JSE: Trading up, will it last?

Tuesday, 1st October, 2013 | The Jamaica Stock Market started October in a spirited manner when the level of trading rose on Tuesday with 10,321,856 units trading valued at $95,698,771. Activity resulted in 32 companies stocks trading, with 9 stocks increasing in price to 5 that fell. The main market index climbed 550.14 to 85,050.34, the all Jamaica grew 967.97 to 85,339.46 and the junior market index was up 5.21 to 774.04.

The movement in the market on Tuesday is in line with the IC Insider comments that “eight of the stocks with higher bids are in the main market and could well result in a better start of the new month . . .”

Main market | A numbers of selected stocks in the main market had good volumes resulting in some price movements but that could well be related to portfolio realignment than an indication of greater market interest. Cable & Wireless had a volume of 20,644 units as the price remained unchanged at 18 cents; Caribbean Cement exchanged 17,741 units at $2.10, gaining 23 cents in the process; Desnoes & Geddes chipped in with 15,000 units and closed frim at $4.57; Jamaica Producers had a good volume with 2,000,000 closing firm at $18.25; National Commercial Bank Jamaica 1,101,900 traded firm at $19; Sagicor Life’s 2,547,861 units helped to push the price up by 41 cents to $9.01; Salada Foods put in 100,560 shares to close firm at $8.50; Seprod’s 509,552 units help push the price up a dollar to $14.50; Jamaica Money Market Brokers 7.50% traded for the first time since listing last week as 499,000 units traded at $2; Proven Investments 8% exchanged 78,440 units as the price remained unchanged at $5.09 and Proven Investments ordinary stock traded 51,560 units firm at US11.9 cents.

JSEIndicesOct1Junior market | C2W Music traded at a new all-time low with 44,000 units changing hands as the price was down 4 cents to 93 cents. Caribbean Cream traded 22,776 units firm at $1; Caribbean Producers Jamaica 61,100 units closed unchanged at $2.08; Consolidated Bakeries saw an 18 cents climb in the price $1.39 with 35,200 shares trading; General Accident Insurance had 32,000 units going through the market as the price increased 3 cents to $1.85; Lasco Distributors 294,845 units helped to move the price down by 4 cents to $1.46; Lasco Financial Services 1,488,652 traded at $1.21, off by 2 cents; while Lasco Manufacturing 1,115,311 units gained it 4 cents to close at $1.55; Paramount Trading had 16,324 units with the price closing firm at $3.20.

IC bid-offer Indicator | At the end of trading, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator showed the market consolidating with bids for 5 stocks being higher and 6 stocks with offers lower than their last selling price.

Caribbean Flavours a new IPO

Update Monday, 30th September | Mayberry Investments advised that the company has reconciled all applications in respect of Caribbean Flavours & Fragrances Initial Public Officering (IPO). There was full allotment for all reserved applications which included board of directors, staff, Mayberry Investments and Key Partner. The first 10,000 shares applied for by the public were allocated in full and balance over 10,000 units were allocated with approximately 19.355 percent of what was applied for.

Update Thursday, 26th September | Lead broker Mayberry Investments Limited announced that the initial public offering (IPO) of shares in Caribbean Flavours & Fragrances Limited (CFF) is oversubscribed and was closed at 9:01 am on Wednesday. Applications were received in excess of the $50.6 million on offer. The public will be advised of the basis of allotment by Friday, 27th September 2013.

The junior market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange should be welcoming its 19th listing in the form of Caribbean Flavours & Fragrances Limited (CFFL) as the company goes to market to sell up to 22,480,008 ordinary shares at j$2.25 per share. After the issue, the total number of shares will be 89,920,033 making it one of the smaller listed companies.

The company is one of the largest businesses of its kind in the English speaking Caribbean. It is engaged in the manufacturing and distribution of flavourings and water soluble colourings for the food, beverage, baking, confectionery and pharmaceutical industries and is a key supplier of these products. It also manufactures and supplies fragrances used in household cleaning, body care, aroma therapy and air freshener products.

Incorporated on 23rd February 2001, its business and assets were purchased from prior owner Bush Boake Allen Jamaica Limited and is a supplier to predominantly commercial customers in Jamaica, Trinidad and Tobago, Grenada, Barbados, St. Kitts, Guyana, USA and Canada. Its customers are well known names in the food and beverage business.

CaribbeanFlavours&Fragrances+tubes115pxCFFL sources essential oils and natural extracts worldwide and receives key ingredients and technical support from International Flavors & Fragrances Incorporated (IFF), responsible for more than 70 percent of the company’s supplies. IFF is a US$5 billion company listed on the NYSE and is a member of the S&P 500 Index. Lascelles deMercado is a key local supplier, providing alcohol for use in fragrance distillates and other items. Some of the supplies used are commodities with variable prices linked to world markets. The company aims not to carry more than 6 months’ stock of supplies.

CFFL has one competitor in the local market, Virginia Dare (Jamaica) Limited. In the view of the Directors, their particular business focus is on the supply of custom blended products for large local businesses and this distinguishes it from their competitor that supplies retail and smaller business clients with generic products such as bulk syrups.

Income | Revenues amounted to $193.9 million in the 2012 financial year, an 8 percent increase over the $179.4 million recorded in the prior financial year. During 2012 financial year, the company generated increased gross profit of $79.4 million versus $60.9 million in 2011 fiscal year due to increased sales of its products and higher margins of 40.95 percent, compared with 33.95 percent in the 2011 financial year.

CaribFlovoursOperating Expenses totaled $72.94 million for the 2012 financial year, a year on year increase of 24.5 percent due mainly to increased promotional activity and compensation to directors. CFFL recorded improved Profit before Taxation in for the year, which grew to $6.46 million compared to the $2.36 million for the prior year.

Revenues for the 12 month period ended June 2013 was $229.89 million, increasing 19 percent over the $193.87 million recorded for the 2012. The growth in revenue was driven by increased sales of the products in the fragrance line of the business. Gross Profit totalled $92.73 million compared to $79.39 million. Total operating expenses amounted to $60.49 million for the year, 17 percent less than the $72.94 million recorded for the year prior. This decline was due to a reduction in directors’ fees. Other Income totalling $16.80 million is due mainly to sale of property. Finance Income was $2.53 million for the year. Profit before taxation totalled $51.57 million for the latest fiscal year and net profit amounted to $40.32 million.

Assets totalled $97.52 million as at June 2013, $22.90 million less than the $120.42 million at June 2012. The decline is due to the sale of property. During the period the company reduced the amount outstanding to directors resulting in liabilities totalling $31.45 million as at June, 2013 versus $94.7 million as at the end of 2012 financial year. Shareholders’ Equity stood at $66.06 million at the end of June 2013.

Earnings per share before taxation is 46 cents putting the PE around 5 times earnings to June this year, providing room for some appreciation in the short term. The negative is that the company and its management is not well known and the number of stock in issue is small creating and illiquid situation.

The Directors anticipate a payment of an annual dividend of not less than 25 percent of the annual net profits after payment of any applicable taxes where “such profits are available for distribution, subject to the Company’s need for reinvestment of some or all of its profits from time to time in order to finance the growth of the business of the Company.”

JSE: September ends positively

Monday, 30th September 2013 | Trading accounted for 12,298,941 units valued at $76,393,065 as the stocks of 24 companies traded on the last day of the month. The main market index was up 215.13 to 84,500.20, the all Jamaica index gained 378.51 to 84,371.49 and the junior index was up 7.02 to 768.83 as 9 stocks advanced to 7 declining.

The market measured by the all Jamaica and junior market indices was little changed during the month of September with the all Jamaica being up by a few points and the junior market down a few.

Trading patterns | During the last two trading days in August, the main market indices made noticeable advances as the prices of a few stocks moved up. However, on first day of trading in September, the indices dropped back wiping out the two-day gains. The all Jamaica index fell by more than 1,000 points and added more losses on the second day. By day three, the all Jamaica Index recovered all its losses but lost some more the following day. The last day of September is showing some of the same patterns as the last day of August.

JSEIndicesSept30Main Market | In Monday’s trading there were some big volumes, which included National Commercial Bank with 1,559,057 units valued at $29,309,186 with the price closing at $19 down 50 cents from Fridays close of $19.50. On Thursday, the stock closed at $18.60. Sagicor Life exchanged 1,029,279 units at $8.60 for a value of $8,851,610, the price gained 10 cents for the day. Jamaica Money Market Brokers was the other big volume mover with 1,491,600 units worth $11,929,695 as the price closed at $8, up 5 cents. Carreras traded 128,675 units valued at $6,045,561 as the price closed at $46.70 dipping by 50 cents; Caribbean Cement exchanged 42,236 shares but the price dropped 33 cents to close at $1.87; Gleaner Company traded 193,910 units at $1.21 up 3 cents; Scotia Group contributed just 12,265 units at $21.20, up 20 cents and Proven Investments 8% had 704,700 units trading firm at $5.09 for a value of $3,586,923.

Junior market | There was some pick up in trading in the junior market after prices for a number of the stocks declined to what could well be support levels. Access Financial Services put in a volume of 11,780 units as the price $8.40, down 10 cents; Caribbean Producers, which is again in the limelight with negative publicity about directors being charged for improper importation of meats into the island, traded only 16,188 units at $2.08, losing 2 cents on the day; Consolidated Bakeries chipped in with 73,386 units at $1.21, down 14 cents while Dolphin Cove gained 44 cents as it exchanged a good volume of 1,442,316 and closed at $8.45 as $12,185,925 was involved in the trade. Lasco Distributors contributed to the level of trading with 1,006,800 units at a closing price of $1.50 up 6 cents with a value of $1,509,838 and Lasco Financial Services had one of its best days’ volume wise with 4,373,000 units as it gained 3 cents to close at $1.23 worth $5,259,807.

IC bid-offer Indicator | At the end of trading, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator showed the market consolidating with bids for 9 stocks being higher and 5 stocks with offers lower than their last selling price. Eight of the stocks with higher bids are in the main market and could well result in a better start for October when compared to September.

No change to Buy & Watch list

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After a number of changes last week, IC Insider retains the same selection on the Buy Rated and Market Watch list.

Importantly, Grace Kennedy, which was added last week, announced that they will be pursuing a share buy back of 2.5 percent of the company’s shares over the period of up to a year. This takes effect 21 days after the notice was made to the stock exchanges of Jamaica and Trinidad on the 27 of September. The shares will be purchased on the open market of the exchanges and will be executed when the company believes the price is below its true value. The company has nearly 335 million shares in issue and so far this year has bought back slightly more that 1 million units. The 2.5 percent buy back would translate to just over 8 million shares. This compares with 24.6 million shares traded during the last twelve months of which 8.6 million traded on one day.

The stock last sold at $54 in Jamaica and had a bid of TT$3.36 in Trinidad or just under J$54. There is no stock on offer on the Trinidad market where demand has picked up following what the company’s CEO Don Wehby says was a successful visit.

Grace’s PE is around 5.5 times this year’s earnings with net asset value per share of just under $100 per share. At current interest rates the stock is a great buy, both for the company and the investing public, as the price could climb sharply into next year.

Related posts | Changes, changes, changes | Grace’s profit up 41% in June quarter

The IC Insider’s Buy Rated seal of approval is given to a stock that we believe is a compelling buy with earnings that are strong relative to the price and strong prospects of generating high price gains within the next twelve months.

Better than a broker’s ‘buy’ recommendation, IC Insider has no vested interest in any stock transaction or conflict of interest. Our research is backed by published reports of the company’s performance and insights of future earnings that can be found at ICInsider.com. The final decision to buy, or not, is your personal choice.

To find published reports for a Buy Rated stock on IC Insider, please use category Buy Rated’ under Company News or enter the company name, in full or part at ‘Search IC Insider’.

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JSE: Standoff continues

Friday, 27th September 2013 | The standoff between buyers and sellers continued at the Jamaica Stock Exchange with only 17 stocks trading on a day when there were 5 stocks advancing to 2 that declined. The all Jamaica Index closed down 229.56 at 83,992.98 while the JSE composite market index closed at 84,285.07m off by 130.47 and the junior market fell by less than a point at 761.81.

On another trading day that was not very active, a total of 3,304,133 shares traded valued at only $12,213,637 as trading was dominated by Lasco Distributors with 1,446,912 units and Proven Investments 8% 930,915 units.

For the week, the market recorded a decline for the two market indices and the junior market had a slight increase. However, investors should not be fooled by the declines as the supply of stocks is low in many cases and the moving average technical indicator is flashing positive signals for the period ahead.

Main Market | The number of stocks with meaningful volume in the market were not many. However, Gleaner Company put in a volume of 60,000 as it traded firm at $1.18; Jamaica Broilers Group had only 16,254 units with the price closing at $4.90 gaining 10 cents in the process; Jamaica Producers Group traded firm at $18.25 with 20,086 shares; Kingston Wharves dropped 89 cents to $6.01 as 7,000 shares changed hands; National Commercial Bank had one of the more buoyant trading session in recent weeks with 170,697 as the price gained 60 cents to close at $19.50; Scotia Group exchanged just 1,190 units at $21 for an increase an of 21 cents. Jamaica Money Market Brokers 8.75% traded 205,000 firm at $3 with a value of $615,000 and Proven Investments 8%, 930,915 units traded firm at $5.09 for a total value of $4,738,357.

JSEIndicesSept27Junior market | Only stocks of 3 companies traded with Caribbean Producers trading 33,812 units firm at $2.10; General Accident Insurance, fresh from announcing a second interim dividend for the year, put in one of its better days with 385,896 units and closed at $1.80, up 10 cents and Lasco Distributors had a good day with 1,446,912 but closed down 6 cents to $1.44.

Market intelligence | There are limited supplies for a number of stocks. For example, National Commercial Bank has buying around the $18.50 level as buyers try to get the stocks as cheaply as possible, but there is not much selling below $24. With less than 400,000 units on offer at the end of trading on Friday, the market is thin for the stock. For Scotia Bank, some buying is around the $20-21 mark and selling mostly around $22.50 to $24. Sagicor Life has only 6 offers for less than 130,000 units between $9 and $11 while buying is between $8 to 8.50. There is good support for Pan Jamaican Investment at $48 as the stock retreated in price in recent days. Jamaica Broilers seems to have come in for some selling during the week with the price falling to the $4.60 level, while supply has increased just above $5 and demand has pulled back below $4.80.

IC bid-offer Indicator | At the end of trading, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator showed the market consolidating with bids for 6 stocks being higher and 6 stocks with offers lower than their last selling price.

JSE: Stand off

Thursday, 26th September 2013 | Jamaica’s stock market may have improved measured by gains in today’s trading but there seems a standoff between buyers and sellers as sellers are asking prices that are generally higher than the current selling prices that buyers have been pulling in the past week or two.

Trading was slow with stocks of only 18 companies trading and just 2,444,915 units valued at $11,342,355 changing hands. The advanced decline ratio was positive at 7 to 3 as the main indices rose. The main index climbed by 292.73 to close at 84,415.54; the all Jamaica index, the best indication of the local market activity, rose 515.05 to 84,222.54 and the junior market index rose 3.56 to close at 762.70. Daily trading suggests a weak market but there are undercurrents that suggest otherwise. Watch the technical indicators, therein lies the true story and critical one is flashing bull signal.

Main Market | In today’s trading Carreras exchanged 10,870 units at $47.20 up 20 cents; Caribbean Cement 16,829 units cost $2.10 each a reduction of 10 cents; Gleaner Company’s 100,000 units resulted in a closing price of $1.18, down by a cents; Kingston Properties changed 30,000 units as the stock closed firm at $4.50; while Scotia Group chipped in with 140,959 units as the price closed firm at $21 and its subsidiary Scotia Investments added 62,192 units to the total at $26.50 each for an increase of 24 cents. National Commercial Bank lost 40 cents as the price closed at 18.60 after trading earlier at $9 but only 3,279 units changed hands.

JSEIndicesSept26Junior market | Access Financial Services 26,000 $8.50, up 22; Caribbean Producers traded 30,000 units firm at $2.10; Lasco Distributors 76,365 changed hands to close at $1.50 up by 2 cents and Lasco Financial Services participated with 1,137,554 and closed firm at $1.20.

IC bid-offer Indicator | At the end of trading, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator showed that there were bids for 7 stocks being higher and 3 stocks with offers lower than their last selling price.

JSE: Trading picked up but …

Wednesday, 25 September 2013 | Trading picked up on Wednesday, but not if market activity is measured by the amount of money passing through the market. There were however, trading in stocks of 31 companies compared to just 27 on Tuesday as 3,193,450 shares valued at only $13,415,065 traded. 7 of the stocks trading increased in price to 8 that fell and the indices also reflected the narrowness by just moving very moderately by less than 40 points for each.

Main Market | On a slow day of trading Berger Paints put through 78,470 at a $2.26, unchanged for the day; Caribbean Cement had 26,125 units trading firm at $2.20; Gleaner Company had 35,416 units trading at 3 cents more at the end of the day at $1.20; Grace Kennedy had only 2,270 and closed at $54, off $2.50; Jamaica Broilers contributed just 35,000 and closed firm at $4.80. Jamaica Stock Exchange ordinary traded 7,000 units to give back the 15 cents which it gained on Tuesday to close at $2.85, the IPO price. National Commercial Bank chipped in with 99,456  shares to close up 47 cents to end at $19. Pan Jamaican Investment posted 6,354 and lost 52 cents to close at $50; Sagicor Life Jamaica contributed 17,687 units and closed firm at $8.50; Scotia Group Jamaica 37,918 shares moved the price by 44 cents to close at $21 and Seprod lost 50 cents when it traded 1,237 units at $13.50. Proven Investments 8% put in a volume of 1,478,040 at a firm $5.07 for a value of $7,523,097.

JSEIndicesSept25Junior market | Jamaican Teas traded 27,897 units firm at $4; Lasco Distributors chipped in with 13,770 units at $1.48 and Lasco Financial Services had a good day with 1,268,569 units as it closed firm at $1.20.

IC bid-offer Indicator | At the end of trading, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator was not strong as it showed bids for 4 stocks being higher and 3 stocks with offers lower than their last selling price.

 

JSE: Advancers dominant but

Tuesday, 24th September 2013 | In a day which saw 11 st0cks advancing in price to 5 declining, the indices hardly moved unlike Monday when they fell sharply. Trading activity continues to be low with 6,371,632 shares trading at a value of $19.6 million.

Berger Paints activity accounted for 135,514 shares trading and closing  firm at $2.26; Cable & Wireless had 1,022,030 units changing hands firm at 18 cents; Caribbean Cement put in 66,493 units $2.20, losing 20 cents in the process; Gleaner Company had 70,000 shares trading firm at $1.17;  Jamaica Stock Exchange ordinary shares traded 333,300 units to close at $3 up 15 cents; National Commercial Bank only had 16,771 units changing hands as the price closed at $18.53, up a cent; Sagicor Life put in 33,000 units and closed at $8.50; Scotia Group had 72,325 units at $20.56 and gained a cent; Supreme Ventures had a good volume of 2,094,840 which closed at $2.60, up 4 cents; Jamaica Money Market Brokers 8.75% which has been trading more frequently in the past few weeks, put in 341,000 units today to close firm at $3 and Proven Investments 8% had a volume of 1,487,710 units valued at $7.4 million , closed firm at $5.07.

JSEIndicesSept24The junior market trading was sparse and only 4 stocks posted any volume to write about. General Accident Insurance traded 82,446 shares firm at $1.65; Honey Bun 39,000 shares traded firm at $3.41; Lasco Financial Services traded 496,643 units to close at $1.20 up 2 cents and Lasco Manufacturing 24,250 to close at $1.59.

IC bid-offer Indicator | At the end of trading, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator showed that there were bids for 8 stocks being higher and 4 stocks with offers lower than their last selling price.

Image courtesy of Photokanok/FreeDigitalPhotos.net.

JSE: JMMB dominant

Monday, 23rd September 2013 | At 12:57pm, just 3 minutes before Monday’s trading ended, Jamaica Money Market Brokers sold 8,000,000 of JMMB stock at $8 each valued at $64,000,000 to NCB Capital Markets on behalf of clients. In addition, another 200,000 units were sold bringing the total value traded for the stock to $65.6 million. The trade helped to push the trading level up and saved the day from otherwise very low trading activity in which 9,951,701 shares traded at a value of $78,173,197. Eight (8) stocks declined on the day to just 2 that inched up slightly as stocks of 21 companies traded.

Main market | A 27 cents drop in Desnoes & Geddes brought the stock back to $4.50; there was a 48 cents fall in National Commercial Bank price to $18.52; a 50 cents drop for Sagicor Life; 24 cents off in Supreme Ventures to $2.56 and 8 cents off in Scotia Group to $20.55 were the main contributors to the 1,165.45 drop in the all Jamaica Index to 83,768.42 and a 662.38 decline in the main market index to 84,157.44.

Berger Paints traded 17,721 units firm at $2.26; Carreras saw 16,000 units trading to close firm at $47.50; Desnoes & Geddes lost 27 cents in trading 21,400 with the price ending at $4.50; Mayberry Investments exchanged 44,231 units at $2.60 with no price change from Friday.

JSEIndicesSept23National Commercial Bank Jamaica traded 34,272 units at $18.52; Sagicor Life Jamaica chip in with 23,200 at $8.50; Scotia Group Jamaica had a decent volume of 238,545 units and closed at $20.50; Jamaica Money Market Brokers 8.75% 102,000 units firm at $3; Proven Investments 8% traded 640,000 units firm at $5.09. Proven Investments had trading in 100,000 ordinary shares at US11.51 cents.

Junior market | The junior market index slipped 4.23 off the index to close at 753.60. Caribbean Producers 213,848 shares firm at $2.10; Dolphin Cove 12,000 shares traded firm at $8; Jamaican Teas traded 64,497 units at $4, down 20 cents; Lasco Distributors exchanged 17,023 at the start of the company’s 25 anniversary celebration at $1.45 but was off by 5 cents at the close and Lasco Financial Services traded 186,536 to close at $1.18 down 3 cents.

IC bid-offer Indicator | At the end of trading, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator showed that there were bids for 4 stocks being higher and 4 stocks with offers lower than their last selling price.

Buy rated stock tracking

It’s been almost three months since our first Buy Rated list was published and it’s time to take look at the list’s performance as well as who’s been on and off.

To date, two stocks have been removed from the Buy Rated list. Proven, traded on the Jamaica Stock Exchange was removed on August 9th, 2013. To read our latest post about Proven, click here.

First Citizens Bank had the shortest stint on the Buy Rated list so far. The stock achieved a 52% increase in price within the first week of trading on the Trinidad & Tobago market. Find out why the stock lost its ‘buy’ shine by reading First Citizens off Buy Rated list.

BuyRatedTrackSep2013The IC Insider’s Buy Rated seal of approval is given to a stock that we believe is a compelling buy with earnings that are strong relative to the price and strong prospects of generating high price gains within the next twelve months.

Our research is backed by published reports of the company’s performance and insights of future earnings that can be found at ICInsider.com. The final decision to buy, or not, is your personal choice.

To find published reports for a Buy Rated stock on IC Insider, please choose the category Buy Rated’ under Company News or enter the company name, in full or part at ‘Search IC Insider’.