High return on time investment

Participants at the JEF session, being addressed on the benefits of the equity market in Jamaica by John Jackson in May.

Participants at the JEF session, being addressed on the benefits of the equity market in Jamaica by John Jackson in May.

I spent years attentively observing financial markets, but more so the local stock market. Nonetheless, when asked to speak on developments and opportunities in the markets, I still have to spend considerable time preparing the presentation and infusing it with new and updated information as well as historical data from many years past, to help make a point clear.
During the preparation process, one also has to be mindful of mandated time constraints, as well as the attention span of audiences or participants and so choices have to be made as to what’s in and whats out.
When I was asked by the Jamaica Employers’ Federation, JEF, to present an outline of a paper for their annual convention, I decided to suggest a topic that covered the capital market as a place for investors and entities seeking to woo investors to part with their money for a time, in exchange for the promise of future gains. Having achieved consensus and presentation prepared, my concern was, what was the interest of the attendees? I had no idea really. The JEF convention posed the problem that the session ran concurrently with others and covering two aspect of the market was challenging without knowing the audience’s interest. I decided from the start of the presentation to find out where the interest of the group laid. So although I did quite a bit on what it means for companies to go public, the bulk of an estimated 200 or so participants were interested in investing in the stock market. Many were either new to it, or fairly new and they wanted the information I had to offer. At the end of my presentation there were many questions and still more, after the session ended.
While I had a fair idea of how attendees felt, it is not always possible to categorically define the collective response. So when I received the comments below from the JEF, I felt that the many hours spent in preparation, delivered a great return on my investment.
JEFRE: JEF CONVENTION 2016
The Executive of the Jamaica Employers’ Federation and the Convention Director, use this medium to express sincere appreciation to you for your contribution to the success of JEF’s Thirty- fourth (34th) Annual Business & Workplace Convention and Exhibition 2016, which was held at the Montego Bay Convention Centre, in St. James, between May 26 and 29, 2016, under the theme: “Empower People …. Energize Business”.
From the feedback received, your presentation on the topic: “Personal & Business Enrichment: The Equity Capital way for a Richer Future”, at a Concurrent session, was very well received and from the feedback, your content, perspective and engaging delivery style enhanced our participants’ knowledge and surpassed their expectations.
Thank you for your invaluable support and we certainly hope that we will have the honour of working with you again in the staging of another World Class learning event.
Yours sincerely,
Brenda V. Cuthbert (Mrs.)
CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER

Where are the 1834 Investments results?

Gleaner & RJR execs signing merger agreement earlier in 2015

Gleaner & RJR execs signing merger agreement earlier in 2015

The rules of the Jamaica Stock Exchange require, listed companies to submit quarterly interim financial report within 45 days of each quarter. In the case where a company opts to release an audited account within 60 days of the year-end, they can opt in lieu of a quarterly report within 45 days.
1834 Investments Limited (formerly The Gleaner Company Limited) did not release the usual December quarter report as such investors have been deprived of important information on the company. The stock exchange has fallen down badly on this one in not requesting it. No good reason has been given why it was not released.
Apparently the exchange regulatory arm expected that the 15 months report to March this would have been released to let the matter go away but it has not. First out of the block towards the end of May, 1834 Investments advised the Jamaica Stock Exchange that the Audited Annual Financial Accounts for March, 2016 will be late and unavailable for publication by May 30, 2016. 1834 anticipates that it should be available for publication on or before June 30, 2016. Bad news for investors and bad news for the capital market. The matter gets worse, the end of June has now gone and with July well advanced but there are no results released and no advisory on the JSE website or in the newspapers as to the new deadline. Nearly seven months have elapsed since the last report was released.
In the past several companies have changed their year end, as recently as late last year Desnoes & Geddes and Access changed their but provided investor with results for all relevant quarters, but the Gleaner Company who changed theirs to March from December did not do so.
It is well past the time for the Jamaica Stock Exchange act to protect the investing public.

$1m for 2016, $1.5m in 2017

Minister of Finance Audley Shaw should announce a $1m plan for 2016 and $1.5m for 2017 in his budget presentation today.

Minister of Finance Audley Shaw should announce a $1m plan for 2016 and $1.5m for 2017 in his budget presentation today.

The promise by the JLP to make earnings of PAYE individuals up $1.5 million, tax free has undergone much discussions as to the feasibility for it to be funded. Few commentaries have focused on the growing revenues of the government and the reality that revenues tend to increase in line with nominal GDP growth.
At the same time, interest cost on the government debt, will decline as interest rates fall, notwithstanding the increased amount in the budget this time around for interest. The increase is to accommodate the interest on the Petrocaribe Fund debt which will be recovered from the Fund.
Interestingly, former Prime Minister Bruce Golding and an active participant in the 2016 election campaign for the JLP gave a speech in April in which he suggested that the implementation should be done to maintain simplicity and equity in the system. He made two proposals. The more important one was for an across the board threshold of $1 million. It would appear that Golding was testing the waters for a modification in the $1.5 million plan at least initially, that would have affected only some on the PAYE system.
Jamaicans should get the news that for 2016 the PAYE threshold will be $1 million, with it going to $1.5 million during 2017. It is unclear if the $1.5 million will be across the board or not. But with tax reform to be implemented probably in 2017, it seems as if it will be an across the board threshold.

Where are Gleaner’s Q4 results?

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Glnr 2IC Insider,
I get the impression that the Jamaica Stock Exchange (JSE) no longer balances shareholder interests with listed companies’ interests. Here’s what I mean.
1. Duke Corporation (PriceWaterHouse) failed to pay the Scotia Group’s dividend on April 15th, and claimed that they notified the public via print and electronic media on April 14th. They further claim that they notified the JSE at the same time. Up to today, no such notice has appeared on the JSE website.
2. Supreme Ventures announced a directors’ meeting for April 28th to consider a dividend payment. Despite the JSE rules requiring companies to inform the public of the result of such meetings, with 48 hours, so far, nothing has appeared on the JSE website about it.
3. Gleaner should have published 2015 results up to December, but chose to change their financial to March 31st (i.e. 5 quarters for 2015). No problem, but does that change eliminates their responsibility to publish information for the quarter ending December 2015? What could possibly justify shareholders being kept in the dark about the company’s financial information from October 2015 to March, 2016 – which will not be seen until the end of May, 2016?
A concerned investor.
IC Insider’s Comments
Your views are well founded. For example the issue of the non-reporting of Gleaners December quarterly result was discussed with the stock exchange. The RMOD department gave some flimsy excuse for not requiring it. The JSE rules require either audited accounts within 60 days of the year-end or quarterly report within 45 days of each quarter. Since Gleaner had shifted the year-end then the rules require that they must submit the quarterly to December within 45 days. Discussions were also held with the General Manager of the exchange who agreed that the quarterly is required. To date shareholders are still in the dark on the financial data. Why the Gleaner never saw it wise to keep their shareholders informed by releasing the data, is a big puzzle. After all, other companies in the past that changed year-ends have release the 4th quarter results. As recently as December, last year Access released theirs having changed their year-end to March.
There seems to be a failure in the system to appreciate that the maintenance of the integrity of the system is paramount to protecting investors while at the same time sending a clear message that the system works and can be relied on. Quite a bit of what is allowed to take place is inimical to the growth and development of the capital market.

Executive chairmen are dangerous

BruceDisturbing news is coming from the Gleaner this morning and it is not the terrible bombing in Brussels. The concern flows from a report that former Prime Minister Bruce Golding is slated to be appointed executive chairman of the National Housing Trust.
Mr. Golding has some major assets and may well be able to make his wealth of knowledge in government and in is personal business contribute in a significant way to the fortunes of the Housing Trust.
If news item is correct, the decision would not a good one and it is not based on competence. Good corporate practise suggests that executive responsibilities should never be merged with that of head of the board. There are a number of good reasons for this separation. There must always be someone to appeal to when things may not be going well in aspects of the business. When someone has a problem with the top executive, to whom does he or she appeal?
Separation is even more critical when it comes to governmental appointments, where many of the board members are political appointments with party interest being placed ahead of the national interest, as such boards are often just another arm of the party. The developments re Outameni operation that was acquired by the NHT is one such case in point that when executives or chairmen have too much power how that it can be inimical to the interest of an organisation..
One hopes that the new report is not true as it would be a really terrible move by the new Prime Minister.

Poor Carib capital market regulation

FSCAnyone with more than a passing interest in the Caribbean capital markets must be concerned at lax nature of how the system is regulated, in spite of having the oversight bodies in the form of the Financial Services Commissions in the region.
The glaring case of the abuse of power exercised by the Trinidad Cement board in the handling of the company’s right issue earlier this year, stands out as a clear case for regulatory action to protect investors. In this matter the company failed to properly inform shareholders of a strong improvement in the profit of the a for the first quarter and made it worse with Price Waterhouse Coopers signing a report that gave the impression that there was no profit for the quarter.
In Jamaica, we have a Financial Services Commission (FSC) that is said to be the regulator for the financial entities not regulated by Bank of Jamaica, much is lacking from them, their inaction in matters of critical import makes one wonder what taxpayers money given to them is really being used for?
When it comes to the FSC, one is reminded of a police station located across from a house of crime but does nothing, unless the neighbours complain about it. Here is a case be it small. One of the FSC regulated entities is late with its 2015 results, the company issued a statement to the stock exchange to say they would be late in releasing the audited statements and the audited figures would be released on December 4. They also had the lateness of the audited accounts in 2014, with December 5th being the promised date. Now the public is being told that Barita Investments Limited (BIL) the entity involved has advised that the Audited Financial Statements for the financial year-end 2014/2015 will be submitted to the Jamaica Stock Exchange (JSE)on or before December 29, 2015. That is a major shift in the time frame. No reason was given in the notice on the stock exchange site. The investing public has a right to know the reason for the lateness. The FSC that regulates the market, should be interested in knowing what the reasons are as well, but there is not even a peep out of them?
IC Insider spoke with Mrs Rita Humphries, Chairman of the company on Wednesday December 9, about the issues affecting the release and subsequently, the last posting was made on the JSE website. According to the Chairman, there were issues relating to reconciliation of a few accounts which required adjusting entries to be made. Barita had them reconciled and the auditors needed to go through the information and transactions to satisfy themselves that the end result is correct. Additionally, the auditors advised of none receipt of confirmation from clients some of which had already been sent on to the auditors we are advised. Last year the audit was held up by a difference of opinion between the auditors and the Barita over the issue of fully providing for the value of shares Barita held in Scotia Group on the basis the auditors said was the impairment of the investment. This was after they fully provided for the value of Barita’s investment in National Commercial Bank shares.
All this bring one back to the glaring errors in the audited accounts for Knutsford Express audited accounts for 2014 and 2015 for which there have been no request for revision of the reports, why? Are these regulators really serious in protecting investors? Take the most recent case of tTech. The prospectus for the company’s shares, made no mention of subscribers being asked to pay the JCSD fees. One day before the issue opens, a note is placed on the JSE website that the fee is to be paid by subscribers, even as the prospectus states that investors would not be paying any more than the $2.50, the shares were offered to the general public at. The JSE clearly did not intervene to prevent a chaotic situation from happening with some applicant including the fee and others did not as they were unaware of it. Thankfully, the management and brokers were sensitive to the issue and agreed to refund those who paid.
The FSC and the Stock Exchange police the system when companies are going to the public to raise money, but what happens after, very little? Goodyear was delisted from the JSE, shareholders got two payments form liquidation of the assets but about three years after, no information but there are no regulators dealing with the issue anymore, leaving many small investors to fend for themselves. That is not good enough.

Lasco companies batter US$ investment

Lasco Distributors closed at a new high on Thursday of $4

Lasco Distributors closed at a new high on Thursday of $4

On June 9, 2014, a reader wrote in with the question, “I respect your learned opinion and analysis in financial matters. In this regard, kindly advise if possible as to your views on Lasco Financial, Distributors and Manufacture. Do you believe that these stocks are likely to perform well in the short, medium and/or long-term.
The prices have declined compared to when I bought them and I am concerned about the potential for further decline as the dollar continues to devalue. Should I just cut my losses and sell and convert to FX.”
The prices on June 6 last year were as follows – it took J$111.37 to buy US$1 and now its roughly $120, an increase of just 7.7 percent. Lasco Distributors traded at $1.32 then and is now at $4 for a gain of 203 percent, Lasco Financial Services traded on June 6th last year at $1.15 and gained 156 percent to trade at $2.95 on Friday last week and Lasco Manufacturing was at $1 in June 2014 and has gained 180 percent up to Friday last. It is clear from the above which investment was the better one to have made. Those stock while doing very well have not been the best performing on the local market since then. Cable & Wireless traded at 29 cents in the 2014 period and last traded at $1.05 a 262 percent gain, Desnoes & Geddes was priced at $4.25 and is now at $30, the Jamaica Stock Exchange was then priced at $1.95 and has increase by 464 percent and Caribbean Cream moved from 75 cents to $4.35 for a gain of 480 percent.
IC Insider’s response, thanks for your enquiry. As you will see our BUY RATED list contains these three stocks. Here are our views. First off the local stock market tends to go down around May until last June or July. This is not cast in stone, just a tendency. One reason for it is that investors get the full information as to what companies did last fiscal year and a glimpse for the new-year. In the case of the three Lasco companies they have just reported their full year results. The distributorship earning is the most encouraging of the three and looks like it will probably do better than the other three in the short to medium term. It will also benefit from the Salada Foods distribution which started this year, as well as from increased production to come from the expanded Lasco Manufacturing company’s operation. The information suggest that the next set of results should possibly show growth over that of 2013.
Lasco Financial seems poised for good things, but big marketing spend last fiscal year kept profits down as they went for more market share. It does look as if they will be spending on the world cup promotions which could build business, but may also keep profits pressured somewhat for a while.
Lasco Manufacturing seems cheap at $1 bearing in mind the impact that the factory expansion is likely to have on both sales and profits ultimately. Short term they will have to pick up interest cost and depreciation on the completed factory but will enjoy cost savings and ultimately increased profits.
One need to be careful of converting to foreign exchange at this stage, as the big move in the FX trade could be over. You may have to hold the stocks for a while but the investment could pay off in the medium term, more so in the case of financial and distributorship, during 2014. We would want to see he Q1 results for Manufacturing before jumping.
It is our view that the market overall, is undervalued but investors will need to be patient and the payoff is likely to huge for those who wait, the gains to be reaped elsewhere is not likely to be all that great, to cause one to jump and possibly miss the gains in the local market that is ahead.

I cannot understand

JSE signI guess I am getting too old to understand modern day practices or maybe it’s that the younger generation just don’t care about correctness. I could not understand how the Trinidad & Tobago Stock Exchange could have been so confused with the change in name for JMMB Group and listed them on their trading system as Jamaica Money Market Brokers Group Ltd. It was one thing to call the company by the incorrect name in publication of trading but a totally different thing to have the incorrect name in the official trading information as well as the fact sheet on the company.
I remember the days when there were heavy trading in stocks in Jamaica, in the 1990s when the market trading data was manually compiled and the indices computed manually. Back then, it took quite a while for the final report to be issued because they had to make sure the information was correct. Now we have errors being reported daily and there is no information going out to public to correct the errors.
I don’t understand for example why Sterling Investment could have told shareholders in their circular reporting the allocation for rights, for them to subscribe to, that the number of shares in issue is 40 million units and that the record date for the stock split was March 8 this year, and that the notice was published on the JSE website, yet a check on the trading sheets show no change in the trading prices of the stock with the last trading price, the highs and lows still at $134 nor the amount of shares in issue.
The last time we checked, the Manager at the exchange explained that there was a computer programming problem that prevented the highs and lows from being corrected in the case of the three Lasco companies. But that was from 2013, surely they must be able to sort that out by now and certainly, they ought not to be sending false data to the public without some notation to indicate what is the correct. One has to question where is the FSC in all of this?
Sterling logoA check on the JSE website still shows the number of issued shares of Sterling as 4,014,547, vastly different from what the rights issue circular says is the number. The Jamaica Stock Exchange is spending much to roll out a system of direct trading, all kudos to them, but they must pay greater attention to the little details that are of import. It cannot be right to leave errors out in the public for long periods without correction or at least a note as to the correct information. For example there are trading sheets posted with erroneous trading data because the markets hours were either extended beyond 1 PM or corrections were make after trading ended and the report released.
Recently a reader wrote of his concern about small trades which he asked his broker to avoid, here is what was said “the purchase of 200 Brow and 100 SVL: can you try to avoid such transactions by whatever means possible: deleting buy orders when only small volumes are available, deleting orders when only a small balance is remaining to be filled, etc- whatever you can do. This is retrograde step which JSE has taken and they are wrong in saying that is a global standard. I sure that it is not.”
The reader is absolutely correct. I had a case where a small amount of Cable & Wireless shares were traded, based of the various fees charged by the JSE and the brokers I ended up owing the broker although I sold the stock, that by the way is not a joke. I get the impression that the stock exchange sees investors the way the government sees tax payers, just milk them and ignore their pleas for we have the power. Whatever happened to customer friendliness or the customer is king or queen? Barbados has a system where small trades as routed through the odd lot market. Why can’t we do the same or better yet, treat orders as one trade for fee purposes when such orders are filled from many smaller amounts. Whatever the system the present one is wrong.

Lasco shares sell & buy FX or hold

Lasco cambioOn June 9, a reader wrote in with the question, “I respect your learned opinion and analysis in financial matters. In this regard, kindly advise if possible as to your views on Lasco Financial, Distributors and Manufacture. Do you believe that these stocks are likely to perform well in the short, medium and/or long-term. The prices have declined compared to when I bought them and I am concerned about the potential for further decline as the dollar continues to devalue. Should I just cut my losses and sell and convert to FX.”
Our response back then, thanks for your enquiry. As you will see our BUY RATED list contains these three stocks. Here are our views. First off the local stock market tends to go down around May until last June or July. This is not cast in stone, just a tendency. One reason for it is that investors get the full information as to what companies did last fiscal year and a glimpse for the new-year. In the case of the three Lasco companies they have just reported their full year results. The distributorship earning is the most encouraging of the three and looks like it will probably do better than the other three in the short to medium term. It will also benefit from the Salada Foods distribution which started this year, as well as from increased production to come from the expanded Lasco Manufacturing Company’s operation. The information suggest that the next set of results should possibly show growth over that of 2013.
Lasco Financial seems poised for good things but big marketing spend last fiscal year kept profits down as they went for more market share. It does look as if they will be spending on the world cup promotions which could build business, but may also keep profits pressured somewhat for a while.
Lasco Manufacturing seems cheap at $1 bearing in mind the impact that the factory expansion is likely to have on both sales and profits ultimately. Short term they will have to pick up interest cost and depreciation on the completed factory but will enjoy cost savings and ultimately increased profits.
US$ 100At this stage one need to be careful of converting to foreign exchange , as the big move in the FX trade could be over. You may have to hold the stocks for a while but I would think that the investment will pay off in the medium term, more so in the case of financial and distributorship, during 2014. I would want to see he Q1 results for Manufacturing before jumping.
It is my view that the market overall, is undervalued but investors will need to be patient and the payoff is likely to huge for those who wait, the gains to be reaped elsewhere is not likely to be all that great, to cause one to jump and possibly miss the gains in the local market that is ahead.

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