Following the release of fourth quarter results and faced with a new IPO, investors took profit this past week, resulting in six changes to the ICTOP10 listings as the Junior Market hit a record high during the week at 4,076 points before pulling back 226 points and making some recovery on Friday. That market is caught between two resistance points that seem set to constrain movement beyond peak and the low reached last week.
Focus this coming week will be the response of the market to the latest IPO to hit the market as FJP Limited opens on Monday at $1 per share. The stock is not ICInsider.com BUY RATED, but it should deliver gains to investors, with the possibility of earnings estimated around 7 cents per share.
Entering the Junior Market TOP10 this week are Lasco Manufacturing, Iron Rock, iCreate and Lasco Financial slipped out last week, while 138 Student Living and Sygnus Credit Investments US dollar denominated stock join the Main Market list.
Out goes General Accident, Honey Bun, Medical Disposables and Tropical Battery from the Junior Market list, while VM Investments and Sterling Investments hit a record high on Friday of $3.65 from the Main Market listing.
During the week, the Junior Market TOP10 listed Tropical Battery rose 18 percent to close at $1.79, followed by Lasco Distributors with a gain of 5 percent to $4, while Cargo Handlers fell 11 percent to $7 and General Accident moved down 7 percent to $6.26, following the release of full year’s results, with a small loss reported in the December quarter.
In the Main Market, Sterling Investments rose 13 percent to a record close of $3.50 while JMMB Group added 5 percent to end at $44.30, with technical indicators pointing to a much higher price ahead as the stock is steered higher by a rising trend line.
The Junior Market potential gains for the TOP 10 Junior Market stocks are now at 104 percent and are now much lower than the Main Market at 126 percent. The top three stocks in the Junior Market are Cargo Handlers followed by Caribbean Assurance Brokers and AMG Packaging to gain between 109 and 129 percent, compared to 111 and 124 percent, previously.
The potential gains for Main Market stocks moved from 122 percent last week to this weeks’ 126 percent, with the top three being Guardian Holdings followed by JMMB Group and Sygnus Credit Investments all projected to gain between 165 and 185 percent versus 161 and 186 percent last week.
The average PE for Junior Market has moved to 17.7 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings and is ahead of the JSE Main Market at 16.9. In the process, the Junior Market has surpassed the average of 17 that was achieved at the end of March last year. The TOP 10 stocks trade at a PE of a mere 9.8, with a 45 percent discount to that market’s average. That means there is a lot of room for the TOP10 stocks to run between now and the end of March.
All the stocks in the Junior Market can gain 13 percent to March this year, based on an average PE of 20 that would take the index to 4,700 points. About a third of Junior Market stocks with positive earnings are trading at or above this level, averaging around 23.
The average PE for the JSE Main Market is 16.9 just 12 percent less than the PE of 19 at the end of March and 18 percent below the target of 20 to March this year. The Main Market TOP 10 average PE is 9 representing a 47 percent discount to the market and well below the potential of 20. Around 18 stocks or 35 percent of the market trade at or above a PE of 19, with most over 20, for an average roundabout 25, suggesting that the accepted multiple is between 20 and 25 times the current year’s earnings.
ICTOP10 focuses on likely yearly winners, accordingly, the list may or may not include the best companies in the market. ICInsider.com ranks stocks based on projected earnings to highlight winners from the rest, allowing investors to focus on potential winning stocks and helping to remove emotional attachments to stocks that often result in costly mistakes.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on the possible increase for each company, considering the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.
Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.
Six new additions to ICTOP10
Several changes for ICTOP10 listings
Increased buying interest coupled with the release of new results created many changes for the ICTOP10 listings this week. Tropical Battery came from nowhere, with stunning first quarter results to December, with profits surging from just $19 million in 2020 to $56.7 million as revenues surged 46.8 percent to $662 million and investors reacted to it right out of the block driving the price up 18 percent for the day.
Even with an 18 percent rise in the stock price, Tropical moved right to the top of the Junior Market TOP10 stocks with the potential to double in price. Medical Disposables price slipped with the stock now back in the TOP 10 and so did Access Financial while Cargo Handlers joins the TOP10 in fifth position.
Moving out of the TOP10 are Lasco Financial that was boosted by rising profits and enjoyed a 19 percent bounce in the price for the week and Jetcon Corporation. Lasco Manufacturing (Lasm) price rose 2 percent but the company posted good results that suggest a much higher stock price ahead and Stationery & Office Supplies (SOS) had a 24 percent rise to $7.31 as increased buying interest came in for the stock. Both stocks remain in the 2022 ICTOP15 list, with SOS in at the 6th spot and LASM at 11.
The Junior Market index upward move slowed this past week with year to date gains moving from 16.3 percent last week to 17.1 percent to Friday, this week. The Main Market seems to be bubbling with the market index up more than 7,700 points for February and is worth watching.
Recently listed Spur Tree Spices continues to consolidate around the $3 price level while, Future Energy, surged this past week to an all-time high of $5.20, on profit results that rose strongly in the December quarter at PE of 50, the price seems well ahead of the market.
Other decent moves in the Junior Market this past week are Caribbean Assurance Brokers that closed at $3.28 for a rise of 6 percent, General Accident moved up 4 percent to $6.76, AMG Packaging lost 6 percent to end at $3.48 and Honey Bun slipped 4 percent to $9.70.
In the Main Market, Jamaica Broilers rose 13 percent to $30.50, while Proven Investments and VM Investments both rose 8 percent for the week. Radio Jamaica released results for the nine months to December, with a slight reduction of 2.5 percent in revenues or $35 million leading to a fall in profit from $194 million in the December quarter to $108 million and Jamaica Broilers were replaced in the TOP10 by Berger Paints and Carreras.
The sharp price movements in the Junior Market over recent weeks reduced the potential gains markedly, with the average increase projected for the TOP 10 Junior Market stocks now at 105 percent and is now lower than the Main Market at 122 percent. The top three stocks in the Junior Market are Tropical Battery followed by Caribbean Assurance Brokers and Lasco Distributors to gain between 111 and 124 percent, compared to 114 and 126 percent, previously.
The potential gains for Main Market stocks moved from 123 percent to this weeks’ 122 percent, with the top three being JMMB Group followed by Guardian Holdings and Sygnus Credit Investments all projected to gain between 161 and 186 percent versus 165 and 186 percent last week.
After trading at a big discount to the Main Market for two years, the average PE for Junior Market has moved to 17.8 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings and is ahead of the JSE Main Market at 16.4. In the process, the Junior Market has surpassed the average of 17 that was achieved at the end of March last year. The TOP 10 stocks trade at a PE of a mere 9.8, with a 45 percent discount to that market’s average. That means there is a lot of room for the TOP10 stocks to run between now and the end of March.
All the stocks in the Junior Market can gain 12 percent to March this year, based on an average PE of 20 that would take the index to 4,700 points. About a third of Junior Market stocks with positive earnings are trading at or above this level, averaging around 23.
The average PE for the JSE Main Market is 17.4 just 9 percent less than the PE of 19 at the end of March and 15 percent below the target of 20 to March this year. The Main Market TOP 10 average PE is 9.2 representing a 47 percent discount to the market and well below the potential of 20. Around 15 stocks or 30 percent of the market trade at or above a PE of 19, with most over 20, for an average roundabout 25, suggesting that the accepted multiple is between 20 and 25 times the current year’s earnings.
ICTOP10 focuses on likely yearly winners, accordingly, the list may or may not include the best companies in the market. ICInsider.com ranks stocks based on projected earnings to highlight winners from the rest, allowing investors to focus on potential winning stocks and helping to remove emotional attachments to stocks that often result in costly mistakes.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on the possible increase for each company, considering the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.
Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.