Minister of Finance Audley Shaw rolling in increased taxes.
The GOJ approved increased spending in the second half of the year by $10 billion but still ended the year underspending the amounts allocated to be spent by $5 billion.
After a mere 5 months of the current fiscal year to August, the Minister of Finance has amassed a tidy $14.6 billion more than forecast for the government coffers.
According to data released by the Ministry of Finance, tax revenues are $11 billion higher than originally forecasted, thanks to 37 percent surge in corporate profit taxes, that added nearly $6 billion to the surplus, and $9 billion from indirect taxes, mainly local GCT and special consumption taxes.
Government operations (GOJ) raked in a small surplus for August, pushing the year to date surplus to $5.6 billion, after capital inflows of $11.4 billion, that was originally included in the budgeted forecast. The net position on GOJ operations, is $21.5 billion better than planned and pushed the primary surplus to $52 billion or $19.5 billion better than planned.
Interest cost ended $2 billion lower than projected and should enjoy even lower cost, going forward, with the recent cut in Treasury bill rates, by over 50 basis points.
GOJ revenues inflows have been extremely buoyant since the drop in budgeted inflows for the fiscal year to March 2015. While 2015 fiscal year came up short of budget by $16 billion with revenues at $412 billion, 2016 came in with $50 billion more than the out turn for 2015, at $456 billion and 2017 with total revenues of $514 billion, was $52 billion more than for 2016.
Allegheny Petroleum and junior market listed company, 
While profit grew in the year, segment results show mix out turn for each division. For 2016, Chemicals grew revenues by 12 percent and gross profit by 19 percent over 2015, for Construction and Adhesives, for the same periods, revenues grew by 59 percent and gross profit by just 6 percent. Manufacturing sales fell by 16 percent with profits remaining unchanged, while Transport enjoyed a 16 percent growth in sales leading to a 61 percent rise in profit and Lubricants sales climbed 403 percent with profits jumping 127 percent. Graham indicated to IC Insider that the fall in manufacturing sales is due to a customer reorganising their business. The data suggests that the new lubricant plant is likely to be the area of growth for
$1m for 2016, $1.5m in 2017
Minister of Finance Audley Shaw should announce a $1m plan for 2016 and $1.5m for 2017 in his budget presentation today.
At the same time, interest cost on the government debt, will decline as interest rates fall, notwithstanding the increased amount in the budget this time around for interest. The increase is to accommodate the interest on the Petrocaribe Fund debt which will be recovered from the Fund.
Interestingly, former Prime Minister Bruce Golding and an active participant in the 2016 election campaign for the JLP gave a speech in April in which he suggested that the implementation should be done to maintain simplicity and equity in the system. He made two proposals. The more important one was for an across the board threshold of $1 million. It would appear that Golding was testing the waters for a modification in the $1.5 million plan at least initially, that would have affected only some on the PAYE system.
Jamaicans should get the news that for 2016 the PAYE threshold will be $1 million, with it going to $1.5 million during 2017. It is unclear if the $1.5 million will be across the board or not. But with tax reform to be implemented probably in 2017, it seems as if it will be an across the board threshold.