Berger heads IC TOP10 Main Market


Berger Paints still heads the IC TOP10 Main Market stocks with the potential to gain 580 percent as the company ends 2026 with less than two months to spare, hopefully unaffected by major dislocations.

During the past week the Jamaica Stock Exchange Main Market closed higher, with the JSE Index closing at 387,081.20, up 1,882.17 points, 0.49 percent, from the the close of 385,199.03 a week earlier and 69,094.32 points, up by 21.73 percent, higher than the 2025 close of 317,986.88. ICTOP10 selection, 138 Student Living led the winners for the week with a gain of 44.19 percent, followed by Sagicor Select Manufacturing and Distribution Fund at 20.83 percent.
Looking forward, the ICInsider.com ICTOP10 forecast for Main Market stocks for 2026 to 2027 puts Berger Paints atop the list at 580 percent, well ahead of the rest of the field, with the company expected to record a major bounce in revenues and profit above the hurricane Melissa-battered 2025 results. JMMB Group is second at 431 percent and Sygnus Credit Investments is third at 418 percent flowing from a solid bounce in its 2026 profits compared with 2025 results. Sygnus Credit Investments also appeared among this week’s top six winners, rising 13.59 percent, so the forecast and recent price action point in the same direction. QWI Investments is fourth at 400 percent, putting four of the top seven at or above that mark. While interest increased recently, following one of the best profit performances since listing in 2019, the forecast for Jamaica Broilers is a 392 per cent gain. Margaritaville is forecast to deliver gains of 264 percent, It was one of the week’s best performers, up by 7.08 percent. Palace Amusement rounds out the top seven at 251 percent, and it too featured among the week’s top gainers with a 16.33 percent rise. Taken together, three of the seven forecast leaders also gained this week.
The ten winners averaged a gain of 16.00 percent, and the ten losers averaged a decline of 6.67 percent.
The six top winners this past week, posted large moves. 138 Student Living surged 44.19 percent, and Sagicor Select Manufacturing and Distribution Fund rose 20.83 percent. Sagicor Select Financial Fund popped 19.57 percent and Palace Amusement rose 16.33 percent. Sygnus Credit Investments eked out 13.59 percent, and First Rock Real Estate Investments closed up 12.36 percent.
On the downside, the six biggest decliners were led by Mayberry Jamaican Equities, with a fall of 12.03 percent. A.S. Bryden and Sons dropped 10.07 percent, and Jamaica Producers declined 8.78 percent. West Indies Petroleum lost 8.27 percent, Lasco Distributors fell 7.78 percent, and Pulse Investments closed down 5.94 percent.

ICTOP10 Main Market stocks


Trading on the Jamaica Stock Exchange’s Main Market was mixed over the past week, with sharp declines among a handful of securities offset by a broad market rally, resulting in the market index rising by just 1.2 percent to end the week at 370,983.96. Against this backdrop, all of the top 10 best performing stocks exceeded gains in the index by a wide margin, with Palace Amusement jumping 40.5 percent and First Rock Real Estate rising by 24.6 percent.

Going forward, ICInsider.com’s forecast of leading Main Market stocks for the twelve months into late 2027 anticipates substantial upside across a group of stocks. Berger Paints tops the list with forecasted appreciation of 597 percent, ahead of Margaritaville with 572 percent and Sygnus Credit Investments with a 496 percent. QWI Investments is projected to gain 433 percent, Jamaica Broilers 402 percent and JMMB Group 382 percent. Further down, 138 Student Living is projected to rise 300 percent, as it recovers from a recent steep fall. Palace Amusement Company is projected to deliver a 239 percent, as good quality movies is expected to be a big pulling card for patrons, Lasco Distributors is projected for 215 percent rise and Caribbean Cement Company 155 percent to round out the ten.
Top Rising Ordinary Shares. On the positive side, Palace Amusement led all rising stocks with an outsized advance of 40.5 percent. It was followed by First Rock Real Estate, up 24.6 percent, VM Investments rallied by 20.6 percent. Sygnus Real Estate popped 14.5 percent and Berger Paints rose 12.6 percent. Kingston Properties advanced 12.3 percent while Jamaica Broilers Group rose 11.1 percent. 138 Student Living moved 9.1 percent higher, Barita Investments rose 8.3 percent, and a security trading under the symbol Tropical Battery closed out the top ten with a gain of 7.1 percent.
Top Losers. The sharpest decline came from Margaritaville, which fell 38.59 percent, by far the worst performer on the Main Market for the week. Sagicor Real Estate X Fund followed with an 11.66 percent drop, while the Sagicor Select Financial Fund slid 9.76 percent. Eppley lost 9.09 percent, and Caribbean Producers declined by 6.25 percent. Rounding out the bottom half, , Mayberry Jamaican Equities fell by 4.23 percent, Sagicor Select Manufacturing and Distribution Fund shed 4.17 percent, Lasco Manufacturing declined by 3.21 percent, Lasco Distributors dipped 2.94 percent, and Guardian Holdings closed 2.69 percent lower.

Shocking 4 years of Cargo Handlers errors

The number of shares issued by publicly listed companies is very important information for investors to know, but investors would not think so when examining interim financial statements in Jamaica and Trinidad and Tobago of some of the companies.
There have been so many occasions one has to search high and low to find it if at all it is reported in the interim numbers. This is such a simple matter and the stock exchanges in the region could cure it easily, by making it one of the items that must be included in quarterly reports. It should be included as a part of the statement of movement in Shareholders’ equity.
The latest shocking reporting is that of Cargo Handlers that shows the number of shares issued as a part of the statement of shareholders’ equity. The oddity is the company reporting only 37.466 million issued shares since 2018 when it increased to more than 374 million units. The Jamaica Stock Exchange website shows them as having 416.25 million shares issued and the audited accounts show that the change took place in 2018 the numbers moving from 37.485 to 374.653 million shares. One wonders why no one discovered this glaring error when the list of top 10 shareholders show four of them having more shares than what they list as issued. The error goes back to 2018 for all of the quarterly reports.
This is such a glaring error and neither the Stock Exchange, the Financial Services Commission the directors of the company or its accounting staff have found out.
Our reporting standards are not up to scratch and some persons in the financial system love to talk about best practices globally.
Take the matter of segment reporting. Some companies report it quarterly and some only annually. Most correctly report the current period and the comparative previous year’s period. Why can’t the JSE insist on some minimum standards for the benefit of investors so they get information consistently? Limners and Bards is the latest company to provide a quarterly report with no segment results yet they report it in the audited report albeit just one year forcing investors to have to go back to the previous year’s report for the comparison. Seems if that is the approach they should just report the current year’s figures and let investors go back to the previous year’s reports for profit and balance sheet information.
The vast majority of listed companies report profit results with direct and indirect costs and gross profit. But others do not. The group shockingly includes GraceKennedy, 138 Student Living, Knutsford Express. It is full time that companies lift the standard of reporting so that investors can get pertinent information to use in their investment decision making. In response to a question put to Don Wehby about the bulking of all cost on the profit statement suggest that they are in compliance with accounting standards, but that is such a lame and shocking excuse from a company of such standing in the country. Seprod produces it, Jamaica Broilers does it and several other listed companies so why not Grace. Are grace directors suggesting that their shareholders are lesser persons than those of other companies? The case of 138 Student Living is shocking when one considers that the Chairman, Ian Parsard is also Group Senior Vice President – Finance & Corporate Planning at Jamaica Broilers.
Communication with investors is a subjective matter but there are some simple matters that it just takes some thinking or consulting to get right.
AMG Packaging is in a class by itself when it comes to poor communication. The company has embarked on a major capital project, but the directors appear to be of the view that minority shareholders are best kept in as much darkness as possible about it. The audited accounts for 2020 are silent on any commitment to the project.
The latest quarterly the only capital spend, is shown as work in progress on the balance sheet in the amount of $57 million, with no comments on the progress, the total commitment and when it is expected to be complete and be in use. Worse there are no comments on its use. It is noted that the purpose has moved from a warehouse to a factory between 2018 and now.
In the 2018 annual report, the Chairman stated that “the Company recently took an option to purchase an adjoining property. If the transaction is completed, the additional space will be used to alleviate some of the space constraints in the existing facility, making operations more efficient.”
In the 2019 annual report “The Company completed the acquisition on the property at 12 Retirement Crescent which will allow us to expand our operations and to better serve our customers.” The company also stated that they “obtained funding from Proven Wealth Limited to assist with the development of 12 Retirement Crescent. The KSAC is in the process of reviewing the architectural drawings for 12 Retirement.”
The 2020 annual report states, “the company plans on utilizing the strong cash and cash equivalents position into developing 12 Retirement Crescent.  The pandemic had caused the development of 12 Retirement Crescent to delay from 2020 to 2021. A contractor has been chosen and the building of an additional 11,370 square feet is set to begin in February 2021.”
In the results to February this year, the only comment made about the development is “that the new steel frame warehouse purchased from China arrived and construction commenced. The financial statement shows WIP at $49 million, with a zero balance in the November quarter.”

Q1 profit falls 13% at JBG

Profit at Jamaica Broilers Group fell 13 percent in the July quarter to $361 million from $413 million in 2018 but IC Insider.com computations point to strong gains in profit for the year ending in April 2020 as revenues rise and costs are contained below inflation.
At the same time, profit attributable to shareholders dropped 8 percent to $368 million from $399 million in 2018 even as gross profit increased slightly over 2018 from $3.18 billion to $3.32 billion as sale revenues rose 9 percent to $13 billion, from $12 billion in the corresponding quarter in 2018.
Cost of sales increased 11 percent for the quarter, to $10 billion from $9 billion in 2018 resulting in gross profit margin in the quarter declining to 25 percent from 26 percent in 2018. Distribution cost rose just 2 percent to $445 million from $436 million in the corresponding quarter in 2018. Operating profit increased by 2 percent to $679 million from $665 million in 2018. Finance income fell sharply by 88 percent to $36 million from $300 million in the corresponding period in 2018.

Jamaica Broilers chicken

Administrative expenses remained flat at $2.3 billion, but Finance cost, declined by 7 percent to $299 million from $324 million in 2018 and corporate taxes fell a sharp 76 percent to $55 million.
The group’s segment results were mixed, with foreign exchange losses and political and economic volatility in Haiti negatively impacting the results. The Jamaica segment produced $8.4 billion in revenues, but just slightly above the $8.24 billion generated in 2018 profit resulting in a 9 percent fall in segment profit of $764 million. Operations in Haiti produced $19 million in profit compared to $60 million in the previous year from a fall in revenues from $595 million down to $530 million. Profit from the US operations climbed by 11 percent to $333 million from $ 300 million in 2018 as revenues climbed to $4.34 billion from $3.3 billion in 2018.
Gross cash flows from brought in $650 million but after a dividend payment in the quarter amounted to $212 million and other long term liabilities of $720 million, cash inflows ended at $316 million and that pushed cash and equivalent to $3.65 billion. At the end of July, shareholders’ equity stood at $15 billion with borrowings at just $7 billion. Current assets ended the period at $22 billion inclusive of receivables of $4 billion and inventories of $7 billion, cash and bank balances of $4 billion and current liabilities of $13 billion.
Earnings per share came out at 35.81 cents for the quarter. IC Insider.com is forecasting $3.50 per share for PE of 10 times the current year’s earnings and earnings of $5 for the 2021 fiscal year.

Another record close for JSE on Friday

Trading on the Jamaica Stock Exchange main market ended at a another record close, with JSE All Jamaican Composite Index increasing by 763.78 points in a record closing high of 326,087.70 and the JSE Index gaining 695.89 points to a record closing high of 297,102.76.
At the close with only 28 securities traded versus 29 on Thursday. Trading ended with the prices of 7 stocks rising, 12 falling and 9 trading firm, in the main and US dollar markets.
Securities closing with sizable price changes include, Grace Kennedy lost $1 to end at $48, Kingston Wharves declined by $1 to $39, Palace Amusement dropped $150 on top of the $200 fall on Thursday to end the week at $750 and Scotia Group fell $1.50 to $52.
Main market activity ended with 5,136,325 units valued at over $124,111,209 compared to 11,332,892 units valued at over $423,780,603. JMMB Group closed trading with 1,575,126 units accounting for 30.67 percent of the overall market volume followed by Carreras with 819,568 units or 15.96 percent of total volume traded and Jamaica Broilers Group with 550,887 units with 10.73 of traded volume.
Trading resulted in an average of 190,234 shares valued at $4,596,711, for each security traded, compared to 419,737 shares valued at $15,695,578 on Thursday. The average for the month to date is 1,240,308 shares with a value of $6,425,698 and previously 1,510,327 shares with a value of $7,058,809. In contrast, March closed with an average of 626,526 units with an average value at $20,492,207 for each security traded.
The US dollar market closed on Thursday with 109 units valued at just US$24 as Proven Investments was the sole stock traded and ended unchanged at 22 US cents, leaving the market index unchanged at the close at 173.30.
IC bid-offer Indicator| At the end of trading, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator reading shows 6 stocks ended with bids higher than their last selling prices and 2 with a lower offers.
For more details of market activities see – JSE trading levels fall on Friday

JSE main market fell on Friday

The Main Market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange closed down on Friday, with JSE All Jamaican Composite Index falling 776.18 points to 319,258.66 and the JSE Index declining by 707.19 points to 290,880.73.
Trading on Friday closed 28 securities changing hands with 10 advancing, 10 declining and 8 trading firm in the main and US dollar markets.
The securities with the largest price changes include, Caribbean Cement with a fall of $1.45 to $31.55, Grace Kennedy with a loss of $1.20 to $43, Salada Foods climbing $1 to $12, Scotia Group that rose by $1.50 to $53.50 and Seprod losing 94 cents to end at $29.05.
Main market activity ended with 4,322,228 units valued at $69,892,327 in contrast to 2,690,310 shares valued at $52,093,635 on Thursday. Ciboney Group accounted for 1,385,481 units and 32 percent of total volume traded, followed by Jamaica Broilers Group accounting for 21 percent of volume traded with 904,680 units changing hands and Sagicor Group with 293,843 units or 6.8 percent.
Trading results in an average of 160,083 shares valued at $2,588,605 for each security traded, in contrast to 92,769 shares valued at $1,796,332 on Thursday. The average volume and value for the month to date amounts to 204,802 units valued at $3,183,567 and previously, 207,617 units valued at $3,223,626. In contrast, January closed with average of 349,084 units at an average of $5,801,440 for each security traded.
IC bid-offer Indicator| At the end of trading, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator reading shows 10 stocks ended with bids higher than their last selling prices and 2 with lower offers.
Traded in the US dollar market ended with Proven Investments trading 667,350 shares at 21.99 US cents with a value of US$146,425 as the market index rose 1.03 points to 168.18.
For more details of market activities see – JSE trading picks up on Friday.

Jamaica Broilers’ profit jumps 28%

Jamaica Broilers

The financial year to April 2017 was a good one for Jamaica Broilers Group, with attractive revenue and profit growth. For the full year, profit after tax attributed to the company’s shareholders rose 28 percent to $2.23 billion from $1.74 billion in 2016.
Sales revenues grew 15.3 percent to $44.44 billion for the year from $38.52 billion in 2016. The group enjoyed a 17% increase in revenues in the fourth quarter to $12.32 billion up from $10.52 in 2016 but profit but rose from $900 million to $1 billion at a slower pace than the growth in revenue.
A fall in the pace of growth in gross profit was a major factor in the slower growth in the last quarter as direct cost rose limiting gross profit to a rise of 13 percent to $3.57 billion in the quarter from $3.16 billion in 2016.
Segment results showed the Jamaican segment generating revenues of $31.96 billion up from $28.4 billion but segment results fell from $3.6 billion to $2.87 billion. Revenues for the US based operations grew to $10.86 billion from 8.8 billion and generated segment profit of $1.3 billion compared to $1 billion in 2016. Other Caribbean Countries generated revenues from third parties of $1.6 billion up from $1.3 billion in 2016 and contributed $944 million to profit up from $254 million in 2016.
While some Jamaican companies are by passing cheap borrowed funds for expansion purposes, Jamaica Broilers with equity capital of $14.4 billion has $7.7 billion in debt. The group holds $2.76 billion in cash with loan receivable of $2.55 billion of which $500 million is due within 12 months. Cash flow from operations is attractive at approximately $3 billion for 2017. During the past year $749 million was expended on the acquisition of fixed assets compared to $800 million in 2016 and the group paid dividends of $420 million for the 2017 fiscal year, up from $311 million in the prior period.
Forecast for 2018 is for EPS of $2.60, up from $1.85 for 2017. The stock closed on the Jamaica Stock Exchange on Friday at $18 at 10 times 2017 earnings but 7 times 2018 earnings compared to an average of the main market of 13.7. IC Insider.com rates the stock a buy for growth and income.