Change in ICTOP10 picks

Mid-year results are now flowing unlike anything seen in the local market in recent years. Most companies reported gains in revenues and profits, but investors’ interest seems lukewarm in the aftermath of the results, even as interest in ICTOP10 number 1 stock, Radio Jamaica (RJR) continues to be robust as more investors turn their eyes to what is a major turnaround in fortunes.
GraceKennedy reported continued strong numbers, showing improvement in revenues and profit, so too did Caribbean Cement and Berger Paints. Investors don’t seem to buy into Berger’s major change in operations and the implication for profit from the major surge in revenues. Based on the six months numbers, the company’s earnings for 2021 is upgraded to $2 per share. All three Lasco companies reported improved revenues and profit for the June Quarter, but the stocks are stuck at prerelease prices.
Investors should ignore the lukewarm response now and accumulate some of these stocks to profit from later in the year when the inevitable buying comes in for them. Access Financial reported improved results for the June quarter after reporting modest gains in lending. NCB Financial also released results but the details suggest caution, with the performance being helped by onetime income or cost reduction. Jamaica Stock Exchange reported improved June quarter numbers, but improvement is not strong enough to justify the current price the stock trades at.
Sterling Investments returns to the TOP10 Main Market listing, after replacing Scotia Group that recorded a rise in its price from last weeks’ $38.75 to $42 at the close of trading on Friday. There are no changes in or out of the Junior Market list.
The top three stocks in the Junior Market, continue, with Elite Diagnostic, followed by Caribbean Assurance Brokers and Medical Disposables, with the potential to gain between 221 percent and 287 percent compared to 237 and 291 percent, last week. The top three Main Market stocks are Radio Jamaica in the number one spot, followed by JMMB Group and Guardian Holdings, with expected gains of 184 to 296 percent, versus last weeks’ 183 to 292 percent.
This past week the average gains projected for the Junior Market, moved up from 202 percent last week, back to 207 percent and Main Market stocks moved to 173 percent from 164 percent.
The Junior Market closed the week with an average PE 13.3 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings and currently trades well below the target of 20 as well as the recent historical average of 17, for the period to March this year based on 2020 earnings.
The JSE Main Market ended the week with an overall PE of 16.4, a little distance from the 19 the market ended at in March, suggesting just a 17 percent rise at a PE of 19 and 23 percent at a PE of 20 from now to March 2022. The Main Market TOP 10 trades at a PE of 7.6 or 46 percent of the PE of that market, well off the potential of 20.
For the Junior Market to trade at the historical average, the PE Ratio would have to rise 28 percent and requires a rise of 50 percent to reach the targeted PE of 20 by March 2022. Main Market stocks would have to rise by 17 percent to hit a PE of 19 and 23 percent to get to the target of 20. The Junior Market Top 10 stocks average PE is a mere 6.7, just 50 percent of the market average, indicating substantial gains ahead.
The TOP10 stocks are not always the best stocks in the market but ones that are most likely to be the best winners within a fifteen months period. IC ranked stocks to filter out the big winners, allowing investors to focus on potentially big winners and help to keep out emotional attachments to stocks.
 IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on likely increase for each company, taking into account the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in movements in and out of the lists weekly. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.

Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.

 

High volume Tuesday for Junior Market

Rising stocks were outnumbered by those declining on Tuesday and resulting in the Market Index declining for a second day, although the volume of stocks traded jumped 66 percent and the value soared 134 percent over Monday trading at the close of the Jamaica Stock Exchange Junior Market.
Market activity led to 34 securities trading compared to 37 on Monday and ended with the prices of 11 rising, 15 declining and eight closing unchanged.
The PE Ratio, a measure used to compute appropriate stock values, averages 13 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings forecast.
Trading picked up, with 9,034,942 shares changing hands for $32,570,639 compared to 5,432,434 units at $13,895,368 on Monday. Lasco Manufacturing led trading with 27.8 percent of total volume after trading 2.51 million shares, followed by Lumber Depot 25 percent, with 2.26 million units and Caribbean Flavours 12.6 percent, with a transfer of 1.14 million units.
Trading averages 265,734 units at $957,960 compared to 146,823 at $375,550 on Monday. Trading month to date averages 161,120 units at $469,047 compared to 155,553 units at $443,033 on Monday. June closed with an average of 225,705 units at $644,459.
Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows one stock ending with the bid higher than the last selling price and one with a lower offer.
At the close, AMG Packaging dropped 16 cents to $1.50, trading 461,011 shares, Caribbean Cream slipped 7 cents to $5.95, with 40,500 stocks traded, Dolphin Cove shed 40 cents to finish at $7.85 with a transfer of 22,861 stock units. Express Catering fell 46 cents to $5.50, with 13,778 units passing through the market, Fosrich declined by 10 cents to $8, with an exchange of 5,748 shares, Honey Bun lost 18 cents to close at $6.52 with investors switching ownership of 113,248 stocks. iCreate slipped 6 cents to 80 cents, with 10,000 units changing hands, Indies Pharma rose 10 cents to $3.75 with 68,746 stock units traded, Iron Rock Insurance dropped 28 cents to $3.60 with a transfer of 250 shares. Lasco Financial fell 8 cents to $3.10, with 45,900 stocks passing through the market, Lasco Manufacturing lost 5 cents to settle at $5.20 with an exchange of 2,510,219 units, Limners and Bards spiked 18 cents to $3.20, with 87,809 stock units changing hands. Lumber Depot rose 5 cents to $3.45 with 2,258,991 shares changing hands, Main Event shed 30 cents to finish at $4.80  with a transfer of 8,284 stocks, Medical Disposables added 5 cents to end at $4.60 with investors switching ownership of 1,100 units and Stationery and Office Supplies advanced 12 cents to $7.17, with 2,336 shares crossing the exchange.
 Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.

#1 ICTOP10 pick to stun market

ICTOP10 number 1 stock, Radio Jamaica (RJR) price moved up 22 percent since releasing full year results recently, with the stock trading at the highest price in a year, it is set to lose the number one spot sooner than later. The company reported just 7 cents per share from reduced revenues. On the surface, the stock price should at best remain at the prerelease price around $1.70 level, but there is much more to those results that only a more detailed assessment would reveal.

Media house, RJR traded most shares on friday

Based on ICInsider.com research, investors should expect the first quarter profit to exceed the 2021 fiscal year results of $171 million on the way to record just under $1 billion in profit for 2022 to give investors a big payday.
RJR is the sort of stock that few would have on their buy list. After all, the company has not performed particularly well in recent years. Worse the Cocvid-19 pandemic made matters tough for them, with contraction in revenues and initially, reduced profit. What goes for RJR would apply to many of the ICInsider.com top stocks for 2021. ICInsider.com goes beyond the actual results to find important information that is not always useful to many but can provide guidance into the future and expose above average profit growth.
That is one reason why many of the selections at the start of the year have done well. Examples are as such, Caribbean Cream up 43 percent for the year to date started the year at the number 2 spot, Caribbean Producers the number 3 spot selection is up 82 percent, Main Event up 73 percent, Medical Disposables up just 12 percent, Stationery & Office Supplies 55 percent, Lumber Depot 116 percent and Mailpac 32 percent. Later, Future Energy Source was added to the list at the IPO stage and is up an impressive 110 percent. Additionally, Jetcon Corporation up 76 percent and Jamaican Teas 100 percent are not being counted. The Main Market with few overall winners for that market so far also produced winners from the TOP15 list, posted at the start of the year, Grace, Carreras, Caribbean Cement and Jamaica Broilers.
The TOP10 stocks are not always the best in the market but are most likely to be the best winners within a fifteen-month period. IC ranked stocks to filter out the big winners, allowing investors to focus on potentially big winners and help to keep out emotional attachments to stocks.
PanJam Investment earnings is downgraded to $4.50 per share and the stock moved out of the TOP10 Main Market listing and is replaced by Scotia Group, now in at tenth spot. There are no changes in or out of the Junior Market list.
This past week the average gains projected for the Junior Market moved up from 183 percent last week back to 202 percent and Main Market stocks moved to 164 percent from 176 percent.
The top three stocks in the Junior Market continue, with Elite Diagnostic heading the list, followed by Caribbean Assurance Brokers and Medical Disposables, with potential to gain between 237 percent and 291 percent compared to 233 and 242 percent last week. The top three Main Market stocks are Radio Jamaica in the number one spot, followed by JMMB Group Guardian Holdings, with expected gains of 183 to 292 percent as RJR price rose and reducing its future potential growth, versus last weeks’ 181 to 379 percent.
The Junior Market closed the week with an average PE 13.1 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings and currently trades well below the target of 20 and the recent historical average of 17 for the period to March this year based on 2020 earnings. For the Junior Market to trade at the historical average, the PE Ratio would have to rise 30 percent and requires a rise of 53 percent to reach the targeted PE of 20 by March 2022. Main Market stocks would have to rise by 17 percent to hit a PE of 19 and 23 percent to get to the target of 20. The Junior Market Top 10 stocks average PE is a mere 6.8, just 52 percent of the market average, indicating substantial gains ahead.
The JSE Main Market ended the week with an overall PE of 16.4, a little distance from the 19 the market ended at in March, suggesting just a 17 percent rise at a PE of 19 and 23 percent at a PE of 20 from now to March 2022. The Main Market TOP 10 trades at a PE of 7.8 or 48 percent of the PE of that market, well off the potential of 20.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on likely increase for each company, considering the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.

Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.

Stunning results from ICTOP10 stocks

Add your HTML code here...

Caribbean Cream

Caribbean Cream delivered stunning positive results this past week with profit doubling, in line with ICInsider.com forecast and sent the stock up 25 percent to a 52 weeks’ high when it traded at $6.85 on Friday. The price is up 63 percent for the year to date but is set to clear $15, with projected earnings of 85 cents for the current year.
During the week, the Junior Market lost Caribbean Producers to the Main Market and the move attracted more trading in it, with Friday having the lowest volume of 104,442 and the highest 275,415 shares on the first day of the transfer, well up on the previous two days of 34,319 and 58,282 shares. The stock continues to move higher, with gains of 91 percent for the year to date.
tTech maintained last week’s price of $4.75 to return to Junior Market TOP10 this week, replacing Caribbean Producers that was the only new entrant to the JSE Main Market TOP10, replacing Jamaica Broilers.
This past week the average gains projected for the Junior Market fell from 202 percent last week to 183 percent and Main Market stocks moved to 176 percent from 170 percent.
The top three stocks in the Junior Market are General Accident, followed by Caribbean Assurance Brokers and Elite Diagnostic, with potential to gain between 233 percent and 242 percent compared to 240 and 282 percent last week, as Elite price moved up by 15 percent to $3.60 following the announcement a proposed dividend consideration and a change in the Chief Executive. The top three Main Market stocks are Radio Jamaica in the number one spot, followed by JMMB Group and PanJam Investment, with expected gains of 181 to 379 percent versus last weeks’ 161 to 379 percent.
The Junior Market closed the week with an average PE 13.1 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings and currently trades well below the target of 20 as well as the recent historical average of 17 for the period to March this year based on 2020 earnings. For the Junior Market to trade at the historical average, the PE Ratio would have to rise by 30 percent and requires a rise of 53 percent to reach the targeted PE of 20 by March 2022. Main Market stocks would have to rise by 19 percent to hit a PE of 19 and 24 percent to get to the target of 20. The Junior Market Top 10 stocks average PE is a mere 7.2., just 55 percent of the market average, indicating substantial gains ahead.
The JSE Main Market ended the week with an overall PE of 16.1, a little distance from the 19 the market ended at in March, suggesting just an 18 percent rise at a PE of 19 and 24 percent at a PE of 20 from now to March 2022. The Main Market TOP 10 trades at a PE of 7.6 or 47 percent of the PE of that market, well off the potential of 20.
This week’s focus: Results for Caribbean Cream with revenues up a solid 28 percent and profit doubling to $54 million, from $27 million with earnings of 14 cents per share, speak for themselves. Radio Jamaica is at a totally different level. The company delivered an 11.6 percent revenue rise in the March quarter and a profit of $44 million, pushing full year’s profit to $171 million of just 7 cents per share. The year’s performance comes against the backdrop of $366 million in what can be considered one off costs and in a year when revenues fell 7 percent. The 2022 results are set to be a stunner.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on likely increase for each company, taking into account the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in movements in and out of the lists weekly. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.

Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.

Stocks in retreat on Tuesday

Trading returned to more normal levels following Monday when 95 million shares of NCB Financial crossed the exchange following what the company states flowed from a director and a Senior Officer have surrendered the shares in the group under a new compensation arrangement.
Elsewhere, activity continued on Tuesday with the market declining with an exchange of 94 percent fewer shares valued 99 percent less than on Monday at the close of trading on the Jamaica Stock Exchange Main Market.
The main indices wiped out gains made over the past three trading days at the close, with the All Jamaican Composite Index plunging 8,432.60 points to 459,268.54, the JSE Main Index dived 7,836.94 points to end at 421,263.27 and the JSE Financial Index shed 2.12 points to 103.86.
Trading ended with 49 securities, as was the case on Monday, with 18 stocks rising, 19 declining and 12 remaining unchanged. The market commenced trading in Caribbean Producers shares previously listed on the Junior Market and investors exchanged 275,415 units at the close after a slow start to trading in the stock, well above the 58,282 traded on Monday 34,319 shares exchanged on Friday.
The PE Ratio, a measure that determines an appropriate relative value of each stock, averages 16.4 based on ICInsider.com’s forecast of 2021-22 earnings.
The market closed with 5,572,104 shares trading for $90,965,287 versus 102,643,964 units at $13,868,036,024 on Monday. Transjamaican Highway led trading with 35.7 percent of total volume for an exchange of 1.99 million shares, Sagicor Select Financial Fund 13.3 percent with 738,402 units and Grace Kennedy 9.2 percent with 513,821 units changing hands.
Trading averaged 113,716 units at $1,856,434, compared to 2,094,775 shares at $283,021,143 on Monday. Trading month to date averaged 362,662 units at $33,596,379, in contrast to 393,158 units at $37,484,522 on Monday. June ended with an average of 249,610 units at $3,877,606.
Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator reading has 13 stocks ending with bids higher than their last selling prices and two with lower offers.
At the close, Barita Investments fell $2.18 to $82.82 in exchanging 766 shares, Berger Paints shed 96 cents to close at $13.89 with an exchange of 28,360 shares, Eppley spiked $4.40 to $43.90 in trading 3,991 stock units. First Rock Capital rallied $2 to $15.50 with the swapping of 5,093 units, GraceKennedy dropped $4.92 to $98.28 in transferring 513,821 shares, Guardian Holdings plunged $35 to $650 in switching ownership of 3,966 units. Jamaica Stock Exchange popped 42 cents to $17.67 with 23,050 shares crossing the market, Kingston Properties lost 39 cents to close at $8.01 with 99,707 shares changing hands, Kingston Wharves gained 50 cents in closing at $48 trading 10,313 stocks. MPC Caribbean Clean Energy shed $12.45 to settle at $134.55, with 84 units clearing the market, Palace Amusement rallied $60 to $1,250 with 7 stocks changing hands, Pan Jam Investment shed $1.49 to $66.01, with 11,233 stock units crossing the exchange. Proven Investments rose 45 cents to $34.60 in switching ownership of 4,506 stocks, Sagicor Group fell $2.94 to $55 in exchanging 23,431 stock units, Seprod fell $1 to $71 in transferring 14,512 stocks, Sygnus Credit Investments rose 20 cents to $14.80 in trading 33,382 shares and Wisynco Group spiked 40 cents to $15.90 with the swapping of 17,180 stocks.
In the preference segment, Eppley 8.25% rose 92 cents to $6.98 in trading 5,007 stock units.

Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.

Stocks climbed higher on Tuesday

Stocks ended with a bounce on Tuesday, with the market. Index spiked 32.96 points higher to settle at 3,396.33 after hitting a high of 3,405.06 points in early trading and closed, with the volume of stocks traded falling 39 percent and the value down 27 percent compared to Monday on the Junior Market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange.
A total of 37 securities traded up from 36 on Monday and ended with 17 rising, 13 declining and seven closing unchanged.
The PE Ratio, a measure used to compute an appropriate value of a stock, averages 13.1 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings forecast.
Trading ended with 3,308,374 shares changing hands for $10,279,533 compared to 5,457,462 units at $14,101,487 on Monday.
Future Energy Source led trading with 22 percent of total volume after trading 728,575 shares followed by Lumber Depot 14.4 percent, with 475,642 units and Jamaican Teas 10.7 percent after an exchange of 355,026 units.
Trading averaged 89,416 units at $277,825, in contrast to 151,596 at $391,708 on Monday. Month to date trades average 147,927 units at $444,785, compared to 155,418 units at $466,160 on Monday. June closed with an average of 225,705 units at $644,459.
Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows four stocks ending with bids higher than their last selling prices and two with lower offers.
At the close, AMG Packaging shed 11 cents to close at $1.57 in exchanging 7,966 shares, Blue Power fell 7 cents to $3.53 after trading 35,000 stock units, Caribbean Assurance Brokers dipped 13 cents to $1.78 with 4,259 units crossing the market. Caribbean Cream shed 20 cents to end at $5.50 in an exchange of 16,175 stock units, Consolidated Bakeries rallied 21 cents to a 52 weeks’ close of $1.89 with a transfer of 900 units, Elite Diagnostic advanced 48 cents to $3.58 with 107,088 shares crossing the exchange. Everything Fresh picked up 6 cents to close at $1.06 with 5,906 stocks changing hands, Express Catering lost 5 cents to finish at $6 in transferring 30,510 stock units, Fontana fell 6 cents to $6 after exchanging 113,332 shares. Fosrich dropped 67 cents to $7.60 with the swapping of 58,741 units, Future Energy Source popped 6 cents to close at a record closing high of $1.50 in switching ownership of 728,575 stocks, Honey Bun shed 24 cents in closing at $6.53 and exchanging 40,633 stock units, Indies Pharma climbed 40 cents to $3.90 in trading 62,826 stocks, Iron Rock Insurance spiked 81 cents to $4.20 in trading 58,957 shares, Jetcon Corporation lost 5 cents in closing at $1.35 with 7,155 units crossing the market, Knutsford Express rallied 7 cents to $7.15 after an exchange of 5,613 stocks, Lasco Distributors rose 21 cents to $4.09 with 6,182 stock units changing hands. Lasco Financial gained 17 cents to end at $3.32 in switching ownership of 6,510 shares, Lasco Manufacturing picked up 9 cents in closing at $5.35 with a transfer of 6,025 stock units, Mailpac Group fell 11 cents to $3.83 with the swapping of 347,242 shares, Medical Disposables dipped 15 cents to $5 with an exchange of 40,174 units. Paramount Trading rallied 21 cents to settle at $1.37 in exchanging 687 stocks and Stationery and Office Supplies popped 25 cents to $8 in trading 29,956 shares.

Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.

Caribbean Producers shifts to Main Market

Caribbean Producers is set to shifts to Jamaica Stock Exchange Main market at the start of trading on Tuesday, having completed ten years on the Junior Market.

Caribbean Producers traded 52 weeks’ high on Monday.

The switch now reflects no bids and offers for the stock that lasts, traded at $4.95 on Monday, with the highest bid being $4.86 to purchase 10,764 shares and the lowest offer at $4.94 to sell 142,428 shares. The stock traded 58,282 units on Monday at a 52 weeks’ high of $5.05.
The shift to the main market could open up new buying opportunities for the stock as some investors see stocks listed on the main market as better investment options for them than Junior Market stocks.
CPJ, a major supplier to the hotel trade, is benefiting currently from a strong rebound in tourist traffic into the country, with 39 percent more passenger arrivals coming into the country in June compared to May this year on top of a 44 percent spike in passenger arrivals through the airport for the second city of the country May over April.
The indication is that visitor arrivals should hit 105,000 in May, up from 82,702 in April. June arrivals through the airport topped 142,000 for the first time since the industry opened up for foreign visitors in June last year. June this year ended with 142,727 arrivals for the month, amounting to 61 percent of the June 2019 numbers of 239,000.
The stock is up 78 percent for the year from $2.80 to $4.98. CPJ is the third Junior Market to move to the Main Market and follows Eppley and Key Insurance. 

Funds chasing Junior Market stocks drop

Trading ended on Monday after 36 percent less funds chased after Jamaica Stock Exchange Junior Market stocks compared to Friday, as the volume of stocks traded rose just 4 percent.
The Junior Market Index popped 7.42 points to settle at 3,363.37, at the close. The PE Ratio, a measure used to compute an appropriate value of a stock, averages 12.9 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings forecast.
Market activity led to 36 securities trading versus 35 on Friday and ended with 13 rising, 14 declining and nine ending unchanged.
Overall, 5,457,462 shares traded for $14,101,487 compared to 5,232,244 units at $22,118,856 on Friday.
Future Energy Source led trading with 29.2 percent of total volume after exchanging 1.59 million shares followed by Derrimon Trading 19 percent for 1.04 million units and Mailpac Group 12.9 percent after trading 703,806 units.
Trading averaged 151,596 units at $391,708, in contrast to 149,493 at $631,967 on Friday. Month to date trades average 155,418 units at $466,160, compared to 155,961 units at $476,754 on Friday. June closed with an average of 225,705 units at $644,459.
Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows three stocks ending with bids higher than their last selling prices and two with lower offers.
At the close, AMG Packaging rose 11 cents to $1.68 in exchanging 26,754 shares, Blue Power popped 5 cents to $3.60 with a transfer of 31,797 shares, Cargo Handlers shed 80 cents to $7.60 with an exchange of 7,511 stocks. Caribbean Cream rose 21 cents ending at $5.70 with 20,055 stock units passing through the market, Caribbean Flavours gained 19 cents in closing at $2.15, with 42,000 shares crossing the exchange. Elite Diagnostic declined 4 cents to $3.10 with an exchange of 66,810 units, Everything Fresh slipped 6 cents to $1 in swapping 12,932 stocks. Express Catering fell 19 cents to $6.05 after exchanging 685 units, Fosrich popped 77 cents to $8.27 with 27,231 units crossing the market, Indies Pharma shed 33 cents to $3.50 with 44,622 stocks changing hands, ISP Finance spiked $3.50 to $25 after transferring 551 units. Jamaican Teas lost 5 cents to close at $4 after exchanging 529,940 shares, Jetcon Corporation popped 5 cents to $1.40 in trading 400,714 stock units, Lasco Manufacturing fell 14 cents to $5.26 after crossing the market with 49,316 stocks, Limners and Bards slipped 7 cents to $3.20 with 12,000 shares changing hands. Lumber Depot fell 10 cents to $3.40 in an exchange of 55,086 stock units, Mailpac Group rallied 24 cents to $3.94 after 703,806 stocks crossed the exchange, Medical Disposables spiked 25 cents to $5.15 with the swapping of 200 units and Paramount Trading lost 10 cents in closing at $1.16 in exchanging 205,348 stock units.

Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.

Grace & Jetcon are back ICTOP10

Jetcon Corporation returns the Junior Market TOP10 after the price slipped from $1.39 last week to $1.35 at the close of the week, replacing tTech that enjoyed a slight price bounce from $4.40 last week to $4.75 this week, while in the JSE Main Market Grace Kennedy returns after a week’s absence and replaces Jamaica Broilers that is now out.
Jamaica Broilers reported full year results, with profits of $2.3 billion up 67 percent from $1.4 billion in 2020 for earnings per share of $2.30. ICInsider.com now projects $3.30 earnings per share for the 2022 fiscal year and that is not enough to keep it in the TOP10.
The performance of the Jamaica Stock Exchange Main Market continues to lag well behind the Junior Market, with the fall in the financial sector led by NCB Financial Group being a major drag on the main market, but values in the Junior Market are far more favourable than those in the main market and that is eloquently told by the average PE ratios of both markets.
This past week the average gains projected for the Junior Market rose from 200 percent last week to 202 percent and Main Market stocks edged down from last week’s 171 percent to 168 percent.
The top three Junior Market stocks are Elite Diagnostic, Caribbean Ass. Brokers and General Accident, with potential gains between 240 and 282 percent, following the range of 223 and 287 percent last week. The top three Main Market stocks are Radio Jamaica in the number one spot, followed by JMMB Group and Guardian Holdings, with expected gains of 169 to 379 percent versus last weeks’ 188 to 385 percent.
The Junior Market closed the week with an average PE 12.9 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings and currently trades well below the target of 20 as well as the recent historical average of 17 for the period to March this year based on 2020 earnings. For the Junior Market to trade at the historical average, the PE Ratio would have to rise by 32 percent and requires a rise of 53 percent to reach the targeted PE of 20 by March 2022. Main Market stocks would need to rise by 11 percent to hit a PE of 19 and 17 percent to get to the target of 20.
The Junior Market Top 10 stocks average PE is a mere 6.8, just 53 percent of the market average, indicating substantial gains ahead. The JSE Main Market ended the week with an overall PE of 17, a little distance from the 19 the market ended at in March, suggesting just a 12 percent rise at a PE of 19 and 18 percent at a PE of 20 from now to March 2022. The Main Market TOP 10 trades at a PE of 7.9 or 47 percent of the PE of that market, well off the potential of 20.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on likely increase for each company, taking into account the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in movements in and out of the lists weekly. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.

Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.

Junior Market stumbles into weekend

Trading closed on Friday with the Junior Market Index falling a solid 33.79 points to close the week at 3,355.95, which is well below the close of 3,402.30 at the end of the prior week as trading resulted in an exchange of 28 percent fewer shares for 36 percent less the value than on Thursday.
Thirty five (35) securities traded versus 36 on Thursday and ended with prices of 15 stocks rising, 12 declining and eight, closing unchanged.
The PE Ratio, a measure used to compute an appropriate stock value, averages 12.9 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings forecast.
Trading ended with 5,232,244 shares changing hands for $22,118,856, down from 7,218,781 units at $34,584,400 on Thursday.
Fosrich Group led trading with 28.8 percent of total volume, after trading 1.50 million shares, followed by Lasco Financial 17.8 percent, with 932,128 units and Future Energy Source 14.9 percent, with an exchange of 778,165 units.
Trading on Friday averages 149,493 units at $631,967 down from 200,522 at $960,678 on Thursday. Month to date trades average 155,961 units at $476,754, close to 157,000 units at $451,835 on Thursday. June closed with an average of 225,705 units at $644,459.

Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows four stocks ending with bids higher than their last selling prices and two with lower offers.
At the close, Access Financial fell $2.06 to $20.64, trading 525 shares, Blue Power rose 5 cents to $3.55 with a transfer of 15,628 stocks, Cargo Handlers rallied 60 cents to $8.40 with 161 units changing hands. Caribbean Flavours dropped 18 cents to $1.96 with an exchange of 50,135 shares, Caribbean Producers rose 23 cents to close at a 52 weeks’ high of $4.98, after trading 34,319 stocks, Consolidated Bakeries fell 10 cents to $1.68 with 10,500 units traded. Dolphin Cove popped 10 cents to $8.40 with a transfer of 60 stock units, Elite Diagnostic slipped 5 cents to $3.14 with 100 shares changing hands, Express Catering advanced 24 cents to $6.24 with an exchange of 50,649 units. Fosrich dropped 79 cents to $7.50 with 1,504,969 stocks passing through the market, GWest Corporation rose 5 cents to $1.15 with 75,800 shares traded, Indies Pharma increased 6 cents to $3.83 with a transfer of 29,165 units. Jamaican Teas rallied 7 cents to $4.05, with 445,096 stocks changing hands, Jetcon Corporation slipped 5 cents to $1.35, with an exchange of 56,755 stock units, Knutsford Express shed 92 cents to settle at $7.08 with investors switching ownership of 1,650 shares. Lasco Distributors dropped 29 cents to $3.90, trading 11,117 shares, Lasco Financial fell 14 cents to $3.15, with 932,128 units changing hands, Lasco Manufacturing rose 10 cents to $5.40 with an exchange of 71,538 shares. Lumber Depot popped 5 cents to $3.50 with 215,589 stocks passing through the market, Mailpac Group slipped 5 cents to $3.70, with 244,779 units traded, Main Event spiked 40 cents to $5.40 with 600 stock units changing hands and Medical Disposables bolted 49 cents to $4.90, with 22,569 shares crossing the exchange.

 Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.