13 Junior Market stocks to watch in 2023

To make the 2023 ICTOP15, projected gains have to exceed 280 percent over the next 18 months at a projected PE of 22.5 times earnings. That level of growth is what the lowest on the list, Access Financial is projected to deliver over the period.
So great are the prospects of the Junior Market that IC Insider.com thought it important to highlight these additional companies for investors to see the great potential to make money over the next 18 months. This publication has never before put out such a list to start the year, in addition to the ICTOP15.
While the IC TOP15 2023 listings reflect 15 companies that show the greatest potential to be the top performers up to May 2024, a number of companies have the potential to do exceedingly well over the period but are likely to underperform those in the ICTOP15, even then, the future is not assured and some in the watch list could outperform projections and end in the top performers for the period.
The watch list shows that investors do not have to hit home runs to make decent gains in the stock market, but observation in the local market suggests that many persons may not have the patience to build gains over time.
These may or may not be the best companies in the market based on management, products or services and financial health, but they are undervalued and could deliver above average gains as well as pay attractive dividends in the 2023 to 2024 period.
The market has demonstrated that the ability to increase profits is the most important factor that will drive stock prices and is the primary area for investors to focus on going forward.
CAC2000 Projection EPS $1.
The company has the potential to do exceedingly well, especially with an upsurge in the construction of homes and hotels. But it is not without risk and disappointment from quarter to quarter as projects take time to complete, resulting in jerkiness in earnings. This is definitely a stock to consider from a longer time horizon and not one that can be relied on to deliver instant gains, but it could surprise.
Cargo Handlers
This company is not one that will be on every investor’s list for 2023, don’t let that dissuade you from taking a closer look. One of the smaller Junior Market companies and is highly profitable and holds over $500 million in cash funds and with add to it yearly.  The company serves one of the fastest growing regions of Jamaica with the continued expansion of the tourist sector that fuels above average economic activities and the BPO sector that lead to increased imports through the Montego Bay port where its operation is centred. Last year’s earnings per share were 77 cents and ICInsider.com is forecasting $1.10 for the current year, that should be enough to push the price towards $20 or more.
An important factor to consider is the cash that they hold which is available for investment in other entities that could add to improved profits going forward. By the way, don’t ignore the dividends they pay.
Dollar Financial came to the Junior Market in June last year and is now accredited by Bank of Jamaica to operate as a micro financial institution. For the nine months to September 2022, profit before tax amounted to $201 million, 257 percent higher than in 2021. Profit before tax for the quarter ending September 2022 increased a solid 214 percent to $70 million, an indication of what could be coming down the road.
The increase in profits was fueled by loans receivable of $1.2 billion to September 2022, an increase of $650 million or 125 percent over the  September 2021 position. Up to September, secured loans represented 72 percent of total loans and unsecured 28 percent.
The company recently raised $1.17 billion in debt financing and expanded the resources available for lending. These funds plus additional cash from profit to be generated provide more than adequate fuel for strong loan expansion that will result in continued above average profit growth. The company plans to use some of the funds raised to expand to the Bahamas and the Eastern Caribbean and capitalize Ultra Financier Limited, their asset based lender. The company could turn out to be exceptionally profitable if the resources are managed well to prevent heavy loan loss provisioning that could eat away at profits. ICInsider.com projects earnings of 35 cents per share for 2023 and that should be good enough to send the stock flying with gains of more than 200 percent.
Express Catering EPS is projected at 65 cents for 2023/4
The company started to benefit from the rebound in tourism but importantly the first half of the 2022 calendar year saw a decline in visitor arrivals compare to 2019, with the numbers for 2023 set to show a major increase over 2022first quarter numbers. The first quarter should be up over 50 plus percent compared with that of 2022. That will have a major impact on the revenues, with its entire operation within the Sangster International Airport. It is worth noting also that the company will have additional restaurants within the airport during the new fiscal year and this is going to add to revenues and profitability for the company.
With the stock price hovering around $5 per share this stock is selling slightly less than eight times earnings and shows the potential to do even better than the revenues and the earnings per share projections. With many Junior Market companies selling at PE ratios around 20 one should expect the stock to deliver a 200 percent rise in value over the next 18 months or so.
Fontana stock could gain 150 percent for the period. looking back, for the first quarter to September, revenues rose a healthy 26 percent and profit jumped 43 percent to $87 million. The projection is for revenues to continue to grow around the 26 percent level into 2023, with profit to rise to 80 cents per share for the year and $1.50 in the 2024 fiscal year ending June. With the stock priced around $9 it is nicely positioned for a bounce to provide an excellent return over the next year and a half.
The company is adding a new store in Portmore that should come into operation during the first half of 2023 and add revenues and profits to the business, but this may not be significant until the 2024 fiscal year. Expected growth in the local economy and a big bounce in tourism traffic will have a positive impact on stores in the western end of the country and deliver increased revenues and increased profit as a result. For the year to June 2022, profit was up 12 percent to $415 million from a 21 percent rise in revenues to $4.7 billion.
Image Plus Consultants – EPS 30 cents 2023 and $0.35 for 2023-4
The Image Plus stock failed to sparkle on listing in January, rising just 10 percent by the close of its first day on the market in heavy trading of nearly 12.4 million shares, the second heaviest traded Junior Market stock on opening, following an IPO. The price has now fallen below the issue price providing a good entry point for investors but has since bounced just above $2 with the release of nine months’ results to November. (See articles on analyzing the IPO and the nine months’ results.)
Jamaican Teas – earnings could hit 30 cents per share for the current fiscal year. Some input costs have declined following shipping facilities normalizing, resulting in lower shipping costs as well a reduction in some raw material prices worldwide. The forecast includes a sizable contribution from QWI Investments and a contribution from the real estate development that should see sales of its current development being concluded in the current fiscal year.
The group is expanding the product range for the local and export markets which will add to revenues and profits going forward.
The stock has seen increased buying from individual and institutional investors which is an excellent sign as it lends solid support for trading.

Knutsford Express

Knutsford Expressprojected EPS of $1 and $1.40 for 2024.
The company suffered, in a meaningful way, from lower revenues when business activities were severely curtailed with the advent of the Covid-19 pandemic in Jamaica which resulted in major disruption in the economy. In the latest fiscal year to May, revenues were back to pre-pandemic levels in dollar terms but profits lagged as increased costs grew faster than revenues, resulting in the 2022 full year results being 38 percent of 2019 but more than twice 2020.
For the August quarter, revenues rose 78 percent to $415 million and profit jumped from $9 million to $84 million. For the half year to November, revenues rose to $813 million from $473 million in 2021 with profit surging from $13 million after tax to $143 million. Third quarter profit rose from just $2 post-tax to $59 million. The Drax Hall Business Centre is contributing fully to profit with all available space occupied with several tenants already open for business and the company looking to generate income in the order of $100 million a year from the complex.
The company is benefiting from the upsurge in visitor arrivals both directly and indirectly from persons working in the industry.

Main Event returns to IC TOP 10.

Main Event – EPS is projected at $1.10 for 2023 
There is the potential for the stock price to gain 180 percent over the next 18 months. Profits for the nine months last year jumped 147 percent to $243 million over 2021 as revenues rose from $501 million to just over $1 billion dollars representing 85 percent increase over the previous year.  Revenues for the September quarter rose 147 percent to $602 million with profits for the quarter jumping a solid 332 percent to $104 million as profits rose by $95 million over the previous year, suggesting that the results of 2022 will be outstanding and that could carry over well into 2023.
What is worth noting is that revenues for the first quarter were just $203 million and for the April quarter $290 million, well below third quarter numbers. By contrast, revenues were $458 million in the first quarter of 2019 and $438 million in the second quarter, well ahead of those for the 2022 periods, this has a lot of significance for revenue growth in the first half of the 2023 year. The data show that there should be a significant pick up in revenues and profitability in the corresponding 2023 period and a major uptick in revenues for the year and profits. There is a bit of seasonality in earnings and this could have implications in 2023. The final results for 2022 will provide good guidance on this.
The lesson to be drawn from the numbers for the first three quarters of the year is that profit for 2023 will be up substantially up on the ultimate results for 2022. There is a level of uncertainty along with various developments in the local economy that makes it challenging to project with certainty the level of business that Main Event will undertake, this is the major reason why the stock is placed on the watch list. The final numbers could impact the stock price significantly.
Of note, the third quarter revenues are the highest record in the company’s history in the quarter. The company indicates that the increased business was due to added activity in its core business. The entertainment industry has seen a strong return to outdoor events and lifestyle experiences after a two year break.

Medical Disposables EPS is projected at 40 cents for fiscal 2023 and 70 cents for 2024
This company is not one to take at face value as they quietly build the infrastructure on which to deliver increased business going forward. The company is focusing on laying the foundation for growth in consumer products as increased business opportunities in the medical area slow. The dental area that is operated by the newly formed subsidiary has room for expansion outside of the western region and should be able to ride on the parent company’s infrastructure that currently exists in the next year or two.
The company in the meantime has increased expenditure to attract and keep talent within its employ to grow business, this development resulted in increased costs in the current fiscal year and negatively affected growth in profits for the fiscal year to date.
There is the possibility that more shares could be available in the market over the next year or so.
One on One Educational EPS is projected at 20 cents
The stock raced out the blocks on the fifth day of listing in the latter part of last year to hit $2.50 but the price has fallen to a low of $1.10 in December, with investors concerned that they may have lost a major client and the negative impact that may have on profit. The prospectus stated that in August 2021, 63 percent of the Company’s revenue came through Business to Business contracts and 37 percent through the Company’s end user consumers’ business line. Neither the 2022 audited accounts nor the first quarter results show any fall out of business, in fact, revenues almost doubled in the quarter with profit rising to $12 million before tax from a loss of $1.8 million in 2021. The price could be considered appropriate based on results released so far but as more results become available, the current price may appear to be a gift.
Funds raised in the public issue in 2022 net of loan repayment were earmarked for the development of technological infrastructure for expansion. Regardless, the major reasons to invest in this company is not its short-term fortunes or misfortunes but the major potential its operations have to deliver above average growth within Jamaica and overseas.
Spur Tree Spices EPS is projected at 40 cents.
The company recorded a 9.4 percent growth in revenues to $672M for the nine-months ended September 2022, from $614 million in 2021. Gross Margin increased from 31 percent in 2021 to 35.4 percent in 2022.
For the September quarter revenues slipped to $233 million from $247 but improved profit margin resulted in a gross profit of $75 million versus $73 million in the prior year. Profit before Taxation fell to $30 million in the quarter from $33 million in 2021, but climbed 30 percent to $119 million for the year to September compared with $91 million in 2021 and was just shy of the $124 million for the full year in 2021.
The company implemented investment projects to expand the Exotic Products factory infrastructure to double production capacity, purchase of building in Port Morant to establish a production facility and upgraded the Spur Tree Spices production capacity.
They also advanced $100 million to purchase a controlling interest in Canco, an ackee canning company, and if combined with Exotic Products could result in a major jump in production and improved efficiency. They also appointed Massy Distributions agents for regional distribution.
This company has a lot of promise but the valuation placed on the stock ran ahead of results as such improved results in 2023 are unlikely to be reflected fully in the stock price and provide above average growth for the stock but it could be good enough to deliver a reasonable gain that investors would be normally pleased with even if it does not put it in the top ranking of stocks. Additionally, it has growth potential going beyond 2023 that could help deliver above average long term growth.

Stationery & Office Supplies recording record 2022 profits.

Stationary and Office Supplies should deliver gains of 250 percent for the period. The company has done exceptionally well in 2022 and is one of the top performing stocks for that year, gaining 140 percent as a result of very strong profit performance during the year that came from an incredible 60 percent increase in revenues that should end close to $1.8 billion for the year and $2.3 billion for 2023. The company generated a profit of $250 million for the nine months to September that should reach $360 million for the full year and just over $550 million in 2023.
ICInsider.com does not expect the performance to be at the same level in 2023 but sees continued attractive growth in earnings that should put it at about $2.20 per share, up from around $1.35 per share in 2022.
The business continues to increase from local and overseas demand. Information is that a deal was struck with a Trinidad company to sell their furniture in that market in addition the possibility exists that they could be getting into other Caribbean countries to add to the organic growth of the business. There is the possibility for acquisitions of small businesses during the year that could benefit from synergies within the company and deliver above average returns from such investments. Investors should not ignore the possibility of a stock split that could provide additional spice to make the performance of the stock an attractive one.
Finally, the company is well managed and financially healthy with limited debt and increasing shareholders’ equity.

Steady week for ICTOP10

The Jamaica Stock Exchange pulled back from the pre new year’s bounce enjoyed in the last two weeks of 2022 and still retained some of those gains as trading commenced in the new year, with activity in the ICTOP10 quite muted and resulting in no new entrant to the Top Stock list, but there were a few outstanding price movements.
Junior Market action resulted in General Accident popping 11 percent to $4.91, followed by Lasco Distributors with a 5 percent rise to $2.63, but Paramount Trading lost 23 percent to close at $1.53 in a week when only three stocks declining, with the others slipping just one percent.
In the Main Market, Guardian Holdings dropped 8 percent to $524 and Jamaica Broilers fell 4 percent to $29.61 and were the only notable price changes.
At the end of the week, the average PE for the JSE Main Market TOP 10 is 5.6, well below the market average of 14.4. At the same time, the Junior Market Top 10 PE sits at 6.1 versus the market at 12.7, important indicators of the level of the undervaluation of the ICTOP10 stocks. The Junior Market is projected to rise by 231 percent and the Main Market TOP10, an average now of 278 percent, to May 2023.
The Junior Market has 15 stocks, 32 percent of the market, with PEs from 15 to 32, averaging 19 compared with the above average of the market. The top half of the market has an average PE of 18 and shows the extent of potential gains for the TOP10 stocks. The situation in the Main Market is similar, with the 19 highest valued stocks priced at a PE of 15 to 100, with an average of 31 and 23 excluding the highest valued ones and 26 for the top half excluding the highest valued stock.
ICTOP10 focuses on likely yearly winners, accordingly, the list includes some of the best companies in the market but not always. ICInsider.com ranks stocks based on projected earnings, allowing investors to focus on the most undervalued stocks and helping to remove emotions in selecting stocks for investments that often result in costly mistakes.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to the end of May 2023 and are ranked in order of potential gains, computed using projected earnings for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate, resulting in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.

Look out for the 2023 TOP15 stock listing that is coming soon.

Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.

IPO closure lifts ICTOP10

The Jamaica Stock Main Market recorded gains to close out the past week on a positive note, but the performance only resulted in moderate changes in prices of ICTOP10 Main Market stocks, the Junior Market Index was flat compared with the prior week but resulted in some sizable price changes with one stock dropping out of the TOP10 as the Initial Public offer of Regency Petroleum shares was oversubscribed and closed and liquidity started returning to the market.
Access Financial dropped out of the Junior Market TOP10 after rising 11 percent for the week in making way for Medical Disposables to return.
Unlike last week when seven Junior Market TOP10 stocks declined between 3 percent and 20 percent, with only one rising this week. Rising stocks dominated, with five gaining 3 percent or more while three declined. CAC2000 ordinary share fell 15 percent to $7.06, Iron Rock Insurance was down 5 percent to $2.18 and Dolphin Cove lost 3 percent to close at $13.13. In the Junior Market, Paramount Trading recovered some of last week’s loss by rising 13 percent to $1.71, Lasco Financial popped 11 percent to close at $3, while Elite Diagnostic rose 4 percent to $3.49.
The Main Market 10 had just two stocks rising for a second week and six declining between four and nine percent last week. This past week, four rose 2 percent and 3 percent.
At the end of the week, the average PE for the JSE Main Market TOP 10 is 5.7, well below the market average of 13.4. At the same time, the Junior Market Top 10 PE sits at 5.9 versus the market at 12, an important indicator of the level of undervaluation of the ICTOP10 stocks. The Junior Market is projected to rise by 246 percent and the Main Market TOP10, an average now of 269 percent, to May 2023.
The Junior Market has 12 stocks representing a third of the market, with PEs from 15 to 35, averaging 20 compared with the above average of the market. The top half of the market has an average PE of 17. This data shows the extent of potential gains that the TOP 10 stocks possess. The situation in the Main Market is similar, with the 16 highest valued stocks priced at a PE of 15 to 73, with an average of 24.7 and 21.7 excluding the highest valued one and 19 for the top half excluding the highest valued stock.
ICTOP10 focuses on likely yearly winners, accordingly, the list includes some of the best companies in the market but not always. ICInsider.com ranks stocks based on projected earnings, allowing investors to focus on the most undervalued stocks and helping to remove emotions in selecting stocks for investments that often result in costly mistakes.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to the end of May 2023 and are ranked in order of potential gains, computed using projected earnings for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate, resulting in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.

Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.

Regency IPO opens on Thursday for a $1

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Regency Petroleum Co. Limited a company based in Westmoreland is offering up to 287,157,354 Ordinary Shares for sale at $1 each. The offer opens on Thursday, November 24 and should bring the total Junior Market listings to 48 and the number of companies to 47. Only 115,196,354 shares will be available to the public.
The company reported revenues of $332 million in the half year results to June this year, up from $248 million in 2021, with profit after tax of $51 million compared with $35 million in 2021, putting the earnings per share for this year at 98 cents, with the PE at 10 times this year’s pretax earnings versus the Junior Market average of just over 12, but below the peak of recent new issues of approximately 20. ICInsider.com expects the offer to close quickly after opening and the price to soar into the $2 range after listing.
Revenues for the 2021 fiscal year were $607 million a big jump from $194 million in 2020 and just $45 million in 2019, with a profit of $59 million in 2021, after taxation of $18 million, up from $14 million with taxation of $3 million in 2020.
The company’s operations span Jamaica as a petroleum marketing company licensed to distribute bulk petroleum products. The company was founded by Andrew Williams, Chief Executive Officer. Revenues are currently generated from sales of LPG Cooking Gas, Automotive Petroleum and Transportation of gasoline.
Revenues are set to climb in 2023 with the ongoing construction of two service stations which should be open to the public by the end of the March quarter of next year, the company stated in its prospectus. A service station to be opened in Negril, which Regency will lease, is located upon entering the town from the east, will increase the visibility of the brand and generate additional revenues and profit. In addition, the company is likely to see increased business due to the exposure from the IPO and trading in the shares after listing on the exchange.
The company states that it has purchased delivery vehicles to reduce costs and improve efficiency and create greater economic value in the future. Currently, only 90 Octane Fuel and Diesel are sold at the service station, the opening of the new service stations will see the introduction of ULSD and 87 Octane Fuel at the pumps. The new products should attract added demand and provide a more inclusive retail market product line.
Expansion plans call for the purchase of additional cylinders to supply increased demand for its cooking gas to reduce cost of sales and improve efficiency, the Company will also acquire a fuel tank trailer, the prospectus states.
Of the total issue 171,961,000 shares are reserved as follows – 55.5 million for Employees & Key Strategic Partners, 100 million for GK Investments to convert loan balance and 16.46 million for Associates Loan Conversion.
The company is relatively small, with Shareholders’ Equity of $111 million at the end of June this year, accordingly, there is much room for growth going forward.
The directors of the company are Dr André Foote, Andrew Williams, Andrew Cocking, Radcliff Knibbs and Edgar Bennett.

Regency, Lasco Financial &138SL Stocks to Watch

Regency Petroleum is added to the Stocks to Watch following the release of its prospectus On Thursday with an issue price of $1, with the possibility of the price hitting over $2 initially. Palace Amusement is dropped for the time being with the company reporting improved results in the September quarter but still ending with a loss, but investors should be on the lookout for good things from the stock in the future as it continues to make headway to recovery.
Barita Investments and Consolidated Bakeries are removed from the list at this time with recent results suggesting that they are unlikely to move higher in the short term.
ICInsider.com watch list comprises Access Financial, Caribbean Assurance Brokers, Dolphin Cove, Caribbean Producers, Elite Diagnostic, Everything Fresh, General Accident, Guardian Holdings, Jamaica Broilers, Key Insurance, Knutsford Express, Lasco Distributors, Lasco Financial, Lasco Manufacturing, Medical Disposables, NCB Financial, 138 Student Living, One on One, Paramount Trading, Regency Petroleum, Scotia Group, Stationery and Office Supplies and Wisynco.
Major factors to consider going forward. The rebound in tourist arrivals only came back to 2019 levels since June. Providing there are no reversals, then companies who are highly dependent on the sector will enjoy a big bounce for the next nine months compared to the lower business generated since last year to April this year. The same applies to the entertainment industry as the sector only opened up after March this year. Banks will make a fortune from increased interest rates.

Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on.

Lasco Financial & 138SL now Stocks to Watch

Lasco Financial and 138 Student Living are added to the Stocks to Watch list following release results recently showing increasing profits over 2021, both stocks are on the ICInsider.com TOP10 list.
ICInsider.com watch list comprises Access Financial, Barita Investments, Caribbean Assurance Brokers, Consolidated Bakeries, Dolphin Cove, Caribbean Producers, Elite Diagnostic, Everything Fresh, General Accident, Guardian Holdings, Jamaica Broilers, Key Insurance, Knutsford Express, Lasco Distributors, Lasco Manufacturing, Medical Disposables, NCB Financial, One on One, Palace Amusement, Paramount Trading, Scotia Group, Stationery and Office Supplies and Wisynco Group
Major factors to consider going forward. The rebound in tourist arrivals only came to 2019 levels since June. Providing there are no reversals, then companies who are highly dependent on the sector will enjoy a big bounce for the next nine months compared to the lower business generated since last year to April this year. The same applies to the entertainment industry as the sector only opened up after March this year. Banks will make a fortune from increased interest rates.

Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on.

Lasco Financial heads Junior Market TOP10

Iron Rock Insurance rose 23 percent for the past week after closing at $2.72. It exited ICInsider.com TOP10 of Junior Market stocks while Lasco Financial climbed back into the top list to be the stock likely to gain the most into the first half of 2023, with 268 percent, at the same time, Key Insurance gained 8 percent to close the week at $3.76, enough to push it from the TOP10 to be replaced by Radio Jamaica that dropped to $1.81 on Friday.
Following Lasco Financial half year results, with profit up 26 percent in the September quarter, earnings for the full year were raised from 40 cents to 50 cents, with the company resuming growing the loan portfolio. Lasco Manufacturing released six months of results to September that rose 23 percent in the quarter, an improvement over the first quarter and retains earnings previously projected.
The past week ended with the Junior Market moving modestly higher, as it continues to consolidate ahead of a break that is poised to move it sharply higher, with third quarter results to start hitting the market in droves this week and next. The Main Market also closed marginally higher at the week’s end than the previous one.
The Junior Market rise during the week benefitted from three of the top 10 stocks gaining between 5 percent and 23 percent with only one decline of note. The Main Market’s highest loser fell 4 percent, while four stocks gained 4 to 8 percent.
Other notable price changes during the week include Dolphin Cove, with an increase of 8 percent to $14 and Paramount Trading, up 5 percent to $1.99, while Lasco Manufacturing declined 9 percent to close the week at $3.85 in the Junior Market and in the Main Market, Productive Business Solutions rose 6 percent to $1.38, Guardian Holdings jumped 5 percent to $519 following the release of impressive nine months results and VVM Investments popped 5 percent to $4.80 while Caribbean Producers slipped 4 percent to $13.
At the end of the week, the average PE for the JSE Main Market TOP 10 is 6.2, well below the market average of 13.6. At the same time, the Junior Market Top 10 PE sits at 5.9 versus the market at 12.6, an important indicator of the level of undervaluation of the ICTOP10s tocks. The Junior Market is projected to rise by 243 percent and the Main Market TOP10 by an average of 256 percent by May 2023.
The Junior Market has 14 stocks representing a third of the market, with PEs from 16 to 38, averaging 22 compared with the average of the market. The top half of the market has an average PE of 18.5. This data shows the extent of potential gains that the TOP 10 stocks possess. The situation in the Main Market is similar, with the 15 highest valued stocks priced at a PE of 15 to 80, with an average of 25 and 22 excluding the highest valued one and 21 for the top half excluding the highest valued stock.
ICTOP10 focuses on likely yearly winners. Accordingly, the list includes some of the best companies in the market but not always. ICInsider.com ranks stocks based on projected earnings, allowing investors to focus on the most undervalued stocks and helping to remove emotions in selecting stocks for investments that often result in costly mistakes.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to the end of May 2023 and are ranked in order of potential gains, computed using projected earnings for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate, resulting in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.

Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.

Medical Disposables now a Stock to Watch

One on One Education climbed 11.4 percent during the past week to close at $1.66 following addition to the Stocks to Watch list while Knutsford Express climbed back to close at $9.10 from $8 at the end of the previous week and hit a new 52 weeks’ high of $9.75 on Thursday.

Medical Disposables

Medical Disposables dropped out of the ICTOP10 into the Stocks to Watch, but this publication gathers that the half year results due out by next week will continue to reflect increased cost outpacing the rise in sales. ICInsider.com forecast is for increased profits for the year to March 2023 at 75 cents per share which is likely to eventually push the stock price higher and trigger a stock split in 2023.
Buffetted by the closure of the entertainment business in 2020, Palace Amusement had another tough two years, with the 2022 fiscal year ending with a loss of $257 million, down from a loss of $383 in 2021. The improved result was mainly occasioned by a small profit of $12 million in the final quarter as revenues climbed to $275 million in the fourth quarter bettering the $106 million generated in all of the 2021 fiscal year. Revenues in the fourth quarter were well up on the third quarter with $142 million. The much improved June quarter revenue is still some distance from the $338 million generated in the June 2019 quarter, with a profit then of $36 million, but the 2022 results suggest that the company is not far from getting back to normal levels and if so could boost the stock price, currently in the $800 range and by far the highest priced ordinary share on the market currently.
ICInsider.com watch list comprises Access Financial, Barita Investments, Caribbean Assurance Brokers, Consolidated Bakers, Dolphin Cove, Caribbean Producers, Elite Diagnostic, Everything Fresh, General Accident, Guardian Holdings, Jamaica Broilers, Key Insurance, Knutsford Express, Lasco Distributors, Lasco Manufacturing, Medical Disposables, NCB Financial, One on One, Palace Amusement, Paramount Trading, Scotia Group and Stationery and Office Supplies.

Palace Portmore cinema

Based on recent releases of quarterly results Caribbean Assurance Brokers should be releasing nine months’ results this week that should reflect record earnings, which could move the stock price. The same goes for Lasco Distributors and Lasco Manufacturing and Stationery and Office Supplies should report nine months’ results around November 11.
Major factors to consider going forward. The rebound in tourist arrivals only came back to 2019 levels since June. Providing there are no reversals, then companies who are highly dependent on the sector will enjoy a big bounce for the next nine months compared to the lower business generated since last year to April this year. The same applies to the entertainment industry as the sector only opened up after March this year. Banks will make a fortune from increased interest rates.

Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on.

Promise for Junior Market TOP10

In a week when Junior Market made a modest move higher, as it looks well positioned to break sharply higher, with third quarter results hitting the market in droves beginning this week, the Main Market closed at its lowest level since the year of covid-19, at the start of September 2020, but may not be far from bottoming.

Junior Market with wedge formation that looks poised to break sharply higher.

NCB Financial dropped to a 52 weeks’ low of $80 during Friday’s trading and was the main factor in the market two year low.
This week, Medical Disposables earnings were downgraded to a respectable 75 cents, which is inadequate to keep it in the ICTOP10 but remains a strong buy for investors to enjoy growth. Lasco Manufacturing rejoins the Junior Market ICTOP10.
Even as the junior market rose during the week, three of the top 10 stocks declined between 5 percent and 11 percent with no increases of note. The Main Market’s highest losers fell 7 percent, with no significant gains in the market listing.
Price changes worth noting include iron rock insurance, with an 11 percent fall to $2.22, followed by  General Accident with a decline of 10 percent to $4.55, Paramount Trading lost 7 percent to $1.90. Caribbean Cream declined 6 percent to close the week at $3.86 in the Junior Market and in the Main Market, VVM Investments fell 7 percent to $4.60 while Productive Business Solutions slipped 6 percent to $1.30. JMMB Group was down 5 percent to $36.20.
At the end of the week, the average PE for the JSE Main Market TOP 10 is 6.2, well below the market average of13.5, while the Junior Market Top10 PE sits at 5.6 versus the market at 12.9 , important indicators of the level of undervaluation of the ICTOP10stocks. The Junior Market is projected to rise by 243 percent and the Main Market TOP10 by an average of 256 percent to May 2023.
The Junior Market has 15 stocks representing a third of the market, with PEs from 15 to 39, averaging 22 compared with the above average of the market. The top half of the market has an average PE of 18.5. This data shows the extent of potential gains that the TOP 10 stocks possess. The situation in the Main Market is similar, with the 14 highest valued stocks priced at a PE of 16 to 76, with an average of 26 and 22 excluding the highest valued one and 21 for the top half excluding the highest valued stock.
ICTOP10 focuses on likely yearly winners, accordingly, the list includes some of the best companies in the market but not always. ICInsider.com ranks stocks based on projected earnings, allowing investors to focus on the most undervalued stocks and helping to remove emotions in selecting stocks for investments that often result in costly mistakes.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to the end of May 2023 and are ranked in order of potential gains, computed using projected earnings for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate, resulting in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.

Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.

CPJ drops to 3rd on Main Market TOP10

In a week when Junior Market made a modest move higher, the Main Market closed lower, and resulted in no new entrants into the IC top 10 lists, in a week when three stocks gained 10 percent or more and one with a 6 percent increase, with no significant declines.
Price changes worth noting include, Medical Disposables with a 12 percent rise to $5.79, Paramount Trading up 10 percent to $2.04 and Caribbean Assurance Brokers rising 6 percent to close the week at $2.59 in the Junior Market and Caribbean Producers gaining 11 percent to close the week at $13.93, to move from number one spot last week to third this week and Key Insurance rising 4 percent to $3.64 in the Main Market. Caribbean Cream earnings per share were reduced to 70 cents for the year to February from 80 cents previously.
At the end of the week, the average PE for the JSE Main Market TOP 10 is 6.2, well below the market average of 13.7. At the same time, the Junior MarketTop 10 PE sits at 5.8 versus the market at 12.5, essential indicators of the level of undervaluation of the ICTOP10 stocks. The Junior Market is projected to rise by 248 percent and the Main Market TOP10 by an average of 247 percent by May 2023.
The Junior Market has 14 stocks representing a third of the market, with PEs from 15 to 36, averaging 21 compared with the above average of the market. The top half of the market has an average PE of 18. This data shows the extent of potential gains that the TOP 10 stocks possess. The situation in the Main Market is similar, with the 15 highest valued stocks priced at a PE of 16 to 78, with an average of 26 and 22 excluding the highest valued one and 18 for the top half excluding the highest valued stock.
Currently, the Junior Market reflects a positive positioning and is poised to move higher in the weeks ahead. The recent negative clouds that hang over the main markets seem to be lifting, with the market index slowly bouncing off recent lows.
ICTOP10 focuses on likely yearly winners. Accordingly, the list includes some of the best companies in the market but not always. ICInsider.com ranks stocks based on projected earnings, allowing investors to focus on the most undervalued stocks and helping to remove emotions in selecting stocks for investments that often result in costly mistakes.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to the end of May 2023 and are ranked in order of potential gains, computed using projected earnings for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate, resulting in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.

Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.