JSE Trading climbs sharply – Monday

The volume traded on the Jamaica Stock Exchange declined sharply on Monday to 3,063,437 units valued at $29,501,732 compared to a much larger 16,726,086 shares valued at $358,993,001 on Friday.
Market activities in the main and US dollar markets resulted in 30 securities trading including 5 from the US dollar market. At the close, the price of just 6 stocks advanced, 13 declined and 11 closing unchanged, compared to 24 securities trading on Friday.
At the close on the Jamaica Stock Exchange on Monday, the All Jamaican Composite Index  dropped 1,910.31 points to 333,653.33 while the JSE Index dived 1,740.51 points to end at 303,995.85.
Monday’s volume was led by Wisynco Group with 1,365,496 units accounting for 44.57 percent of the day’s volume, followed by Pulse Investments with 545,254 units or 17.80 percent of total volume.
Stocks with major price changes are, Carreras fell 45 cents and closed at $9.55, Mayberry Investments rose 45 cents to $6.50, NCB Financial dropped $2.70 to $95.30, PanJam Investment dropped $4.12 to close at $53.45, Pulse Investments climbed 70 cents to $2.50, Scotia Group lost 90 cents to end at $50.10 and Wisynco Group lost 73 cents and ended at $9.22.
In the US dollar market, 144,201 units traded valued at $24,829 with JMMB 5.75% preference share closed at US$2.25 trading 6,866 shares and JMMB 6% preference share $1 completed trading at $1 with 3,800 stock units, Margaritaville lost 2 cents and finished trading 18 US cents with 1,000 shares, Proven Investments traded 77,535 units and fell 2.5 cents to 17.5 cents and Sygnus Credit traded 55,000 units and closed with the price rising 1 cent to end at 12 US cents. The JSE USD Equities Index closed with a rise of just 0.04 points to 155.04.
Trading resulted in an average of 122,537 units valued at an average of $1,180,069 for each security traded, in contrast to 727,221 units valued at an average of $15,608,391 on Friday. June closed with an average of 250,168 shares with a value of $5,895,281, for each security traded.
IC bid-offer Indicator| At the end of trading, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator reading shows 6 stocks ended with bids higher than their last selling prices and 6 closing with lower offers.

Positive July start for Junior Market

Derrimon Trading closed at a 52 weeks’ high of $15 on Monday.

The Junior Market opened trading July on a positive note when the market closed on Monday, leading to the market Index rising 26.14 points to close at 3,063.70.
Market activity resulted in 22 securities changing hands, resulting in the prices of 10 advancing, 7 declining and 2 remaining unchanged compared to 24 securities trading on Friday. At the close, two stocks closed at 52 weeks’ high and 1,657,028 units valued at $6,997,147 traded, compared to 4,873,191 units valued at $15,916,560 changing hands on Friday.
IC bid-offer Indicator|At the end of trading, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator reading shows 7 stocks ending with bids higher than their last selling prices and 2 with lower offers.
Trading ended with an average of 75,319 units for an average of $318,052 in contrast to 203,050 units for an average of $663,190 on Friday. June closed with an average of 139,543 units, valued at $671,002 for each security traded.
At the close of trading, AMG Packaging ended 1 cent higher at $2.01, with 3,895 stock units changing hands, Blue Power concluded trading with a loss of 2 cents at $48, with 3,103 units, Caribbean Cream closed trading at $4.63, with 36,811 shares, Caribbean Producers finished trading 10 cents higher at $5.20, with 744 units, Consolidated Bakeries closed trading at $2.10, with 13,000 shares. C2W Music ended 47 cents higher at a 52 weeks’ high of $1.27, with 44,209 shares trading, Derrimon Trading concluded trading $1.30 up at an all-time closing high of $15, with 8,333 shares, after it traded at an intraday high of $16, Elite Diagnostic settled 5 cents higher at $3.05, with 112,684 units, Everthing Fresh traded 32,820 shares but fell 15 cents, to end at $2.25, Express Catering traded with a loss of 20 cents at $7, in exchanging 23,749 shares. FosRich Group finished trading with a loss of 39 cents at $2.60, while just 4,731 shares changed hands, General Accident closed 2 cents higher at $3, with 107,169 stock units traded, Honey Bun concluded trading at $5.20, with 1,747 shares, Jamaican Teas ended trading with a loss of 50 cents at $5, after 88,992 stock units were exchanged. Jetcon Corporation closed at $4 higher at $4, with 104,374 shares, Key Insurance traded at $4, with 1,000 units, Knutsford Express rose 1 cent to end at $12.51, with 850 shares trading, Lasco Distributors ended at $4, with 676,262 shares, Lasco Financial concluded trading 11 cents higher at $5, with 289,231 stock units. Lasco Manufacturing rose 30 cents to $4.20, with 84,335 units, Main Event settled 73 cents higher at $7, with 3,024 shares trading and Paramount Trading fell 3 cents to end at $2.97, with 15,965 shares changing hands.
Prices of securities trading for the day are those at which the last trade took place.

5 TTSE stocks fell just 1 rose – Monday

Securities trading on the Trinidad & Tobago Stock Exchange fell on Monday to just 11 against 11 on Friday, resulting in 1 advancing, 5 declining and 5 remaining unchanged.
At close of the market the Composite Index lost 2.01 points on Monday to 1,233.22. The All T&T Index rose 0.03 points to 1,727.40, while the Cross Listed Index declined 0.56 points to close at 99.29.
Trading ended with 268,229 shares valued at $9,961,998 compared to 146,647 shares valued at $5,989,827 changing hands.
IC bid-offer Indicator| At the end of trading, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator reading shows market sentiment to be closely matched between advancing and declining stocks as the market closed with 5 stocks ending with higher bids than the last selling prices and 4 with lower offers.
Gains| Angostura Holdings gained 2 cents and completed trading at $15.75, with 1,311 stock units changing hands.
Losses| Massy Holdings ended trading 1 cent lower at $47.19, after exchanging 200,500 shares, NCB Financial Group lost 8 cents to end at $5.37, after exchanging 5,171 shares, Prestige Holdings traded with a loss of 1 cent and settled at $10, with 660 units trading, Sagicor Financial fell 4 cents and completed trading at $7.81, with 28,536 stock units changing hands and West Indian Tobacco fell 1 cent and ended at $88.49, after exchanging 100 shares.
Firm Trades| Clico Investments completed trading at $20.50, with 5,139 stock units changing hands, First Citizens concluded trading at $35, after exchanging 1,789 shares, JMMB Group ended at $1.75, after exchanging 25,000 shares, Scotiabank settled at $65.01, with 10 units and Unilever Caribbean concluded market activity at $29.23, after exchanging 13 shares.
Prices of securities trading for the day are those at which the last trade took place. Daily

Grace, CPJ, Palace & Salada in TOP 10

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Jamaican stocks have not had a spectacular year with six months having elapsed so far. The main market grew 6 percent and the Junior Market is up just over 11 percent for the year to date.
Palace Amusement with an increase of 164 percent was the only stock to double in price, C2W Music and Express Catering came close with more than 90 percent gain, while former TOP 10, Stationery and Office Supplies came in with an attractive 63 percent.
With the average PE ratio for Junior Market Top stocks at 6.2 compared to an average PE for the overall main market, of 11, based on 2018 estimated earnings and the main market PE is 7.9 for the top stocks, compared to a market average of 13, suggest that the rest of the year should deliver better returns than the first half. The sharp reduction in Bank of Jamaica policy rate to an unprecedented 2 percent and Treasury bill interest rates to record lows of 2.5 percent, is set to push stocks values much higher unless profits for most of the listed companies were to fall. A factor that is at play that is not known to the vast majority of investors, is the lack of supply for many stocks. The shortage of supply is set to result in a big rise in prices going forward before supplies will be able to satisfy what is likely to be a rising demand.
Out of the top lists are JMMB Group that rose by week end while Jamaica Broilers earnings was downgraded to $2 per share based on lower 2018 results from ongoing business operation and Pulse inched up in price to be squeezed out of the main market list. Stationery and Office Supplies slipped off the Junior Market list after Caribbean Producers just got squeezed in, with the price slipping to $5.10. Grace Kennedy, Palace Amusement and Salada Foods return to the top list with the latter price falling from $14.25 at the close of the previous week to $11.70 now. Importantly, Palace implemented price increases mainly between 4.8 and just over 8 percent for the movies, effective at the start of July, this resulted in projected earnings for 2019 now put at $150 per share, up from $140 at our last revision.
On Friday, prospectuses for Stanley Motta and Mayberry Jamaican Equity were published. These issues are not priced to bounce based on the underlying nature of these companies. Stanley Motta is a real estate play that will provide income that is better than most fixed interest securities with growth moderate going forward, while Mayberry is a close end mutual fund that growth is going to depend of appreciation in the investments held or to be acquired.
IC Insider.com’s TOP 10 stocks now trade at an average discount of 45 percent to the average for the Junior Market Top stocks but it’s a third of what the average PE for the year is likely to be of 20 times earnings and main market stocks traded at a discount of 39 percent to the market.
Stocks to Watch The stock closed without an offer at the close of the week. NCB Financial, PanJam Investment could move higher again this week as there continues to be buying but there is very limited supply of the stock on offer. Radio Jamaica that came for increased buying in the past week could get more attention with the network broadcasting the popular world cup matches as adverting revenues should climb as a result from the coverage. Others worth watching include Caribbean Cement, Berger Paints with little selling, Grace Kennedy for which there is also limited supply and Pulse Investments that traded a large volume on Wednesday and Thursday with the price shooting to $2.28 before pulling back on Friday. In the Junior market, demand for Derrimon Trading closed the week at a new high, during the past week and seems poised to move higher. Stationery and Office Supplies settled down during the week is set to rebound soon as selling around the $8 level starts to ease. Jamaican Teas pulled back in the past week to $5.50 but with limited stocks being offered for sale, it is worth watching.

JSE Trading climbs sharply – Friday

Jamaica Broilers traded more half of Friday’s volume.

The volume traded on the Jamaica Stock Exchange rose sharply on Friday to 16,726,086 units valued at $358,993,001 from just 3,989,661 units valued at $65,937,392, Thursday.
The sharp increase in Friday’s volume was led by Jamaica Broilers Group with 8,778,922 units accounting for nearly 53.5 percent of the day’s volume followed by Radio Jamaica with 2,669,432 units and 15.96 percent of total volume and Carreras with 1,124,379 units and NCB Financial with 1,089,615 shares.
At the close on the Jamaica Stock Exchange on Thursday, the main market indices rose with All Jamaican Composite Index climbing 2,198.27 points at 335,563.64, while the JSE Index rose 2,002.87 points to 305,736.36. The market closed out the half year mark with an increase of just 6 percent. Palace Amusement led the stocks rising with an increase of 168% followed by Kingston Wharves with 40 percent, PanJam Investments up 29 percent with Jamaica Broilers and Caribbean Cement up 28 percent each.
Stocks with major price changes are, Caribbean Cement rose $1 to end at $41, Carreras rose 80 cents and closed at $10, Grace Kennedy rose 66 cents to $52.26, Jamaica Broilers lost 50 cents to end at $23, JMMB Group rose 60 cents to close at $29, NCB Financial jumped $1.50 to $98, Productive Business Solution preference share lost $2 in closing at $103 and Scotia Group rose 80 cents to end at $51.
Market activities in the main and US dollar markets resulted in 24 securities trading of which 12 advanced, 4 declined and 8 closing unchanged, compared to 27 securities trading on Thursday.
In the US dollar market, 156,168 units traded valued at $17,178 with Sygnus Credit being the sole stock trading in the segment with the price ending at 11 US cents. The JSE USD Equities Index closed unchanged at 155.
Trading resulted in an average of 727,221 shares valued at $15,608,391, compared to 166,236 units valued at an average of $2,747,391 for each security traded on Thursday. For the month to date, 250,168 units traded with an average value of $5,895,281 and on the previous day, 229,774 units traded with an average value of $5,182,608.  May closed with an average of 589,414 shares with a value of $16,532.367, for each security traded.
IC bid-offer Indicator| At the end of trading, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator reading shows 9 stocks ended with bids higher than their last selling prices and 3 closing with lower offers.

Trading picks up on Junior Market – Friday

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Volume surged on the Junior Market, on Friday with 4,873,191 units valued at $15,916,560 changing hands, with GWest trading almost 3.6 million units valued at $9.6 million.
The day’s trading saw a 212 percent rise in the volume and 165 percent increase in the value over the 1,563,696 units valued at $6,095,052 traded on Thursday.
Market activity resulted in 24 securities changing hands, leading to the prices of 5 advancing, 11 declining and 8 remaining unchanged compared to 22 securities trading on Tuesday. The Junior Market Index slipped just 0.74 points to close at 3,037.56.
IC bid-offer Indicator|At the end of trading, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator reading shows 7 stocks ending with bids higher than their last selling prices and 2 with lower offers.
Trading ended with an average of 203,050 units for an average of $663,190 in contrast to 91,982 units for an average of $358,532 on Thursday. The average volume and value for the month to date, amounts to 139,543 units valued at $671,002 and previously 136,164 units valued at 671,284. May closed with an average of 217,589 units, valued at $1,322,452 for each security traded.
At the close of trading, AMG Packaging suffered a loss of 10 cents to end at $2, with 42,000 stock units trading, Caribbean Cream dropped 87 cents to $4.63, with 29,345 shares changing hands, Caribbean Producers traded down 10 cents to $5.10, with 26,000 stock units, Derrimon Trading ended at a new high by rising by $1.70 to $13.70, with 500 shares, Dolphin Cove concluded trading $1.99 higher at $16.80, with 4,700 shares. Elite Diagnostic finished at $3, with 77,171 stock units trading, Express Catering ended trading 20 cents higher at $7.20, with 37,570 shares, FosRich Group traded with a loss of 1 cent at $2.99, in exchanging 42,123 shares, General Accident lost 3 cents to end at $2.98, with 41,000 shares. GWest Corporation jumped 50 cents higher to $3, with 3,562,554 stock units, Honey Bun ended at $5.20, trading just 100 units, Iron Rock concluded trading at $3, with 528,900 shares, ISP Finance finished with a loss of 2 cents at $15, after trading 9,000 shares. Jamaican Teas settled at $5.50, with 1,000 shares, Jetcon Corporation ended trading at $4.06, with 90,000 stock units, Key Insurance traded at $4, with 148 units, Knutsford Express closed with a loss of 1 cent at $12.50, trading 58,719 shares. Lasco Distributors ended at $4, after shedding 10 cents exchanging 41,764 shares, Lasco Financial concluded trading of 6,941 stock units and fell 11 cents to $4.89, Lasco Manufacturing declined 30 cents to close at $3.90, with 26,900 units, Medical Disposables fell 17 cents to $5, with 500 shares, Stationery and Office finished trading 78,256 stock units at $8 and tTech ended at $6, with 8,000 shares changing hands.
Prices of securities trading for the day are those at which the last trade took place.

Just 11 TTSE stocks traded – Friday

Securities trading on the Trinidad & Tobago Stock Exchange fell on Friday to just 11 against 18 on Thursday, resulting in 2 advancing, 3 declining and 6 remaining unchanged.
At close of the market the Composite Index lost 0.54 points on Friday to 1,235.23. The All T&T Index rose 0.70 points to 1,727.37, while the Cross Listed Index declined 0.25 points to close at 99.85.
Trading ended with 146,647 shares valued at $5,989,827 compared to 280,762 shares at a value of $4,894,546 changing hands.
IC bid-offer Indicator| At the end of trading, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator reading shows market sentiment to be closely matched between advancing and declining stocks as the market closed with 4 stocks ending with higher bids than the last selling prices and 4 with lower offers.
Gains| Clico Investments finished 22 cents higher and closed at $20.50, with 500 shares changing hands and Sagicor Financial gained 10 cents and concluded trading at $7.85, with 49,294 stock units changing hands.
Losses| NCB Financial Group traded with a loss of 4 cents at $5.45, after exchanging 564 shares, Trinidad & Tobago NGL fell 43 cents and ended at $29.56, with 13,467 stock units changing hands and Unilever Caribbean closed with a loss of 2 cents and completed trading at $29.23, after exchanging 200 shares.
Firm Trades| Ansa Mcal ended at $58, with 10,270 units trading, First Citizens completed trading at $35, after exchanging 1,540 shares, Grace Kennedy closed at $2.92, with 300 stock units changing hands, Massy Holdings settled at $47.20, after exchanging 42,520 shares, Republic Financial Holdings settled at $102.76, in trading 3,180 shares, West Indian Tobacco settled at $88.50, after 24,812 shares changed hands.
Prices of securities trading for the day are those at which the last trade took place.

 

BOJ chops policy rate

The overnight policy rate was chopped by an unusually large 20 percent by Bank of Jamaica (BOJ) to take effect on Thursday 28 June 2018, as local prices  deflated for the year to May.
BOJ announced its decision to lower the policy rate by an above the more accepted 25 basis points by slashing the rate by 50 basis points to 2 percent. The falls also come as a result on the continued fall in June’s Treasury bill rates that had fallen just around the overnight rate and against a high level of liquidity in the financial system.
Bank of Jamaica’s decision to increase monetary policy accommodation reflects its assessment that, inflation over the June to December 2018 quarters is likely to remain below the target of 4 percent to 6 percent and that the previously projected increase in inflation towards the centre of the target in the March 2019 quarter is at risk of coming in at a lower level.
According to the BOJ,” in March, April and May 2018, inflation fell below the lower end of the Bank’s inflation target of 4 percent to 6 percent.” Data released by Statistical Institute of Jamaica reported Jamaica as having recorded a period of deflation for the three months. BOJ also stated that “core inflation (measured by changes in the CPI excluding agriculture and fuel) has also been low, in the region of 2 percent to 3 percent. The main factors that contributed to inflation being lower than the target included a stronger-than-anticipated recovery in agricultural supplies following adverse weather shocks in 2017, lower-than-forecasted imported inflation (associated with an appreciation in the Jamaican dollar over the year to April 2018 and a reduction in the pass-through of oil prices to inflation) and weaker-than anticipated domestic demand.”
The Bank’s view on inflation for the remainder of 2018 is largely predicated on expectations for continued weak domestic demand, which is being constrained by tight fiscal policy and increased uncertainties about global trade. The assessment also reflects the expectation for agricultural food prices to remain low for longer than previously anticipated and the possibility that international oil prices could be lower than previously projected. In the medium-term, the Bank’s outlook for inflation continues to reflect a sluggish recovery in economic activity.
The decision to loosen the policy stance is aimed at fostering greater credit expansion and a faster pace of GDP growth which will support inflation returning to the target of 4 percent to 6 percent.

Pulse leading trade for 2nd day

Trading on the Jamaica Stock Exchange fell sharply on Thursday to just 3,989,661 units valued at $65,937,392, down from 12,393,354 units valued at $115,843,551 on Wednesday with Pulse as the lead trade.
At the close on the Jamaica Stock Exchange on Thursday, the main market indices rose with All Jamaican Composite Index climbing 1,984.67 points at 333,365.37, while the JSE Index rose 1,808.26 points to 303,733.49.
Stocks with major price changes are, Grace Kennedy down 66 cents to $51.60, JMMB Group fell 60 cents to close at $28.40, NCB Financial falling $1.56 to $96.50, PanJam Investment adding back the $4.77 lost on Wednesday to end at $57.57 and Sagicor Group rose 82 cents to end at $39.
For the second consecutive day, Pulse Investments led trading and closed on Thursday with 781,135 units trading, accounting for nearly 20 percent of the day’s volume and was followed by JMMB Group 7.25% preference share with 750,000 shares and Scotia Group with 628,743 units.
Market activities in the main and US dollar markets resulted in 25 securities trading of which 10 advanced, 8 declined and 9 closing unchanged, compared to 28 securities trading on Wednesday.
In the US dollar market, 139,245 units traded valued at $25,213 with Sygnus Credit traded 128,045 units trading, to end at 11 US cents. JMMB Group 6.00% USD preference share ended with 11,000 units and Sterling Investments trade with 200 units at 9.2 US cents after falling from 10.4 US cents. The JSE USD Equities Index closed down 0.49 at 155.
Trading resulted in an average of 166,236 units valued at an average of $2,747,391 for each security traded, in contrast to 515,323 units valued at an average of $4,826,815 on Wednesday. For the month to date, 229,774 units traded with an average value of $5,182,608 and on the previous day, 232,741 units traded with an average value of $5,302,373. May closed with an average of 589,414 shares with a value of $16,532.367, for each security traded.
IC bid-offer Indicator| At the end of trading, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator reading shows 10 stocks ended with bids higher than their last selling prices and 2 closing with lower offers.

Junior Market inched higher – Thursday

Volume rose on the Junior Market, at the close of trading on Thursday with 1,563,696 units valued at $6,095,052 changing hands, compared to just 654,195 units valued at $2,886,318 on Wednesday.
Market activity resulted in 17 securities changing hands, leading to the prices of 7 advancing, 2 declining and 8 remaining unchanged compared to 22 securities trading on Tuesday. The Junior Market Index declined by 7.80 points to close at 3,032.28.
IC bid-offer Indicator|At the end of trading, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator reading shows 5 stocks ending with bids higher than their last selling prices and 6 with lower offers.
Trading ended with an average of 91,982 units for an average of $358,532 in contrast to 29,736 units for an average of $131,196 on Wednesday. The average volume and value for the month to date, amounts to 136,164 units valued at 671,284 and previously 137,894 units valued at $683,354. May closed with an average of 217,589 units, valued at $1,322,452 for each security traded.
At the close of the market, AMG Packaging ended at $2.10, trading 233,845 stock units, Caribbean Producers finished trading 20 cents higher at $5.20, with 514,095 units, C2W Music ended traded at 80 cents, with 76,508 shares, Elite Diagnostic settled with a loss of 10 cents at $3, in the exchange of 191,218 units, Everything Fresh gained 7 cents to close at $2.22 with 16,029 shares changing hands. Express Catering traded 640 shares at $7, FosRich Group finished trading at $3, with 93,528 shares, General Accident closed at $3.01, with 430 stock units changing hands, Honey Bun concluded trading 2 cents higher at $5.20, with 59,435 shares, Jamaican Teas ended trading at $5.50, with 17,890 stock units. Jetcon Corporation traded 1,339 units and 7 cents higher at $4.06, KLE Group rose 10 cents to close at $2.90, with 10,000 shares, Knutsford Express traded 1,500 shares and ended at $12.51, Lasco Distributors concluded trading with a loss of 10 cents at $4.10, in exchanging 244,081 stock units. Lasco Financial finished 2 cents higher at $5, with 56,100 units, Main Event ended trading 31,611 shares and gained 11 cents to end at $6.27 and Stationery and Office closed at $8, with 15,447 units trading.
Prices of securities trading for the day are those at which the last trade took place.

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