Carib Producers returns to IC TOP 10

Caribbean Producers back in TOP 10

Caribbean Producers climbed back into the Junior market IC TOP 10 stock listing but there was no change to the main market list. Main Event dropped out of the top list having recovered from a big price fall in the previous week.
Caribbean Producers recently released full year results that were slightly lower than the year before but with a 10 percent rise in revenues. A lower profit margin by 2 percent and an increase of 10 percent in administrative and selling expenses resulted in lower profit but forecast suggest that earnings for 2019 should be up strongly to around 65 Jamaican cents. The company will have to report new results to see the likely increased earnings start to show up in the stock price.
During the past week, the main market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange, racked up 5 consecutive days of record close on Friday and 11 record close in a row, while the Junior market closed the week for with two record close, for the first time since May 2017.
The gains in the two markets is driving the PE ratio of the market higher with the overall PE for the Junior Market rising from to 13 and the main market from 13.7 last week to 13.7 and 14 respectively, this week. Recent movement in the PE suggest that average PE for the market will end 2018 around 18 and 20 by the end of January as conditions continue to favour stocks as the preferred investment of choice along with real estate.
The PE ratio for Junior Market Top 10 stocks average 8.9 up from 8.7 last week, as the market continues to revalue the multiple higher. The latest valuation compares to an average PE for the overall market of 14.3, based on 2018 estimated earnings. The main market PE is now 8.8 and is the up from 8.5 last week, for the top stocks, compared to a market average of 14.6.
The TOP 10 stocks now trade at an average discount of 38 percent to the average for the Junior Market Top stocks but it’s a third of what the average PE for the year is likely to be of 20 times earnings and main market stocks traded at a discount of 40 percent to the market.
TOP 10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns within a 12 months period. Stocks are selected based on projected earnings for each company’s current fiscal year. Based on an assumed PE for each, the likely gains are determined and then ranked, with the stocks with the highest potential gains ranked first followed by the rest, in descending order. Potential values will change as stock prices fluctuate and will result in movements of the selection in and out of the lists for most weeks. Earnings per share are revised on an ongoing basis based on new information received that can result in changes in and out of the list as well.

Earth quake in upper St Andrew

Citizens fell an earthquake in upper St Andrew around 1.43 PM on Sunday. The quake that lasted a few seconds shook buildings in the area but there was no immediate signs of physical damage.

The quake that was first felt as a minor tremor, subsequently increased in intensity, to a level that the rattling of buildings could be heard.  Reports so far, are that it was felt as far as Clarendon.

2 weeks of record run for JSE stocks

The Jamaica Stock Exchange main market, continues to shatter daily records, with 11 consecutive record close up to Friday, as the all Jamaica composite Index pushes 1,000 points nearer to the 400,000 mark.
The market closed with the All Jamaica Composite Index rising 1,072.57 points higher to a record close at 385,803.63, after peaking around 387,321.24 and the JSE Index gaining 977.24 points to a record close of 351,510.71 after peaking around 352,893.45. Friday’s close brings to 34, the number of record close for the year and 22 since the start of July.
The main market surged to new record at the start of the morning session and continued to create new highs throughout the trading session.
Market activities resulted in just 25 securities trading, including 2 in the US dollar market compared to 30 securities trading on Thursday. At the end of trading, the prices of 12 stocks rose, 11 declined and 2 closed trading, unchanged. The main market ended with 2,715,718 units valued at $59,199,085 compared to 13,536,420 units valued at $68,566,185 changing hands, on Thursday.
The day’s volume was led by, Victoria Mutual Investments with 877,157 units and 32.30 percent of the day’s volume, followed by Sygnus Credit Investments with 483,665 units or 17.8 percent of main market volume and Mayberry Jamaican Equities with 225,459 units 8.3 percent of the volume traded.
Trading resulted in an average of 118,075 units valued at over $2,573,873, in contrast to 483,444 units valued at an average of $2,448,792 on Thursday. The average volume and value for the month to date amounts to 443,910 shares valued $4,190,129, compared to 469,931 shares valued $4,332,558 traded on the immediately preceding trading day. August closed, with an average of 224,564 shares valued at $4,310,285, for each security traded.
In the main market activity, Barita Investments climbed $1.68 to close at $12.95, trading 3,577 shares, as investors show increased interest with plans the new majority owners have for the company, to extract much more profits for it going forward. Grace Kennedy rose $1.39 to end at $58.40, trading 165,573 shares, Jamaica Producers jumped $4 and finished trading of 94,085 units at a record high of $27, Kingston Wharves dropped $2 and ended trading 3,197 stock units to close at $72, NCB Financial Group fell $1 and ended trading 154,635 shares at $129, PanJam Investment gained $1 and closed at $56 trading 77,423 stock units, Portland JSX put on 60 cents in trading 7,377 shares and ended at $9, Sagicor Group rose 69 cents and settled at $39.85, trading 48,812 shares. Seprod added 90 cents to end at $46.90 in trading 11,025 units and Sygnus Credit Investments jumped 91 cents in trading 483,665 shares close at $13.71.
Trading in the US dollar market closed with 94,323 units valued at US$21,208 as , Margaritaville traded 1,740 shares settled and ended at 19 US cents and Proven Investments lost 0.5 cents and ended trading of 92,583 shares at 22.5 US cents. The JSE USD Equities Index declined by 1.78 points to close at 167.78.
IC bid-offer Indicator| At the end of trading, the Choice bid-offer indicator reading is very strong for continuation of the market’s rally and shows 5 stocks ended with bids higher than their last selling prices and 4 closing with lower offers.

New record for Junior Market – Friday

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The Junior Market recorded gains of 31.89 points at the close of trading on Friday, to end at record close of 3,397.09 after it traded briefly at an intraday record high of 3,408.31 points, within 3 minutes of opening, to take out the old record of 3,392.58 on Monday.
The number of securities trading remained the same as Thursday at 25 and leading to 9 advancing, 2 declining and 14 remaining unchanged, as investors exchanged 2,279,431 units valued at $9,238,268, compared to 2,749,388 units valued at $12,888,595 on Thursday.
IC bid-offer Indicator| At the end of trading, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator reading had 5 stocks ending with bids higher than their last selling prices, 4 closed with lower offers.
Trading closed with an average of 91,177 units for an average of $369,531 in contrast to 109,976 units for an average of $515,544 on Thursday Trading for the month to date averages 670,895 units for an average of $4,049,556 and on the prior trading day, an average of 732,567 units for an average of $4,441,049. Trading in August, averaged 244,613 units at $1,348,298 for each security traded.
At the close of trading, Access Financial closed at $50, with 4,500 shares changing hands, AMG Packaging ended at $1.89, in exchanging 44,970 stock units, Blue Power concluded trading of 39,707 units, at $6.50, Caribbean Cream ended trading 40 cents higher at $7.50, with 18,100 shares changing hands, Caribbean Producers rose 10 cents to $6.10, with the trading of 4,431 units. Consolidated Bakeries closed 5 cents higher at $2.50, with 56,500 shares changing hands, Derrimon Trading added 20 cents to close at $3.20, with 384,647 shares changing hands, Dolphin Cove concluded trading of 7,200 shares at $17, Elite Diagnostic finished at $3.50, with 106,043 stock units trading, Everything Fresh gained 30 cents in trading 69,825 shares to end at $2.40, Express Catering ended trading 33,999 shares, 21 cents higher at $8.39, FosRich Group traded at $3, with an exchange of 13,572 shares, GWest Corporation closed at $2.15, with 31,044 stock units trading, Indies Pharma closed with 1,012,184 shares changing hands to close of $4, Jamaican Teas settled at $4.65, trading 37,374 shares. Jetcon Corporation ended trading 20,677 stock units with a loss of 10 cents at $3.90, Knutsford Express closed at $11.50, with 500 shares changing hands, Lasco Distributors ended 23 cents higher at $4, after 15,470 shares traded, Lasco Financial concluded trading 133,305 stock units with a gain of 5 cents to $5.50. Lasco Manufacturing finished at $3.90, with 19,158 units changing hands, Main Event settled $1 higher at $7, with 68,715 shares changing hands, Medical Disposables ended trading 18,135 shares with a loss of $1.15 at $6.80, Paramount Trading traded 106,383 shares at $2.60 and Stationery and Office finished trading at $9, with 15,339 stock units being exchanged.
Prices of securities trading for the day are those at which the last trade took place.

All 3 TTSE market indices slip – Friday

Trinidad & Tobago Stock Exchange Head Quarters

All three main indices of the Trinidad & Tobago Stock Exchange, closed higher on Friday, with the Composite Index lost 0.53 points to 1,217.30, the All T&T Index fell 0.38 points to 1,689.27, while the Cross Listed Index dipped 0.09 points to close at 100.19.
At close, 11 securities changed hands, with the price of 3 rising, 4 declining and 4 remaining unchanged, against 12 trading on Thursday.
The market ended trading of 161,575 shares valued $7,040,684, compared to 110,652 shares valued $1,395,005 changing hands on Thursday
IC bid-offer Indicator| At the end of trading, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator reading closed with 4 stocks ending with higher bids than the last selling prices and 3 with lower offers.
Stocks closing with gains| Ansa Merchant gained 1 cent and settled at $38, after exchanging 3,338 shares, Republic Financial Holdings ended trading with a rise of 2 cents to a 52 weeks’ high of $103.68, after exchanging 51,911 shares and West Indian Tobacco closed with a gain of 1 cent and completed trading of 3,599 units at $87.56.
Stocks closing with losses| Clico Investments closed with a loss of 1 cent and ended at $19.99, with 793 stock units changing hands, First Citizens closed with a loss of 20 cents and settled at $32.60, after exchanging 3,086 shares, JMMB Group shed 1 cent and ended at $1.68, after exchanging 62,560 shares and Scotiabank lost 1 cent and completed trading with 6,855 units at $64.94.
Stocks trading with no price change| Calypso Macro Index Fund traded 300 units to close at $15.82, Guardian Holdings completed trading of 21,507 units at $17, Sagicor Financial ended at $7.52, with 1,952 stock units changing hands and Trinidad & Tobago NGL settled at $29, after exchanging 5,674 shares.
Prices of securities trading for the day are those at which the last trade took place.

Indies gains 167% since Junior Market IPO

Newly listed Junior Market stock, Indies Pharma jumped to a record $4 on Thursday, in recording gains of 167 percent since the IPO issue in July, at $1.50 per share.
The stock seems to have benefited from information from the company indicating the likely acquisitions and new products to come to market. Additionally, a look at the order book indicates very few stocks being offered for sale. Blue Power and Medical Disposables are two stocks that have benefited from good results recently to help push them to record closing highs on Thursday but AMG Packaging closed at a 52 weeks’ low.
The Junior Market having retreated for two consecutive days recorded gains at the close of trading on Thursday, with the market index rising 8.83 points to close at 3,365.20, as it pulled back from 3,388.43 high reached in the morning session.
Trading resulted in 25 securities, the same number that changed hands on Wednesday, leading to 11 advancing, 7 declining and 7 remaining unchanged, as investors exchanged 2,749,388 units valued at $12,888,595, compared to 3,271,099 units valued at $12,971,060 on Wednesday.
IC bid-offer Indicator| At the end of trading, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator reading had 5 stocks ending with bids higher than their last selling prices, 4 closed with lower offers.
Trading closed with an average of 109,976 units for an average of $515,544 in contrast to 130,844 units for an average of $518,842 on Wednesday. Trading for the month to date averages 732,567 units for an average of $4,441,049 and on the prior trading day, an average of 806,685 units for an average of $4,908,371. Trading in August, averaged 244,613 units at $1,348,298 for each security traded.
At the close of trading, Access Financial closed with a gain of $2.50 to close at $50, with an exchange of 250 shares, AMG Packaging ended with a loss of 1 cent at a 52 weeks’ low of $1.89, with 5,662 stock units, Blue Power concluded trading of 24,100 units and gained 50 cents to end at a 52 week’s high of $6.50, Cargo Handlers settled at $13, trading 5,187 shares, Caribbean Producers finished trading 1,143,307 units at $6. Consolidated Bakeries closed with a loss of 5 cents at $2.45, with 100 shares changing hands, Derrimon Trading ended at $3, while exchanging 566,924 shares, Dolphin Cove concluded trading 240 shares at $17, Elite Diagnostic finished trading of 141,028 stock units and rose 6 cents to $3.50. Everything Fresh dropped 34 cents in trading 69,825 shares to end at $2.10, Express Catering closed at $8.18, with 70,042 shares changing hands, FosRich Group traded with a loss of 5 cents at $3, exchanging 7,670 shares, Honey Bun ended 5 cents higher at $4.05, with the swapping of 24,500 units, Iron Rock concluded trading at $3.50, with 32,151 shares changing hands. Indies Pharma gained 35 cents with 235,244 shares changing hands to end at a record close of $4, Jamaican Teas jumped 45 cents to $4.65, with 120,000 shares trading, Jetcon Corporation ended trading 6,879 stock units and rose 5 cents to $4, Key Insurance traded 67 cents higher at $3.75, with the trading of just 900 units, Lasco Distributors ended with a loss of 23 cents at $3.77, trading 15,700 shares. Lasco Financial concluded trading with a loss of 45 cents at $5.45, with 58,922 stock units changing hands, Lasco Manufacturing closed with a loss of 9 cents at $3.90, in exchanging 94,100 units, Main Event settled 2 cents higher at $6, with 16,494 shares traded, Medical Disposables ended trading a mere 300 shares and gained $1.25 to a new high of $7.95 and Stationery and Office finished trading 29,363 stock units and rose 1 cent to $9.
Prices of securities trading for the day are those at which the last trade took place.

All Jamaica 400K push continues – Thursday

NCB traded at a 52 weeks’ high of $130 on Thursday.

The Jamaica Stock Exchange main market ended at a 10th consecutive record close on Thursday with the all Jamaica composite Index pushing nearer to the 400,000 mark aided by a rise in the price of 18 main market stocks.
The market closed with the All Jamaica Composite Index surging 5,960.37 points higher to a record close at 384,731.07 and the JSE Index jumping 5,430.57 points to a record close of 350,533.51. Thursday’s close brings to 33, the number of record close for the year and 21 since the start of July. The main market surged to new record high at the start of the morning session and continued to create new highs during the first 90 minutes of trading as NCB Financial traded at $125 and Kingston Wharves at $75 to be aided by Jamaica Producers that traded as high as $28.50.
Market activities resulted in 30 securities trading, including 2 in the US dollar market compared to 34 securities trading on Wednesday. At the end of trading, the prices of 20 stocks rose, 4 declined and 6 closed trading, unchanged. The main market ended with 11,678,084 units valued at $147,689,924 changing hands, compared to 3,156,915 units valued at $54,279,819, on Wednesday.
The day’s volume was led by, JMMB Group 7.5% preference share closed with 8,042,693 shares and 59.4 percent of the day’s volume, the JMMB Group 7.25% preference share ended with 2,772,000 shares, 20.5 percent of main market volume,and Wisynco Group with 620,232 units for just 4.6 percent of the volume traded.
Trading resulted in an average of 483,444 units valued at an average of $2,448,792, in contrast to 432,522 units valued at an average of $5,469,997 on Wednesday. The average volume and value for the month to date amounts to 469,931 shares valued $4,332,558, compared to 468,476 shares valued $4,558,933 traded on the immediately preceding trading day.

JSE breaks several records in trading on Thursday morning

August closed, with an average of 224,564 shares valued at $4,310,285, for each security traded.
In the main market activity, Barita Investments gained 77 cents and closed at $11.27, trading 2,850 shares, Caribbean Cement added $1.44 to finish at $50 with 14,153 shares trading, Grace Kennedy fell $2 to end at $57, trading 238,210 shares, Jamaica Broilers climbed $1.05 in trading 108,185 stock units at record high of $31, Jamaica Producers gained 50 cents and finished trading 7,000 units at a record high of $23, JMMB Group climbed 98 cents and ended trading 142,794 shares at $30.99. Kingston Wharves jumped $4 and ended trading 13,948 stock units to close at a record high of $74, Mayberry Investments jumped $2 to settle at $9, with 271,631 units changing hands, NCB Financial Group jumped $8 and ended trading 121,984 shares at a record close of $130, PanJam Investment gained $1 and closed at $55 trading 7,285 stock units, Sagicor Real Estate Fund fell 52 cents and settled at $11.23, trading 124,980 shares. Scotia Group rose $1.18 in trading 56,316 units at $56.20, Supreme Ventures added 35 cents and ended at $16.40, 11,824 shares changing hands.
Trading in the US dollar market closed with 24,665 units valued US$9,781 as , JMMB Group 6% preference share completed trading of 4,950 stock units at $1.06, and Sygnus Credit Investments ended trading of 19,715 shares at 12 US cents. The JSE USD Equities Index advanced by 1.94 points to close at 169.56.
IC bid-offer Indicator| At the end of trading, the Choice bid-offer indicator reading is very strong for continuation of the market’s rally and shows 11 stocks ended with bids higher than their last selling prices and 1 closing with a lower offer.

Treasury bill rate almost steady at 1.71%

Interest rates essentially remained stable based on the latest Treasury bill auction that took place at Bank of Jamaica. The moved but was just modestly higher with a few basis points increase.
Applications were opened on Wednesday, at the Bank of Jamaica for $700 million Government of Jamaica Treasury Bills dated Friday, September 14, with maturity on Friday, December 14, 2018 for a 91 days duration. The Average Yield came out at 1.7093 percent with partial allotment at 2 percent. The offer attracted bids of $932,026,500. The latest T-bill rate comes against the back ground on the central holding their overnight policy rate at 2 percent.
At the auction in August, the 91 days Treasury bill cleared at an average of 1.694 percent with partial allotment at 1.756 percent. At that auction $1.863 billion chased after the $700,000 on offer. The 182 days instrument ended with an average rate of 1.878 percent with $2.53 billion going after the $700,000 in August.

Where has NCB supply gone?

NCB Financial closed at a record price of $130 on Thursday, with the price gaining 24 percent since August 20 when it traded at $105 but was trading in the $120 level in Trinidad and Tobago.
The stock current trades on the Trinidad & Tobago Stock Exchange at TT$5.68, the equivalent of J$115.

NCB Financial orders at close of the Jamaica Stock Exchange on Thursday.

A number factors are behind the aggressive move. The group reported impressive third quarter results, supply of the stock declined sharply as demand sucked out the available supplies. Interest rates locally plummeted to less than 2 percent on Treasury bills and the system remains very liquid. The lower interest rates have been slowly driving the PE of the market upwards and NCB Financial Group which was selling around a PE of 10 seems to have been considered cheap. The average PE of the market is just over 14, on this basis NCB could be considered reasonably priced around $140-150 range, in the short term. With the absence of supply, it will be any one’s guess where the near term top will be.

All 3 TTSE market indices rose – Thursday

All three main indices of the Trinidad & Tobago Stock Exchange, closed higher on Thursday, with the Composite Index rising 3.71 points to 1,217.83, the All T&T Index adding 0.06 points to 1,689.65, while the Cross Listed Index inched 1.02 points higher to close at 100.28.
At close, 12 securities changed hands, with the price of 8 rising, 2 declining and 2 remaining unchanged, against 12 trading on Wednesday.
The market ended trading of 110,652 shares valued $1,395,005, compared to 75,767 shares valued $1,249,873 changing hands on Wednesday.
IC bid-offer Indicator| At the end of trading, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator reading closed with 4 stocks ending with higher bids than the last selling prices and 4 with lower offers.
Stocks closing with gains| Calypso Macro Index Fund gained 1 cent in trading 600 units to close at $15.82, Clico Investments rose 1 cent and ended at $20, with 3,777 shares changing hands, First Caribbean International Bank added 10 cents and completed trading of 66,163 units at $8.50, First Citizens increased 5 cents and settled at $32.80, after exchanging 1,600 shares, NCB Financial Group rose 8 cents and settled at $5.68, exchanging 1,000 shares. Sagicor Financial closed with a gain of 1 cent and ended at $7.52, with 1,782 stock units changing hands, Scotiabank gained 3 cents and completed trading of 3,000 units at $64.95 and West Indian Tobacco finished trading 39 shares with a gain of 5 cents at $87.55.
Stocks closing with losses| JMMB Group closed with a loss of 1 cent and concluded at $1.69, after exchanging 16,000 shares and Trinidad & Tobago NGL closed with a loss of 23 cents and settled at $29, after exchanging 14,076 shares.
Stocks trading with no price change| Guardian Holdings completed trading at $17, with 2,365 units and National Enterprises ended at $8.95, with 250 stock units changing hands.
Prices of securities trading for the day are those at which the last trade took place.

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