JSE: Monday, 20th May 2013

Advancing stocks out-do declining ones again Trading picked up today as 4,114,189 units valued at over $67,585,621 were traded. National Commercial Bank 1,037,700 units valued at $19.6 million, Pan Jam traded 400,000 units at a value of $421.4 million, Carreras traded 220,989 units valued at $12.667 million, Dolphin Cove  with 816,710 units amounting to $6.6 million, Lasco Financial Services chipped in with 376,000 units valued at $3 million and General Accident Insurance Company with 505,500 units with value of $900,000. The movement and demand for the Lasco Financial shares comes against the background of earnings that are expected to be much higher than last year and should be released late this week or early next.

Major price movements were Grace falling $1.75 to $58.25, Kingston Wharves up 35 cents to close at a 52 weeks high of $7, Lasco Financial up 30 cents to $8.10 a 52 weeks high, NCB losing 44 cents to $18.55 and Scotia Investments down 50 cents to $23.50.

There was a positive advance/decline ratio of 12 to 5 thus maintaining the mildly bullish trend seen in the last 2 weeks. Supply of stocks at current price levels for the more attractive stocks are proving harder to come by suggesting that buyers will need to up their bid prices if they are to get the quantities they want. The number of stocks with bids above their last sale continue to show up in the market, an indication that sellers not prepared to sell as low as the last selling prices.

The JSE indices moved up moderately with two reflecting no change as no stocks associated with them traded.


JSE: Friday, 17th May 2013

Markets poised for a big run soon? | Advancing stock far outnumbered declining ones as the Jamaica Stock market continues on a bullish note. Fourteen stocks gained to only 4 that declined. Twenty six stocks traded in all.

The market has crossed over a major resistance level just under 85,000 points. Based on market sentiments currently and the shortage of some stocks, it seems only a matter of time for a major breakaway from the current level to take place. That break out could well be next week.

Caribbean Cream trades 1m shares | Newly listed junior market Caribbean Cream traded more than 1 million shares after the stock started trading. Two blocks of 500,000 units were traded at the IPO price of $1. Later in the morning 7,000 units traded at $1.01 the last traded price for the day. At the close, there were 4 orders to purchase 136,445 at $1 and two orders to sell 2,000 units at $1.15 and one order to sell 150,000 units at $1.25.

jse_logo150x150Elsewhere Consolidated Bakeries traded 1.079 million units as low as 90 cents each and Supreme Ventures traded 3.87 million units between $2.75 and $2.95 each. The stock last traded at $2.95. Scotia Group traded 228,455 units while closing down to $20.20 shedding $1.40 in the process. Dolphin Cove traded 249,200 and closed trading at $8.10 and General accident chipped in with 228,187 units valued at $2 million. The stock gained 1 cent. With the company’s first quarter results showing profit gains of 65 percent, demand has come in for it. Proven Preference shares traded 1.4 million units valued at $7 million as investors seek out higher yielding instruments than regular money market ones.

Blue Power traded at $6.80 up 80 cents, it along with Caribbean Cream, traded at all-time highs today. Grace Kennedy which traded at $60 up $2 and Kingston Wharves traded at $6.65 closed at 52 weeks’ highs. Jamaican Producers traded up $2.20 to close at $18.70 but at the end of trade the stock was offered for sale at $17, only 5,000 units traded. National Commercial Bank gained 49 to close at $18.99 on 8,000 units that traded.

Trading took place with 8.4 million units trading at a value of $30 million.


JSE: Thursday, 16th May 2013

Bullish signs are present | The Jamaica stock market registered gains in the main market index as First Caribbean International Bank gained $1.50 to close at $103 while trading just 2,537 shares. The All Jamaica Composite index fell, however, in spite of a positive advance decline ratio. Trading in the market was characterised by heavy cross trading carried out primarily by MVL Stockbrokers. The cross trades helped the volume reach 10.7 million units with a value of $93.9 million.

Two stocks reached 52 weeks high in trading while there was demand for stocks with prices above the last selling price that went unfilled at the end of trading. Blue Power reached $6 up 15 cents with a volume of 913,000 units traded by Mayberry which they bought for their own account. At the end of trading, they had a bid for 200,000 at $6. Kingston Properties traded more than 2 million shares and gained 51 cents to close at $4.51, NCB gained 28 cents to close at $18.50 with 215,300 shares trading. Scotia Investments in its up- today-down-tomorrow shed $3 in trading 452,185 shares with most being a cross and closed at $23.50.

At the close, the junior market looked very bullish as there is a general standoff between buyers and sellers with bids and offers being very wide.


JSE to redeem preference shares

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Friday, 17th May UPDATE | The Jamaica Stock Exchange Limited has advised of its intention to redeem its preference shares which mature on May 31, 2013. Principal and interest payments will be made on May 31, 2013 to shareholders on record as at May 24, 2013. The shares will be suspended on May 24 to facilitate the process of redemption. The total amount of shares involved is 33 million units.

Thursday, 16th May | The Jamaica Stock Exchange (JSE) which is now listed in the preference shares segment of the market, will be offering ordinary shares to the public before the end of May, a reliable source tells IC Insider, subject to an early sign-off of the prospectus by the FSC.

The Stock Exchange has already announced the redemption of the preference shares which under the terms of the shares are redeemable at the end of May and the Board has signed off on the decision to take the ordinary shares to the public. IC Insider gathers that the issue will most likely be in the region of the redemption which will amount to around $66 million. With issue costs of the ordinary shares to be factored in, it could come to market at around $100 million. The prospectus is at an advanced stage and could be signed off by the stock exchange early next week for approval by the FSC. If all goes well, the prospectus could be in the public hands by late next week or the first week in June and the issue should be closed before the end of June. The lead brokers are Stocks & Securities who recently launched the IPO of Caribbean Cream issue.

How does the JSE stack up?

jse_logo150x150Revenues  | For the quarter ended March, the JSE’s income rose 8% to reach $69.5m compared to $64.4m in 2012. Other Operating Income increased by $5.5m or 32% over the same period, primarily due to an increase of $5.3 million in revenue from the JSE regional conference. Investment income of $22 million jumped $14 million over 2012 due largely to the gains on US dollar investments as a result of devaluation of the Jamaican dollar.

Profit after tax amounted to $5.8 million compared to a loss of $6.1 million in 2012. For the twelve months to December last year profit of $93 million was reported but that figure included the revenue from the sale of a board seat to Proven Wealth Management as well large fee income that flowed form the purchase of Lascelles’ shares that were acquired by Campari last year.

Total assets at March this year is $720 million and equity capital of $505 million. There are currently, 28 million ordinary shares in issue. With an equity base of $505 million these shares would have a book value of $18 per share. It is quite likely that the number of shares now issued could be increased to existing shareholders thus allowing for a smaller sum per share for the IPO.

Based on earnings to date, it is and the current number of shares outstanding could be priced around $10 each which is much lower than the net asset value. The prospectus will disclose the full extent of the pricing and then investors can get a clear picture of its worth as an IPO.

IPO outlook | Of course the stock exchange has no direct competition, nevertheless it has to compete with other forms of investments both local and overseas, that are available to investors. It also noted that the JSE has not been customer friendly with the investing public and there are other signs of management weaknesses that could prevent an investment in the stock to optimize investors’ returns. It is the view of IC Insider that the stock market should pick up over the next several years as interest rates remain low making stock market investing more attractive than in the past few years. If so, then the JSE will benefit from increasing fees and possibility more listings.

JSE: Wednesday, 15th May 2013

Bullish, will it last? | Corporates are coming to the market (meaning companies are buying) says our source when asked what was happening and why the significant move today. They want all the top company shares that everyone else wants.  He indicated that other brokers are doing the same thing but the supply is not coming out to meet demand at these prices. These sentiments were confirmed by another source. Whatever the true situation, what is known is that the advance/decline ratio has been strongly positive from at last week which is a bullish indicator.

Trading today on the Jamaican Stock Exchange was at its most bullish for the entire year with the All Jamaican Composite advanced by 1,132.95 points (1.35%) to close at 85,058.31. The JSE Market Index advanced by 643.54 points (0.76%) to close at 85,273.15 and the JSE Junior Market Index leaped by 34.36 points (5.47%) to close at 662.80, this as 15 advancing stocks overshadowed the 3 falling.

Bull150X150Market volume amounted to 2,350,794 units valued at over $16,641,657. Caribbean Producers traded 1,178,552 units with Jamaica Money Market Brokers with 333,000 units (31.28%) and Scotia Group Jamaica with 224,446 units (21.08%).

Big movers for the day are Access Financial Services up $1 to an all-time high of $8 while trading 17,861 shares, Desnoes & Geddes put on 50 cents to close at $5 but the stock closed with an offer of $4.85 with a small volume being offered for sale. The company traded 163,074 units between $4.60 and $5. Dolphin Cove traded to close at $8.40, up 48 cents on the day, Jamaica Producers fresh from reporting improved first quarter results, gained 41 to close at $16.50 as the stock saw trading taking place in 10,000 units. Lasco Manufacturing gained 30 cents to close at $11.30 off 101,178 units trading, Scotia Investments is up all of $3.40 for a $26.50 close as the stock traded 7,000 units. The losing stocks shed 49 cents in the case of Carreras as it traded 9.821 units, NCB lost 57 cents in closing at $18.22 while trading 26,685 units.

Technically the market is approaching its first resistance which is around 86,000-87,000 points. A break sharply over this level will expose the market to a potential big rally taking it to the 100,000 points level.


Caribbean Cream trading on Friday

Caribbean Cream will commence trading of Friday under the ticker symbol Kremi. This confirms IC Insider report last week that the listing was set for this week. The company is the latest to be listed on the Jamaica Stock Exchange.

Stock outlook | The company which went to the market in April to raise $75.7 million was just oversubscribed on May 1, well ahead of the closing date of May 10. Not much is expected in terms of price movements when trading starts since there was not the usual demand and heavy subscription for the shares as has been the norm for majority of the junior listing stocks.

JSE: Tuesday, 14th May 2013

Indices rise but decliners outnumber advancers

In Tuesday’s trading on the Jamaica Stock Exchange 3 stocks advanced and 7 declined. It’s been some time since the advance/decline ratio was negative, nevertheless the main market indices actually registered advances. The level of trading was moderate with just over 2 million units trading for a value of $9.3 million.

At the end of trading there were 8 stocks with bids above the last selling price and only two with offers below the last sale price.


JSE: Monday, 13th May 2013

Market highest since February 8th

The market is at the highest level based on the All Jamaica Index since February 8th this year, but it has some way to go before it takes out the 2013 high of January 4 when the all Jamaica index was at 91,721. Grace Kennedy put on $2.25 today, to close at $58 based on 6,185 units trading at $58, Desnoes and Geddes put on 33 cents to close at $4.50 after the company reported improved nine months results on Friday but with lower third quarter profits than the year before quarter due to costs relating to staff separation. The company traded 82,500 units, all at $4.50. Scotia Bank put on $1.96 to close at $21.98 while trading a mere 5.965 units.

The sentiments of the market can be gleaned from the advance decline ratio of stock price movements in today’s trade. Advancing stocks continued the trend of last week with advancing stocks outnumbering declining stocks on the Jamaica Stock Exchange. 7 stocks registered price advances and only 3 fell. The movement helped in moving the All Jamaican index up by 828.77 closing at 83,660.42. The main market index closed up 470.76 points to close at 84,479.12 on a day when 21 stocks traded. Stocks with a mere $9,004,591.79 value traded in market.

Stocks to watch this week | Grace Kennedy, Carreras, Jamaica Broilers, National Commercial Bank, Scotia Investments, Blue Power, Honey Bun, Jamaican Teas, General Accident.


JSE: Friday, 10th May 2013

Scotia companies stock skid

In a lackluster day’s trading, 3.08 million stocks at a value of $33,240,248.40 traded as 11 stocks recorded price gains against only 2 that fell in the ordinary share segment.

Both Scotia Group and Scotia Investments were the day’s big losers, the former down $1.98 to $20.02 with 512,354 units trading and the latter losing $3.08 to close at $23.03 with 324,350 shares trading. NCB gained 30 cents to close at $18.30 with 524,095 shares trading. JP traded 13,001 units and put on 32 cents to close at $15.50, Jamaica Broilers traded 309,318 units up to $4.60, 6 cents more than on Thursday. Kingston Wharves gained 30 cents in trading 12,781 units to close at $6.40 and the highest price for more than a year, Lasco Financial Services traded at an all-time high of $8.10 while Blue Power gained 17 cents to $5.85 on just 4,389 units. Grace continues to pick gains, closing at $55.75, 16 cents more than yesterday, on small volume.

JSEINdicesMay10All the indices of the market fell except the junior market the US dollar market that had no trades and the cross listed index, whereas there were no trades for overseas based companies.

Who is running the stock exchange?

The last posting on the stock exchange website for D&G is the release of the December quarter’s results posted on February 8, 2013. The exchange’s web site, on which information should be posted, did not have the release that the company would consider the payment of a dividend at a meeting to be held on May 16. How come a brokerage house had the said information posted on their website on Thursday but the exchange did not until after 9 am on Friday? What is really going on at the JSE? And where is the Financial Service Commission (FSC) in seeing to the orderly running of the capital market?

More questions | Why does the JSE put information about the trading of Proven ordinary shares in the combined trading report but at the same time, leave out the value of trade and the quantity? It makes absolutely no sense. Why should investors have to add the trading data to determine the full extent of a day’s trade? Importantly, why is the combined trading sheet that has the US$ listing as well as the US dollar index, carry the total trade but when checked, the value of trading is not included and nowhere on the report is there a notation that it is not included?

The reality is the stock exchange needs all the positive publicity it can get to interest more persons in the market. But do they see the value in fully informing the public about the total level of trading on the market? Is anyone then surprised that many persons think our market is a joke and prefer to try their luck in shark infested waters?

For example, the trade sheet section with market indices carries a column that is headed “value” and next to it “volume”. One would naturally think the value relates to the dollar value of trades, but not so. It is in fact the the closing indices for the day. The Trinidad Stock Exchange shows the section as closing indices and that seems far more logical.

The problem with our exchange | The executives think they know it best and constantly refer to international best practice for some of what they do. That however, is selective as there are other occasions that they do things when it suits them that are not done elsewhere. What about the users of the information? Should they not get trading reports that meet international best practices?

It’s time they wake up to reality. The question is who will do it.