Change in ICTOP10 picks

Mid-year results are now flowing unlike anything seen in the local market in recent years. Most companies reported gains in revenues and profits, but investors’ interest seems lukewarm in the aftermath of the results, even as interest in ICTOP10 number 1 stock, Radio Jamaica (RJR) continues to be robust as more investors turn their eyes to what is a major turnaround in fortunes.
GraceKennedy reported continued strong numbers, showing improvement in revenues and profit, so too did Caribbean Cement and Berger Paints. Investors don’t seem to buy into Berger’s major change in operations and the implication for profit from the major surge in revenues. Based on the six months numbers, the company’s earnings for 2021 is upgraded to $2 per share. All three Lasco companies reported improved revenues and profit for the June Quarter, but the stocks are stuck at prerelease prices.
Investors should ignore the lukewarm response now and accumulate some of these stocks to profit from later in the year when the inevitable buying comes in for them. Access Financial reported improved results for the June quarter after reporting modest gains in lending. NCB Financial also released results but the details suggest caution, with the performance being helped by onetime income or cost reduction. Jamaica Stock Exchange reported improved June quarter numbers, but improvement is not strong enough to justify the current price the stock trades at.
Sterling Investments returns to the TOP10 Main Market listing, after replacing Scotia Group that recorded a rise in its price from last weeks’ $38.75 to $42 at the close of trading on Friday. There are no changes in or out of the Junior Market list.
The top three stocks in the Junior Market, continue, with Elite Diagnostic, followed by Caribbean Assurance Brokers and Medical Disposables, with the potential to gain between 221 percent and 287 percent compared to 237 and 291 percent, last week. The top three Main Market stocks are Radio Jamaica in the number one spot, followed by JMMB Group and Guardian Holdings, with expected gains of 184 to 296 percent, versus last weeks’ 183 to 292 percent.
This past week the average gains projected for the Junior Market, moved up from 202 percent last week, back to 207 percent and Main Market stocks moved to 173 percent from 164 percent.
The Junior Market closed the week with an average PE 13.3 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings and currently trades well below the target of 20 as well as the recent historical average of 17, for the period to March this year based on 2020 earnings.
The JSE Main Market ended the week with an overall PE of 16.4, a little distance from the 19 the market ended at in March, suggesting just a 17 percent rise at a PE of 19 and 23 percent at a PE of 20 from now to March 2022. The Main Market TOP 10 trades at a PE of 7.6 or 46 percent of the PE of that market, well off the potential of 20.
For the Junior Market to trade at the historical average, the PE Ratio would have to rise 28 percent and requires a rise of 50 percent to reach the targeted PE of 20 by March 2022. Main Market stocks would have to rise by 17 percent to hit a PE of 19 and 23 percent to get to the target of 20. The Junior Market Top 10 stocks average PE is a mere 6.7, just 50 percent of the market average, indicating substantial gains ahead.
The TOP10 stocks are not always the best stocks in the market but ones that are most likely to be the best winners within a fifteen months period. IC ranked stocks to filter out the big winners, allowing investors to focus on potentially big winners and help to keep out emotional attachments to stocks.
 IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on likely increase for each company, taking into account the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in movements in and out of the lists weekly. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.

Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.

 

Junior Market rallies to close out July

The market closed on Friday, with the volume of stocks traded declining by 33 percent and the value slipping 29 percent from Thursday outcome, after 34 securities traded, similar to Thursday, with prices of 12  rising, 10 falling and 12 closing unchanged leading the Market Index to spike 14.49 points to close at 3,322.77 on the Jamaica Stock Exchange Junior Market.
The market that closed at 3,370.59 points in June, tried to build on it during July, moving up to 3,421.90  points in Mid-month, failed to hang on to the gains and end up closing below the June close. The PE Ratio, a measure used to compute appropriate stock values, averages 13.2 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings forecast.
Trading ended with 2,153,858 shares changing hands for $7,010,164 compared to 3,204,788 units at $9,817,160 on Thursday.
Future Energy Source led trading with 26.2 percent of total volume, after an exchange of 563,890 shares, Jamaican Teas followed with 21.5 percent, for 462,064 units and Tropical Battery 11.2 percent with an exchange of 240,306 units.

Trading averaged 63,349 units at $206,181 in contrast to 94,258 at $288,740 on Thursday. Month to date, trading averages 163,918 units at $481,755, versus 168,538 units at $494,416 on Thursday. June closed with an average of 225,705 units at $644,459.
 Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows eight stocks ending with bids higher than their last selling prices and one with a lower offer.
At the close, Access Financial jumped 85 cents to $21.49 with an exchange of 548 shares, AMG Packaging advanced 15 cents to $1.65 with 4,855 stocks changing hands, Blue Power fell 32 cents to $3.26 with 10,603 stock units traded. Caribbean Flavours gained 9 cents to close at $2.07, with 2,512 units passing through the market, Elite Diagnostic slipped 5 cents to $3.10 with a transfer of 482 shares, Future Energy Source lost 12 cents to finish at $1.38 with an exchange of 563,890 stocks. GWest Corporation declined by 5 cents to 94 cents with 10,000 units changing hands, Lasco Distributors dropped 16 cents to $4.04 with 1,222 stock units traded, Lumber Depot fell 10 cents to $3.30, with 15,040 shares passing through the market. Main Event climbed 43 cents to $4.79 with a transfer of 13,551 units, Medical Disposable  jumped 46 cents to $4.99 with investors switching ownership of 13,999 stocks and Stationery and Office Supplies shed $1.49 to close at $5.76 with 13,525 shares crossing the exchange.

Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.

Junior Market ekes out gains on Thursday

Trading closed with the Junior Market advancing, with a modest rise in the market index on Thursday as the volume of stocks traded plunged 75 percent and the value dipped 76 percent from Wednesday and leaving declining stocks muscling out those rising.
A total of 34 securities traded on Thursday, up from 33 on Wednesday and ended with the prices of 11 stocks rising, 13 declining and 10 closing unchanged.
At the close, the Junior Market Index squeezed out a gain of 5.52 points to finish at 3,308.28. The PE Ratio, a measure used to compute appropriate stock values, averages 12.9 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings forecast.
Trading ended with 3,204,788 shares changing hands for $9,817,160 down from 13,080,154 units at $40,382,215 on Wednesday. Future Energy Source was the volume leader with 36.2 percent after trading 1.16 million shares, Lumber Depot followed, 11.9 percent, with 382,752 units and Fontana 10.6 percent, with 340,798 units.
Trading averaged 94,258 units at $288,740 in contrast to 396,368 at $1,223,703 on Wednesday. Month to date trading averages 168,538 units at $494,416, versus 172,116 units at $504,321 on Wednesday. June closed with an average of 225,705 units at $644,459.
Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows three stocks ending with bids higher than their last selling prices and four with lower offers.
At the close, Access Financial dropped 85 cents to $20.64 with an exchange of 2,738 shares, AMG Packaging slipped 5 cents to $1.50 with 200,000 stocks changing hands, Blue Power lost 5 cents to end at $3.58 with a transfer of 9,020 units. Caribbean Cream dipped by 7 cents to $5.88 with 46,990 stock units traded, Caribbean Flavours fell 9 cents to $1.98, with 157,522 shares passing through the market, Elite Diagnostic rose 5 cents to $3.15 in exchanging 1,710 units. Express Catering shed 59 cents to finish at $5.40 with 11,054 stock units changing hands, Honey Bun rallied 23 cents to $6.75 with a transfer of 99,760 shares, iCreate popped 6 cents to 86 cents with 21,745 units traded. Indies Pharma rose 10 cents to $3.60 with investors switching ownership of 7,036 stocks, Jamaican Teas added 6 cents to settle at $4.02, with an exchange of 218,068 stock units.Knutsford Express spiked 49 cents to $7.69 with 240 shares changing hands. Lasco Distributors spiked 39 cents to $4.20 with a transfer of 180,263 units, as investors responded positively to the company’s first quarter results that saw profit rising by 58 percent. Lasco Manufacturing gained 5 cents to close at $5.25 with 79,177 stocks traded, Lumber Depot rose 5 cents to $3.40 with investors switching ownership of 382,752 stock units, Main Event dropped 94 cents to $4.36, with 3,170 units changing hands and Stationery and Office Supplies advanced 10 cents to $7.25 with 13,696 shares crossing the exchange.

Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.

 

Junior Market slippage continues on Wednesday

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The Junior Market Index dropped a further 22.00 points for a third consecutive day of decline on Wednesday to settle at 3,302.76 as trading closed, with the volume of stocks exchanged climbing 45 percent over Tuesday’s level, with the value up by 24 percent.  
Market activity led to 33 securities trading compared to 34 on Tuesday and ended with the prices of just eight stocks rising, 14 declining and 11, closing unchanged.
The PE Ratio, a measure used to compute appropriate stock values, averages 12.8 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings forecast.
A total of 13,080,154 shares traded for $40,382,215 compared to 9,034,942 units at $32,570,639 on Tuesday.
Lumber Depot led trading with 78.7 percent of total volume in trading 10.29 million shares followed by Future Energy Source 11.1 percent with 1.46 million units and Tropical Battery 1.4 percent with 178,671 units.
Trading averages 396,368 units at $1,223,703 in contrast to 265,734 at $957,960 on Tuesday. Trading month to date averages, 172,116 units at $504,321, compared to 161,120 units at $469,047 on Tuesday. June trading averaged 225,705 units at $644,459.
Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows four stocks ending with bids higher than their last selling prices and five with lower offers.
At the close, AMG Packaging rose 5 cents to $1.55, with 24,120 shares traded, Everything Fresh popped 6 cents to $1.05 with an exchange of 2,573 units, Express Catering jumped 49 cents to $5.99 with a transfer of 37,700 stock units. Future Energy Source dropped 16 cents to $1.50, with 1,457,121 stocks changing hands, General Accident rallied 47 cents to $5.47 with a transfer of 6,000 shares, Indies Pharma fell 25 cents to $3.50, with 70,689 units passing through the market. Jetcon Corporation slipped 8 cents to $1.31, with 110,000 stocks traded, Knutsford Express shed 49 cents to settle at $7.20, with an exchange of 3,067 shares, Lasco Distributors slipped 5 cents to $3.81 with a transfer of 27,161 units. Lasco Financial rose 5 cents to $3.15 with investors switching ownership of 900 stocks, Lumber Depot fell 10 cents to $3.35, with 10,289,932 shares traded, Main Event climbed 50 cents to $5.30 with a transfer of 1,928 stocks and Medical Disposables slipped 5 cents to $4.55 with 7,560 units crossing the exchange.
In the preference segmentCAC 2000 9.5% dropped 40 cents to close at a 52 weeks’ low of 80 cents, with 38,147 shares changing hands as the yield on the stock climbed to 11%.

Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.

Fontana coming to Portmore

Fontana announced plans to open its 7th location in Portmore, St. Catherine to be located at Braeton Parkway and Municipal Drive, adjacent to the new Pricemart and is expected to be opened late 2022 or early in 2023. The branch will be a fulfillment of expansion plans announced when the company went public in 2018.
Ray Therrien, Executive Director at Fontana in commenting on the new development stated, “We’re really excited to bring Fontana to Portmore and its surrounding communities.  It’s a great location that brings with it a large population covering a wide cross-section of people, and Fontana will provide an easy, safe and convenient shopping experience.” he said. “We have been assessing the opening of a store here, and we are honored to have the opportunity to serve them with our best-in-class pharmacy services.”
Following the company’s more modern iteration seen at the uber-popular Waterloo Square store, this new addition to the pharmacy chain will include a state-of-the-art pharmacy, a one-stop beauty hub, a baby and children’s selection, an extensive home décor collection, a business centre, courier services and over 200 parking spaces.
“We plan to deliver exceptional product breadth in a one stop location; it’s what our customers expect,” said Anne Chang, Managing Director of Fontana Pharmacy. “Our strategy is to continue to improve our stores with each new location, expediting innovation to make shopping faster and easier for our customers.  Portmore will benefit from being the latest great Fontana store.”
Furthermore, the new store will also have an entire department dedicated to Jamaican Artisan products, like its counterpart at Waterloo Square; Fontana’s way of embracing and supporting Brand Jamaica. Local authors and creators, who have benefitted from using the company as a distribution chain through shelf placement, will continue to benefit in this regard.
The new location is part of a larger development project and is anticipated to open in late 2022 or early 2023.  While not committing to a specific opening date, Executive Director Therrien commented that “the company is eager to get started on fulfilling the potential of a partnership with the people of Portmore.”
Fontana presently has 6 locations dispersed throughout the island including two in Kingston, Mandeville, Montego Bay, Ocho Rios, and Savanna-La-Mar.
Investment in the new location will be in excess of $100,000,000 and employ roughly upwards of 80 Jamaicans.

Sharp Junior Market decline on Monday

The Junior Market lost momentum on Monday, virtually undoing Friday’s gains, as the index gave up 32.49 points to end at 3,336.54 as trading closed with the volume of stocks traded slipping slightly below Friday’s level after 19 percent less value chased after stocks.
Market activity led to 37 securities trading compared to 33 on Friday and ended with the prices of 12 rising, 16 declining and nine closing unchanged and two stocks closed at 52 weeks’ low.
The PE Ratio, a measure used to compute an appropriate value of a stock, averages 13 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings forecast.
Overall, 5,432,434 shares traded for $13,895,368 compared to 5,307,749 units at $17,164,498 on Friday.
Future Energy Source led trading with 41.9 percent of total volume after an exchange of 2.28 million shares, followed by Everything Fresh 8.2 percent, with 445,595 units and Jamaican Teas 7.8 percent, with an exchange of 424,325 units.
Trading averaged 146,823 units at $375,550 in contrast to 160,841 at $520,136 on Friday. Trading month to date, averages 155,553 units at $443,033, compared to 156,090 units at $447,181 on Friday. June closed, with an average of 225,705 units at $644,459.
Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows three stocks ending with bids higher than their last selling prices and three with lower offers.
At the close, AMG Packaging advanced 10 cents to $1.66 with 301,518 shares changing hands, Blue Power rallied 27 cents to $3.62, with 3,150 units traded, Caribbean Assurance Brokers rose 8 cents to $1.99 with a transfer of 2,294 stocks. Caribbean Flavours popped 6 cents to $2.06, with investors switching ownership of 111,699 shares, Express Catering fell 8 cents to $5.96 with an exchange of 775 units, Fosrich slipped 5 cents to $8.10 with 4,200 stocks passing through the market. General Accident shed 60 cents to finish at a 52 weeks’ low of $5 with 50,410 shares changing hands, Indies Pharma dropped 31 cents to $3.65 with 117,359 units traded, Iron Rock Insurance climbed 28 cents to $3.88 with a transfer of 156,125 stocks. Knutsford Express dropped 71 cents to $7.69, with an exchange of 38,041 shares, Lasco Financial rose 6 cents to $3.18, with 3,854 units passing through the market, Lasco Manufacturing spiked 42 cents to $5.25 with 25,178 stocks changing hands. Mailpac Group rallied 5 cents to $3.85 with a transfer of 253,262 stock units, Main Event lost 10 cents to end at $5.10 with 6,490 shares traded, Medical Disposables fell 20 cents to $4.55, with 12,600 units passing through the market. Paramount Trading dipped 9 cents to close at a 52 weeks’ low of $1.06, with investors switching ownership of 101,382 stocks and SSL Venture rose 7 cents to 80 cents with 3,983 shares crossing the exchange.
 Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.

#1 ICTOP10 pick to stun market

ICTOP10 number 1 stock, Radio Jamaica (RJR) price moved up 22 percent since releasing full year results recently, with the stock trading at the highest price in a year, it is set to lose the number one spot sooner than later. The company reported just 7 cents per share from reduced revenues. On the surface, the stock price should at best remain at the prerelease price around $1.70 level, but there is much more to those results that only a more detailed assessment would reveal.

Media house, RJR traded most shares on friday

Based on ICInsider.com research, investors should expect the first quarter profit to exceed the 2021 fiscal year results of $171 million on the way to record just under $1 billion in profit for 2022 to give investors a big payday.
RJR is the sort of stock that few would have on their buy list. After all, the company has not performed particularly well in recent years. Worse the Cocvid-19 pandemic made matters tough for them, with contraction in revenues and initially, reduced profit. What goes for RJR would apply to many of the ICInsider.com top stocks for 2021. ICInsider.com goes beyond the actual results to find important information that is not always useful to many but can provide guidance into the future and expose above average profit growth.
That is one reason why many of the selections at the start of the year have done well. Examples are as such, Caribbean Cream up 43 percent for the year to date started the year at the number 2 spot, Caribbean Producers the number 3 spot selection is up 82 percent, Main Event up 73 percent, Medical Disposables up just 12 percent, Stationery & Office Supplies 55 percent, Lumber Depot 116 percent and Mailpac 32 percent. Later, Future Energy Source was added to the list at the IPO stage and is up an impressive 110 percent. Additionally, Jetcon Corporation up 76 percent and Jamaican Teas 100 percent are not being counted. The Main Market with few overall winners for that market so far also produced winners from the TOP15 list, posted at the start of the year, Grace, Carreras, Caribbean Cement and Jamaica Broilers.
The TOP10 stocks are not always the best in the market but are most likely to be the best winners within a fifteen-month period. IC ranked stocks to filter out the big winners, allowing investors to focus on potentially big winners and help to keep out emotional attachments to stocks.
PanJam Investment earnings is downgraded to $4.50 per share and the stock moved out of the TOP10 Main Market listing and is replaced by Scotia Group, now in at tenth spot. There are no changes in or out of the Junior Market list.
This past week the average gains projected for the Junior Market moved up from 183 percent last week back to 202 percent and Main Market stocks moved to 164 percent from 176 percent.
The top three stocks in the Junior Market continue, with Elite Diagnostic heading the list, followed by Caribbean Assurance Brokers and Medical Disposables, with potential to gain between 237 percent and 291 percent compared to 233 and 242 percent last week. The top three Main Market stocks are Radio Jamaica in the number one spot, followed by JMMB Group Guardian Holdings, with expected gains of 183 to 292 percent as RJR price rose and reducing its future potential growth, versus last weeks’ 181 to 379 percent.
The Junior Market closed the week with an average PE 13.1 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings and currently trades well below the target of 20 and the recent historical average of 17 for the period to March this year based on 2020 earnings. For the Junior Market to trade at the historical average, the PE Ratio would have to rise 30 percent and requires a rise of 53 percent to reach the targeted PE of 20 by March 2022. Main Market stocks would have to rise by 17 percent to hit a PE of 19 and 23 percent to get to the target of 20. The Junior Market Top 10 stocks average PE is a mere 6.8, just 52 percent of the market average, indicating substantial gains ahead.
The JSE Main Market ended the week with an overall PE of 16.4, a little distance from the 19 the market ended at in March, suggesting just a 17 percent rise at a PE of 19 and 23 percent at a PE of 20 from now to March 2022. The Main Market TOP 10 trades at a PE of 7.8 or 48 percent of the PE of that market, well off the potential of 20.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on likely increase for each company, considering the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.

Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.

Profit up at AMG

AMG Packaging posted nine months results recently, with flat revenues for the May quarter after recording lower income for the nine months in 2021 versus last year. Still, the company reported a strong 26 percent increase in profit to $21 million for the May quarter, pushing the year to date results to $42 million ahead of $38 million in 2020.
The improved results for the latest quarter came about with a big fall in inventory input that fell 11 percent from $94.6 million to $84 million, while cost for the nine months declined 9 percent from $295 million to $268 million. Other direct manufacturing costs fell in the May quarter from $30 million to $29 million and for the nine months from $104.4 million to $91 million.
Resulting from the fall in direct manufacturing costs, gross profit rose from $46 million in the quarter to $57.4 and for the nine months $150 million from $134.4 million.
Administrative and other expenses rose four percent, from $30.7 million in the 2020 quarter to $32 million and for the nine months, from $98 million to $102 million excluding gains or losses from foreign exchange movement. Foreign exchange movement contributed a loss of $2.3 million in the May quarter, down from a gain of $2.3 million in 2020 and a loss of $4.6 million for the nine months to May this year versus a gain of $4.5 million in 2020. Other income brought in $1.2 million in the May quarter versus $1.4 million in 2020 and for the nine months, $4.4 million compared to $2.2 million in 2020. Loss on disposal of fixed assets contributed a negative input of $4 million in the nine months period last year while taxation cost $3 million in the 2021 quarter and $2.4 million last year and $6 million for the year to date versus $5.4 million in 2020.

AMG Packaging pfoit rise

Cash inflow generated in the period to May amounts to $71 million versus $60 million in 2020. After working capital changes, inflows rose to $117 million. A sum of $62 million was expended on the acquisition of fixed assets resulted in a net outflow of $116 million, leaving cash on hand of $143 million, down from $233 at the end of May 2020.
Current assets stood at $394 million and current liabilities $87 million, resulting in net current assets of $306 million. Shareholders’ equity grew to $591 million from $530 million as of May 2020 and loans amounted to $122 million, of which $19 million is due to be repaid in the next twelve months.
IC Insider.com projects a profit of $66 million or 13 cents per share for the 2022 fiscal year. The stock last traded at $1.64 on the Junior Market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange at a PE ratio of 12.6, just below the Junior Market average of 13. Still, with more of the local economy opening up, the results for 2022 could prove to be better than the current year. Investors have to watch supply chain issues such as increased cost and dislocation of sourcing raw materials.

Profit doubles at Caribbean Cream for Q1

Caribbean Cream released first quarter results with revenues up a solid 28 percent to $549 million and profit doubled to $54 million after taxation of nearly $8 from $27 million after tax of $4 million with earnings of 14 cents per share.

Caribbean Cream’s Kremi product

Cost of sales rose 17 percent to $341 million from $292 million in 2020. Selling and distribution costs rose 21 percent to $15 million while administrative costs rose 41 percent to $126 million, finance costs came in at $5 million. Taxation rose to $7.7 million from $4 million in 2020.
Commenting on the results for the year in a joint statement Christopher Clarke, Chairman and Carol Clarke Webster director, operating expenses rose 35 percent or 38 million due to a number of factors, higher transport cost for an increased number of deliveries of product. “Internal reclassification of electricity from production to distribution to more fairly reflect energy usage by business segments’ salary increases and other staff related costs and the full annualized cost for the Ocho Rios depot. The directors stated that they are currently carrying out capital works at the properties for operations that will lead to reduced cost of utilities.
Cash inflows for the quarter were $98 million versus $64 million in 2020, but after working capital changes, inflows rose to $117 million, $62 million was expended on the acquisition of property and resulted in cash on hand of $264 million. Current assets stood at $453 million and current liabilities at $210 million, resulting in net current assets of $243 million. Shareholders’ equity grew to $888 million from $771 million as of May 2020 and loans amounted to  $324 million, of which $29 million is due to be repaid in the next twelve months.
IC Insider.com projects a profit of $320 million or 85 cents per share for the 2022 fiscal year and $1.50 per share for 2023. The stocks last traded at $6.90, after releasing the results, on the Junior Market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange, a 52 weeks’ high and the highest since October 2018. At Friday’s last traded price, the stock ended the week at a PE ratio of 8.3, well below the average of 13 currently for the Junior Market.

Stunning results from ICTOP10 stocks

Caribbean Cream

Caribbean Cream delivered stunning positive results this past week with profit doubling, in line with ICInsider.com forecast and sent the stock up 25 percent to a 52 weeks’ high when it traded at $6.85 on Friday. The price is up 63 percent for the year to date but is set to clear $15, with projected earnings of 85 cents for the current year.
During the week, the Junior Market lost Caribbean Producers to the Main Market and the move attracted more trading in it, with Friday having the lowest volume of 104,442 and the highest 275,415 shares on the first day of the transfer, well up on the previous two days of 34,319 and 58,282 shares. The stock continues to move higher, with gains of 91 percent for the year to date.
tTech maintained last week’s price of $4.75 to return to Junior Market TOP10 this week, replacing Caribbean Producers that was the only new entrant to the JSE Main Market TOP10, replacing Jamaica Broilers.
This past week the average gains projected for the Junior Market fell from 202 percent last week to 183 percent and Main Market stocks moved to 176 percent from 170 percent.
The top three stocks in the Junior Market are General Accident, followed by Caribbean Assurance Brokers and Elite Diagnostic, with potential to gain between 233 percent and 242 percent compared to 240 and 282 percent last week, as Elite price moved up by 15 percent to $3.60 following the announcement a proposed dividend consideration and a change in the Chief Executive. The top three Main Market stocks are Radio Jamaica in the number one spot, followed by JMMB Group and PanJam Investment, with expected gains of 181 to 379 percent versus last weeks’ 161 to 379 percent.
The Junior Market closed the week with an average PE 13.1 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings and currently trades well below the target of 20 as well as the recent historical average of 17 for the period to March this year based on 2020 earnings. For the Junior Market to trade at the historical average, the PE Ratio would have to rise by 30 percent and requires a rise of 53 percent to reach the targeted PE of 20 by March 2022. Main Market stocks would have to rise by 19 percent to hit a PE of 19 and 24 percent to get to the target of 20. The Junior Market Top 10 stocks average PE is a mere 7.2., just 55 percent of the market average, indicating substantial gains ahead.
The JSE Main Market ended the week with an overall PE of 16.1, a little distance from the 19 the market ended at in March, suggesting just an 18 percent rise at a PE of 19 and 24 percent at a PE of 20 from now to March 2022. The Main Market TOP 10 trades at a PE of 7.6 or 47 percent of the PE of that market, well off the potential of 20.
This week’s focus: Results for Caribbean Cream with revenues up a solid 28 percent and profit doubling to $54 million, from $27 million with earnings of 14 cents per share, speak for themselves. Radio Jamaica is at a totally different level. The company delivered an 11.6 percent revenue rise in the March quarter and a profit of $44 million, pushing full year’s profit to $171 million of just 7 cents per share. The year’s performance comes against the backdrop of $366 million in what can be considered one off costs and in a year when revenues fell 7 percent. The 2022 results are set to be a stunner.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on likely increase for each company, taking into account the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in movements in and out of the lists weekly. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.

Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.