Barita defies broker’s sell recommendation

Barita climbs to a new closing high of $46.50 on Monday.

Barita Investments closed at $46.50 on Monday with a gain of 450 percent for the year so far, to be the best performer of any stock listed on the Jamaica Stock Exchange. Since late 2016, the stock gained 1,400 percent.
In late 2016, a leading brokerage house concluded their assessment of Barita Investments as follows, “we expect just a marginal increase in year on year net profit. Given this expectation, we estimate BIL shares to be valued at approximately $2.35 by applying the market average P/E to estimated EPS. Therefore at a current market price of $3.10, we are recommending a SELL on BIL.” Interestingly, while they recommended a sale, IC Insdier.com placed a BUY RATING on it and it occupied the number 2 spot on the main market BUY RATED list. That is a huge contrast.
That year, while reported profit was down to $207 million from $242 million, in 2015 total comprehensive income, the better measure of profitability was $691 million or $1.55 per share, compared to $201 million, a huge increase. In 2017, traditional profit slipped to $172 million after an impairment on investments charge of $81 million, total comprehensive income ended at $492 or $1.10 per share. For 2018, reported profit jumped to $374 million and total comprehensive income moved to $736 million or $1.65 per share.
Investors who sold their stock in 2016 lost out big time. Information gleaned by IC Insider.com is that the gains experienced in 2018, may not be over. The company may have pocketed around $100 million from the placement of a US$10 million bond issue recently, both the company’s equity portfolio and the equity-linked Unit Trust would have benefitted from the rise in local stock prices and resulted in increased profits for the December quarter. Then there are other fees that should have increased that will add to the profit for the quarter and for the fiscal year. Importantly, unlike in the past, when unrealized gains on securities was treated as other comprehensive income from the current year, all

Barita Investments 2017 AGM held on March 23, 2017

gains or losses will be treated as a part of regular profit and that is likely to make a big difference in how investors value the company.
The new majority owners, in the eyes of investors have brought new life to the company. At least, that is what from the meteoric rise in the stock price is saying. The company is to raise over $4 billion by way of a rights issue at a price of $15.50 each. The directors have not yet stated publicly, what the funds from the rights issue, will be used. There is talk that some of it will be invested in an expanded portfolio of equities, to take advantage of what is being seen as an improving Jamaican economy that should lead to a rise in stock prices and a role out of services to the wider Caribbean region.
Apart from the company’s stock that seems set to be 2018 number one performer, the equity linked units trust is the best performing for 2018 and seems set to cop the number one spot for the year. Their other funds have trailed the rest of the market by a mile, with the real estate and FX Growth funds down more than 20 percent.

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