Trading was more subdued on Monday than Friday and ended with more stocks declining than rising at the close of the Junior Market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange, nevertheless, the market index gained 20.53 points to settle at 3,264.46.
A total of 40 securities traded compared to 39 on Friday, with 13 stocks rising, 19 declining and eight remaining unchanged. The PE Ratio based on ICInsider.com’s forecast of 2021-22 earnings averaged 12.2.
Investors exchanged 77 percent fewer shares at 82 percent less value than on Friday. Trading amassed 7,657,019 shares for $14,785,764 compared to 33,684,414 units at $82,018,666 on Friday.
Future Energy Source led trading with 43 percent of total volume, after 3.28 million shares changed hands, followed by Paramount Trading 11.1 percent of the day’s trade with 852,642 units and Derrimon Trading with 10.7 percent with a transfer of 816,047 units.
Trading averaged 191,425 units at $369,644, down from 863,703 at $2,103,043 on Friday. Trading month to date averaged 328,355 units at $814,965, compared to 357,031 units at $908,226 on Friday. April ended with an average of 329,241 units at $854,716.
Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows six stocks ended with bids higher than their last selling prices and two with lower offers.
At the close, Access Financial fell 20 cents to $21.80 with 611 shares passing through the market, Blue Power dipped 30 cents to $3.60 with an exchange of 45,370 units, CAC 2000 jumped 50 cents to $10 with 2,947 stock units changing hands. Caribbean Cream gained 10 cents to close at $5.30 with a transfer of 642 shares Caribbean Producers slipped 5 cents to $3.75 with 53,048 stocks traded, Express Catering climbed 40 cents to a 52 weeks’ closing high of $5.20, with 16,905 units passing through the market. Fosrich shed 50 cents to end at $7.99 with an exchange of 83,942 stock units, Indies Pharma advanced 16 cents to $4.24 with 20,237 shares changing hands, Jamaican Teas slipped 11 cents to $4.08 with a transfer of 378,490 stocks. Jetcon Corporation slipped 5 cents to 85 cents with 17,580 units changing hands, Knutsford Express fell 5 cents to $8.45, with 16,147 stock units passing through the market, Lasco Financial climbed 25 cents to $3.35 with an exchange of 50,155 shares. Limners and Bards increased 8 cents to finish at $2.90 with 181,122 stock units changing hands, Mailpac Group rose 5 cents to $3.85 with a transfer of 309,136 units, Main Event advanced 22 cents to $4.87 with 1,323 stocks traded. Medical Disposables fell 9 cents to $5.19 with 102 units passing through the market, Stationery and Office Supplies dropped 93 cents to $5.52 with 5,139 stock units changing hands and tTech lost 28 cents to close at $4.60 with 17,551 shares crossing the exchange.
Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.
Major shakeup in Junior Market ICTOP10
The Junior Market had some major shakeup in some of the listings this past week as investors keep their eyes solidly on opportunities in this market, having slowly eating away at the above-average gains available in the market and driving prices of many stocks up and pushing the market back to early January 2020 level.
During the past week, Main Event surged nearly 33 percent from $3.50 to $4.65, pushing it from second spot last week to 10th this week. Medical Disposables dropped from the third position with a gain of 19 percent to $5.28, Stationery & Office rose from $5.71 to $6.45 and taking it from 5th to 7th position, while Lasco Financial moved up to 6th position from 9th last week, with no price change, Caribbean Producers moved up from 8th last week to 3rd this week and Caribbean Cream shifted from 7th to 2nd this week.
Stationery & Office, General Accident, Medical Disposables and Main Event that are at the edge on the Junior Market TOP10 could well drop out at any time as they are all bunched together with potential gains of 188 to 210 percent. In the Main Market, VM Investments, with potential gains of 128 percent and Berger Paints with 122 percent, could drop out soon. Results of companies to come shortly could result in changes in the list, depending on how investors respond to each.
The bullish tone of the two markets continues, with technical indicators and fundamentals of many companies keep on powering prices higher with many investors looking to the future with the recovery of the economy in mind and the impact that it will have on stocks.
Investors should expect a host of company results to hit the market next week as the mid-month date approaches. Watch these stocks over the next few weeks, Grace Kennedy, Jamaica Producers, PanJam Investment, Sagior Group, MailPac, Access Financial, Lasco Financial, Lasco Distributors, Caribbean Cream, ISP Financial.
The top three stocks in the Junior Market are headed by Elite Diagnostic, followed by Caribbean Cream and Caribbean Producers, with the potential to gain between 242 to 282 percent. The top three Main Market stocks are Radio Jamaica in the number one spot, followed by PanJam Investment and Jamaica Broilers, with expected gains of 166 to 413 percent.
The targeted PE ratio for the market averages 20 based on profits of companies reporting full year’s results, up to the second quarter of 2022. Fiscal 2020-21 ended March 2021 with the average PE at 17 for Junior Stocks and 19 times for the Main Market. With interest rates on government paper below 5 percent and likely to remain there for a few years, the likelihood is for the average PE ratios to climb higher during the next twelve months.
The Junior Market, with an average PE 12.2 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings, is currently trading well below the target, as well as the recent historical average of 17. This represents another 40 percent rise in the market that would equate to a rise of 60 percent to March 2022. The Junior Market Top 10 stocks average a mere 6.1 at just 50 percent of the market average, indicating substantial gains ahead. The JSE Main Market ended the week with an overall PE of 16.5, some distance from the 19 the market ended March, suggesting a 15 percent rise from now to March 2022. The Main Market TOP 10 trades at a PE of 7.7 or 47 percent of the PE of that market and well off the potential of 20.
The average projected gain for the Junior Market IC TOP 10 stocks is 229 percent and 173 percent for the JSE Main Market, based on 2021-22 earnings. IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on likely increase for each company, taking into account the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in movements in and out of the lists weekly. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.
Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.
JamTeas gains 111% to top ICTOP10 picks
Six Main Market ICTOP15 stocks raked between 23 and 37 percent year to date and seven of the Junior Market picks produced gains from 22 percent to 111 percent for the first four months of 2021.
The only top performing Main Market stocks for the period not captured by the TOP15 are Ciboney, up a stunning 121 percent at 53 cents, even after the price move up to just over $2 earlier this year, followed by Salada Foods with an incredible rise of 147 percent, Eppley Property Fund with an increase of 46 percent and Proven Investments gaining 28 percent.
The top performing Junior Market stocks to date that were not in the ICTOP15 are Fosrich with a gain of 86 percent, Blue Power 56 percent, Express Catering up 29 percent, Caribbean Flavours at 33 percent and Lasco Manufacturing with a 35 percent increase.
The highlight of the stock market this past week was the 216 percent surge in Carib Cement’s profit, from record revenues that jumped 31 percent for the 2020 first quarter. As expected, the stock jumped to a 52 weeks’ high of $95.50. The company was one of ICTOP 15 listings at the start of the year and is up 40 percent so far and still has much more gains ahead of it. The other notable development is the Main Market recording of gains for 14 days unbroken.
Other stocks in the TOP15 list that have gone on to do well are Carreras up 37 percent, Grace Kennedy with a rise of 35 percent, Jamaica Producers up 33 percent, QWI Investments up 25 and Seprod 23 percent in the Main Market. In the Junior Market, the winners are Caribbean Cream with a gain of 34 percent, Caribbean Producers up 41 percent, Stationery and Office Supplies with a gain of 25 percent. Now out of the top listings are Jamaican Teas with a 111 percent gain for the year to date, Lumber Depot up 88 percent, Lasco Distributors with a rise of 22 percent and MailPac up 25 percent. Future Energy Source that was added to ICTOP 10 earlier this year has a gain of 28 percent, but much more is expected for these stocks in the rest of the year.
There are no changes to companies on the ICTOP10 listings this week. The bullish tone of the Junior Market and the Main Market continues, with more gains expected in the coming week supported by strong technical signals and fundamentals of stocks and the overall market.
Watch these stocks over the next few weeks, Barita Investments, Caribbean Cement, Grace Kennedy, Jamaica Producers, PanJam Investment and Sagior Group, MailPac, Access Financial, Lasco Financial, Lasco Distributors, Caribbean Cream, ISP Financial.
The top three stocks in the Junior Market are headed by Elite Diagnostic, followed by Main Event and Medical Disposables, with the potential to gain between 261 to 293 percent. The top three Main Market stocks are Radio Jamaica in the number one spot, followed by PanJam Investment and Jamaica Broilers, with expected gains of 181 to 410 percent.
This week’s focus: Fosrich reported a 22 percent rise in revenues to $549 million, up from $449 million in the prior year with gross profit rising 13 percent to $192 million, from $170 million in 2020 with net profit surging 697 percent to $38.4 million, from only $4.8 million in the 2020 first quarter. Earnings per share jumped to 8 cents from one cent in 2020. Administrative expenses fell slightly to $144 million, from $146 million in 2020 and finance cost slipped to $24.8 million compared to $26.2 million in the 2020 quarter.
The targeted PE ratio for the market averages 20 based on profits of companies reporting full year’s results, up to the second quarter of 2022. Fiscal 2020-21 ended March 2021 with the average PE at 17 for Junior Stocks and 19 times for the Main Market. With interest rates on government paper below 5 percent and likely to remain there for a few years, the likelihood is for the average PE ratios to climb higher during the next twelve months.
The Junior Market, with an average PE 13 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings, is currently trading well below the target, as well as the recent historical average of 17; this represents another 31 percent rise in the market that would equate to a rise of 50 percent to March 2022. The Junior Market Top 10 stocks average a mere 5.8 at just 44 percent of the market average, indicating substantial gains ahead. The JSE Main Market ended the week with an overall PE of 16.5, some distance from the 19 the market ended March, suggesting a 20 percent rise from now to March 2022. The Main Market TOP 10 trades at a PE of 7.7 or 46 percent of the PE of that market and well off the potential of 20.
The average projected gain for the Junior Market IC TOP 10 stocks is 248 percent and 175 percent for the JSE Main Market, based on 2021-22 earnings. IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on likely increase for each company, taking into account the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in movements in and out of the lists weekly. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.
Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.