When Caribbean Producers pitched their vision of an impressive future, many investors saw a new rising star on the horizon coming from the west and the company easily raised $425 million. The shares were heavily oversubscribed and shot up as high as $3 but reported results never met the hyped expectations.
All that has now changed with the latest quarterly results to September showing a 19 percent jump in revenues and a big turnaround for CPJ in the first quarter of the 2014 fiscal year which ends in June. From a loss of US$172,981 in the 2012 quarter, the company swung into a profit of US$447,421. IC Insider projects the company should pull in profits for the full year of US$8 million, around J$0.80 per share. However, the market’s lackluster reaction to the robust results leaves one searching for reasons why CPJ is not pleasing to investors’ palates.
Cost control | Although sales rose strongly from US$14 million to US$17 million contributing to the big improvement in profit, a major factor is the improved profit margin that rose from 37 percent in 2012 to 44 percent in the latest quarter helping to increase gross profit by a strong 35 percent. Also contributing is the maintenance of other cost increases to levels below or just above revenue growth as well as a turnaround of other operating activity from a loss of US$48,000 to a surplus of US$7,041. Selling and administrative cost rose 20 percent, a shade over the rise in revenues. Depreciation increased faster than sales, at 27 percent to reach US$435,500 but finance cost rose by just 7 percent to US$476,664.
The numbers suggest that the expansion into meat and juice processing is now bearing fruit and should get even better as they capture more market share with their new products.
Borrowings | The company took on a large amount of debt to help fund its expansion with borrowings at US$29 million at the end of September and equity of US$13.5 million, which was quite a risky financing arrangement. Since September 2012, loans have been used to fund a US$3 million increase in inventories and receivables and US$1.6 million increase in plant and machinery.
Positive cash | The good news is that in the latest quarter, there was a strong positive cash inflow of more than US$900,000 which should end up around US$10 million by the end of the fiscal year. That will be enough, coupled with cash now on hand of US$2.7 million, to meet loan payment of US$8.6 million due by June next year and US$9.5 million due in the next twelve months.
If the forecasted cash inflows materialise, equity would jump to US$21 million and borrowed funds should fall in line with equity, subject to funds being used in further expansion by the financial year end.
The company’s working capital is in very good shape with slightly more than 2 to 1 ratio, a situation that should improve as loans are reduced.
The company will begin operations in St. Lucia in 2013 with a well-established partner in the Eastern Caribbean. The new company, CPJ St. Lucia, will primarily focus on setting up beverage system programmes for the hotel sector on the island.
Insider call | IC insider is not only forecasting continued strong growth for this new fiscal year but a continuation into the next year as well, making the stock a good medium term investment. Caribbean Producers Jamaica Limited is an IC Insider Buy Rated stock.
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