Inflation better measure economic health than FX rate

Foreign exchange developments 2017 & 2018

No sustained pressure on Jamaica dollar

BOJ pumped US$65M in FX market last week

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Bank of Jamaica (BOJ) scheduled B-Fxitt auction last week saw 43 bids seeking to purchase US$39.9 million but only $15 million was on offer, leaving a large amount of unsatisfied demand.
Only 17 bids succeeded in getting a portion of the funds offered for sale, but then not every bid really wanted the funds. The bids left the average rate at $138.19, with $137.90 being the lowest rate that succeeded. The lowest fully successful bid was $137.97 for US$1 million. The lowest bid received was $131.10 to purchase US$1.5 million.
On Friday, BOJ offered US$40 million in what they called a flash intervention tool. On Friday August 31, last year BOJ also had a flash intervention sales that pushed the amount of buying in the foreign exchange market on that day to US$76 million. BOJ sold US$5m on the Wednesday of that week.
The flash intervention this past week, was clearly to satisfy the unmet demand from Wednesday’s auction, 42 bids were presented amounting to US$76.9 million leaving U$26.9 million of unmet demand. The average rate declined to $137.49, with the lowest accepted bid price being $136.65 and the highest being $138.70. The lowest bid that was fully allocated was US$8 million at $137.00. Bids came in as low as $129. The lowest bid that had some success was $136.65, and this compares with $137.90 on Wednesday, suggesting that those bids that did not succeed included a large amount of low bids made to satisfy the requirement that all dealers must put in a bid. On Wednesday, this week

BOJ sold US$65M into the FX market last week.

BOJ will be carrying out their usual auction at which US$15 million will be made available, to be followed by US$10 million each, on September 5 and 12.
On Thursday, dealers bought US$33.9 million at $136.37 and sold US$35.3 at $137.96, up from a rate of $137.48 on Wednesday. On Friday, US$73.2 million was purchased by dealers at $136.75 and they sold US$46.2 million at $137.90. On Monday dealers bought US$45.5 million at $136 and sold US$50.3 million at $137.52, a fall from Friday’s Average rate.

Hedging the foreign exchange rate

J$ rate stable for Wednesday

Bank of Jamaica offered US$15 million for sale today in the B-fxitt weekly auction and will auction a similar amount on Wednesday, 29 August.
US$10 million each are scheduled for auction on September 5 and 12. The country’s central bank sold US$10 million on August 15, at an average rate of $136.66 with just 14 of the 41 bids amounting to US$26.85 million, were successful.
At midday on Wednesday, dealers bought US$14.40 million at an average of J$136.6342 and sold US$9.75 million at an average of J$137.2364. At the close of trading on Wednesday dealers bought US$46.15 million at an average rate of $136.41 and sold US$35.57 million at $137.48.
Wednesday’s rates come against the background of dealers buying US$37.7 million on Tuesday at an average of J$135.57 from the public and selling US$37.7 million at an average rate of J$137.47.
On Monday, buying by dealers was US$47.3 million at 135.5055 and selling, US$49.3 million at an average of J$137.4537.

Understanding Jamaica’s fx market part 3

Understanding Jamaica’s fx market part 2

 

 

 

 

Understanding Jamaica’s fx market part 1

Jamaican dollar gains

Dealers in the foreign market bought US$36.76 million in US currency at an average rate of J$132.05, down $1.24 from Tuesday’s rate of $133.29.
The selling rate for the US dollar declined from J$134.05 on Tuesday as US$50.77 million was sold at an average rate of J$133.60 including US$5 million sold to Bank of Jamaica in the B-FXITT Standard Intervention Tool – buy operation, at an average J$133.65. At mid-day on Wednesday the average selling rate was $133.49 with only US$12.3 million then sold.
Overall foreign currencies purchased by dealers amounted to US$41.44 million, while selling accounted for $58 million for a net outflow of just under US$17 million. On Tuesday, net inflows of US$14 million came into the market, but for the US dollar currency, net inflows amounted to US$17 million.
For the next four weeks, the central bank will buy US$5 on Wednesday July 31 and August 8 and will sell $10 million to the market on August 19.