Trading slipped on Wednesday with the volume of stocks traded declining 49 percent less at a 63 percent lower value than on Tuesday at the close of the Jamaica Stock Exchange Junior Market on a day when stocks gaining had the upper hand over declining ones.
Overall, 38 securities traded the same as on Tuesday with 16 rising, 14 declining and eight unchanged. At the close, the Junior Market Index rose 11.26 points to 3,389.66.
The PE Ratio, a measure used to compute appropriate stock values, averages 14.5. The PE ratio of stocks shown in the chart below is based on ICInsider.com’s forecast of earnings for companies with their financial year ending up to August 2022.
A total of 4,318,106 shares traded for $14,505,480 down from 8,480,840 units at $39,539,987 on Tuesday. Mailpac Group led trading with 993,340 shares for 23 percent of total volume, followed by Consolidated Bakeries trading 885,402 units for 20.5 percent of the day’s trade and Lumber Depot with 470,787 units for 10.9 percent market share.
Trading averaged 113,634 shares at $381,723 in contrast to 223,180 shares at $1,040,526 on Tuesday and the month to date, averaging 410,995 units at $1,294,418, compared to 432,437 units at $1,360,248 on Tuesday. November closed with an average of 160,358 units at $581,730.
Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows six stocks ending with bids higher than their last selling prices and four with lower offers.
At the close, Access Financial popped $1 to $21 in exchanging 2,141 shares, Blue Power gained 17 cents to close at $3 with 21,667 units changing hands, CAC 2000 rallied 75 cents to $8.25 after an exchange of 100 stocks. Cargo Handlers spiked 53 cents to end at $7.80, with 100 stock units crossing the market, Caribbean Assurance Brokers advanced 12 cents to $2.40 in trading 69,483 stocks, Caribbean Cream rose 10 cents to close at $5.80 in an exchange of 7,729 shares. Consolidated Bakeries declined 17 cents to end at $1.17 after 885,402 units crossed the market, Derrimon Trading increased 6 cents to $2.26, with an exchange of 138,670 stock units, Dolphin Cove dropped $2.90 in closing at $14, with 186,419 units clearing the market. Elite Diagnostic shed 20 cents to $2.80 after exchanging 24,302 shares, Express Catering dropped 24 cents to end at $5.65 in switching ownership of 34,582 stock units, Fontana fell 5 cents to $7.25 while exchanging 31,070 stocks. Honey Bun lost 10 cents to $9.15 with the swapping of 7,853 units,ISP Finance climbed $3.80 to $41.80 trading a mere 4 shares, Jamaican Teas dropped 13 cents to close at $3.75 after exchanging 179,721 stock units. Jetcon Corporation popped 10 cents to end at $1, with 100 stocks changing hands, Lasco Distributors climbed 23 cents to $3.39 trading 5,266 stocks, Limners and Bards fell 19 cents to close at $3.50, with 443,763 stock units changing hands. Lumber Depot popped 8 cents in closing at $3.08 in an exchange of 470,787 shares, SSL Venture shed 5 cents ending at 91 cents trading 28,710 units and Stationery and Office Supplies declined 54 cents to $5.50 after exchanging 17,209 stocks.
Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.
ICTOP10 winner up 369% to date
Caribbean Producers (CPJ) stock jumped 17 percent to close the week at a record high of $12.15 and now sits at fourth position in the Main Market TOP 10 with a lot more ground to cover before peaking.
CPJ started the year in the Junior Market TOP 15 at $2.89 in the number three spot, with a price target of $13, is now up by 369 percent since the start of the year based on projected earnings of 65 cents, since then ICInsider.com upgraded earnings to $1.65 for the current year with a new price target between March and July next year of $33.
Barring some unusual events, CPJ now the leading stock on the overall Jamaica Stock Exchange will most likely end the year way out front and well above Future Energy, another ICTOP10 winner with gains of 254 percent to date.
Lumber Depot dropped out of the Junior Market top 10 and Jetcon Corporation returned to the TOP10. There were no additions to the Main market TOP10 for the week.
Other notable TOP10 movers this week are; Lasco Distributors that rose 9 percent in closing at $3.28 and Honey Bun up 5 percent to $9.50, but Caribbean Assurance Brokers slipped 8 percent to $2.40 from $2.60 at the close of the previous week. In the Main Market, other than Caribbean Producers, Sygnus and Pan Jam Investment fell 4 percent.
For the week ahead investors should watch for a possible move higher, CPJ that could hit $15 with dwindling supply now on offer below $14.50 when the market closed on Friday. RJR is another worth watching with a limited supply under $3.50 during Friday there is relatively only moderate selling overall, but buying remains tepid.
The top three Main Market stocks, this week with CPJ dropping to number four are Guardian Holdings still in the lead followed by Radio Jamaica that returned in second spot and JMMB Group in the third spot with all projected to gain between 178 and 257 percent from 213 to 253 percent last week.
The Junior Market top three stocks changed a bit during the week, with AMG Packaging leading, followed by Caribbean Assurance Brokers, with Access Financial Services moving from the second spot to the third position. All three can gain between 167 and 240 versus 167 and 238 percent, previously.
This week’s focus: Why Lumber Depot is a stock to watch for the future? After posting outlandish first quarter results that were boosted by inventory profit, the company reported what appear to be normal profit in the second quarter of 5 cents per share and raised the half years earnings to 15 cents. While first quarter revenues grew 16 percent, the second quarter was flat, suggesting that full year results should end up around 25 cents or a little above that. On this basis, the stock may be considered a bit undervalued. With Paul Scott’s Stony Hill Capital Limited taking a controlling interest in it, what could be in it for them. There is good scope for expansion and growth, first within Kingston, Portmore, Spanish Town and nationally. Other factors include the fact that the Musson Group has large holdings of real estate owned directly by the group or indirectly in the investment companies that can purchase materials for repairs or expansion through them.
The average gains projected for the TOP 10 Junior Market stocks slipped from 150 percent last week to 149 percent and Main Market stocks moved from 159 percent to this weeks’ 155 percent.
The Junior Market closed the week, with an average PE of 14.3 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings and is currently well below the target of 20 and the average of 17 at the end of March this year based on 2020 earnings. The TOP 10 stocks trade at a PE of a mere 8.1, with a 42 percent discount to that market’s average.
The Junior Market can gain 40 percent to March next year, based on an average PE of 20 and 19 percent based on an average PE of 17. Seven stocks representing 17 percent of all Junior Market stocks with positive earnings are trading at or above this level, similar to last week, indicating that many others will rise towards the 17 mark in the months ahead.
The average PE for the JSE Main Market is 16.2, some 17 percent less than the PE of 19 at the end of March and 23 percent below the target of 20 to March 2022. The Main Market TOP 10 average PE is 8, representing a 50 percent discount to the market and well below the potential of 20. A total of 14 stocks or 30 percent of the market trade at or above a PE of 19, with most over 20, for an average roundabout 25, suggesting that the accepted multiple is between 20 and 25 times the current year’s earnings.
ICTOP10 focuses on likely yearly winners, accordingly, the list may or may not include the best companies in the market. ICInsider.com ranks stocks based on projected earnings to highlight winners from the rest, allowing investors to focus on potential winning stocks and helping to remove emotional attachments to stocks that often result in costly mistakes.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on the possible increase for each company, considering the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.
Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.
Honey Bun in General Accident exits ICTOP10
General Accident rose 7 percent to close at $6.40 and slipped out of the TOP 10 while Honey Bun jumped into the Junior Market top 10, while Main Market stocks were pretty steady with movements not exceeding 2 percent for the week in a week when Main Market indices closed the week higher than it started with the Junior Market slipping from the start of the week.
Notable TOP10 movers this week are; AMG Packaging rose 9 percent in closing at $2.07 from $1.90 at the previous week’s close and Lumber Depot rose 18 percent to $3.25. Medical Disposables lost 5 percent of its value to close the week at $6 and Caribbean Assurance Brokers dived 13 percent to $2.60.
The top three Main Market stocks remained unchanged at the close of the week, with Guardian Holdings still in the lead, followed by Caribbean Producers and JMMB Group, projected to gain between 213 to 253 percent, as was the case last week.
The Junior Market top three stocks changed a bit during the week, with AMG Packaging leading, followed by Caribbean Assurance Brokers, with Access Financial Services moving from second spot to third position. All three can gain between 167 and 238 versus 162 percent and 268 percent previously.
The average gains projected for the TOP 10 Junior Market stocks moved from 142 percent last week to 150 percent and Main Market stocks moved from 157 percent to this weeks’ 159 percent.
The Junior Market closed the week with an average PE of 14.1 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings and currently well below the target of 20 and the average of 17 at the end of March this year based on 2020 earnings. The TOP 10 stocks trade at a PE of a mere 8.1, with a 42 percent discount to that market’s average PE.
The Junior Market can gain 42 percent to March next year, based on an average PE of 20 and 21 percent based on an average PE of 17. Ten stocks representing 25 percent of all Junior Market stocks with positive earnings are trading at or above this level, down from seven last week, indicating that many others will rise towards the 17 mark in the weeks ahead.
The average PE for the JSE Main Market is 15.8, which is 20 percent less than the PE of 19 at the end of March and 27 percent below the target of 20 to March 2022. The Main Market TOP 10 average PE is 8, representing a 51 percent discount to the market and well below the potential of 20. A total of 17 stocks or 36 percent of the market trade at or above a PE of 19, with most over 20, for an average roundabout 25, suggesting that the accepted multiple is between 20 and 25 times the current year’s earnings.
ICTOP10 focuses on likely yearly winners, accordingly, the list may or may not include the best companies in the market. ICInsider.com ranks stocks based on projected earnings to highlight winners from the rest, allowing investors to focus on potential winning stocks and helping to remove emotional attachments to stocks that often result in costly mistakes.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on the possible increase for each company, considering the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.
Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.