Trading closed on the first day of activity in August on the Junior Market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange Tuesday, with the volume of stocks traded declining 36 percent and the value 33 percent lower than on Friday with 42 securities trading versus 46 on Friday with 11 rising, 26 declining and five closing unchanged.
A total of 10,799,453 shares traded for $35,702,081 compared to 16,884,408 units at $53,033,472 on Friday. Trading averaged 257,130 shares at $850,050 in contrast to 367,052 shares at $1,152,902 on Friday. July closed with an average of 512,709 units at $2,574,304.
Fosrich led trading with 3.42 million shares for 31.7 percent of total volume, followed by Dolla Financial with 1.08 million units for 10 percent of the day’s trade and Jamaican Teas with 1.07 million units for 9.9 percent market share.
At the close, the Junior Market Index lost 13.95 points to 4,188.36. The PE Ratio, a measure of computing appropriate stock values, averages 12.5. The PE ratios of Junior Market stocks incorporate ICInsider.com projected earnings for companies with financial year end that falls between November this year and August 2023.
Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows three stocks ended with bids higher than their last selling prices and five with lower offers.
At the close, Access Financial shed 44 cents in ending at $22.55 after exchanging 5,100 shares, Cargo Handlers fell 35 cents to $13.60 after trading 3,900 units, Caribbean Assurance Brokers declined 20 cents to $2.40 after 281,964 stocks changed hands. Caribbean Cream lost 24 cents to close at $4.05, trading 6,301 stock units, Derrimon Trading dropped 11 cents to $2.50, with 164,998 units crossing the exchange, Dolla Financial declined 11 cents to close at $2.89 in exchanging 1,083,841 shares. Dolphin Cove shed 23 cents in closing at $15.70 in an exchange of 12,106 stock units, EduFocal fell 25 cents to $2.25, with 772,572 stocks clearing the market, Elite Diagnostic gained 38 cents to end at $3.59 with the swapping of 10,738 stocks. Everything Fresh lost 14 cents in ending at $1.20 with an exchange of 76,934 stock units, Fontana dropped 20 cents to $10 while exchanging 90,488 shares, Fosrich fell 14 cents to $3.25 in switching ownership of 3,424,259 units. Future Energy Source dropped 10 cents in closing at $5.60, with 396,453 stocks changing hands, iCreate shed 31 cents to end at $4.55 after exchanging 277,538 stock units, Iron Rock Insurance declined 31 cents to close at $2.96 in trading 6,350 units. Limners and Bards lost 26 cents in ending at $2.74, with 19,978 shares crossing the market, Main Event shed 30 cents to close at $7.50 after 13,033 units changed hands, Spur Tree Spices fell 10 cents to $4.10, with 319,755 stocks clearing the market. SSL Venture declined 10 cents in closing at $3.40 after an exchange of 243,894 shares, Stationery and Office Supplies increased $1.40 to end at $18.40 in trading 144,384 stock units, Tropical Battery dropped 13 cents in closing at $2.70 in exchanging 345,387 shares and tTech climbed 32 cents to close at $3.43 in an exchange of 20,502 stock units.
Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.
ICTOP10 picks remove dreaming
The ICTOP listing is meant to remove dreaming from investors’ arsenal of investment tools and place them on more solid grounds. The performance of Fosrich last week illustrates that vividly, with the stock hitting the pre-split equivalent of $54.20 on Wednesday only for the price to fall back to a low of $3 on Friday or the equivalent of $30 on a pre-split basis.
The above shows that many investors are groping in the dark, hoping that a stock with the wind behind its back must be one to buy to make money. They ignore the simple but profound principle of buying low and selling high. The other factor that shows up in the judgement is why buy the stock after the split when it is more expensive than if purchased before. this is an age-old issue where investors feel that they are buying the stock cheaper than before but in fact, they are paying more for it and therefore reduce potential profit.
Fosrich may have a bright future but what about the many stocks that are undervalued in the market, why chase expensive ones? When Fosrich reports second quarter earnings this coming week investors will get a glimpse to see whether it was smart to buy the stocks at the elevated prices last week. Investors made the same error with Salada Foods buying it at $10 when it was not worth much more than $3 now the stock is slowly adjusting to reality. Investors in Fesco at $8 are feeling the paid as the stock slowly retreats and is now under $6. Investors in SSL Venture Capital will soon discover some nastiness of speculating in the dark.
There was one change to the Junior Market TOP10 listings this past week, with General Accident returning at the expense of Dolphin Cove which rose 6 percent during the week to $15.93, the former price dropped to $5.07 from $5.99 at the close of the previous week.
Elite Diagnostic fell 9 percent to $3.21 and CAC 2000 dipped 3 percent to $8.25. Jetcon Corporation rose 9 percent to $1.27 and Caribbean Assurance Brokers rallied 8 percent to $2.60 after the company reported six months results showing a profit of $4.45 million, up from a loss of $31 million last year for the same period, ICInsider.com upgraded earnings to 45 cents per share, from 40 cents previously. The Main Market ended the week, with no significant price changes.
Investors should keep a careful watch on Caribbean Assurance Brokers, Dolphin Cove, Express Catering, General Accident, Jamaica Broilers, Lasco Distributors, Lasco Financial, Lasco Manufacturing, Stationery and Office Supplies and Paramount Trading. Dolphin Cove, Caribbean Producers, Express Catering will be major beneficiaries of the strong rebound in tourist arrivals and the supply of General Accident has declined sharply over the past few weeks, but investors may be reluctant to pile into the stock ahead of the hurricane season.
The average PE for the JSE Main Market TOP 10 is 6.2, well below the market average of 13.9, while the Junior Market Top 10 PE sits at 6 versus the market at 12.9. The Junior Market is projected to rise by 238 percent and the Main Market TOP10 is projected to gain an average of 235 percent each to May 2023.
The prospectus for One on One IPO is out with just over 125 million shares earmarked for the wider public. The PE ratio based on the company’s projections to August 2022 is just under 7 cents per share before tax for a PE ratio of around 14.5 just above the market average of 12.9. Based on where recent IPOs are valued investors can look for a price after listing around $1.50 but investors have priced many of them closer to 30 times 2022 earnings in which case a price of $2 is not out of the reckoning.
ICTOP10 focuses on likely yearly winners, accordingly, the list includes some of the best companies in the market but not always. ICInsider.com ranks stocks based on projected earnings to highlight winners from the rest, allowing investors to focus on potential winning stocks and helping to remove emotions in selecting stocks for investments that often result in costly mistakes.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to the end of May 2023 and are ranked in order of potential gains, computed using projected earnings for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.
Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.
Another big win for ICTOP10 pick
If investors needed reminders, the stock market showed why severely undervalued stocks should be acquired early, as most investors don’t know when surprises will occur. The announcement this week that IC stock watch pick, Stationery and Office Supplies (SOS), a former ICTOP candidate, that their directors would meet to consider a dividend in August sent the stock to a record high of $19.29, but it closed the week at $15 up 155 percent for the year to date.
SOS was last in the TOP10 on the week starting June 13 at $11. It was number 12 on the ICTOP15 chart to start 2022 but climbed to the sixth position on January 11. The dividend to be considered in early August signals that record profit as shown in the first quarter results continues apace. Insider.com forecast is for earnings of $1.70 for the current year, with more to come in 2023. The forecast is for the stock to reach the $30 range by year end. But investors should also consider what a stock split that seems imminent could do to the price.
There were no changes to the TOP10 listings this past week, but there was much volatility in the Junior Market, with CAC 2000 and Jetcon Corporation dropping 13 percent to 8.50 and $1.16, respectively. Caribbean Cream fell 11 percent to $4.30, Dolphin Cove dipped 5 percent and Medical Disposables fell 4 percent to $6.80. The only stock with a rise worth mentioning is Caribbean Assurance Brokers, up 6 percent.
The Main Market enjoyed a better week than the Juniors with no significant declines, while Sterling Investments rose 5 percent to end at $2.88.
Investors should keep a careful watch on Dolphin Cove, Express Catering, General Accident, Jamaica Broilers, Lasco Distributors, Lasco Financial, Lasco Manufacturing, Stationery and Office Supplies and Paramount Trading, Dolphin Cove, Caribbean Producers, Express Catering will be significant beneficiaries of the strong rebound in tourist arrivals. The supply of General Accident has declined sharply over the past few weeks, but investors may be reluctant to lie into the stock ahead of the hurricane season.
The average PE for the JSE Main Market TOP 10 is 6.2, well below the market average of 13.7, while the Junior Market Top 10 PE sits at 5.9 versus the market at 12.8. The Junior Market and the Main Market TOP10 are projected to gain an average of 239 percent each to May 2023.
ICTOP10 focuses on likely yearly winners, accordingly, the list includes some of the best companies in the market but not always. ICInsider.com ranks stocks based on projected earnings to highlight winners from the rest, allowing investors to focus on potential winning stocks and helping to remove emotions in selecting stocks for investments that often result in costly mistakes.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to the end of May 2023 and are ranked in order of potential gains, computed using projected earnings for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate, resulting in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.
Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.