JSE: Mayberry dominated trading

Tuesday, 18th June 2013 | Mayberry Investments crossed 66,553,514 Supreme Ventures shares valued at $193,005,191, which they traded for in house purposes. In the process, they sold a few thousand to the market. The trade was one of many such large transactions that the brokerage company put through the market, helping to swell the level of trading above recent days. Many of the crosses resulted on lower prices as the main indices fell by 635.15 points (0.72%) to close at 87,805.82, the All Jamaican Composite declined by 1,118.19 points (1.23%) to close at 89,696.44 and The Junior Market Index advanced by 9.20 points (1.24%) to close at 753.72.

MIL crosses | There was trading in 31 companies, as 121,374,405 units changed hands valued at $329,186,751. The Mayberry trades dominated the following stocks: Berger Paints which traded 2.62 million units, closing 4 cents down at $2.41, Cable & Wireless 37.46 million units closing off a cent at 17 cents, Caribbean Producers with 4.64 million shares down 15 cents at the closing price of $2.20, Gleaner with 644,000 units down 4 cents to close at $1.16, Montego Bay Ice 132.177 units down 5 cents to close at $17.95, Pan Jamaican investments with 115,846 units valued at 6.11 million as the stock price slipped $4.60 closing at $51, Scotia Investments 227,000 units with the price dropping by $1.50 to close at $26.50. Mayberry crosses also dominated in the junior market with the three Lasco companies in addition to the large block of Caribbean Products.

Other stocks to trade in fairly sizeable volume are Carreras which traded 176,486 units at a value of $10.2 million as the stock lost $1.50 to close at $57, Grace Kennedy, 356,794 units between $57.50 and $60 before closing at $57.50 as investors expended $20.7 million on the company’s shares. Sagicor Life with 631,700 units, Scotia group with 304,000 units as it closed at $21.57 off 3 cents on Mondays last traded price.

Price Changes | Other stocks to record noted price changes include: Blue power closed at an all-time high of $8.86 up 16 cents and closed with a bid of $8.90, Carreras lost $1.50, Desnoes and Geddes lost 20 cents closing at $4.90, Grace shed 50 cents on the day, Lasco Distributors lost 15 cents to close at $13.75 Lasco Manufacturing gained 98 cents in closing at $13.75, NCB gained 80 cents at a $21 close.

IC bid-offer Indicator | At the end of trading, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer market sentiment indicator shows that bids for 6 stocks were higher, with 4 coming from the junior market and 2 stocks that had offers that were lower than their last selling price.JSEIndicesJun18

TTSE: It’s WITCO again, up $1

Tuesday, 18th June 2013 | With 600 shares traded, West Indian Tobacco marched on to new record again in Tuesday’s trading as the stock jumped $1 to close at $114 on a day when 15 securities traded with 5 advancing, 1 declined and 9 traded firm. Guardian Holdings suffered the day’s sole decline, falling $0.45 to end the day at $16.00.

Trading in the main market resulted in 157,621 shares crossing the floor of the Exchange valued at $2,624,514. National Commercial Bank Jamaica traded 60,781 shares for $73,196. National Flour Mills had 30,000 shares trading for $22,500. ANSA Mcal exchanged 19,254 shares with a value of $1,294,200, while Grace Kennedy added 15,163 shares valued at $61,410 to the trading activity.

Clico Investment Fund was the only active security on the Mutual Fund Market, posting a volume of 95,425 shares valued at $2,147,063.

IC bid-offer Indicator | At the end of trading, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer market sentiment indicator shows that bids for 6 stocks were higher, with 3 stocks that had offers lower than their last selling price, an improvement over Monday numbers. The Indicator points to continued moderate market gains ahead.

52 weeks high | Three stocks traded at new 52 weeks high with Unilever closing with a bid of $52.34 versus the closing price of $52.32 for 396 shares. The stock had 1,226 units trading on Tuesday, there was no stock on offer at the close. The same is true of One Caribbean Media which hit a new 52 weeks high of $17.30 with 800 shares trading.

This market seems poised to price certain stocks higher as supply for a number of them is low. But not all are likely to participate in upward price movement.TTSEJun18

FX: Selling exceed buying by US$4.7M

Monday, 17 June 2013 | Authorised dealers purchased less foreign exchange than they sold today at higher prices than on Friday and sold all three major currencies at higher rates as well. While they bought the US dollar for 29 cents more than on Friday, they sold it for only 7.7 cents more than Friday’s rate as the US dollar sold averaging at $101.164. The Canadian dollar was bought for 61.5 cents more and sold for 45 cents more and the Pound sterling was bought for 54 more and sold for 49 more than on Friday.

US$28.16 was purchased and US$34.65 was sold on a day when C$1.4 million was purchased at an average rate of $97.86 and C$1.2 was sold at $99.95, the Pound sterling accounted for £2.24 million at $156.86 and selling took place at $159.78 as £1.87 million was sold.

FX_TRADE+Currency+Jun17

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JSE: Give back day

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Monday, 17th June 2013 | Today was give back day for some of the gains generated last week as advancing stocks just barely outnumbered declining stocks with 2.24 million units traded for a valued of $18.8 million trading.

The main indices gave up all that they gained on Friday and more by the end of trading with blue chip stocks shedding the most in value. Carreras closed at $58 having lost $1 and so did NCB that lost $0.80 to close at $20.20 with 7,598 shares trading. JMMB lost 83 cents to close at $8.03 while trading 18,400 shares. Grace traded 114,298 shares as the stock closed at $58 and $1 down and Pan Jamaican Trust lost on $1.40 to $55.60 with 5,676 shares changing hands. Sagicor Investments closed up 39 cent at $16.50 as 7,096 shares traded.

Investors looking for yields picked up 250,089 JMMB 8.75 preference shares at $3.20 and 321,000 Proven 8 percent preference shares at $5.09.

Index falls | The all Jamaica Index closed down 719.52 points and ended at 90,814.63 points. The main market index is down 408.70 points and closed at 88,440.97.

Juniors down | The junior market index gained 15.14 points to close at 744.52 with only 5 stocks trading in this segment of the market. Blue Power fresh from 121 percent jump in profits for the year ended April posted a 5 cents increase as it traded 132,900 shares up to $8.70. Lasco Distributors closed up $1.39 at $13.90 as 116,000 of the company’s shares traded. Lasco Financial Services traded 270,440 units and closed at $10 up 10 cents on the day. Lasco Manufacturing did not trade but had a bid that was higher than the last traded price. Access did not trade but is poised to go higher as there has been little or no selling in the stock to meet demand but had a bid that is higher than the last traded price.

Advances positive | The advance decline ratio was far less positive today than on Friday with the previous trading day as 10 stocks advanced and 8 declining compared to Friday when 17 stocks advanced and 4 declined.

IC bid-offer Indicator | At the end of trading, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer market sentiment indicator shows that bids for 7 stocks were higher with 1 stock that had an offer that was lower than their last selling price. The Indicator points to more market gains ahead but it is most pronounced in the junior market, which has the higher number of bids over last traded price than the main market.JSEIndicesJun17

TTSE: WITCO climbing away

Monday, 17th June 2013 | On another slow day of trading, 8 securities traded of which 3 advanced, 1 declined and 4 traded firm, as a mere 40,001 shares crossed the floor of the main exchange valued at $525,195. West Indian Tobacco closed at another record of $113 up 48 cents on the day as just 360 units traded. Clico Investment Fund enjoyed robust interest as investors traded 858,834 shares valued at $19,323,216, while the share advanced by $0.23 to end at $22.50. Sagicor Finance traded 31,762 shares in the main market at a value of $200,223, followed by Neal & Massy with 3,699 shares valued at $218,241.

IC bid-offer Indicator| At the end of trading, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer market sentiment indicator shows that bids for 3 stocks were higher, with 3 stocks that had offers that were lower than their last selling price. The Indicator points to continued moderate market gains ahead.TTSEJun17

Stocks to watch: 17th June, 2013

IC Insider will be keeping a close watch on these stocks for movement during the week of 17th to 21st June 2013.

JSE Junior Market

  • Access Financial
  • AMG Packaging
  • Blue Power
  • Consolidated Bakeries
  • General Accident
  • Lasco Financial
  • Paramount Trading

JSE Main Market

  • Desnoes & Geddes
  • Jamaica Broilers
  • Jamaica Money Market Brokers
  • Mayberry
  • National Commercial Bank
  • Sagicor Life
  • Scotia Group

T&TSE

  • BNSTT
  • Clico Find
  • Grace
  • JMMB
  • Scotia Investments
  • WITCO

FX: US14M bought than sold

Friday, 14th June 2013 | The evidence is building to confirm than its not normal demand that is driving the rate of exchange for the Jamaican dollar. During the week ending Friday, authorised dealers bought the equivalent of US$14 more than they sold, with only Thursday’s trade when they bought US$200,000 more than they sold reflecting more demand than the amounts bought. Nevertheless, the rate of exchange climbed for all three major currencies during the week.

In Friday’s trading, US dollar buying by authorised dealers translated to US$2.2 million more than the amount sold but the average rate for buying and selling rose by 3 cents for buys and 30 cents selling. C$727,000 was purchased and C$570,000 sold as the average buying rate declined by 71 cents and selling rose by 15 cents. The Pound sterling rose $1.31 for buying and selling cost an average of $1.13 more than on Thursday. Overall, the equivalent of US$5 million more was purchased than the amount sold. Buying amounted to $25.54 million and selling $20.6 million.

Highest & lowest | On Friday, the highest rates climbed for all currencies with the US dollar rising by 50 cents but selling rates had no change over Thursday’s, the Canadian dollar rose $1.35 and the selling rate was up 16 cents and the Pound rose 95 cents and fell $2.99 on selling. The lowest rates saw no change in the US dollar while the Canadian rose 54 cent for buying and 60 cents for selling and the pound rose 17 cents buying and $3.30 selling. 

FX_TRADE+Currency+Jun14

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JSE: JMMB dominates trading

Friday, 14th June 2013 | Scotia Investments bought 4.18 million units and Mayberry bought 1 million shares of Jamaica Money Market Brokers (JMMB) in today’s trading as the stock remains the dominant trader for a few days as it traded 5.22 million shares between $8.85 and $9 before closing at $8.85 up 25 cents for the day. So dominant was the JMMB trade that Carreras with 70,000 shares cost $4.07 million was the closet to it. Scotia Investments who bought some for in house purposes has been buying for the unit trust portfolio managed by them, IC Insider has been reliably informed.

Index Climbs | The all Jamaica Index closed up 324.39 points and ended at 91,534.15points. The main market index closed up 209.73 points and closed at 88,849.67. The Investor’s Choice bid-offer market sentiment indicator, points to more market gains ahead.

Carreras closed at $58 having lost $1 and so did NCB which lost $1 to close at $21 with 917 shares trading. Scotia Group lost 44 cents to close at $21.56 while trading 100,703 shares. It was 75 cents up on Grace trading 13,000 shares as the stock closed at $59 and $2 up for Scotia Investments which closed at $28 with just 1,100 shares trading and Pan Jamaican Trust put on $1.50 to $57 with 16,350 shares changing hands.

Juniors down | The junior market index slipped again in Friday’s trading by 3.43 points to close at 729.38 even as only one stock traded down in price with 5 stock advancing in this segment of the market but Lasco Manufacturing’s 73 drop cents did the damage. Lasco Manufacturing close at $12.77 with 135,136 units.  Lasco Distributors moved up by 44 cents to close at $12.51 while trading 222,412 shares. Lasco Financial Services traded 370,079 units between $9.50 and closing price of $9.90.

Advances positive | The advance decline ratio was even more positive today than yesterday with 17 stocks advancing and 4 declining on a day when 7.2 million shares changed hands with a value of $65.8 million.

IC sentiment indicator | At the end of trading, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer market sentiment indicator says ‘bullish’ with bids for 5 stocks were higher and 2 stocks had offers that were lower than their last selling price.

JSEIndicesJun14

TTSE: Republic dominates, new high for WITCO

Friday, 14th Jun 2013 | Republic Bank of Trinidad may not have been the volume leader today but it more than made up by attracting more than $10 million of the $11 million traded for the day. West Indian Tobacco made a new high on the day, the only stock to reach a new high, trading as the stock moved up to $112.52 up 2 cents as 972 shares traded.

Main Market | The main market at the Trinidad & Tobago Stock exchange had a volume of 398,576 shares crossing the floor with a value of $11,072,781 much better than yesterday’s $1,652,262. Trinidad Cement was again the volume leader as was the case on Thursday with 281,871 shares changing hands for a value of $267,777. Republic Bank was the dominant traded stock, accounting for the bulk of the funds that were invested in the market as 94,140 shares traded for $10,355,400. Scotiabank traded 2,389 shares valued at $167,230 and closed at $70, up 29 cents for the day.

Clico Investment Fund gained 66 cents to end the day at $22.27; the fund saw trading in 170,598 shares valued at $3,799,892. In yesterdays trading, the stock gained 20 cents to end at $21.61.

Advances positive | The advance decline ratio remains positive with 5 stocks advancing and 1 declining, on a day 12 stocks traded.

IC sentiment indicator | At the end of trading, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer sentiment indicator is just mildly bullish with bids for 2 stocks higher and 3 stocks with offers lower than their last selling price.TTSEJun14

Market demand is not driving J$, BOJ is

Over the last three weeks there has been more buying of foreign exchange by authorised dealers than selling, yet the Jamaican dollar has slipped in value. This is not the case of market forces determining the value of the currency, it is manipulation by the central bank to achieve a rate they are happy with. Take the case this week. So far, every day the buying of foreign exchange is more than the amount sold, yet the rates have slipped.

According to The Gleaner, the Governor of the central bank of Jamaica, Brian Wynter, while addressing journalists at a Jamaica House press briefing yesterday, said he understood the consternation of sections of the populace as the dollar eased past the J$100 to US$1 mark, but suggested that the dollar was finding its true value in a market-determined environment.

“We in Jamaica are operating a flexible exchange rate regime that is determined by the market and that is based on the principle that is determined by the market,” Wynter stressed.

Wynter signaled that he was unruffled as the movement of the local currency was consistent with the expectations of the Central Bank, operating under a flexible exchange rate regime, to which the Central Bank is committed. “The exchange falls within the boundary of the BOJ‘s forecast,” asserted Wynter.

USD_Clock150x150We understand that the central bank can’t give an indication of what is its intention with regards the rate of the Jamaican dollar, but to say that the rate is being market determined seems like a big joke when one examines what is taking place.

To be fair, the Governor did give a clear indication. As reported in the Jamaica Observer, the Governor said, “If you have a strong exchange rate that benefits the consumer that is going to make it progressively harder for exporters to compete in overseas markets. If you go the other route and have a too weak dollar you will reverse that picture but also have too much inflation in the domestic economy,” he said. “We have to find the right balance and the programme we are operating within at the moment is built on a balance that will best provide the conditions for export-led growth,” he added.

In short, it is our conclusive opinion that the central bank is the one intervening to move the rate — not normal market forces.

  1. The NIR is less than a billion at the end of May. One supposes that physiologically, building the NIR to over a billion dollars would be better ahead of the post-summer months when inflows are less and demand is higher.
  2. Next, is the other strange thing happening in the FX market. Authorized foreign exchange dealers are selling more foreign exchange than they are buying for the past two weeks, which make no sense. Why would they be selling from their inventory if there is going to be much higher rates down the road? Why are they tying up Jamaican dollars at relatively low interest rates if the benefits to be obtained by interest earned will be eroded by a depreciated dollar? The central bank confirmed that the CD issue that ended on the 7th of this month resulted in tighter Jamaican dollar liquidity and that BOJ bought foreign currency from the dealers. In this sense, BOJ is fully aware of what is happening and is clearly trying to beef up the foreign currency reserves. The BOJ has quickly, as the previous CD issue closed, issued two more to pull more foreign exchange out of the system.

Yes, it is supply and demand that’s driving the rate. But the demand is one that is based on the BOJ encouraging the rate to move up by buying the banks surplus funds at higher and higher rates.

Talk back | Do you agree that the BOJ is influencing the demand side of the equation?

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