JFP ipo requires careful thought

Jamaican investors will get another shot of investing in a new initial public offer of shares when JFP Limited issue of 280 million ordinary shares opens on February 21 at a price of $1 each on the Jamaican market as the second such issue for the year to date.
The company, a custom manufacturer of furniture was formerly operated as Jamaica Fibreglass Products Limited, up to December last year. The Company manufactures furniture for offices, hotels, restaurants and laboratories, schools, point-of-sale items and boasts many large companies in Jamaica and internationally as customers. “Historically, the Company’s revenues have been derived from the hotel industry, government agencies and restaurants. Combined, these three (3) industries have been the source of an average of 72 percent of revenues for the past five (5) years with one third of the Company’s revenues being earned from the restaurant industry,” the prospectus states.
The share offer is set to close on February 28, with such a small amount is expected to close earlier. Half of the offering is being sold by one existing shareholder, with the balance of 140 million units is offered by the company, with the proceeds to boost working capital to enable it to mobilize efficiently and take advantage of more opportunities for revenue and profit growth.
The company is slated to list on the Junior Market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange shortly after the offer closes. A total of 111.6 million of the shares are Reserved Shares, not initially available to the wider public. The company currently has 980 million shares issued and after the issue closes will end at 1.12 billion units.
The prospectus states that the directors intend to pursue a liberal dividend policy that projects an annual dividend of between forty percent and eighty percent of net profits available for distribution, subject to the need for reinvestment in the Company from time to time.
Metry Seaga is the Chief Executive officer and Ian Levy is the chairman of the board that comprises seven members in total.
Historical operating performance has not been all perfect with sales declining between 2016 and 2018 from $285 million to $244 million with negligible profit and loss, but sales rose to $503 million in 2019 and slipped to $443 million in 2020, but profit before tax rose to $69 million from a small $2 million loss and climbed further in 2020 to $83 million. While profit to September 2020 amounted to $87 million from revenues of $312 million but profit dropped to a mere $4.8 million from sales of $210 million for the nine months to September last year.
Indications are that revenues could get back to the $400 million region, in 2022 and profit around $75 million for earnings per share of 7 cents. With the company producing to order there are likely to be swings in revenues and profit that could result in big swings in the price of the stock. Of course, results could be better or worse as past results show.
Gross profit for the 2020 financial year was $233 million and was flat compared to the year prior.  Gross margins increased from 46.5 percent in 2019 to 52.5 percent. The prospectus stated that improved margins were due to a reduction in staff complement and streamlining its importation process as well as sourcing material locally where possible. Over the past five years, gross margin averaged 52 percent.
The Company’s revenues from contracted work for the nine (9) months to September last year was said to be delayed as a result of multiple unforeseen contract delays caused by the Covid-19 pandemic and the various COVID– 19 containment measures reduced the number of working hours which slowed the production and completion of work. The expected revenues from these delayed projects were $81 million.
The company reports a pipeline of $255 million in contracts for the nine months to September this year and includes a $153 million contract awarded to the Company to manufacture and outfit the check in counters and baggage scales at Sangster International Airport in Montego Bay, slated to be completed in the September quarter of 2022 and $32 million in revenues remaining to be recognized from a contract to furnish the ROK Hotel to be completed in the second quarter.
Investment in the stock carries added risk, but it is well noted that the last two Junior Market listings are trading well over the market average of 17.5, based on 2021 earnings and 10 times 2022 projected earnings, with Future Energy Source trading at an incredible PE of 40 times last year earnings and 29 times 2022/23 earnings, with Spur Tree Spices at 28 times last year’s earnings and 16 times that of 2022, both having strong medium term growth prospects.
There are distinct differences between the two previous listings and the latter. The former two have a very clear path that suggests fairly consistent growth, the same is not so for JFP as such the latter should trade at a discount to the former in a rational market.

Spur Tree Spices joins ICTOP10

The big news for the market for the past week was the release of the prospectus of the long-awaited Initial Public offer of Spur Tree Spices priced at $1 per share at PE of 8.7 based on earnings before tax and propelling the stock in this week’s Junior Market ICTOP10. Investors should also see the prospectus release for Jamaica Fibreglass Products this week or next.
Spur Tree pushed Jetcon Corporation out of the TOP10, with the latter enjoying a 9 percent price rise to 99 cents. Over in the Main Market TOP10, Sagicor Group rose just 2 percent to close at $53.
During the week, AMG Packaging rose 3 percent to $2.12, Access Financial Services climbed 7 percent to $20.95, Lasco Distributors rose 6 percent to $3.47, but Elite Diagnostic and Honey Bun both fell 10 percent to $2.71 and $8.55, respectively and Caribbean Cream fell 4 percent to $5.70.
The public offer for Spur Tree Spices shares opens on Wednesday this week and should be heavily oversubscribed, with closure likely by the end of the week.
This week, the top three Main Market stocks are Guardian Holdings, followed by JMMB Group and  Radio Jamaica, all projected to gain between 183 and 261 percent, up from 178 and 257 percent last week.
The Junior Market top three stocks changed a bit during the week, with AMG Packaging leading, followed by Caribbean Assurance Brokers, with Access Financial Services moving from the second spot to the third position. All three can gain between 158 and 230 percent versus 167 and 240 percent previously.
The average gains projected for the TOP 10 Junior Market stocks moved from 149 percent last week to 151 percent and Main Market stocks moved from 155 percent to this weeks’ 154 percent.
The Junior Market closed the week with an average PE of 14.4 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings and is currently well below the target of 20 and the average of 17 at the end of March this year based on 2020 earnings. The TOP 10 stocks trade at a PE of a mere 8.1, with a 44 percent discount to that market’s average.
The Junior Market can gain 39 percent to March next year, based on an average PE of 20 and 18 percent based on an average PE of 17. Eleven stocks representing 26 percent of all Junior Market stocks with positive earnings are trading at or above this level, similar to last week, indicating that many others will rise towards the 17 mark in the months ahead.
The average PE for the JSE Main Market is 16.1, some 18 percent less than the PE of 19 at the end of March and 24 percent below the target of 20 to March 2022. The Main Market TOP 10 average PE is 8.1, representing a 51 percent discount to the market and well below the potential of 20. A total of 13 stocks or 28 percent of the market trade at or above a PE of 19, with most over 20, for an average roundabout 25, suggesting that the accepted multiple is between 20 and  25 times the current year’s earnings.
ICTOP10 focuses on likely yearly winners; accordingly, the list may or may not include the best companies in the market. ICInsider.com ranks stocks based on projected earnings to highlight winners from the rest, allowing investors to focus on potential winning stocks and helping to remove emotional attachments to stocks that often result in costly mistakes.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on the possible increase for each company, considering the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.

Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.

IPO gifts for Christmas and early New Year

The current year 2021 has not been a bumper one for initial public offerings in Jamaica, all of that could change as Santa has one or two gifts on his sleigh to deliver either a few days before Christmas or just after.
Word on the street is that investors should save some of the money earmarked for Christmas gifts and prepare for two Initial Public offerings that could hit the road ahead of Christmas and just ahead of the New Year.
The year is closing fast saw one outstanding offer returning a bid payoff for investors as the Junior Market listed Future Energy Source there were a few in the Main market but they failed to generate any excitement for investors.
ICInsider.com previously reported that the initial public offer of shares in Jamaica Fibreglass Products is expected to come to the Jamaican capital market in October, our source advises, with Spur Tree Spices to come shortly after. We said then that, “Jamaica Fibreglass Products produces fiberglass-based furniture and beddings, with revenues said to be in the region of $600 million, is expected to raise approximately $250 million for expansion purposes. The prospectus of the Metry Seaga-owned company is said to be at an advanced stage of preparation and should be moving through the various stages for approval soon.”
“Spur Tree Spices, with revenues, said to be just over $1 billion, should also be coming in October, if all goes well, intending to pull in $250 million. GK Capital are brokers of the two issues that are slated to list on the Junior Market.”
Various issues seem to have delayed both of the above but the various issue may have been dealt with and the runway is said to be cleared for flights to take off sooner than later.
These two are not the only ones coming. Word is that Mayberry Investments has a few potential IPOs with one or two at advanced stages of readiness to hit the market in 2022. IC Insider.com gathers that one is an IPO to raise around $200 million in the educational line of business and one is for an existing listed company for a fresh capital raise.  There are some regulatory issues regarding the structure of reserve shares for the initial public issue, with the FSC is now proposing that the vast majority of an issue must be made to the general public, thus severely limiting the percentage that can be kept for select clients. It is a move intended to squelch the many concerns of investors of being shut out of getting reasonable amounts of issues.
In October this year, the social learning portal Edufocal disclosed that they signed an agreement to engage Mayberry Investments in a move to raise capital. ICInsider.com gathers that the effort will likely bear fruit early in the New Year. The government of Jamaica’s intention to divest their 20 percent holding in JPS is at a fairly advanced stage and could be early in 2022, but that investment could be fraught with potential dynamite for small investors.
Keep watch, they all could be closer than you think.

New IPOS expected in October

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The initial public offer of shares in Jamaica Fibreglass Products is expected to come to the Jamaican Capital market in October, our source advises, with Spur Tree Spices to come shortly after.
The company produces fiberglass based furniture and beddings, with revenues said to be in the region of $600 million, is expected to raise approximately $250 million for expansion purposes. The prospectus of the Metry Seaga owned company is said to be at an advanced stage of preparation and should be moving through the various stages for approval soon.
Spur Tree Spices, with revenues, said to be just over $1 billion, should also be coming in October, if all goes well, with a view to pull in $250 million. GK Capital are brokers of the two issues that are slated to list on the Junior Market. The prospectus of the company that has been manufacturing seasonings and sauces since 2006 for the local and export markets is also at an advanced stage of readiness, ICInsider.com gathers.
ICInsider.com is informed that the prospectus for one issue is in a draft form currently, so it should be ready to move to the regulators shortly. IPOS are subject to approval, primarily by the Jamaica Stock Exchange and Financial Securities Commission, before the prospectus can be released to the public as such, the exact timing is subject to signing off by them.
One source advised IC Insider.com that there are several potential listing candidates in the Manufacturing sector, with a number of them expressing interest in the listing. Another source advises that there are a number of potential listings in the NCB Capital Markets pipeline. The disruption to business caused by covid-19 is creating delays in some of the issues.
What appears to be a rush to list is a marked departure from the situation that existed before the advent of the Junior Market, with many business owners now seeing the major benefits that listings bring and the usefulness of long term capital.
In the meantime, Sygnus Real Estate Finance IPO that is seeking to sell 207.6 million up sizeable by 38.86 million units to raise a maximum of US$15 million, is extended to Friday, September 10.

IPOs coming in your future

Jamaica Stock Exchange investors should be seeing a new IPO coming to the market sometime in July, subject to regulatory approval, with Sygnus Real Estate Finance getting ready to blast out of the box reports reaching this publication indicate.
The company, which is said to be dedicated to investing in and funding real estate developments through a combination of debt capital as well as equity capital, has projects on its books already, with developments in St Ann, St Catherine and Kingston, which the principals expect to extract extra value by way of creative acquisition and disposal. The company strategy is to fund new developments through real estate notes secured by a charge over the properties.
The company, which will be separate from Sygnus Credit Investments, could benefit from funding from them and is expected to raise $3 to $4 billion in the region. The company is coming to the market at a time of unprecedented construction of buildings in the country. Reports reaching ICInsider.com indicate strong buying interests locally and from overseas in townhouses and detached units in the country’s hills, and many see Jamaican real estate as cheap.
Also coming around July is Jamaica Fibreglass Products that produces furniture and bedding, to raise approximately $230 million for expansion purposes and Spur Tree Spices may make it towards the end of the year to pull in around $250 million. The company says it has been manufacturing all in one seasoning and sauces since 2006 for the local and export markets.
There has also been chatter in the marketplace that Jamaican Teas may consider a spin-off of its manufacturing arm into a separately listed company.