Republic makes bid for Cayman biggest bank

Demand rises for Republic Financial Holdings

Trinidad’s Republic Holdings has made an offer through its wholly-owned subsidiary of RBTT Barbados Republic Financial Holdings to acquire between 51 percent and 74.99 percent of the issued shares of Cayman National Bank.
The offer is priced between US$6 to US$6.75 per Cayman National share representing a premium between US$3 to US$3.75 per share as compared to the closing price of US$3 per Cayman National share on 3 August. The offer price is around 10 times earnings which is very attractive to republic as profit has been growing nicely for last year and the current year. The acquisition would allow Republic to merge Cayman National with Republic’s Cayman operations.
Cayman National has total assets of CI$1,558,692,523, up from $1,464,852,010 at June 2017. Total Comprehensive Income for nine months to June 2018 is CI$16,062,080 and is up from CI$10,841,267 in 2017.
The Offer remains subject to a number of conditions, including completion of due diligence by RBTTBL and recommendation by the Board of CNC for the Possible Offer.
Cayman National was Established in 1974 and is the largest financial services company based in the Cayman Islands, providing banking, trust and company management, fund administration, and wealth management services to clients locally and around the world, from the Cayman Islands, and the Isle of Man, with an office also in Dubai. Cayman National is publicly traded on the Cayman Islands Stock Exchange and comprises: Cayman National Bank Ltd., Cayman National Fund Services Ltd., Cayman National Securities Ltd., Cayman National Bank (Isle of Man) Limited and Cayman National Trust Company (Isle of Man) Limited and Cayman National (Dubai) Ltd.
RBTTBL was established in 1999 and is a licensed offshore international financial business operating pursuant to the International Financial Services Act, CAP. 325 of the Laws of Barbados which primarily conducts investment and investment management services. RBTTBL’s registered office is located at Republic Bank (Barbados) Limited, Independence Square, Bridgetown, Barbados. RBTTBL is a wholly-owned subsidiary of Republic Financial Holdings Limited. RBTTBL currently has wholly-owned subsidiary in the Cayman Islands, Republic Bank (Cayman Limited).
About Republic Bank (Cayman) Limited:
Republic Bank (Cayman) Limited was established on 13 January 1992 and currently holds a Trust License and an Unrestricted Class B Banking License under the Banks and Trust Companies Law of the Cayman Islands, as amended. Republic Bank (Cayman) Limited also holds a Mutual Funds License and is a registered Excluded Person for purposes of the Securities Investment Business Law of the Cayman Islands (SIBL-EP).
RFHL is listed on the Trinidad and Tobago Stock Exchange and has over US$10 billion of total assets. RFHL, along with its subsidiaries and associated companies, provides commercial banking and related services. These include investment banking, mortgage financing, securities trading and related activities, trustee services, credit card operations, foreign exchange and trade finance services as well as deposit taking and lending operations. Through its subsidiaries and associated companies, RFHL has operations domiciled in Barbados, Ghana, Suriname, Grenada, Guyana and St. Lucia in addition to Trinidad and Tobago.

AJ Index new record of 345,405 points – Tuesday

The All Jamaican Composite Index of the Jamaica Stock Exchange traded at an intraday record high of 347,551.83 in the morning session but drifted lower to close just above 345,000 points for the second day in a row.
At the close, the All Jamaican Composite Index gained 354.82 points to end at a record close of 345,405.03 and the JSE Index advanced by 323.28 points to end at a record close of 314,702.97.
Trading in the main market ended with 3,687,476 units valued at over $83,983,141 compared to 4,818,830 units valued at $56,754,894, on Friday.
Market activities resulted in 33 securities trading including 3 in the US dollar market compared to 29 securities trading on Friday. At the end of trading, the prices of 11 stocks rose, 12 declined and 10 traded unchanged.
The day’s volume was led by, Scotia Group with 841,089 units for 22.81 percent of the main market volume, followed by Carreras with 764,451 units or 20.73 percent of the day’s volume and Radio Jamaica ended with 547,000 units and accounting for 14.83 percent of the day’s volume.
Major price changes| Berger Paints traded 8,650 shares with a gain of 74 cents to close at $20, Caribbean Cement lost 30 cents and finished at $41.20, with 171,284 shares, Grace Kennedy jumped $1.05 to close at a 52 weeks’ high of $57.05, trading with 122,139 shares, NCB Financial Group climbed $3 ended trading 45,133 shares, at $104, with 1834 Investments lost 15 cents traded at a 52 weeks’ low of 90 cents, with 18,000 shares. Mayberry Investments declined $1.14 to end $7.11 trading 24,638 shares, PanJam Investment concluded trading of 4,384 shares at $51.25, after slipping $1.30, Portland JSX climbed $1 and ended at $9, exchanging 20,000 units, Sagicor Real Estate Fund fell 50 cents to settle at $14.00, with 1,000 shares, Scotia Group traded 841,089 units and fell $1.50 to end at $51.50, Seprod lost 49 cents and finished trading at $32.01, with 2,500 shares. Sterling Investments gained 60 cents and closed at $14.10, with 13,727 shares, Supreme Ventures lost 30 cents and ended at $15.50, with 65,275 shares trading.
Trading in the US dollar market closed with 154,010 units valued at US$128,075 as JMMB Group 6% preference share completed trading of 115,000 stock units and gained 1 cent to end at $1.05, Proven Investments added 1 cent and closed at 20 US cents trading 38,800 shares and Sygnus Credit closed 10 US cents in trading 210 shares. The JSE USD Equities Index lost 0.71 points and closed at 154.43
Trading resulted in an average of 122,916 units valued at an average of $2,799,438 for each security traded. In contrast to 185,340 units for an average of $2,182,881 on Friday. For the month to date an average of 162,724 shares valued at an average of $2,114,773 versus 185,258 units traded for an average of $1,727,278 on Friday. July closed with an average of 169,022 units valued at $3,514,756, for each security traded.
IC bid-offer Indicator| At the end of trading, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator reading shows 5 stocks ended with bids higher than their last selling prices and 2 closing with lower offers.

No price change for TTSE – Tuesday

Trinidad & Tobago Stock Exchange Head Quarters

Trading on Trinidad & Tobago Stock Exchange ended on Tuesday with just 93,130 shares valued at $2,269,792 changing hands, compared to 148,531 shares valued at $1,117,407, on Monday.
Market activity ended with 12 securities trading and based on the last traded price none recording a change at the close, while 12 traded on Tuesday.
At the close the Composite Index rose 0.40 points on Tuesday to 1,233.48, the All T&T Index gained 0.80 points to 1,718.81 and the Cross Listed Index held firm at 100.54.
IC bid-offer Indicator| At the close of trading, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator reading shows market sentiment with 4 stocks ending with higher bids than the last selling prices and 5 with lower offers.
Firm Trades| Angostura Holdings ended at $15.75, with 250 stock units changing hands,  Clico Investments closed trading at $20, after 41,000 stock units changed hands, First Citizens settled at $35.01, after exchanging 2,604 shares, First Caribbean International Bank lost 1 cent and completed trading at $8.49, with 120 units, JMMB Group closed with a loss of 5 cents at $1.75, after exchanging 649 shares LJ Williams B share settled at 70 cents, after exchanging 10,000 shares. Massy Holdings concluded at $46.90, after exchanging 584 shares, Republic Financial Holdings concluded trading at $102.88, in exchanging 970 shares, Sagicor Financial ended at $7.50, with 3,046 stock units changing hands Scotiabank shed 1 cent and completed trading at $65.01, with 6,255 units changing hands, Trinidad & Tobago NGL increased 14 cents and settled at $29.74, trading 26,152 shares and Trinidad Cement concluded trading at $2.95, after exchanging 1,500 shares.
Prices of securities trading for the day are those at which the last trade took place.

Junior Market continues to climb – Tuesday

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The Junior Market Index moved higher by 20.70 points to close at 3,150.90 on Tuesday after closing on Monday, for the Independence Day public holiday and being up in 6 of the last 7 trading sessions.
Trading ended with 25 securities changing hands, compared to 23 on Friday, with 7 advancing, 4 falling and 14 remaining unchanged. Medical Disposables traded at a 52 weeks’ high after June Quarter profit climbed sharply. The market closed with, 510,714 units valued at $2,313,622.29 changing hands, compared to 771,621 units valued at $2,972,863 on Friday.
IC bid-offer Indicator|At the end of trading, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator reading had 2 stocks ending with bids higher than their last selling prices, one with a lower offer.
Trading closed with an average of 20,429 units for an average of $92,545 in contrast to 57,100 units for an average of $240,564 on Friday. The average volume and value for the month to date amounts to 38,741 units valued at $161,485, compared to 49,641 units valued at $202,520. Trading in July, averaged 154,060 units valued at $655,146 for each security traded.
At the close of trading, AMG Packaging ended at $2, after trading 4,221 stock units, Blue Power concluded trading 513 units at $40, CAC 2000 finished at $9, with 5,383 shares changing hands, Cargo Handlers settled at $10.89, in exchanging 6,000 shares, Caribbean Cream ended trading 5,395 shares rising 30 cents higher at $5.80. Caribbean Flavours traded with a loss of 20 cents at $12.50, with 3,000 stock units changing hands, Caribbean Producers finished trading 911 units at $6.22, Consolidated Bakeries closed at $2.16, exchanging 7,500 shares, C2W Music ended at $1.71, with 8,000 shares changing hands. Derrimon Trading ended at $23, with 19,545 units changing hands, Elite Diagnostic finished at $2.90, trading 28,545 stock units, Everything Fresh traded 198,030 shares to end at $1.98. Express Catering ended trading 29,883 shares and rose 5 cents to $8, General Accident finished trading 14 cents higher at $3.47, while exchanging 3,570 shares, GWest Corporation closed at $2.20, with 49,760 stock units changing hands. Honey Bun ended at $4.51, trading 5,505 units, Jamaican Teas settled with a loss of 20 cents at $4.30, with 11,758 shares, Jetcon Corporation ended trading 4,900 stock units and gained 2 cents to $4.05, KLE Group finished trading at $3, with 2,791 shares. Knutsford Express closed 44 cents higher at $11.95, trading 3,022 shares, Lasco Distributors ended at $4, with 45,380 shares changing hands, Lasco Manufacturing finished 5 cents higher at $4.15, with 9,796 units, Medical Disposables jumped 88 cents higher to close at a 52 weeks’ high of $6.68, with 1,793 shares, Stationery and Office fell 8 cents to $8.04, with 50,993 stock units and tTech ended with a loss of 25 cents at $5, trading 4,520 shares.
Prices of securities trading for the day are those at which the last trade took place.

More record for JSE majors

The main market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange cleared another mile stone after 15 minutes off the market opening on Tuesday with the All Jamaican Composite Index breaking through the 347,000 points mark.
The All Jamaican Composite Index jumped 2,501.62 points to at 347,551.83 and the JSE Index gained 2,279.26 points to close at 316,658.95. The Junior market was flat at 3,130.20 points but Medical Disposables traded at a new record high and headed to $6.68 having posted strong gains in its first quarter profit.
Helping in the record move on the day after the in the main market was closed for the Independence Holiday, is NCB Financial rising to $104 and Grace Kennedy at $57.

Unilever dives $2.20 on TTSE – Monday

Unilever Caribbean crash $2.20 to sit at $27 just above the low of $26.75 reached in July, which is just above the price back in early July 2011.
Trading on Trinidad & Tobago Stock Exchange on Monday was more moderate than on Friday with just 148,531 shares valued at $1,117,407 changing hands, compared to 271,085 units valued at $2,133,526, on Friday.
Market activity ended with 12 securities trading against 10 on Friday, with 4 advancing, 6 declining and 3 remaining unchanged. At the close the Composite Index declined 1.42 points on Monday to 1,233.08, the All T&T Index fell 0.83 points to 1,718.01 and the Cross Listed Index slipped 0.28 points to close at 100.54.
IC bid-offer Indicator| At the close of trading, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator reading shows market sentiment with 3 stocks ending with higher bids than the last selling prices and 6 with lower offers.
Gains| Clico Investments closed with an increase of 3 cents at $20, with 2,992 stock units changing hands, One Caribbean Media rose 1 cent and concluded trading at $12.36, after exchanging 410 shares, Republic Financial Holdings finished 5 cents higher and concluded trading at a 562 weeks’ high of $102.88, after exchanging 145 shares and Trinidad & Tobago NGL gained 14 cents and settled at $29.74, after exchanging 3,921 shares.
Losses| First Caribbean International Bank lost 1 cent and completed trading at $8.49, with 114 units, JMMB Group ended trading 5 cents lower at $1.75, after exchanging 100,412 shares and Scotiabank concluded trading with a loss of 1 cent and ended at $65.01, with 3,522 units changing hands.
Firm Trades| First Citizens settled at $35.01, after exchanging 8,364 shares, National Flour completed trading at $1.79, with 137 units and Sagicor Financial ended at $7.50, with 27,732 stock units changing hands.

Prices of securities trading for the day are those at which the last trade took place.

T&T central bank raised repo rate to 5%

Down town Port of Spain, Trinidad.

Trinidad and Tobago Central Bank hiked the repo rate by 25 basis points to 5 percent in June, in response to rising rates in the United States and signs of some improvement in the Trinidad economy.
The bank said, “rising interest rates in the US combined with relatively stable rates domestically have pushed the TT-US yield differential on three-month Treasuries further below parity. The differential currently stands at -74 basis points. The US Fed has signaled that further hikes are planned in the context of the solid US growth outlook. Should this materialize it could further widen the negative TT-US interest rate differential if domestic interest rates remain unchanged.”
The Central Bank further stated, “on the domestic front growth in the first five months of 2018 has been concentrated in the energy sector and is expected to spill over into non-energy activities, and there are encouraging signs in distribution and a recovery of business credit, although construction remains sluggish. Meanwhile, headline inflation continued to be low, measuring 1.1 percent(year-on-year) in April 2018, up from 0.8 percent in the previous month.”
The central bank went on to state that “private sector credit growth maintained its positive momentum, rising in April by 5.8 percent (year-on-year). Lending continued to be driven by loans for refinancing and debt consolidation, while some rebound in business credit suggests that private sector confidence could be strengthening. Further, the commercial banks’ weighted average lending rate has been falling since December 2017 and stood at 8.15 percent at end-March 2018. Liquidity levels trended lower but remain comfortable.”

JSE & FSC should explain Knutsford capital mess

Knutsford Express 2014 & 2015 audited accounts filled with errors & 2018 needs correcting.

Knutsford Express recently released full year audited results to May 2018 with s lightly higher profit of $178 million after taxation compared to $170 million in 2017. The profit resulted in earnings per share of 35.5 cents for the year versus 34 cents in 2017.
The initial release of the results had the 2017 earnings per share as $1.70, but that was incorrect as the wrong number of shares were used. The company released an updated report but that still reflects the error in computing the EPS. In June 2017, the shares were split in to 5 each, raising the issued capital to 500 million units. But the revised report carried the error which was in the first report that the weighted number of shares issued was 498 million units, that is completely wrong.

JSE failed to have errors corrected in audited accounts.

Stock splits and bonus shares don’t give rise to weighted number of shares as no value is added to the company. As a result, all the issued shares have to be used in computing the EPS for both periods.
The appropriate methodology is that the “Additional shares from the share split are incorporated in the calculation of EPS in full without any time apportionment so that the increase in number of shares in the current period, comparative prior periods and all subsequent periods is the same therefore resulting in EPS which is comparable over several accounting periods.”
Interestingly, the number of shares used to compute the interim report to February was correctly shown as 500 million units. As it now stands, the audited accounts and the interim reports have used different figures. What is the Jamaica Stock Exchange doing to correct this?
The first audited accounts, after listing, carried an even greater error was with no correction to date.
The audited accounts stated, “Earnings per share is computed as the net profit for the year divided by the weighted average number of ordinary shares in issue for the year as at the date of the statement of financial position of 46,857,114 (2013: 1,000). For comparative purposes, the earnings per share for 2013, using the weighted average number of ordinary shares at the end of the 2014 financial year, would be $0.74.”
The financial statements for 2014 stated, “During January 2014, the Company raised additional capital of $99,862,700 from its initial public offering of 99,999,003 shares for its enlistment on the Jamaica Stock Exchange Junior Market. Transaction costs of $5,374,140 were incurred for the initial public offering”. That is in conflict with the prospectus which stated, “The Company invites Applications on behalf of itself and the Founders (or the Selling Shareholders) for 20,000,000 Ordinary Shares in the Invitation of which 4,867,338 shares are newly issued shares for subscription and 15,132,662 shares are existing shares of the Selling Shareholders for sale”.

The FSC has fallen down on the job in reviewing Knutsford’s prospectus & reports after IPO.

While the note is saying that $100 million was raised, the cash flow and shareholders’ equity show that only $25 million was raised.
Not only are the audited accounts for 2014 and 2015 in conflict with the information included in the prospectus, it is factually incorrect as the initial public offer of shares was never 99,999,003 units. There is no indication how the original three shareholders holdings moved to the above amounts when just 973 were issued in the prior year.
The prospectus stated that “as at December 18, 2013 the latest practicable date prior to publication of this Prospectus, the holdings of Shares in the capital of the Company (including legal and, where known to the Company, beneficial holdings) were as follows: Oliver Townsend 41,858,371 or 44 percent, Anthony Copeland 30,442,452 Shares at 32 percent and Gordon Townsend 22,831,839 or 24 percent for a total issued Share Capital before invitation is 95,132,662. After the issues, the total number of shares went to 100 million units with all three original shareholders reducing their holdings.
One of the objectives for mentorship, of Junior Market companies, is to prevent errors like these from occurring, but they still continue.
While these errors remain, investors are being deprived of pertinent information to assess profitability. The company should be showing expenses in the categories of direct expenses marketing and sales, administrative and finance. But investors continue to get just one lump sum figure to assess that is not good enough.
While revenues for the past year grew by 23 percent to $925 million while other income declined from $8.5 million to $1.5 million. Cost climbed faster at 25 percent for the year before finance cost, Finance costs rose to $21.7 million from $17.6 million. The company is not subject to taxation and should not have deferred taxation amounting to $3.7 million, while the tax credit of $5.7 million in the prior year should not have been booked.
The balance sheet shows shareholder’s equity at $630 million at the end of May current assets at $304 million including cash and equivalent of $230 million and current liabilities of $63 million. Borrowed funds stand at $78 million.

Grace set to make big price leap

Grace Kennedy traded at a 52 weeks’ high on JSE on Friday..

The Jamaica stock market is at an interesting stage, with supply of many stocks offered for sale, getting more scarce by the day, while interest rates are at their lowest levels in Jamaica’s history but are most are valued  at levels when interest rates were in the teens.
The main market has gained 8,387.30 points in July, and is now a record high as of Friday with gains of 9,486.57 since the start of July, thus mirroring the start of the usual summer rally on the Jamaica Stock Exchange, while the Junior Market continues to bounce and is now at a 9 months’ high.
Liquidity is very high and forcing interest rates lower as investors try to place funds on hands. As liquidity rise in the market supply of stocks is on the decline. Some of stock with scarce supplies include Grace Kennedy that has just one offer priced at $80 when the market closed on Friday, NCB Financial that is now trading over $100 is not far behind with limited offers. It has been years that the supply of Grace stock has been this low and suggest a big upward price move.

The All Jamaica Composite index now braking out of a narrow upward sloping channel going back to November 2017.

Berger Paints, Caribbean Cement, JMMB Group, Kingston Wharves, PanJam Investment, Sagicor Group, Seprod and Scotia Group with only 362,000 units on offer are amongst some that have very limited supplies being offered for sale on the market. But the main market is not the only segment with limited supplies.Over in the Junior market where demand is not as great as in 2017, supplies are limited for many of the listings. The list includes, Blue Power, Caribbean Flavours, Cargo Handlers, Derrimon Trading, Express Catering, Caribbean Cream, Medical Disposables and Stationery and Office Supplies. Caribbean Producers closed trading at $5.80 at the end of the previous week and ended this past week at $6.22 and may well go higher this coming week as it closed with a bid at $6.20. A number of these stocks could lead the break out of the markets in a big way when investors on a whole come to the realization that with interest rates now below 2 percent,

Medical Disposables profit jumps 49 percent before foreign exchange loss in Q1.

that the old accepted PE ratio of 10 being reasonable to value stocks, is no longer accepted and that ratios of 20 to 30 will become the norm going forward. Investors only need to look at stocks in in Trinidad and Tobago where PEs have been in the 20 level for years to understand where we will be heading in the not too distant future.
The main market continues to be steered higher by an upward sloping support line as well the 45 and 125 day moving averages, lending support just below the index and the Junior Market that is at a 9 month high, is being steered by an upward rising long term support line and the start of a golden cross.

Medical Disposables back in IC TOP 10

Medical Disposables back in IC TOP 10

The main market of Jamaica Stock Exchange ended at a record close on Friday and the Junior Market closed at a 9 months’ high as the markets keep moving higher resulting changes to the IC TOP 10.
At the close on Friday, Proven Investments ended at 19 US cents and fell out of the top list and is replaced by Victoria Mutual Investments. Jetcon Corporation and Paramount Trading dropped out of the top flight, to be replaced by Fosrich Group and Medical Disposables. IC insider.com lowered profit forecast for Paramount with the company showing only a small profit of less than a million dollars in the fourth quarter compared to nearly $11 million in 2017 after gross profit rose 29 percent or $28 million. Jetcon squeezed out by price changes, elsewhere Medical Disposables rose to $5.80 but made it back in the list with strong profit out turn for the first quarter to June and an upgrade of earnings for the full year, of 65 cents per share from 60 cents.
The PE ratio for Junior Market Top stocks averages 7.4 compared to an average PE for the overall market of 12, based on 2018 estimated earnings and the main market PE stands at 8 for the top stocks, compared to a market average of 13, a good indicator of the level of undervaluation of these stocks.
The TOP 10 stocks now trade at an average discount of 38 percent to the average for the Junior Market Top stocks but it’s a third of what the average PE for the year is likely to be of 20 times earnings and main market stocks traded at a discount of 40 percent to the market.
TOP 10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns within a 12 months period. Stocks are selected based on projected earnings for each company’s current fiscal year. Based on an assumed PE for each, the likely gains are determined and then ranked, with the stocks with the highest potential gains ranked first followed by the rest, in descending order. Potential values will change as stock prices fluctuate and will result in movements of the selection in and out of the lists for most weeks. Earnings per share are revised on an ongoing basis based on new information received that can result in changes in and out of the list as well.

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