First Citizens shares set to explode

A whopping $3.3 billion chased $1 billion of shares that were on offer in the twin island state of Trinidad and Tobago between July and August leading to a massive oversubscription for the 48 million First Citizens Bank shares at a very attractive price of TT$22 each. The high level of oversubscription is bound to result in a massive jump in the stock price after it opens on Monday, September 16 as some of 12,435 applicants who got less shares than they wanted will enter the secondary market to snap up more shares before the price gets too high.

Employees of the bank got 3.78 million units accounting for 7.8 percent of the amount offered and just more than half of what they were entitled to based on the allocation noted in the prospectus. The public got 12,852,807 units or 25.5 percent, which is 10.5 percent more than the prospectus had assigned them.  Pensions and other trust funds got 12.1 million units representing 25 percent; mutual funds and unit trusts, 10 million units or 20.7 percent; the National Insurance Fund 10 percent amounting to 4.85 million units and well as companies registered in Trinidad and Tobago and the Caribbean Investment Fund.

The prospectus had indicated that if the Offer is oversubscribed, consistent with the Government’s policy of promoting the widest possible participation in share ownership, priority to receive the allocation (as a percentage of the maximum Offer) shall be given as follows in descending order of priority:

  1. Employees of the Issuer 15%
  2. Individual investors who are nationals of Trinidad & Tobago 15%
  3. Registered pension and other trust funds, Credit Unions and Cooperatives 25%
  4. Registered mutual funds including The Trinidad & Tobago Unit Trust Corporation 25%
  5. National Insurance Board 10%
  6. Companies registered in Trinidad and Tobago and other investors such as the Commonwealth Development Corporation and the Caribbean Investment Fund 10%.

The stock went on the market at a PE of 14.67, which is well below BNSTT at 22.6, BCB Holdings of 25.78 and Ansa Merchant Bank at 19.30 but just below Republic Bank at 15. Heavy oversubscription usually mean that the price will rise sharply as investors try to get more shares to satisfy their thirst.

IC Insider has labelled the stock, Buy Rated and this remains intact.

Related posts | T&T Citizens Bank IPO oversubscribed |  First Citizens’ $1B IPO opens today | First Citizens lousy investor’s relations | Buy Rated stock list grows

TTSE: TCL gets big support

Tuesday, 10th September 2013 | Trinidad Cement was the dominant stock on the Trinidad stock exchange accounting for 692,044 shares valued at $1,349,440 as the price held firm at the end of trading at $1.94 cents and seems to have found support at that level.

On Monday, we indicated that Guardian Holdings appears to have bottomed. Today, it posted a small gain of a cent in trading at $14.01 with 11,276 shares valued at $157,879 changing hands and a bid at $14.01 for 6,500 units. Jamaica Money Market Brokers with a volume of 242,200 shares traded for $121,100 remained firm at 50 cents with buying interest remaining in tack. Neal & Massy Holdings contributed 36,622 shares with a value of $2,050,832, as the price remained firm at the end. Sagicor Corporation traded 3,720 units firm at 6.85.

Clico Investment Fund was the only active security on the Mutual Fund Market, posting a volume of 13,273 shares valued at $285,859 the price remained at $21.54. Angostura Holdings traded a small volume at $9.61 a new 52 weeks high.

TTSESept10Market activity resulted in trading in 12 securities of which 2 advanced, 0 declined and 10 traded firm.

Trading activity on the First Tier Market registered a volume of 1,002,793 shares crossing the floor valued at $4,014,587

IC bid-offer Indicator| At the end of trading, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator has strengthened on Monday compared to Friday with bids for 10 stocks being higher with 5 stocks having offers lower than their last selling price.

TTSE: Guardian may have bottomed

Monday, 9th September 2013 | Guardian Holdings did not trade but now has a solid bid of 28,887 units at the last traded price of $14 suggesting that the recent sharp fall may have ended. As indicated in our PE Ratio report, the stock at these levels remain a very attractive buy.

There was trading in 11 securities of which 4 advanced, 1 declined and 6 traded firm as 470,117 units traded for a value of $2,587,325.

In actual trading, Angostura Holdings gained 9 cents to end the day at $9.60 with 1,032 units trading. Trinidad Cement was the volume leader with 361,100 shares changing hands for a value of $703,845 as the price fell 5 cents to end the day at $1.95. With an offer of 118,086 units at $1.95 and little in the way of bids, there could be further decline in the price before it hits bottom.

Jamaica Money Market Brokers with a volume of 40,000 shares traded for $20,000 remained firm at 50 cents. Republic Bank traded firm at $110.02 with 2,220 units changing hands; Scotiabank chipped in with 2,062 units at $70.01 for a 1 cent gain; Scotia Investments Jamaica contributed 20,000 shares with a value of $40,991 at it traded up a cent at $2.05; West Indian Tobacco added 3,799 shares valued at $448,280 while trading firm at $118 and looks as if it could climb higher in light of more positive news out of Jamaica on the state of the cigarette market demand. Clico Investment Fund in posting a volume of 33,850 shares valued at $729,220 put on 3 cents to end at $21.54.

TTSESept9IC bid-offer Indicator | At the end of trading, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator remains weak with a bid for only 1 stock that was higher with 2 with offers lower than their last selling price.

Related posts | T&T PEs: Better buys ahead

T&T PEs: Better buys ahead

Friday, 6th September 2013 | The PE Ratio chart for stocks trading on the Trinidad stock market has two movements to note for the week just ended.

Trinidad Cement fell sharply during the week to below $2 but the stock has become a more attractive buy with a potential return of 567% versus 350% last week. However, based on the closing bids and offers this stock could drop some more before reversing the recent decline.

Guardian Holdings fell to $14 this week, moving the potential gain from 250% last week to 270% this week and remains an attractive buy. Elsewhere in the market, not much has changed from this past week as prices remained fairly stable.

TTSE_PE+ChartSep6Below are charts that graphically show how TTSE stocks are ranked by PE Ratio potential.

Related posts | Cement could be good for your pocket |  | Guardian ongoing profits up 29%

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TTSE: 2 new 52 weeks highs, one low

Friday, 6th September 2013 | The amount of money invested in stocks on the Trinidad & Tobago Stock Market climbed over Thursday’s low level resulting 13 securities changing hands of which 4 advanced, 3 declined and 6 traded firm. Trading levels remain low with just 185,122 units valued at $3,361,803.

Main trades | The main traded stocks include, Guardian Holdings with 23,038 units for a value of $322,532 as the stock, which has been under selling pressure of late, dropped a $1 to close at $14, a new 52 weeks low but making it vastly more attractive than a few weeks ago. Jamaica Money Market Brokers which traded high volumes in Jamaica, delivered only 20,000 shares valued at $10,000. Neal & Massy Holdings contributed 10,300 shares with a value of $576,700 as the price closed up a cent at $56; Sagicor Financial had 4,600 units which closed firm at $6.85; while Trinidad Cement added 9,900 shares valued at $19,753 as the price slipped further to close at $1.98 but there were 25,000 units on offer at $1.95 and no bids at the close.

West Indian Tobacco with a small 57 shares gained 95 cents to end the day at $118.00. Clico Investment Fund, which continues to be quite liquid, had 108,160 shares valued at $2,326,572 trading as the price remained firm at $21.51.

TTSESept6New highs | Agostini’s traded 1,000 units and closed 25 cents higher at $17.25 for a new 52 weeks high; Prestige Holdings also made a new 52 weeks high when it traded 420 units gained 5 cents to $9.40.

IC bid-offer Indicator| At the end of trading, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows that there were no bids for stocks that were higher with 3 stocks having offers lower than their last selling price.

TTSE: Poor T&T stock market

Thursday, 5th September, 2013 | Trading picked up on Thursday on the Trinidad Exchange with 10 securities changing hands of which 2 advanced, 3 declined and 5 traded firm as a mere 42,969 units changed hands valued at $883,081.

Stocks trading include Unilever Caribbean, which gained 1 cent to end the day at $55.41, a new 52 weeks high as 750 units changed hands. Trinidad Cement with only 10,400 units valued at $23,096 as the price lost 16 cents to close at $2.14. Still under selling pressure due to profit taking, the stock closed with no stock on the bid and 159,187 on offer at $2.10.

Jamaica Money Market Brokers traded 2,800 shares firm at 50 cents. Republic Bank traded 1,153 units valued at $126,853 at $110.02 up a cent. Clico Investment Fund posted a volume of 22,815 shares valued at $490,751; the price closed firm at $21.51. One Caribbean Media 880 units as the price closed firm at $18.02. Scotia Bank traded 2,300 units with firm price at $70.01 for a value of $161,023.

TTSESept5IC bid-offer Indicator | At the end of trading, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows that there were no stocks with bids that were higher with 3 stocks having offers lower than their last selling price.

Image courtesy of Photokanok/FreeDigitalPhotos.net

TTSE: 52 weeks high for 4 stocks

Wednesday, 4th September 2013 | The market activity resulted in four stocks hitting 52 weeks highs. These are Angostura Holdings closed at $9.51 but trading as high as $9.54 in exchanging 1,560 units; Unilever Caribbean gained 9 cents to end the day at $55.40, a new 52 weeks high as 838 units changed hands; National Enterprises traded at a new 52 weeks high of $16.01, up a cent on the day while trading just 500 units, the stock closed with a bid at $16.05 for just 50 units. Republic Bank traded 2,253 units at $110.02 up a cent, a new 52 weeks high.

Trading picked up on the Trinidad resulted from trading in 14 securities of which 5 advanced, 2 declined and 7 traded firm as 557,106 units changed hands valued at $8,569,826.

Stocks with reasonable volumes trading are Grace Kennedy with 200,415 shares valued at $661,370; Trinidad Cement 162,126 shares valued at $388,483 lost 10 cents to close at $2.30; ANSA McAL 67,392 shares with a value of $4,466,742; Jamaica Money Market Brokers 7,100 shares valued at $3,550. Clico Investment Fund posted a volume of 106,466 shares valued at $2,290,182, the price advanced by 1 cent to end at $21.51.

TTSESept4Prestige holdings exchanged 2,665 units and closed firm at $9.35; Scotia Bank traded 1,924 units firm at $70.01 and One Caribbean Media 1,602 firm at $18.02. West Indian Tobacco traded 1,188 units at $117.05.

IC bid-offer Indicator| At the end of trading, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows that bid for 1 stock was higher with 3 stocks having offers lower than their last selling price.

TTSE: Buyers back off TCL

Tuesday, 3rd September 2013 | Trinidad Cement declined again today, this time by 10 cents, as the stock closed at $2.41 after trading 33,065 shares. The stock closed with 707,519 shares on offer at $2.40 without any stock posted to buy at the end of trading. The stock seems to have more of a price fall to go before it settles down again.

Market activity resulted from trading in 12 securities of which 1 advanced, 2 declined and 9 traded firm with 468,390 shares changing hands valued at $4.99 million.

Other stocks to trade in reasonable volumes include: National Flour Mills with 171,405 shares valued at $128,554 as it traded firm at 75 cents; National Enterprises 70,000 shares valued at $1,120,000 traded firm at $16. Jamaica Money Market Brokers contributed 65,300 shares with a value of $32,650 and the price holding firm at 50 cents. At the end of trading there were bids for 301,539 units at 43 cents and 190,111 to sell at 50 cents. Sagicor Financial Corporation added 59,274 shares valued at $406,027 trading firm at $6.85. Neal & Massy traded 4,500 units firm at $55.99, Point Lisa lost a cent to close at $3.74 but with just 1,000 units changing hands; Republic Bank traded 17,075 units valued at$187,421 firm at $110.01; Scotia Bank lost a cent to $70 with 991 units.

TTSESept3Clico Investment Fund, in posting a volume of 45,400 shares valued at $976,116, remained firm at $21.50.

IC bid-offer Indicator | At the end of trading, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows that bid for 1 stock was higher with 3 stocks having offers lower than their last selling price.

TTSE: Trinidad Cement down 44 cents

Monday, 2nd September 2013 | The Trinidad stock market saw trading in 432,177 shares valued at $2,809,739 in Monday’s trading as 12 securities traded of which 1 advanced, 3 declined and 8 traded firm.

Trinidad Cement, last week’s big winner, led the market with 244,137 shares changing hands for a value of $638,206 as the stock shed 44 cents to close with the last traded price at $2.50. The stock closed the day with an offer of 525,277 shares at $2.50 and no stock on the bid to buy as profit taking sets in due to the stock climbing so far in such a short time frame.

Angostura Holdings with a volume of 64,212 shares accounted for $610,139 in value. National Enterprises contributed 40,000 units with a value of $640,000. National Flour Mills added 37,408 shares valued at $28,056. Sagicor Financial Corporation added 15,000 shares firm to end at $6.85, Republic Bank traded 1,800 units firm at $110.01 and Scotia Bank chipped in with 1,050 at $70.01 up a cent.

TTSESept2Clico Investment Fund posted a volume of 23,420 shares valued at $503,654 as the price remained firm at $21.50 the last selling price.

IC bid-offer Indicator | At the end of trading, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows that bid for 1 stock was higher with 3 stocks having offers lower than their last selling price.

Image courtesy of Photokanok/FreeDigitalPhotos.net

New additions to Buy Rated list

Welcome four new members to our elite Buy Rated list! All trade on the Jamaica Stock Exchange with Sagicor Life, Scotia Group and Scotia Investments on the main listing and Caribbean Producers (CPJ) on the Junior Market.

Sagicor150x150Sagicor Life‘s earnings per share in the June quarter amounted to 42 cents annualised out at $1.70 per share but after adjusting for a $120 million loss in a law suit, it is closer to $1.80 per share. All things being equal, 2014 earnings should exceed $2 per share and with the price at $8.20, there is much room for growth.

scotiabanklogo150x150Scotia Group gets the Buy Rated seal of approval based on the earnings of 94 cents in the latest quarter and strong gains in net income for the nine months to July as well as the July quarter. Looking forward, the full year’s results should end at $3.70 per share with next year’s results looking to exceed $4 per share — more than enough to stimulate a rally in the price.

Scotia Investments clocked in with earnings of $1.33 for the quarter with reduced costs in a number of areas. Our analysis of their numbers suggest full year results should exceed $4.60 per share and next year more than $5.

CaribbeanProducers(CPJ)280X150Caribbean Producers (CPJ) reported outstanding June quarter numbers, which suggest that the post-IPO expansion is starting to bear fruits in a major way. Strong growth is a indicator of robust profits ahead and we feel that this one is ripe for a take-off in the coming months.

TCement_280x150Trinidad Cement continues to be the star of the Buy Rated list. Some may be questioning how much further it can go having gained more 200 percent since the end of May. Our PE ratio chart says it has more room to run before it is fully valued based on this year’s company profit performance. Neal and Massy has come down in price as has Guardian Holdings and declines has made them more attractive buys.

Better than a broker’s ‘buy’ recommendation | IC Insider has no vested interest in any stock transaction or conflict of interest. Our research is backed by published reports of the company’s performance and insights of future earnings that can be found at ICInsider.com. The final decision to buy, or not, is your personal choice.

Related posts | Q2 profit up strongly at Sagicor | Scotia Group moves up in spite of NDX | Q3 profits up at Scotia Investments | CPJ’s big jump in profits | TTSE: 3 major changes in PE rankings

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To find published reports for a Buy Rated stock on IC Insider, please use category ‘Buy Rated’ under Company News or enter the company name, in full or part at ‘Search IC Insider’.

Image Courtesy of Collin Reid, Supreme Ventures/Courts/Scotiabank.