Keep an eye on these stocks for movement during the week of 10 June, 2013.
- Access Financial
- Paramount Trading
- Lasco Financial
- Blue Power
- AMG Packaging
- Jamaica Broilers
- Mayberry
- Sagicor Life
- Scotia Group
News, Views & Advice from Investors's Choice
Keep an eye on these stocks for movement during the week of 10 June, 2013.
Thursday, 6th June 2013 | There was broad based trading on Thursday as shares in 31 companies traded resulting in 18 stocks registering positive price changes and only 5 fell. In what turned out to be a relatively low trading day, just 2.55 million shares valued at $17 million traded. Junior market Blue Power traded 912,587 units up to $8 an all time high with a total value of $7.3 million. Scotia Group traded 129,408 shares valued at $2.77 million, closed at $21.20 and traded at a high of $23.08. Lasco Financial Services traded 127,078 units to close at $10. All other stocks traded less than a million dollars.
Main movers | Scotia Investment recovered $1.50 of the $4 it lost in trading on Wednesday with the stock closing at $27 but it had a bid of $27 at the end of trading. Desnoes & Geddes gained 25 cents to close at $4.95, Carreras gained 70 cents to close at $60, Jamaica Producers closed at $18 up 94 cents for the day. Jamaican Teas traded up 20 cents at $4.60. National Commercial Bank gained 90 cents to close at $22 but the offer was at $21 at the end of trading. Pan Jamaican Investments traded up 50 cents and closed at $55.01. Scotia Group closed at $21.20, off 31 cents on the day.
First Caribbean Bank lost $2 to close at a 52 weeks low of $101.
But by the end of trading, bids for 5 stocks were higher and 2 stocks had offers that were lower than their last selling price.
Wednesday, 5th June 2013 | The main indices recorded advances in today’s trading except for a small decline in the junior market index. But advance decline ratio turned negative with 8 stocks advancing and 12 declining. But by the end of trading, bids for 10 stocks were higher and 1 stock had an offer that was lower than the last selling price. There was heavier trading than has happened for sometime with $127 billion being expended on 11.87 million shares.
The all Jamaica composite index closed up 174 points at 89,985.22 and the main market index closed at 88,466.47 up 98.67 points.
Main movers | Desnoes & Geddes which traded at $5.10 closed down 20 cents at $4.70 while trading 694,173 units, Carreras fell 70 cents in trading 23,568 units. Jamaica Broilers traded up 21 cents to close at $4.83 with 460,913 units having changed hands. Kingston Wharves traded 329,566 units and put on 19 cents in closing at $7.81 after trading as high as $8. Lasco Manufacturing saw profit taking, with 990,188 units trading closing at $13.85 down 15 cents on the day. National Commercial Bank traded 1 million shares and slipped back 10 cents at the close at $21.10, the stock traded down to $19.17 at one stage.
Pan Jamaican Investments traded 20,500 units and gained 51 cents and closed at $54.51. RJR had just two trades which accounted for 2.989 million units and inched up 5 cents to close at $1.35. Sagicor Life put on 48 cents in closing at $8.99 but only traded 65,152 units between $8.50 and the closing price. Scotia Group had 17 trades that accounted for 712,000 units between $21.20 and $23.50 with the stock closing at $21.51up 42 cents on the day. Scotia Investment had 5 trades that accounted for 1.29 million units with the stock closing at $25.50 down $4 but it had a bid of $27 at the end of trading. Seprod traded 527,000 units at $14.61 and gained 11 cents and Supreme Ventures saw 771,000 units being exchanged for 10 cents less at $2.90 by the end of the day.
Based on trades for a few stocks it appears that some special deals were done resulting in adjustments in the prices of some, which does not conform to recent market movements.
LASCO Manufacturing enjoyed a 15 percent increased profit for the year ended March 2013 before taxation from increased revenue of 13% for the year. Profit after taxation was up only 9 percent as the 2012 results benefited from a tax credit which boosted the after tax figure. In the latest quarter, revenues were up just 8 percent, a lower pace than the September and December quarters with growth of 21 percent and 15 percent respectively. But the best is yet to come with the near completion of the factory expansion that will cut cost and result in new products being introduced.
4th Quarter | Pretax profit for the March quarter was up 29 percent to reach $175 million. After tax, the increase was just 8 percent. In the March quarter, gross margin increased from 27 percent in 2012 to 30.7 percent and is up from 27 percent in the December quarter. Administrative expenses rose 6.5 percent year over year, much less than the growth in revenues while selling and promotional expenses remained flat for the year, helping to boost profit.
The improvement shown in a better margin and subdued cost increases has been highlighted by management in a report to shareholders. “The company continues to focus on cost control, cost containment, cost management and increased efficiency,” the statement said.
Financials | Trade Receivables increased by $180 million from $447 million in 2012 which management states was due to a temporary timing difference of payment with one of their distributors and has subsequently been settled. Inventory also increased $210 million from $279 million in 2012. Equity capital was $1.9 billion at the end of March, enough to facilitate the loan taken on, allowing for appropriate coverage.
Factory expansion | LASCO Manufacturing embarked on 70 percent factory expansion of the manufacturing operation which is nearing completion at the White Marl location. When completed with new machineries in production, cost is expected to be reduced considerably. The areas that the reduction will be most visible include direct production cost, with less direct labour, material waste and cost relating to the double handling of goods. The capital spend on the expansion at the end of March is $1.7 billion out of a budgeted expenditure of J$2.2b. So far the company has drawn down J$1 billion of a loan facility to help fund the capital expenditure with the rest coming from internally generated funds.
“We are poised for further growth as we experienced higher demand for our products in the local and export markets in the past year,” Management said.
Products | The company manufactures several well-known food items such the soy protein based LASCO food drinks, LaSoy Lactose Free, Oats Porridge Mix. It will also package Full Cream Milk Powder and Skimmed Milk Powder and purchase and co-package a wide range of other food items, consumer, personal care, infant care and household products.
Exports | The company exports its products to 23 countries, including UK, Canada and USA. Export sales now represent 9% of overall sales.
Stock outlook | Lasco has a competitive advantage with a well-known and respected brand and the expansion will reduce the cost of production making the existing products even more competitive. New products are to be added to the existing ones and some products that are being manufactured by others will be produced in house.
The stock price raced to $15 after the company announced a 10 for 1 stock split and it gained added support with the release of the recent results. The growth seen during the year, with more to come, makes this stock one that must be on all investors’ radar.
Tuesday, 4th June 2013 | The market took a pause today with all the major indices declining as the day saw one of the highest levels of trading for sometime with 13.7 million shares trading with a value of $108 million. At the end of trading 5 stocks bids were higher and 1 stock had offers lower than the last selling price and 2 stocks reached 52 weeks highs.
Price changes | 14 stocks registered price appreciation and 8 declined on a day when 31 stocks traded. Price movements of note are Jamaica Broilers traded 1.55 million units and the price was down 38 cents, JMMB down 50 cents to $9 while there was another day of high trading in the stock with over 3 million units changing hands. National Commercial Bank traded 587,200 between 21 and $22 but closed 20 cents up at 21.20, Pan Jam shed $3 to close at $54 while 31,356 units traded and it was $2.92 up on Scotia Investments when 306,600 units traded between $27 and the closing price of $29.50.
Supreme Ventures traded nearly 2 million shares between $2.90 and $30 and gained 10 cents in the process.
Juniors | In the junior market, Access Financial Services up 41 cents to close back at $8 with a mere 2,700 shares trading, Lasco Distributors fell 90 cents to $14, while trading 47,000 units, Lasco Manufacturing closed at $14 down $1.35 while trading 69,500 units. The stock traded between $14 and $15.35 during the day.
Volume | Decent volumes came from General Accident, Gleaner, RJR, Sagicor Investments, Sagicor Life and Scotia Group.
In the just concluded financial year ending March, Carreras grew its income from increased volumes and some price adjustment. Operating profit climbed from $5.175 billion to $5.68 billion. Administrative distribution and marketing expenses rose from $1.745 billion to $2 billion. The company is reporting profits of $6.49 billion up from $2.6 billion in 2012.
The latest results have been impacted by a $5.08 billion inflow from the pension funds representing a portion of the pension fund surplus which was distributed to Carreras. The company reported earnings per share from ongoing business of $6.14 versus $5.35 in 2012. Most of the pension surplus was distributed to shareholders as a special dividend. Carreras also picked up foreign exchange gains of $161 million during the year up from $19 in 2012. This may or may not recur in the current financial year ending 2014 and investors will need to pay attention to that.
Tax refund | Of import, is a refund of $1.7 billion of taxes that was paid over to the government and is to be refunded plus cost of legal fees and interest. The government has made provision of half a billion in this year’s budget to pay interest on the indebtedness. The entire amount is expected to be paid out as dividend when received.
The company’s product is not only mature but seems to be less socially accepted. The company has done most of the cost cutting hence increased profits in the future will come mostly from price adjustments. If the company is allowed to keep the price relatively stable for a while, then the possibility of picking up some volume increases may occur.
At the end of the financial year, the company had cash funds of $3.9 billion, some of which will be paid out as dividend in June. Liquidity is good with current assets exceeding current liabilities $4.76 billion to $3 billion. There are no borrowed funds being used in the operations.
Income stock | The stock is essentially one for dividends with the company paying the equivalent of $5.20 per share for the year. Lower interest rates in the financial sector is likely to drive more investors to this stock for the relatively high yield, but with withholding tax at 15 percent on dividends and an unsure growth path for profits, investors may be taking on added risk to eke out a slightly higher return from the dividends paid by Carreras.
Stock outlook | At this time, the stock is price to almost perfection in earnings with a PE of 10 times the latest earnings. The price of the stock to net book value is the highest in the market at more than 11 times.
Investors in this stock should ensure that their portfolio is appropriately balanced. In other words, investors should ensure the stock does not dominate their portfolio.
Monday, 3rd June 2013 | JMMB traded 4.57 million shares, all of which were bought by Scotia Investments for their own account and for clients except for 4,300 units bought by JMMB but sold from in-house for a client. Of the total amount of JMMB shares that traded, 2.7 million units traded at $9.50 each. The rest of the trades took place mostly at $9 per share. The stock traded up 50 cents for the day.
The All Jamaica Composite index closed up a strong 1,544.25 points to close 89,987.54 on day that saw 7.36 million units trading. The index closed at the highest level since January 8th this year when it closed at 89,699.10.
Stocks Gains | Jamaica Broilers traded up to $5 with 1.5 million shares changing hands. Kingston Wharves closed at 52 weeks high of $8, up 40 cents, while trading 10,000 shares on the day. Carreras and Grace Kennedy continued to be in demand, with the former trading 128,110 shares valued at $7.73 million while loosing 45 cents in closing at $60.45 and Grace trading 122,331 units valued at $7.35 million without a price change.
Junior market | The junior market was active with AMG Packaging trading 276,077 units in one trade with the stock closing up 10 cents at $4.15. Paramount traded 163,597 units while closing at an all time high of $3.60 up 20 cents. The stock closed with a bid of 559,806 units at $3.50 with no stock on offer which suggests that it will trade higher before long. Access Finance closed down 41 cents to $7.59 on very low volume, Blue Power traded up 71 cents to close at $7.52, an all time high, as 100,200 shares traded. All three Lasco companies traded but not heavily. Manufacturing closed at $15.35 off 4 cents from Friday’s close, Distributors fell slightly, by 10 cents and Financial Services gained 20 cents on Friday’s last traded price.
Advancing stocks greater | There was trading in 23 stocks on a day that was not all that active. The momentum of the market continues with advancing stocks continuing to be most dominant over declining ones 14 to 5. Four stocks traded at 52 weeks high including Proven ordinary which traded up 0.5 US cents to close at 11.5 US cents.
An indication of things to come can be seen from the bid and offers in relation to the last selling prices. At the end of trading there were 7 stocks with bids higher and only 1 stock with offer that is lower than the last sale price.
Increased gains from foreign exchange and securities trading helped Proven Investments to report higher profits than in 2012 in its latest release of its audited financial statements to March this year. The investment bank reported 26 percent higher profits than in the previous year.
While interest income grew from US$7.076 million to $7.36 million, net interest income fell to US$2.89 million from US$3.1 in 2012. However, dividend income grew from $900,000 in 2012 to US$1.26 million in the latest year. Net fair value adjustments and realised gains accounted for US$4.51 million versus US$3.31 million in 2012. But foreign exchange trades delivered US$1.57 million, a turnaround from a loss of US$417,000 in 2012.
Bad debt of US$637 million helped to move up other operating expenses from US$1.9 million to US$2.8 million. The earnings work out at US$0.0141 per share versus US$0.0112 in 2012. The stock closed up slightly at US$0.115 at the end of Monday’s trading before these results were released. There seems to be room for further gains in the stock price with the PE ratio of the stock being 7.7 times the latest earnings. Management will have to pull out all the stops and be creative to drive earnings in the immediate future to continue to make the stock attractive to a wide array of investors.
The company reported assets of US$144 million up from $140 million in 2012. Equity capital stood at US$35.8 million at the end of March 2013. The company is reporting that exchange movement reduced the value of the preference shares during the year from US$11.24 million down US$9.922 million.
Going forward, much will depend on the ability of management to extract more gains from foreign currency trade as well as how well they do in investing in other forms of securities. In this regard investors, who may be interested in the stock, would need to focus on the management’s track record as there is less predictability in the potential earnings in trading securities and currencies.
Revenue for the year to March increased 11 percent, but profits fell by 8 percent cooling the rapid growth experienced in the previous year for Lasco Distributors. The stock price nevertheless jumped just before the release of the results from $10.50 to $15 in response to an announced stock split. Profit came in at $507 million without any tax charge, down from $550 in 2012 after a tax charge of $30 million. The result helped to maintain the stock at the level reached before the actual results were published as earnings per share came in at $1.51.
Revenues grew by $795 million to $8,255 billion in a period when official data says the local economy recorded negative growth. Gross profit margin declined quite sharply to 19.9 percent from 21 percent in the prior year due to a what management states is “a one off adjustment to cost of sales related to import duties, absorption in increased volumes for institutional sales at lower margins, and the impact of the volatility of the exchange rate.”
The management statement continued “during the last financial year there were unavoidable disruptions in the supply chain for key products which impacted on revenue and profit performance. Whilst the company makes efforts to improve efficiencies there were also investments for future growth.
“Administrative and other expenses increased by 15 percent to $871 million, due to organisational changes in staff resources to strengthen the company’s market presence and preparation for impending new projects.
“The company has had success in its marketing activities as it has seen growth in some core categories and deeper penetration in targeted distribution channels. The widening of appeal and stronger brand presence is the platform for newly launched products and other planned projects with our partners.”
Balance sheet | Inventories increased by $535 million over the corresponding period in 2012, primarily due to inventory carried for important institutions and planned major promotional activities for key products which extend beyond March. Trade and other receivables increased by $315 million due to the increased marketing activity and extended credit arrangements for key institutions. “The trade receivables continue to be managed within industry standards and extended terms for supplies to key accounts is achieved in collaboration with our suppliers. Current liabilities also increased as trade and other payables was $267 million over the corresponding period and this is due to the continued supply agreement with our strategic partners,” the company stated in a release to shareholders.
Equity capital stood at $1.89 billion while current assets amounted to $2.7 billion versus current liabilities of $1.16 billion. The company is virtually debt free with just $46 million in overdraft outstanding on the books at March.
Looking forward | The company has geared up for improved business. Some of it seems to be government related. Additionally, Lasco Manufacturing expansion is well on its way and when completed and in full production, Lasco Distributors will benefit from increased flow of items to market locally.
The stock may be fully valued, currently at $15 each, bearing in mind the valuation of other junior market companies, but profits should improve going forward thus providing opportunities for further gains in the future.
Legal matter | There is a claim by Pfizer Limited (Pfizer) against Lasco Distributors Limited and others for damages for breach of a patent relating to a particular product. The action has been tried and judgement entered in favour of the company. The judgement has been appealed by Pfizer. The appeal has been heard in the Supreme Court of Jamaica and the court has reserved its judgement. The matter has been further appealed to the Privy Council and the records of appeal have now been settled and communicated to London. It is anticipated that the matter should come before the Privy Council either by the end of this year or during the first quarter of next year.
The attorneys are of the opinion that the company should be successful on this appeal and anticipate that the amount to be recovered by the company may be approximately $400m. If not, the company will be liable for cost estimated at $25M and for an accounting as to profits made by the company as damages to Pfizer for its loss of profit attributable to the sale of the product from the commencement of the company’s dealing to the date of the interim injunction issued on 29 March 2005.
The smallest of the three listed Lasco companies, Lasco Financial posted impressive results for the year ended March 2013. Revenues climbed 30 percent to $485 million and profits jumped 60 percent to $164 million. The net results is even more impressive considering that in 2012 there was net addition to profits coming from revaluation of a $90.3 million property which was partially offset by the write off of $$46.28 million for the full purchase costs incurred from the take over of Supreme Venture Financial Services MoneyGram operations, in December 2011.
Quarterly results | In the quarter to March 2013, revenue was $144 million versus $184 million but the latest quarter figures are better than the $132 million generated in the December 2012 quarter. The revaluation gain was booked in the March 2012 quarter thus swelling the revenue figure in the period.
The quarterly profit for March was also down compared to 2012. More importantly, the $52 million earned in the last quarter of the 2013 financial year was just $2.5 million less than that earned in the high-earning December 2012 quarter.
Cost has been kept under control with a slight dip in administrative cost, most of that would relate to the removal of the one-off cost of $46 million reflected above. Selling and promotional cost were up by half to reach $152 million but the growth was much slower than the rise in trading revenues of 73 percent.
Business lines | The company is involved primarily in the business of cambio operations, money transfer and lending. It has a ready market for the foreign currencies that it purchases which it can sell to the other companies within the family.
Much of last year’s growth came from the acquisition of the business purchased. Operations have been extended to Barbados but it will take hard work to come close to repeating the 2013 performance.
The capital base is $475 million with total assets of $640 million and enjoys return on equity of a strong 39 percent and a gross profit margin of 34 percent.
The stock | This company seems to be coming into its own and investors have noticed. The stocks has gained 100 percent since December last year, when it traded at $4.90 and closing on Friday at $9.80. The results were released after trading closed on Friday. The other two Lasco companies are trading around 10 times 2013 earnings and if this company does the same it should be trading around $13 this coming week. The PE is currently 7.5 and the share price to book 2.6 times. The company, which is not subject to taxation on profits for another three years, should report around $1.70 per share for the 2013/14 year.
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