Trading on Wednesday, return to more normal levels at the close of the Jamaica Stock Exchange Junior Market as the volume trading fell 82 percent and the value plunged 83 percent compared to Tuesday, with the absence of any major trade, unlike Tuesday, when Limners and Bards led trading with 21.41 million shares, with 81.7 percent of stocks trading.
Market activity led to 37 securities trading compared to 40 on Tuesday and ended with 14 rising, 10 declining and 13, closing unchanged.
At the close, the Junior Market Index popped 6.43 points to end at 3,400.71.
The PE Ratio, a measure used to compute appropriate stock values, averages 14.6. The PE ratios shown in the chart below, are computed based on earnings forecasts by ICInsider.com for companies with their financial year ending up to August 2022.
A total of 4,846,291 shares were traded for $17,572,903 compared to 26,214,746 units at $101,388,552 on Tuesday. tTech led trading with 2.09 million shares for 43.2 percent of total volume followed by Future Energy Source with 756,379 units for 15.6 percent of the day’s trade and Tropical Battery with 368,203 units for 7.6 percent market share.
Trading averaged 130,981 shares at $474,943 in contrast to 655,369 shares at $2,534,714 on Tuesday and month to date, an average of 397,606 units at $1,288,906, compared to 412,242 units at $1,333,589 on Tuesday. November closed with an average of 160,358 units at $581,730.
Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows six stocks ending with bids higher than their last selling prices and two with lower offers.
At the close, Caribbean Cream dropped 69 cents to end at $5.01 with an exchange of 20,960 shares, Caribbean Flavours climbed 8 cents in closing at $1.99 in switching ownership of 418 units, Elite Diagnostic advanced 31 cents to $2.99 after exchanging 200 stocks. Fontana rose 19 cents to close at $7.49, with 56,830 stock units trading, Honey Bun slipped 10 cents to $9.50 while exchanging 8,545 stocks, iCreate declined 6 cents in ending at 84 cents with an exchange of 175,996 shares. ISP Finance fell $3.79 to $38 trading 10 stock units, Jamaican Teas popped 13 cents in closing at $3.98 after exchanging 17,939 units, Jetcon Corporation lost 13 cents to end at 80 cents, with 296,260 shares changing hands. Knutsford Express gained 28 cents to close at $8.35 in an exchange of 1,860 stock units, Lasco Manufacturing increased 5 cents to $4.80, with the swapping of 7,308 stocks, Limners and Bards dropped 8 cents to $3.75, with 121,239 units clearing the market. Lumber Depot popped 10 cents in closing at $2.91, with 290,515 shares crossing the market, Mailpac Group rallied 5 cents to end at $3.45 in trading 241,180 stocks, Main Event increased 49 cents to $4.50 trading 22,957 stock units. Medical Disposables advanced 45 cents in closing at $6.50 after exchanging 4,973 units, Paramount Trading shed 5 cents to $1.25, with 18,000 shares crossing the market and tTech popped 5 cents to close at $4.05 in trading 2,093,452 stocks.
Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.
Spur Tree Spices joins ICTOP10
The big news for the market for the past week was the release of the prospectus of the long-awaited Initial Public offer of Spur Tree Spices priced at $1 per share at PE of 8.7 based on earnings before tax and propelling the stock in this week’s Junior Market ICTOP10. Investors should also see the prospectus release for Jamaica Fibreglass Products this week or next.
Spur Tree pushed Jetcon Corporation out of the TOP10, with the latter enjoying a 9 percent price rise to 99 cents. Over in the Main Market TOP10, Sagicor Group rose just 2 percent to close at $53.
During the week, AMG Packaging rose 3 percent to $2.12, Access Financial Services climbed 7 percent to $20.95, Lasco Distributors rose 6 percent to $3.47, but Elite Diagnostic and Honey Bun both fell 10 percent to $2.71 and $8.55, respectively and Caribbean Cream fell 4 percent to $5.70.
The public offer for Spur Tree Spices shares opens on Wednesday this week and should be heavily oversubscribed, with closure likely by the end of the week.
This week, the top three Main Market stocks are Guardian Holdings, followed by JMMB Group and Radio Jamaica, all projected to gain between 183 and 261 percent, up from 178 and 257 percent last week.
The Junior Market top three stocks changed a bit during the week, with AMG Packaging leading, followed by Caribbean Assurance Brokers, with Access Financial Services moving from the second spot to the third position. All three can gain between 158 and 230 percent versus 167 and 240 percent previously.
The average gains projected for the TOP 10 Junior Market stocks moved from 149 percent last week to 151 percent and Main Market stocks moved from 155 percent to this weeks’ 154 percent.
The Junior Market closed the week with an average PE of 14.4 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings and is currently well below the target of 20 and the average of 17 at the end of March this year based on 2020 earnings. The TOP 10 stocks trade at a PE of a mere 8.1, with a 44 percent discount to that market’s average.
The Junior Market can gain 39 percent to March next year, based on an average PE of 20 and 18 percent based on an average PE of 17. Eleven stocks representing 26 percent of all Junior Market stocks with positive earnings are trading at or above this level, similar to last week, indicating that many others will rise towards the 17 mark in the months ahead.
The average PE for the JSE Main Market is 16.1, some 18 percent less than the PE of 19 at the end of March and 24 percent below the target of 20 to March 2022. The Main Market TOP 10 average PE is 8.1, representing a 51 percent discount to the market and well below the potential of 20. A total of 13 stocks or 28 percent of the market trade at or above a PE of 19, with most over 20, for an average roundabout 25, suggesting that the accepted multiple is between 20 and 25 times the current year’s earnings.
ICTOP10 focuses on likely yearly winners; accordingly, the list may or may not include the best companies in the market. ICInsider.com ranks stocks based on projected earnings to highlight winners from the rest, allowing investors to focus on potential winning stocks and helping to remove emotional attachments to stocks that often result in costly mistakes.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on the possible increase for each company, considering the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.
Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.
ICTOP10 winner up 369% to date
Caribbean Producers (CPJ) stock jumped 17 percent to close the week at a record high of $12.15 and now sits at fourth position in the Main Market TOP 10 with a lot more ground to cover before peaking.
CPJ started the year in the Junior Market TOP 15 at $2.89 in the number three spot, with a price target of $13, is now up by 369 percent since the start of the year based on projected earnings of 65 cents, since then ICInsider.com upgraded earnings to $1.65 for the current year with a new price target between March and July next year of $33.
Barring some unusual events, CPJ now the leading stock on the overall Jamaica Stock Exchange will most likely end the year way out front and well above Future Energy, another ICTOP10 winner with gains of 254 percent to date.
Lumber Depot dropped out of the Junior Market top 10 and Jetcon Corporation returned to the TOP10. There were no additions to the Main market TOP10 for the week.
Other notable TOP10 movers this week are; Lasco Distributors that rose 9 percent in closing at $3.28 and Honey Bun up 5 percent to $9.50, but Caribbean Assurance Brokers slipped 8 percent to $2.40 from $2.60 at the close of the previous week. In the Main Market, other than Caribbean Producers, Sygnus and Pan Jam Investment fell 4 percent.
For the week ahead investors should watch for a possible move higher, CPJ that could hit $15 with dwindling supply now on offer below $14.50 when the market closed on Friday. RJR is another worth watching with a limited supply under $3.50 during Friday there is relatively only moderate selling overall, but buying remains tepid.
The top three Main Market stocks, this week with CPJ dropping to number four are Guardian Holdings still in the lead followed by Radio Jamaica that returned in second spot and JMMB Group in the third spot with all projected to gain between 178 and 257 percent from 213 to 253 percent last week.
The Junior Market top three stocks changed a bit during the week, with AMG Packaging leading, followed by Caribbean Assurance Brokers, with Access Financial Services moving from the second spot to the third position. All three can gain between 167 and 240 versus 167 and 238 percent, previously.
This week’s focus: Why Lumber Depot is a stock to watch for the future? After posting outlandish first quarter results that were boosted by inventory profit, the company reported what appear to be normal profit in the second quarter of 5 cents per share and raised the half years earnings to 15 cents. While first quarter revenues grew 16 percent, the second quarter was flat, suggesting that full year results should end up around 25 cents or a little above that. On this basis, the stock may be considered a bit undervalued. With Paul Scott’s Stony Hill Capital Limited taking a controlling interest in it, what could be in it for them. There is good scope for expansion and growth, first within Kingston, Portmore, Spanish Town and nationally. Other factors include the fact that the Musson Group has large holdings of real estate owned directly by the group or indirectly in the investment companies that can purchase materials for repairs or expansion through them.
The average gains projected for the TOP 10 Junior Market stocks slipped from 150 percent last week to 149 percent and Main Market stocks moved from 159 percent to this weeks’ 155 percent.
The Junior Market closed the week, with an average PE of 14.3 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings and is currently well below the target of 20 and the average of 17 at the end of March this year based on 2020 earnings. The TOP 10 stocks trade at a PE of a mere 8.1, with a 42 percent discount to that market’s average.
The Junior Market can gain 40 percent to March next year, based on an average PE of 20 and 19 percent based on an average PE of 17. Seven stocks representing 17 percent of all Junior Market stocks with positive earnings are trading at or above this level, similar to last week, indicating that many others will rise towards the 17 mark in the months ahead.
The average PE for the JSE Main Market is 16.2, some 17 percent less than the PE of 19 at the end of March and 23 percent below the target of 20 to March 2022. The Main Market TOP 10 average PE is 8, representing a 50 percent discount to the market and well below the potential of 20. A total of 14 stocks or 30 percent of the market trade at or above a PE of 19, with most over 20, for an average roundabout 25, suggesting that the accepted multiple is between 20 and 25 times the current year’s earnings.
ICTOP10 focuses on likely yearly winners, accordingly, the list may or may not include the best companies in the market. ICInsider.com ranks stocks based on projected earnings to highlight winners from the rest, allowing investors to focus on potential winning stocks and helping to remove emotional attachments to stocks that often result in costly mistakes.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on the possible increase for each company, considering the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.
Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.