the bank got 3.78 million units accounting for 7.8 percent of the amount offered and just more than half of what they were entitled to based on the allocation noted in the prospectus. The public got 12,852,807 units or 25.5 percent, which is 10.5 percent more than the prospectus had assigned them.  Pensions and other trust funds got 12.1 million units representing 25 percent; mutual funds and unit trusts, 10 million units or 20.7 percent; the National Insurance Fund 10 percent amounting to 4.85 million units and well as companies registered in Trinidad and Tobago and the Caribbean Investment Fund.

The prospectus had indicated that if the Offer is oversubscribed, consistent with the Government’s policy of promoting the widest possible participation in share ownership, priority to receive the allocation (as a percentage of the maximum Offer) shall be given as follows in descending order of priority:

  1. Employees of the Issuer 15%
  2. Individual investors who are nationals of Trinidad & Tobago 15%
  3. Registered pension and other trust funds, Credit Unions and Cooperatives 25%
  4. Registered mutual funds including The Trinidad & Tobago Unit Trust Corporation 25%
  5. National Insurance Board 10%
  6. Companies registered in Trinidad and Tobago and other investors such as the Commonwealth Development Corporation and the Caribbean Investment Fund 10%.

The stock went on the market at a PE of 14.67, which is well below BNSTT at 22.6, BCB Holdings of 25.78 and Ansa Merchant Bank at 19.30 but just below Republic Bank at 15. Heavy oversubscription usually mean that the price will rise sharply as investors try to get more shares to satisfy their thirst.

IC Insider has labelled the stock, Buy Rated and this remains intact.

Related posts | T&T Citizens Bank IPO oversubscribed |  First Citizens’ $1B IPO opens today | First Citizens lousy investor’s relations | Buy Rated stock list grows

TTSE: TCL gets big support

Tuesday, 10th September 2013 | Trinidad Cement was the dominant stock on the Trinidad stock exchange accounting for 692,044 shares valued at $1,349,440 as the price held firm at the end of trading at $1.94 cents and seems to have found support at that level.

On Monday, we indicated that Guardian Holdings appears to have bottomed. Today, it posted a small gain of a cent in trading at $14.01 with 11,276 shares valued at $157,879 changing hands and a bid at $14.01 for 6,500 units. Jamaica Money Market Brokers with a volume of 242,200 shares traded for $121,100 remained firm at 50 cents with buying interest remaining in tack. Neal & Massy Holdings contributed 36,622 shares with a value of $2,050,832, as the price remained firm at the end. Sagicor Corporation traded 3,720 units firm at 6.85.

Clico Investment Fund was the only active security on the Mutual Fund Market, posting a volume of 13,273 shares valued at $285,859 the price remained at $21.54. Angostura Holdings traded a small volume at $9.61 a new 52 weeks high.

TTSESept10Market activity resulted in trading in 12 securities of which 2 advanced, 0 declined and 10 traded firm.

Trading activity on the First Tier Market registered a volume of 1,002,793 shares crossing the floor valued at $4,014,587

IC bid-offer Indicator| At the end of trading, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator has strengthened on Monday compared to Friday with bids for 10 stocks being higher with 5 stocks having offers lower than their last selling price.

TTSE: Guardian may have bottomed

Monday, 9th September 2013 | Guardian Holdings did not trade but now has a solid bid of 28,887 units at the last traded price of $14 suggesting that the recent sharp fall may have ended. As indicated in our PE Ratio report, the stock at these levels remain a very attractive buy.

There was trading in 11 securities of which 4 advanced, 1 declined and 6 traded firm as 470,117 units traded for a value of $2,587,325.

In actual trading, Angostura Holdings gained 9 cents to end the day at $9.60 with 1,032 units trading. Trinidad Cement was the volume leader with 361,100 shares changing hands for a value of $703,845 as the price fell 5 cents to end the day at $1.95. With an offer of 118,086 units at $1.95 and little in the way of bids, there could be further decline in the price before it hits bottom.

Jamaica Money Market Brokers with a volume of 40,000 shares traded for $20,000 remained firm at 50 cents. Republic Bank traded firm at $110.02 with 2,220 units changing hands; Scotiabank chipped in with 2,062 units at $70.01 for a 1 cent gain; Scotia Investments Jamaica contributed 20,000 shares with a value of $40,991 at it traded up a cent at $2.05; West Indian Tobacco added 3,799 shares valued at $448,280 while trading firm at $118 and looks as if it could climb higher in light of more positive news out of Jamaica on the state of the cigarette market demand. Clico Investment Fund in posting a volume of 33,850 shares valued at $729,220 put on 3 cents to end at $21.54.

TTSESept9IC bid-offer Indicator | At the end of trading, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator remains weak with a bid for only 1 stock that was higher with 2 with offers lower than their last selling price.

Related posts | T&T PEs: Better buys ahead