72% gains for ICTOP10 winner

Stationery and Office Supplies (SOS) is up 72 percent in 2022 and is heading to more than $20 with projected earnings of $1.25 for the year. SOS made the ICTOP15 list in January at 12 spot to produce a 200 percent gain for the year. It came into TOP10 in the week ending January 21, in the 6th spot and exited the TOP10 on the week ending April 22.

Stationery & Office Supplies hit a record high on Friday.

Stationery & Office Supplies – Montego Bay office.

Over the past two weeks, company results have been coming out fast and furious, with many posting solid increased profits over the first quarter of 2021, as the economy continues to recover and cost savings also takes hold to help lift profits to record levels in many cases.
One company to benefit from improved results for the first quarter results to March is SOS, with revenues rising 37 percent to $427 million and profits surging 344 percent to $81 million before gains from the sale of a property, investors belated warmed to the stock pushing it to a 52 week’s high of $11.02 and out of ICTOP10. Based on the results, ICInsider.com upgraded earnings from $1.10 to $1.25. Investors in the stock can look for a possible stock split this year if the price rises.
It is well worth noting that the Junior Market peaked at 4,669.78 points at the market opening on May 10 and pulled back to 4,444.25 on Friday as new quarterly results tempered investors in some overvalued stocks that have started to adjust downwards as reality sets in. Among them is Fesco, which was selling at a PE of 50 times the current year’s earnings. There seem to be more painful adjustments to come for investors in this stock. MailPac also suffered a reversal in price after the first quarter results disappointed investors, with lower revenues and earnings.
It is not unusual for investors to take a break after mid-May each year, with most results released and return in late June or early July just ahead of the new earnings season for the half year. Against this background, trading could move sideways for a month or two, but the Lasco companies, Access and Medical Disposables could light up the market when they release results in a few weeks.

Berger Paints annual report had good news for investors to digest.

In the Main Market, Jamaica Stock Exchange was added to the ICTOP10 recently but slipped out last week and reported solid results for the March quarter, with profit jumping 84 percent after revenues rose 37 percent. The projected earnings were downgraded to $1.30 from $3, leaving the stock just about appropriately valued. Berger Paints came out with solid earnings, resulting in our projection being upgraded from $1.70 to $2.35, helped by a sharp cut in other operating expenses from $160 million in 2021 to $117 million and now heads the Main Market TOP10 list.
Elite Diagnostic gained 3 percent for the week at $4, but the promise that the company showed when it was listed has started to show again, with revenues in the third quarter rising 24 percent to $161 million and profit surging to $28 million from $4.4 million in 2021. Based on the results, earnings for the current year ending in June are projected at 24 cents and 55 cents for the 2022/23 fiscal year.
Former ICTOP10 listing, Tropical Battery earnings were downgraded to 18 cents per share for this year, following the release of March half year results.
Access Financial jumped 22 percent last week, and is down 16 percent this past week at $21.50, and attracted more buying interest as the release of year results approaches. tTech tumbled 8 percent during the week and AMG Packaging 7 percent. Caribbean Assurance Brokers was the only stock with any meaningful gain, with a rise of 6 percent.
This week, there was no change to ICInsider.com TOP10 Main Market listings, but the Junior Market has two, with Lasco Distributors just slipping out. Jetcon Corporation suffered a big price decline during the week to close at $1.35 to reenter the list. tTech earnings were revised down to 25 cents after the company posted flat sales in the first quarter and a small loss and fell out of the top listing to be replaced by Dolphin Cove is poised to grow much more this year as improving tourism traffic that April numbers show is virtually back to normal provide a big boost to future earnings.
Investors should be on the lookout for companies with March year end that have not yet reported earnings. Amongst the grouping are the three Lasco companies that could get price moving punch from the results. Watch also Access and Medical Disposables sitting on the TOP of the list, with the company said to be generating profit from the acquisition of Cornwall Enterprises, well ahead of the two year target. ICInsider.com earnings projections of 70 cents per share for the 2022 fiscal year assume that earnings would include profit from the subsidiary and should result in a big jump in the stock toward $14.
The primary mover in the main market was Caribbean Cement that fell 12 percent to $61 as buying interest in the stock remains low, even as the first quarter results suggest the stock is highly undervalued, no other stock had any serious change.
The average PE for the JSE Main Market TOP 10 ends the week at 6.2, well below the market average of 15.3, while the Junior Market PE for the Top 10 sits at 6.3 versus the market at 13.9. The Junior Market TOP10 is projected to gain an average of 226 percent by May 2023 and the Main Market 215 percent.
ICTOP10 focuses on likely yearly winners, accordingly, the list may or may not include the best companies in the market. ICInsider.com ranks stocks based on projected earnings to highlight winners from the rest, allowing investors to focus on potential winning stocks and helping to remove emotional attachments to stocks that often result in costly mistakes.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to the end of May 2023 and are ranked in order of potential gains, based on the possible increase for each company, considering the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.

Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.

RJR back in 3rd spot as Access jumps 22%

There is only one change to ICInsider.com TOP10 listings this week, with Radio Jamaica coming back in the Main Market list at position 3. Following an earnings upgrade for the 2023 fiscal year, it replaces Jamaica Stock Exchange that ICInsider.com projects to have explosive results for the first quarter.

Radio Jamaica

In the wider market, Junior Market stocks keep on piling the pressure on the main market with the former closing the week at a record high, with year to date gains of 32.8 percent and is well on the way to ICInsider.com forecast of 60 percent for the year.
Thanks to a takeover announcement of AS Bryden, a Trinidad based company by Seprod, the Main Market moved higher for the week, with the All Jamaica Index just under 460,000 points, still well below 2020 high.
TOP10, Access Financial shares moved higher this past week as selling seems to have dried up and led the stock to a 22 percent rise during the week, to be the best performing stock in the TOP10. Access Financial has been beaten up for more than two years but is now worth watching. On Friday, well ahead of the close of the market, a buy order for 100,000 Access Financial shares was placed at $25.60, but only18,000 units were filled up to the close. There were no stocks on offer with any sizable quantity close to the bid price just before close, indicating that the price is heading higher.
Elite Diagnostic gained 8 percent to close the week at $3.90, but Caribbean Assurance Brokers that reported a profit for the first quarter versus a loss in 2021, fell by 6 percent and so did General Accident that is said to be having a good 2022, with Trinidad and Barbados expected to deliver positive results versus a loss of around $200 million in 2021. Movement of main market stocks was more subdued than their junior counterpart, with the Jamaica Stock Exchange rising a mere 4 percent and selling at 8 times this year’s earnings, with a blowout first quarter results due shortly. Caribbean Cement, surprisingly, fell 8 percent as buying interest in the stock is low, even as the first quarter results suggest the stock is highly undervalued.
The average PE for the JSE Main Market TOP 10 ends the week at 6.2, well below the market average of 15.5, while the Junior Market PE for the TOP10, sits at 6.2 versus the market at 13.8. The Junior Market TOP10 is projected to gain an average of 230 percent to May 2023 and the Main Market 201 percent.
ICTOP10 focuses on likely yearly winners, accordingly, the list may or may not include the best companies in the market. ICInsider.com ranks stocks based on projected earnings to highlight winners from the rest, allowing investors to focus on potential winning stocks and helping to remove emotional attachments to stocks that often result in costly mistakes.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to the end of May 2023 and are ranked in order of potential gains, based on the possible increase for each company, considering the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.

Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.

Big gains for several ICTOP10 stocks

With just one third of 2022 elapsing, it is an excellent time to look at what the markets and ICInsider.com forecast have done. The Junior Market gained 29.85 percent to the end of April, or half of the entire year forecast of 60 percent, made at the start of the year and in the process, the market has surpassed the 29.7 percent gains it achieved in 2021 for the entire year.
The Main Market that ICInsider.com forecast to deliver a 14 percent rise for the year struggles to break from consolidation so far, with a rise of just 4.8 for the four months to April and is consistent with a 14 percent increase for the year. It is quite likely that the market PE could climb closer to a PE of 18, which will push the annual gains to around 30 percent if the financial stocks show good increases in profit for the year. That is a very likely situation as the hike in interest rates is driving net interest income sharply upwards.
At the beginning of the year, ICInsider.com stated, “the market is technically at a support level that is steering the index upwards. More importantly, it is caught in a triangular formation setting to push the market sharply upwards once it breaks out, which is not far off. The market is trading in a channel that goes back to May 2020, pointing to a record high of over 4,000 points in a few months.” So far, the above forecast is spot on.
In addition to the Top15 selection for each market at the start of the year, we added a few stocks. There were nine winning stocks with good gains. The list includes AMG Packaging 73 percent, Dolphin Cove 47 percent, Elite up 26 percent, Everything Fresh 83 percent, iCreate 263 percent, Jetcon 75 percent, Spur Tree Spices 215 percent, Stationery and Office Supplies 46 percent and Tropical Batteries up 124 percent for the year to date and up 64 percent since ICInsider.com added it was added to the TOP10 on February 25. Caribbean Cream, down 7 percent, is the only Junior Market stock selection to fall.
The big TOP15 winners for the Main Market are Caribbean Producers, up 42 percent, Jamaica Stock Exchange at 22 percent, JMMB Group at 16 percent and Proven at 14 percent. Berger Paints, down 7 percent, Jamaica Broilers, with a fall of 3 percent and Scotia Group, down one percent, are the only losers in this segment.
For the week, the only new listing to TOP10 is tTech replacing Jetcon, that held on to a gain of 16 percent to top the ICTOP10 Junior Market movers and dropped out of the TOP10, followed by Medical Disposables with 14 percent after a block of shares that was overhanging the market was taken out by buyers. AMG Packaging rose 9 percent, Caribbean Cream rose 6 percent and Caribbean Assurance Brokers shed 9 percent.
In the Main Market, Sygnus Credit Investments rose 8 percent to end at $16.48 and Caribbean Cement gained 6 percent to close at $75.18.
The average PE for the JSE Main Market TOP 10 ends the week at 6.2, well below the market average of 15, while the Junior Market PE for the Top 10 sits at 6.1 versus the market at 14.2. The Junior Market TOP10 is projected to gain an average of 239 percent to May 2023 and the Main Market 197 percent.
ICTOP10 focuses on likely yearly winners, accordingly, the list may or may not include the best companies in the market. ICInsider.com ranks stocks based on projected earnings to highlight winners from the rest, allowing investors to focus on potential winning stocks and helping to remove emotional attachments to stocks that often result in costly mistakes.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to the end of May 2023. They are ranked in order of potential gains, based on the possible increase for each company, considering the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.
Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.

Former ICTOP10 stock jumps 130%

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The star performer for the week was iCreate, up 132 percent and Supreme Ventures, with a 30 percent price movement in the market during the week, but several ICTOP10 stocks had some noted moves as well.

iCreate hits a low of 80 cents on Thursday.

iCreate, more than doubled, surging from the previous week’s $1.36 close to $3.16. The move coincides primarily with two acquisition announcements with little or no information given as to the cost and funding, leading to wild speculation in the stock. Supreme Ventures (SVL) stock jumped to a 52 weeks’ high of $33.41 from $24.49 at the end of the previous week. The SVL was more solidly based as the company reported solid increased profits for the March quarter as investors pushed the price sharply higher in response.
There are two changes to this week’s ICTOP10 listing. Lasco Distributors returns to the Junior Market TOP10 as Stationery and Office Supplies slipped out.  The latter rose 15 percent to close the week at $9.11. The expectations are that the company will have blowout first quarter results, helped by school opening and following a strong 2021 fourth quarter. The Main Market welcomed back Jamaica Stock Exchange share that will benefit from an upsurge in trading activity in the first quarter as Scotia Group fell out, still looking attractively priced at $35.20, with Bank of Jamaica increasing interest rates is positively impacting the results.
The Junior Market ended with three stocks rising from 8 to 15 percent. Caribbean Assurance Brokers climbed 10 percent for the week while Jetcon Corporation rose 8 percent to close at $1.40. Declining were Lasco Financial, down 8 percent and Access Financial and AMG Packaging, down 5 percent, as buying eased markedly following improved results released at the close of the market ahead of the Easter weekend. Investors seem not to be factoring in cost savings and increased efficiency that the newly installed machine brings to the business following the close of the recent quarter. With a 5 percent rise, Guardian Holdings was the biggest mover in the Main Market.
The average PE for the JSE Main Market TOP 10 ends the week at 6.2, well below the market average of 14.8, while the Junior Market PE for the Top 10 sits at 6 versus the market at 13.8. The Junior Market TOP10 is projected to gain an average of 249 percent by May 2023 and the Main Market 200 percent.
ICTOP10 focuses on likely yearly winners; accordingly, the list may or may not include the best companies in the market. ICInsider.com ranks stocks based on projected earnings to highlight winners from the rest, allowing investors to focus on potential winning stocks and helping to remove emotional attachments to stocks that often result in costly mistakes.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to the end of May 2023. They are ranked in order of potential gains, based on the possible increase for each company, considering the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.

Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.

ICTOP10 stocks score big gains

The action in the ICTOP10 listing the holiday shortened week shifted from Main Market stocks to the Junior Market, with four stocks putting in double digit increases, led by Elite Diagnostic, last week’s 14 percent decliner to rally this week by a stunning 43 percent to close at $3.67 after hitting a high in the past week of $4.23.
But Elite is not the only Junior Market stock posting solid gains. Jetcon rose 18 percent to close at $1.30, against a background of one or more investors seeking to buy a sizable number of shares. AMG Packaging and Caribbean Assurance Brokers climbed 16 percent while tTech added 7 percent to close the week at $4. Price movements in Main Market were more subdued than in the Junior Market, with JMMB Group the biggest mover dropping 11 percent from $51.89 to $46.25, followed by Guardian Holdings with a fall of 4 percent.
General Accident returned to the Junior Market TOP10 as tTech dropped out and VM Investments returns to the Top10 Main Market as Jamaica Stock Exchange fell out.
The average PE for the JSE Main Market TOP 10 is 6.2, well below the market average of 14.7, while the Junior Market PE for the Top 10 is at 5.9 versus the market at 13.2. The Junior Market TOP10 is projected to gain an average of 289 percent to May 2023 and the Main Market 192 percent.
ICTOP10 focuses on likely yearly winners, accordingly, the list may or may not include the best companies in the market. ICInsider.com ranks stocks based on projected earnings to highlight winners from the rest, allowing investors to focus on potential winning stocks and helping to remove emotional attachments to stocks that often result in costly mistakes.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to the end of May 2023 and are ranked in order of potential gains, based on the possible increase for each company, considering the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.

Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.

Rate hike pushes earnings higher at Scotia

If there was much competition in the banking sector in Jamaica, Scotia Group would be on its way out of business, unless they mended the poor service there are currently dishing out to customers.

Scotia Group stock could deliver handsomely in 2022.

The banking arm is delivering some atrocious customer service of late such as bouncing cheques for no funds when such accounts were adequately funded. Customers can’t get the use of the transfer of funds feature, for the credit cards are expired but no one within the bank advises of the expiration and the availability of the new card. Even when communication is made, with the bank, months pass without action. What about tokens that don’t work, leading to a nightmare trying to get the problem resolved. The service has rotted recently and they need to do something about it fast.
Though the service has gotten lousy of late and some may say it never was good, investors may find positives that they can profit from, at least that is what the group’s first quarter results to January this year show, thanks partly to the action by the country’s central bank. Most investors would not come to that conclusion from the net profit for the quarter compared to that in 2021, for while the 2021 quarterly profit came in at $1.75 billion, the latest results were only up marginally by $34 million to $1.784 billion. On the surface, there is nothing to get excited about, but closer examination tells a different story.
The results were vastly better than the $1.12 billion reported for the October quarter which suffered from a big drop in revenues. Loans fell in the quarter from $208 billion at the end of October to $201 billion at the end of January while investable funds grew to $339 billion from $321 billion at the end of October but net interest income climbed to $6.16 billion from $5.7 billion in the October quarter coming from a rise in gross interest income of $454 million quarter over quarter. Interest cost was static at $452 million. There was a strong improvement in net fee and commission income that rose from $1.1 billion in the October quarter to $1.5 billion but was a bit lower than the $1.67 billion in the January 2021 period, other revenues dropped from $973 million to $295 million in the latest quarter compared to January 2021.
Net interest income increase “was primarily attributable to an increase in interest earned on the investment portfolio and improved retail loan performance,” Scotia Group reported in their release of the quarterly results.

Audrey Tugwell Henry Scotia group’s CEO

Since the end of January, the Bank of Jamaica hiked the overnight rate to 4.50 percent from 2.5 percent, this move will drive an increase in net interest income for the group as the cost of funds will remain fairly flat while investments income balloons.
Expected credit losses on loans rose from $430 million in 2021 to $569 million in the January quarter this year but show an improvement over the $819 million in the October quarter. Net interest income after credit losses rose to $5.6 billion from $5.4 billion in 2021. Net fees and other income fell from $5.44 billion in the January 2021 quarter to $4.78 billion in 2022, resulting in a total net income of $10.37 billion, down from $10.8 billion in 2021.
Lower costs helped with the 2022 results, with expenses falling to $6 billion from $6.5 billion, net of asset tax of $1.36 billion in 2022 versus $1.26 billion in 2021, Other operating costs fell by $500 million from January 2021 to $2.8 billion in 2022.
Other comprehensive income shows an unrealized loss of $1 billion on investments compared to just $123 million in the 2021 first quarter.
Segment results provide another view of developments within the group that could point to the way forward. The Treasury segment delivered 22.4 percent more revenues from third parties to hit $763 million with a profit before tax of $138 million up from $120 in 2021. The retail division suffered a decline of 15 percent, with revenues from third parties hitting $4.57 billion from $5.38 billion in 2021 resulting in profit before tax of $103 million, down sharply from $492 million in 2021. Corporate and Commercial Banking pulled in net income of $2.7 billion, down from $2.8 billion, with profit surging to $1.44 billion versus $967 million in 2021. Investment Management pulled in $822 million in revenues with a profit of $404 million, from revenues of $878 million in 2021 with a profit of $718 million.  The insurance division raked in $1.33 billion in revenues up from $984 million, with profit jumping to $857 million from $567 million. The segment classified as Other, generated revenues of $217 million and a profit of $175 million and delivered revenues of just $83 million and a profit of $30 million in 2022.
The Group’s assets grew by $38 billion or 6.9 percent to $591 billion at January 2022. This was predominantly, a result of the growth in cash resources of $42 billion or 32.4 percent due to increased deposits and places the group in a good position to expand the loan portfolio when demands pick up, with the resurgence now taking place in the wider economy.
A dividend of 35 cents per stock unit in respect of the first quarter, was approved for payment on April 20 to stockholders on record as of March 29.

Gooden buys 10% of Elite Diagnostic

Reports reaching ICInsider.com is the chairman of Elite Diagnostic acquired more than 35 million shares on Friday, with the majority coming from Excel Investments, that owned the largest block of 130 million or 36.9 percent of issued shares.
The trade means that Gooden, who previously owned a mere 242,230 or a fraction of one percent, will now own around 10 percent of the company, the third largest shareholder behind Excel with 85,231,108 units and NCB Capital Market with 66 million shares or 18 percent.
Gooden, a very knowledgeable person in the investment field, also heads NCB Capital Market and controls the largest block of shares in the company of 28 percent, compared to Excel with 27 percent.
The Elite Diagnostic trade was the largest block of shares trading on Friday, accounting for 76.5 percent of all Junior Market trades on that day, but trading ended with 85.2 million units on the offer to sell at $2.57 and 30 million on the bid to buy at $2.50. ICInsider.com gathers that the amount on offer is not up for sale and should have been cancelled before the market closed.
The purchase is a strong endorsement for the stock and the company’s future that ended as the number one choice in this weeks’ ICTOP10 Junior Market listing.
The results for the second quarter to December stated, “continued spread of the Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) continued to negatively impact the operations of the company. Revenue continues to be impacted as social distancing protocols reduce the number of patients booked per day.”

Elite CEO Warren Chung & shareholder in Excel Investments chatting with a shareholder at Elite’s 2018 AGM.

ICInsider.com understands that the restriction placed for curfews restricted business as the offices could not be opened late, thus affecting business.
Gooden most likely would have seen the prolonged trend of year over year and quarter over quarter growth in revenues and the strong positive cash flow the company continues to generate and prospects for more expansion of the business as solid credentials for future earnings and profit.
For the six months to December last year, the company generated a profit of $7 million but had positive cash inflows of $83 million, with revenues rising 22 percent from $236 million to $288 million with eth December quarter rising 16.6 percent from $128 million to $148 million. Profit in the second quarter increased from $3 million in 2020 to $7.3 million. Importantly gross profit margin is an astounding and attractive 66 percent.

 

Impressive gains for ICTOP10 stocks

ICTOP10 listed Jamaican Stock Exchange stock price surged to a 52 weeks’ high of $24 on Friday with a gain of 28 percent in the week as Caribbean Producers jumped 21 percent to $18.20, followed by a 12 percent gain in JMMB Group that closed the week at $51.89 after hitting a peak in the week of $61.24, on Tuesday, while Productive Business Solutions rose 12 percent to US$1.19.
In the Junior Market, Stationery and Office Supplies rose 12 percent to $7.88. Jetcon Corporation recovered lost grounds with a rise of 11 percent to end at $1.10, following knee-jerk reaction by investors to an article in one of the local newspapers in the previous week. Elite Diagnostic plunged 14 percent to $2.57 as a major shareholder sold a portion of their holdings. Caribbean Cream dropped 7 percent to $4.76 and Caribbean Assurance lost 6 percent to land at $2.25.
This stock is in limited supply and replaced Caribbean Producers in the TOP10. Coming into the Junior Market ICTOP10 is tTech that slipped in price and came in at the expense of General Accident. The latter will be a big beneficiary of the hike in interest rates on its $4.5 billion investment and cash funds.
Scotia Group is ICInsider.com’s new stock for the future that comes into the Main Market ICTOP10 at number 9, with projected earnings of $4.47 per share as the group generates increasing income from the sharp hike BOJ induced hike in interest rates on investments.
Transjamaican Highway, an ICTOP10 listing in the previous week, closed out this past week with a rise to an all-time high of $1.78 before closing at $1.70 for the week.
The average PE for the JSE Main Market TOP 10 is 6.2, well below the market average of 14.8, while the Junior Market PE for the Top 10 is at 5.4 versus the market at 12.9. The Junior Market TOP10 is projected to gain an average of 289 percent to May 2023 and the Main Market 192 percent.
ICTOP10 focuses on likely yearly winners; accordingly, the list may or may not include the best companies in the market. ICInsider.com ranks stocks based on projected earnings to highlight winners from the rest, allowing investors to focus on potential winning stocks and helping to remove emotional attachments to shares that often result in costly mistakes.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to the end of May 2023. They are ranked in order of potential gains, based on the possible increase for each company, considering the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.

Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.

New ICTOP10 2022-3 is here

Earnings season is almost at an end except for a few companies with March year end that are to release results for the full year by the end of May that will impact the price of some ICTOP 10 stocks. Riches are abundant in several Main and Junior Markets stocks, but some patience may be warranted to get the most from them.
The ICTOP10 shows the benefit of ranking stocks based on their potential to grow and emphasizing those. Investors do not have to chase overpriced stocks based on some wish list of abundance fortunes is near. Sticking with undervalued stocks is the best formula for wealth creation.
The focus shifts to 2022/23 earnings as the reporting season ends. At the close of the past week, seven stocks from the previous Junior Market ICTOP10 carry over to the 2022/23 list and five for the Main Market. Dropping out of the Junior Market list are Lasco Distributors, Lasco Manufacturing and Iron Rock Insurance. Dropping from the Main Market for the coming period are Jamaica Broilers, 138 Student Living, Proven Investments, Pan Jamaica Investment and SygnusUS dollar share.
Heading the new list are Productivity Business Solutions, Guardian Holdings, Sygnus Credit Investments, Jamaica Stock Exchange and JMMB Group in the Main Market. At the same time, the Junior Market’s top five are Elite Diagnostic, Medical Disposables, Jetcon Corporation, Caribbean Cream and Access Financial Services. Most of the Junior Market companies suffered from fallout in the economy in 2020 and beyond due to the Covid19 and are recovering. Some of these could deliver above average gains.
The average PE for 2022-3 fiscal year is 13.1 for the Junior Market, down from 22.8 for the 2021/22 fiscal year and 13.5 for the Main and USD Markets compared to 16.6.
There were no changes to the ICTOP10 stocks in the Main and Junior Market in the past week based on 2021 and early 2022 earnings, but there were some notable performances. Lasco Manufacturing rose 14 percent to close the week at $5.70, AMG Packaging popped 13 percent to $3.15, while Caribbean Assurance Brokers put in a 9 percent rise to close the week at $2.40. Iron Rock Insurance and Tropical Battery added 6 percent to close at $3.60 and $2.62, respectively. In the Main Market, JMMB Group rose 7 percent to $45.95 and Jamaica Broilers lost 7 percent to end at $27.25.
Both markets continue to offer attractive gains for the TOP10 based on recent full year earnings up to March.
The average PE for the JSE Main Market TOP 10 is 5.3, well below the market average of 13.5, while the Junior Market PE for the Top 10 is at 6.3 versus the market at 13.1.
ICTOP10 focuses on likely yearly winners, accordingly, the list may or may not include the best companies in the market. ICInsider.com ranks stocks based on projected earnings to highlight winners from the rest, allowing investors to focus on potential winning stocks and helping to remove emotional attachments to stocks that often result in costly mistakes.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to the end of May 2023. They are ranked in order of potential gains, based on the possible increase for each company, considering the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.

Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.

New additions to ICTOP10 & TOP15

At the end of the week when the Junior Market index hit another record high in closing over 4,200 points for the first time, there was no exit from the ICTOP10 Junior Market listing but there is one change to that of the Main Market as Caribbean Producers returns to the TOP 10 while Transjamaican Highway slips out.
This is the last week of publication of ICTOP10 that is based on 2021/22 results. The next report will the TOP10, incorporating 2022-23 earnings, currently showing the average for the Junior Market at 12.6 and the Main Market at 13.1. These are well off the current PE for the Junior Market at 22.6 times 2021-22 earnings and the Main Market at 16.1.
For this week only, the current compilation of the TOP 15 stocks based earnings for 2022-23 for now till March 2023 based on the latest stock prices, are shown along with the TOP10 for 201/22. The current TOP 15 stocks show changes to the list published in January, as price changes and earnings computation for some stocks have changed, while five stocks dropped out of the original list for the Main Market stocks, with five new listings. Dropping out are Radio Jamaica, Scotia Group, Grace Kennedy and Jamaica Broilers while in the Junior Market, Spur Tree dropped with the price moving from $1 to $3.55, Lasco Manufacturing also dropped out and Dolphin Cove that moved from $15 to $27. Coming into the TOP 15 are, iCreate, Paramount Trading and tTech.
The Junior Market movement this past week pushed the gains for the year to date to 22.7 percent, still some distance from the 60 percent forecasted by this publication at the start of the year, but just around 25 percent of the year has elapsed so far.
In the ICTOP10 listing this week, the big move was a 23 percent rise in the price of Tropical Battery, followed by an 11 percent gain for Lasco Manufacturing to end at $5 and 6 percent increase by Iron Rock Insurance. AMG Packaging slipped 11 percent as talk in the marketplace is that they are facing challenges with some raw material supplies that will affect production. Lasco Distributors fell 5 percent followed by Access Financial and Caribbean Assurance Brokers down 4 percent each. In the Main Market, Jamaica Broilers rose 9 percent followed by JMMB Group up 5 percent.
This weeks’ Junior Market index close, is 154 points higher than the 4,052.19 points at the end of the previous week, helped by the strong gains in Caribbean Cream up 41 cents, Dolphin Cove, up by $2.70, Express Catering 75 cents, Fontana 26 cents, Future Energy Source 51 cents, Honey Bun 55 cents, Jamaican Teas 18 cents, MailPac 47 cents, Main Event 62 cents and Tropical Battery 46 cents. Meanwhile, the Main Market continues to consolidate around support of 440,000 points for the All Jamaica Composite Index, even as it closed the week just under, at 435,748.05.
Most of the Junior Market TOP 10 have full year’s results due in months and the lack of final results seem to be sapping buying interest at this time.

ICTOP15 main market stocks for 2022-23

Potential gains for the TOP 10 Junior Market stocks stand at 107 percent and the potential gains for Main Market stocks end at 134 percent.
The average PE for the JSE Main Market TOP 10 average PE is 8.8 well below the market average of 15.8, while the Junior Market PE for the Top 10 is at 9.8 versus the market at 22.6.
ICTOP10 focuses on likely yearly winners, accordingly, the list may or may not include the best companies in the market. ICInsider.com ranks stocks based on projected earnings to highlight winners from the rest, allowing investors to focus on potential winning stocks and helping to remove emotional attachments to stocks that often result in costly mistakes.

ICTOP15 Junior Market stocks for 2022-23

IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to the end of March 2022, ranked in order of potential gains, based on likely increases for companies taking into account, earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.

Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.