JSE: Juniors marching on

Wednesday, 29th May 2013 | The junior market index jumped 4.33 percent today, the most by any of the indices as most of the market focus was on these stocks. With the exception of cross traded index and the US dollar indices, where no price action took place, all other indices moved up on a day of light trading.

The junior market index closed up 31 points and closed at 747.64, not very far from the important 800 level where resistance comes into play. The all Jamaica index closed up 188.48 points to close the day at 87,949.82 on a day when market activity was low and only $8,804,947 worth of stocks traded.

52 weeks High | Six stocks traded at new 52 weeks high during the day with 3 ending up closing at 52 weeks high. Lasco Financial traded as high as $10 but closed at $9.50 which remains the highest closing price. The same went for Jamaican Teas that traded at $4.60 during the day but closed back at the 52 weeks high previously attained this month at $4.40.

Lasco Distributors closed at $15 while gaining $1.30 for the day and Manufacturing put on $1 and closed at $14, Grace Kennedy closed at $60.25 but traded as high as $62 failing to record a new 52 weeks high at the close. Kingston Wharves closed at $7.50 the highest price attained in the last 12 months while gaining 48 cents.

JSEINdicesMay29

FX: Trading picks up big

Tuesday, 28th May 2013 | The decline in the level of trading was clearly not a sign of things to come. At least that is what Tuesday’s data in the foreign currency market is saying.

Trading picked up markedly from yesterday’s poor showing with US$42 million bought for all currencies and selling of US$37.1 million. Rates inched up a bit today with the US dollar purchased for 80 cents more and sold 2 cents more than on Monday. In the case of the Canadian dollar it was 59 cents more on the buy side and $1.32 on the selling side while the Pound Sterling was fetching 53 cents more on the buy and just 19 cents more on the sell side than on Monday.

The amount of US dollar sold was over US$4 million more than that purchased, while the Canadian sold Can$1.66 million compared to only Can$900,000 bought. Sterling was heavily in favour of buying as nearly a million pounds less was sold than bought.

The highs and lowest rates saw marked moves in Canadian on the buy side climbing $1.17 for the highest rates and down $12.09 on the lowest rate sold. The pound was sold for $1.41 less at the lowest rate.

FX_TRADE+Currency+May28

FX_TRADE+HighLow+May28

JSE: 130,000 in 2013?

Tuesday, 29th May 2013 | The market was dominated by Scotia Group with 2.265 million shares trading for value of $49.4 million in a market that traded $59.6 million for the day. The bulk of the trades in this stock were crosses done by Scotia Investments on behalf of clients. The stock jumped $1.24 on the day to close at $21.80. The gain in Scotia, plus a 40 cent increase in Sagicor Life which closed at $8.50, were the main contributors to the 1,452 points rise in the all Jamaica Index which closed above 87,000 points for the first time since February 6th and it now sits just below January 25th close of 87,888.49 on a day when advancing stocks again out paced declining stocks 3 to 1 with 12 stocks climbing versus 4 that fell.

Technically speaking | The junior market is heading to the 800 points level before it meets resistance and closed today at 716.63, so the target may not be that far away. The main market has broken the 85,000 mark decisively and today broke a minor resistance level created this year when the market slipped with the NDX and tax announcements. It now looks as if the market’s next serious resistance level is around 130,000 points. Using the all Jamaica Composite index, even if the market moved at the level it did today, it would take until mid-July to reach it.

jse_logo150x150The challenges the main market faces is that it requires the big companies to fully participate in any major rally to meet such a target within the time frame. So far, two of the big ones, National Commercial Bank (NCB) and Scotia Group, have not made any great moves to lend confidence that they are about to contribute in any major rally. Based on where money market interest rates are and the low level of stock valuation, this level may only be a temporary stop — if it becomes one at all. An indicator of the near-term future of the market can be measured by the advance decline ratio, as well as the number of stocks closing either  bids higher or offers lower than the last sale price. At the end of Tuesday’s trade it was 8 to 1 a positive for continued advances.

Other price movers | Other stocks to post worthwhile moves include Carreras up $2 on Mondays last traded price with the stock closing at $60 with 16,246 units trading between $58 and $60. Jamaica Broilers gained 30 cents to close at $4.90 while trading 86,706 units. All three Lasco companies posted gains in continued response to the 10 for 1 stock split. Distributors gained $1.69 to close at $13.70 with 83,079 shares trading, Financial Services traded only 7,500 units to close $1.20 higher at $9.50 and Manufacturing was up 94 cents on just 5,000 units to close at $13. NCB shed 21 cents, closing at $18.80 as 19,134 units traded. Scotia Investments gained 50 cents with only 1,000 shares changing hands.

JSEINdicesMay28

Scotia Group’s profit surprise

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Scotia Group Jamaica was the one exception of the financial institutions to buck the trend of lower profit resulting from the write-off of fair value investments gains from the debt swap of Government of Jamaica bonds in February.

The banking group reported improved results for the second quarter of the 2013 financial year to April, with net income of $2,930 million, $210 million above the previous quarter and $214 million above the quarter ended April, 2012. For the six months ended April, 2013, net profit was $5,651 million compared to $5,364 million for the same period last year. Profit available to shareholders was $5.47 billion, resulting in earnings per share of $1.76, this is after the group took a one time charge of $397 million for the write-off of fair value securities gains.

Net interest income | After impairment losses for the period, Net Interest Income was $11.13 billion, up $341 million or 3%  compared to the same period last year. For the quarter, interest income and interest cost declined but net income fell compared with the January 2013 quarter by $470 million and was marginally up on the similar quarter for 2012 by $48 million. The reduction in interest rates that obtained after the debt swap would have been a major contributing factor to the decline. A partial switch in the portfolio from Jamaican dollar denominated investments to foreign currency ones would also be a contributing factor as foreign exchange gains climbed to $955 million versus $526 million in the first quarter.

scotiabankBuilding150x150Other Revenue | For the six months Other Revenue was $5.5 billion, up $858 million or 18.6% compared with prior year due to increased insurance revenue and fee income gains on securities trading as well as higher gains on foreign currency trading and investments.

Operating Expenses | $9.11 billion for the quarter, an increase of $1 billion or 13% over prior year. Staff related costs represented $439 million (10.2% increase), other operating expenses increased by $606 million reflecting primarily inflationary increases, devaluation of the Jamaican dollar and the impact of new tax measures.

Non-performing loans | (NPLs) at April stood at $5 billion, $440 million less that at April 2012, an increase of $270 million over January this year, the increase is a charge against the income for the year to date. During the six months period in 2012, the bank recovered a large corporate loan that was classified as non-performing during 2011, resulting in a net charge in 2012. Total NPLs is down to 3.88% of total gross loans compared to 4.83% last year and 3.82% as at January 2013 due greatly to the growth in the loan portfolio.

Balance Sheet | Total assets increased year over year by $33 billion or 9.46% to $382 billion as at April this year. Loans grew by $16.2 billion to $127.26 billion. Customer liabilities (deposits, repo liabilities and policyholder’s funds) grew to $294 billion, an increase of $28 billion over last year. As per the management report, “This growth was mainly reflected in the deposit portfolio as we continued to acquire new customers and see increased balances from existing customers.”

scotiabanklogo150x150Bruce Bowen, President and CEO said, “Scotia Group generated strong results for Q2 with continued growth in all of our key business lines. Our culture of prudent risk management and strong liquidity enabled us to weather the challenges in the market during the quarter. Looking forward, the National Debt Exchange (NDX) has reduced margins and recent tax measures have increased operating costs. To offset these effects we are focused on deepening our relationship with clients and growing our customer base, while improving operating efficiencies and maintaining tight control of expenses.”

Bowen went on to say, “In times of turmoil in the financial sector Scotiabank is known for providing Jamaicans a safe place to bank. With the addition of Scotia Investments, Scotia Jamaica Life Insurance and Scotia Jamaica Building Society, and our commitment to providing a great customer experience, I believe that we can truly help our customers be financially better off. If we focus on our customers we are in an excellent position to build market share during this difficult economic period.”

TTSE: Bids rise for some stocks

Tuesday, 28th May 2013 | Market activity continues to be subdued in today’s trading on the T&T Stock Exchange with 14 securities trading with 2 advancing, 4 declining and 8 traded firm.

A volume of 460,713 shares crossed the floor of the exchange with a value of $9,072,623. Sagicor Financial Corporation traded 171,175 shares for a value of $1,079,945. There was trading in 146,740 Trinidad Cement valued at $140,420. ANSA McAL traded 100,000 shares with a value of $6,722,000.

All price movements were moderate, more importantly, the number of socks closing with bids above last selling price climbed to 9 from 5 on Monday. Two stocks that closed with higher bids than last sale are Scotia Bank and West Indian Tobacco, two stocks that having been rising for a few weeks.

TTSEMay28

JSE: Lasco stocks respond to split announcement

Monday, 27th May 2013 | Interest picked up in all three Lasco stocks in response to the proposed 10 for 1 stock split the company announced on Friday after trading.

Lasco Financial traded at $9 shortly after trading started, an all-time high but closed up to $8.30 with 23,836 units traded, still closing at an all-time closing high, nevertheless. Distributors was up $1.51 with 9,748 shares trading at a closing price of $12.01. Manufacturing closed at $12.06 down 44 cents with 5,000 units changing hands. At the close, the bid was for 25,000 units at $12.10 with 43,116 units offered at $16.50.

Carreras dropped $2 to close at $58 as 117,870 units changed ands today. The stock traded as high as $61. Grace continued to move higher with a 29 cents gain, closing at $60.50, NCB closed down $0.99 to $19.01, Scotia Group closed at $20.56 up 9 cents as 85,353 shares traded after the company released better than expected results on Friday after trading had closed. JMMB gained 19 cents to close at $7.99 with 17,000 shares traded.

Trading was moderate with only $12,352,416 being spent on stocks on a day when only the junior market index registered a gain. The advance decline ratio continues to be very positive with 10 stocks advancing to 5 declining.

At the close of trading, there were 10 stocks with bids above the last selling price while there was 1 with the offer below the last selling price.

JSEINdicesMay27

FX: Monday surprise

Monday, 27th May 2013 | The foreign market flashed a surprise on Monday with moderate trading levels as a mere US$16.4 million in all forms of currencies were purchased while selling was a little more, at US$$19.4 million. Surprisingly as well, the buying rates fell compared to those on Friday and on the sell side, the US dollar just barely moved up by 7 cents while the other two currencies fell.

The highest buying rates for all three currencies fell today compared to a rise for all three on Friday. Noticeably, the US dollar moved down by 65 cents, the Canadian 80 cents and the Pound $1.30. The lowest buying rates were flat to virtually flat. The highest selling rates hardly changed with the exception of the Pound which gained 76 cents, the other lowest sell rates fell marginally.

FX_TRADE+Currency+May27

FX_TRADE+HighLow+May27

TTSE: Activity picks up

Monday, 27 May, 2013 | Trading activity on the Trinidad & Tobago stock exchange picked up today with trading in 19 securities of which 7 advanced, 5 declined and 7 traded firm. The level of trading was also up on Friday’s trades as 267,068 shares crossed the floor of the Exchange valued at $815,557 in the main market, while Clico Investment Fund traded 9,161 shares valued at $192,839 in the mutual funds section.

Trinidad Cement traded 152,627 shares valued at $144,996, National Commercial Bank Jamaica saw trading in 77,176 shares valued at $92,611. Grace Kennedy slipped 10 cents to $3.80 while trading 10,000 shares with a value of $38,000, while Sagicor Financial Corporation saw 8,700 shares switching ownership valued at $55,245, but the stock fell $0.44 to close at $6.35. Scotiabank Trinidad & Tobago traded just 1,180 shares while increasing $0.11 to end the day at $69.60. The stock closed with the bid on the last selling price but there was no stock on offer at the close, which means that the price could be moving higher.

There were 5 stocks closing with bids above the last selling price while there were 4 with offers below the last selling price.

TTSEMay27

Lasco companies splitting up shares

Lasco Manufacturing, Lasco Distributors and Lasco Financial Service will be holding extraordinary general meetings starting between 10 and 11 o’clock Wednesday, June 26, 2013 at the Knutsford Court Hotel, 11 Ruthven Road, Kingston for shareholders of the companies to consider the recommendation to split the shares of the companies by subdividing each share into ten (10) new shares. Each company will convene separate meetings on the morning.

The release to the stock exchange did not state the reasons for the move. The shares, which are trading between $8 and $12.50, have had limited supply in recent months as the supply of shares in the local market gets tighter as more investors opt for stocks as a better investment.

LascoPills150x150The stock split will only give the shares a semblance of liquidity but it won’t really change things as the current price of the three companies are not high. Ultimately, what will be needed is for more of the existing shares to be sold to the market. In reality, 20 percent of small capitalized companies will not create much liquidity and it will worsen if the companies perform well and investors hold on to their investments to reap the benefits of future growth.

FX: Buying outpace selling, rates are up

Friday, 24 May 2013 | The rate for the pound sterling climbed on Friday by 66.7 cents on the buying side and 42 cents on the sell side. The US dollar picked 13 cents on the buy side and barely moved up on the average sell rate. Buying of the Canadian dollar climbed by 10 cents but fell 56 cents when sold. This all happened when there was more buying than selling of the three main currencies that traded.

Buying of the US dollar by authorised dealers was more than US$6 million greater the amount sold as US$36.6 million was purchased while selling was $30.2 million. Pound sterling purchased amounted to ₤2.5 million while sales amounted to ₤1.23 million. The amount of Canadian dollar purchased was Can$845,278 with Can$769,735 being sold.

The highest buying rates for all three currencies climbed on Friday noticeably with the US dollar moving up 60 cents, the Canadian 30 cents and the pound 50 cents. The lowest buying rate was flat to virtually flat except for the pound which fell by 25 cents. The highest selling rate for Canadian and US dollars was the same as the trading day before but the pound climbed $3.09 while dropping $1.90 for the lowest. The US dollar lowest rate dropped back by $14.95 and Canadian by 70 cents.

FX_TRADE+Currency+May24

FX_TRADE+HighLow+May24

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