Repo rates moved up by 25 basis points to 4 ½ percent in Trinidad & Tobago. At its September 2015 meeting, the Central Bank’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) agreed to increase the ‘Repo’ rate for a seventh consecutive time to 4.5 percent.
According to the central bank, the most influential factor behind the MPC’s decision remains the normalization of US monetary policy which could reduce capital flows to many emerging market economies, including Trinidad and Tobago, which is already adjusting to persistently low energy prices. The MPC also judged the domestic monetary policy stance as still very accommodative in the context of a contracting non-energy sector and moderate inflationary pressures.
The central bank last increased repo rates in July by 25 basis points to 4.25 percent, then the bankers stated apart from similar reasons as above that locally, rising inflationary pressures remain a concern for the MPC. Headline inflation held steady at just over 5 ½ percent in June 2015, while core inflation slowed marginally to just below 2 percent. However, the MPC expects inflationary pressures to pick up in the remaining months of 2015 due to a number of factors.
The central bankers stated that domestic inflationary pressures have not materialized as initially expected. On a year-on-year basis to August 2015, headline inflation slowed to 4 percent from just over 5 ½ percent in July 2015. Core inflation was stable at just over 1 ½ percent, while food inflation decelerated to around 8 percent from double-digit territory of 11 ½ percent in July 2015. Although current price pressures seem contained, disruptions to domestic agricultural supply and higher production costs facing select food industries could lead to rising food inflation. Increased consumer spending driven in part by recently concluded public sector wage agreements, as well as robust consumer borrowing, could also push up inflationary pressures.
Repo rate hiked
September 28, 2015 by