All Jamaica hits record 427,000 points

The main market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange, has scaled several new highs this trading on Thursday morning on its record run that resulted in the JSE All Jamaican Composite Index hitting a record high of 426,298.79 points after rising 7,810.80 and the JSE index gaining 7,116.53 to 388,406.43 after just 51 minutes into the trading day.
The All Jamaica Composite Index has since broken the 427,000 points mark. The market opened up at the start of trading with gains of 1,433.80 points for the All Jamaica Composite Index and 1,306.36 for the JSE Index.
The opening high follows Wednesday’s trading when the JSE All Jamaican Composite Index closed at a new all-time high of 418,487.99 and JSE Index ended at 381,289.90.
Barita Investments traded at a new high of $24.01 to more than double for the year so far, NCB Financial now trades at $150 and Sagicor Group at $51.92 haven risen sharply to a record high, Scotia Group trades at $60..
The Junior Market continues under some selling pressure is not sharing in the strong gains of the more matured companies and declined by 8.22 a point to 3,170.22.

All Jamaica hits record 424,461 points

The main market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange, gained in early trading on Thursday and now trades at a record high of 424,461.33 points after rising 5,973.34 while the JSE index rose 5,442.39 to now sit at 386,732.29 after just 15 minutes into the trading day.
The market opened up at the start of trading with gains of 1,433.80 points for the All Jamaica and 1,306.36 for the JSE Index.
The opening high follows Wednesday’s trading when the JSE All Jamaican Composite Index closed at a new all-time high of 418,487.99 and JSE Index ended at 381,289.90.
Barita Investments traded at a new high of $24 to more than double for the year so far, NCB Financial now traded up to$150 and Sagicor Group at $47.
The Junior Market continues under some selling pressure is not sharing in the strong gains of the more matured companies and declined by less than a point to 3,177.54.
Since posting the stroy the main market has moved higher with Sagicor Group trading at $51.95.

Main market stocks jump – Tuesday

Investors pushed the Jamaica Stock Exchange main market ending sharply higher on Tuesday, and sending the All Jamaica Index surging 5,742.86 points to 397,756.57 and JSE Index jumped 5,232.40 points to close at 362,401.24.
Market activity closed with 28 active securities in the main and US dollar markets, compared to 29 on Monday.
Main market trading closed with JMMB Group leading with 5,977,409 units, to close at $31.75 and NCB Financial with just under 4,29 million units s the price ended at $135.99.
The Junior Market rose in trading on Tuesday with Index to climbing 28.23 points to close at 3,234.31 on a day of moderate trades as 21 securities traded with Lasco Manufacturing trading the most with 296,410 shares changing hands.

Scotia Group eases into IC Top 10

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Scotia Group could see strong growth in 2019 profit.

The big news this week is the entry of Scotia Group to the main market TOP 10 with a fall in the price to $50 at the close of the week. Based on IC Insider.com forecast, Scotia is set to earn around $4.60 for the 2018 year to October with the PE at just 11 times earnings.
Scotia replaced Berger Paints that was merely squeezed out to sit just outside the TOP 10 at the number 11 spot. Top 10 list movements were modest for the past week, following the previous week of volatility. In the Junior Market, Honey Bun sneaked into the TOP 10 by easing out Jamaican Teas in the process.
Scotia Group, reported flat profits for the nine months from normal ongoing operations. Gains from sales of Credi Scotia and exceptional foreign exchange gains in the July quarter push profit up well above that of 2017. Importantly, the best indicator going forward for increased profitability, is growth in loans. During the July quarter loans grew a strong 3.7 percent between April which works out at an attractive 15 percent per year that should equate to 25-30 percent profit growth in 2019 if the trend continues.
The main market closed the week with the overall PE slipping to 15.3 from 15.6 from the previous week, the PE of the Junior market remained unchanged at 5.5 from the prior week.
The PE ratio for Junior Market Top 10 stocks average 9.3 and the main market PE is now 9.7.
The TOP 10 stocks now trade at an average discount of 40 percent to the average for the Junior Market Top stocks but it’s a third of what the average PE for the year is likely to be of 20 times earnings. The main market stocks trade at a discount of 37 percent to the overall market.
TOP 10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns within a 12 months period. Stocks are selected based on projected earnings for each company’s current fiscal year. Based on an assumed PE for each, the likely gains are determined and then ranked, with the stocks with the highest potential gains ranked first followed by the rest, in descending order. Potential values will change as stock prices fluctuate and will result in movements of the selection in and out of the lists for most weeks. Earnings per share are revised on an ongoing basis based on new information received that can result in changes in and out of the list as well.

Falling interest rate was huge buy signal

Apartment complex in Kingston – Real estate values to benefit from low interest rates.

Declining interest rate is a huge buy signal for both stocks and real estate investments, if the fall is expected to last. Interest rates have fallen to the lowest levels on record, in Jamaica and while the low rate of 1.7 percent in treasury bills won’t last forever, it is expected that it will not go up too far from current levels any time soon.
In May this year, Bank of Jamaica cut the overnight policy rate, by 25 basis points to 2.5 percent that along with a further decline in short term Treasury bill rates on Wednesday.
IC Insider.com stated then, that the moves provided more ammunition for a big surge for Jamaican stocks. The piece went on to state that with a 15 percent fall in BOJ’s policy rate in 2018 so far, stocks are lagging behind, with an increase of just 6.6 percent for the Junior Market and 4 percent for the main market.
The fall in Treasury bill rates was far greater than the rise of the All Jamaica Composite Index, an indication of a lot more upside for stocks based on the downward movement of interest rates.
Investors seem to be focusing more on profits in valuing stocks than on interest rates so far. That will change. The fall in the overnight rate, translates to a 9 percent rise in stock market prices, but rates seem likely to decline some more before settling off, providing more ammunition for more gains in stock prices.
We stated that with the fall in interest rates, the PE of money is at the high end 40 times income and using corporate bond 12 times, but the PE ratio should be more tied to Treasury Bill rates and that PE is now in 30 range but stocks are mostly in the low teens and below. IC Insider.com further stated that most investors did not appear to be paying much attention to the tsunami that was on the way that will see prices move sharply higher.
Some were skeptical about the assertion that the fall in interest rates could drive stock prices. The record is clear as there are two main developments that drive stock prices – interest rates and profits. With just over five months passing, investors have not only warm to the fall in rates but many are not willing to part with their stocks. Late comers to the party will pay much higher prices than in May and June. Up to Friday the Junior Market is up 24 percent and the Main market is up 31.7 percent and rising. Technical reading of the market suggest that the Main market has another 25 percent run to make before probably cooling for a charge to 720,000 points on the All Jamaica Composite Index in 2019.
The fall in interest rates makes it cheaper to buy real estate with lower interest rates for each dollar borrowed. Additionally, investors will switch funds from fixed interest investments into stocks and real estate thus driving up their values.

All Jamaica jumps over 9,400

The Jamaica Stock Exchange, started the final quarter of the year in record territory with the all Jamaica Composite Index jumping more than 9,000 points over the 402,000 mark.
The market indices surged sharply with the All Jamaica Composite Index jumping 9,042 points to a record 402,319.29 at 10.58 minutes 5 minutes after 11 moved on to 402,706.63 and the JSE Index that surged 8,238.28 points to a record 366,558.39 at and went to higher to 366,911.31. The Junior Market rose 25 to 3,420.02.
In the main market NCB Financial traded at $127.98 but with only 130 shares trading and Jamaica Producers traded up to $28, Jamaica Broilers traded up to $30, PanJam Investment traded at $63, Scotia Group up to $61 while Supreme Ventures traded at $23.90. Sterling Investments traded at a new high of $23.

All Jamaica jump over 400,000

The Jamaica Stock Exchange, started the final quarter of the year in record territory and is within just 535 points of the critical 400,000 points milestone at 9.35 am and with just under 35 minutes of trading the market jumped over the 400,000 mark.
The market indices surged sharply with the All Jamaica Composite Index jumping 7,088.22 points to a record 400,365.51 and the JSE Index that surged 6,458.17 points to a record 364,778.28. The Junior Market rose 23.03 to 3,418.05.
In the main market NCB Financial traded at $127.98 but with only 130 shares trading and Jamaica Producers traded up to $27.80, Jamaica Broilers traded up to $30, Scotia Group up to $61 while Supreme Ventures traded at $23.90.

All Jamaica just 535 points from 400,000

The Jamaica Stock Exchange, started the final quarter of the year in record territory and is within just 535 points of the critical 400,000 points milestone at 9.35 am.
The market indices surged sharply with the All Jamaica Composite Index jumping 6,187.64 points to a record 399,464.93 and the JSE Index jumped 5,637.64 points to a record 363,957.75. The Junior Market had slipped just 1.38 points at the opening but rose 23.03 to 3,418.05 at 18 minutes after opening.
In the main market NCB Financial traded at $127.98 but with only 130 shares trading and Jamaica Producers traded up to $27.80.

Junior Market index drops 121 points.

Express Catering traded more than 23 million with the price dropping from $8.02 at the close on Thursday to $6.40 in the morning session of trading on the Junior Market and along with Lasco Distributors that fell to $3.50 and Main Event that traded at $5.10 from $6.50 did immense damage to the market index on Friday.
The Junior market index which is now down by 109.10 to 3,327.21 covered from partially from a decline of 121 points at one stage.
The main market that was up strongly in early trading when NCB financial recovered to trade in the $120 level lost more than 1,000 points when NCB fell back to $110 but now trades at $124 with the main market off less than 140 points at 12.33 PM.

All Jamaica just 1,700 points from 400K

The Jamaica Stock Exchange climbed sharply within just a minute of the opening of trading on Thursday, with the All Jamaican Composite Index surging to just under 5,800 points to a new record high and pushing the index within 1,700 points of the critical 400,000 points mark.
The All Jamaican Composite Index surging 5,783.43 points to a record 398,386.05 points and JSE Index surged 5,269.36 points to a record 362,974.75. The Junior Market is down 7.14 points to 3,406.44.
The rise in the main market is due to jump in the prices of Scotia Group trading at $64 and NCB Financial that traded at $123.01 and Kingston Wharves at $73.