Caribbean Producers climbed back into the Junior market IC TOP 10 stock listing but there was no change to the main market list. Main Event dropped out of the top list having recovered from a big price fall in the previous week.
Caribbean Producers recently released full year results that were slightly lower than the year before but with a 10 percent rise in revenues. A lower profit margin by 2 percent and an increase of 10 percent in administrative and selling expenses resulted in lower profit but forecast suggest that earnings for 2019 should be up strongly to around 65 Jamaican cents. The company will have to report new results to see the likely increased earnings start to show up in the stock price.
During the past week, the main market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange, racked up 5 consecutive days of record close on Friday and 11 record close in a row, while the Junior market closed the week for with two record close, for the first time since May 2017.
The gains in the two markets is driving the PE ratio of the market higher with the overall PE for the Junior Market rising from to 13 and the main market from 13.7 last week to 13.7 and 14 respectively, this week. Recent movement in the PE suggest that average PE for the market will end 2018 around 18 and 20 by the end of January as conditions continue to favour stocks as the preferred investment of choice along with real estate.
The PE ratio for Junior Market Top 10 stocks average 8.9 up from 8.7 last week, as the market continues to revalue the multiple higher. The latest valuation compares to an average PE for the overall market of 14.3, based on 2018 estimated earnings. The main market PE is now 8.8 and is the up from 8.5 last week, for the top stocks, compared to a market average of 14.6.
The TOP 10 stocks now trade at an average discount of 38 percent to the average for the Junior Market Top stocks but it’s a third of what the average PE for the year is likely to be of 20 times earnings and main market stocks traded at a discount of 40 percent to the market.
TOP 10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns within a 12 months period. Stocks are selected based on projected earnings for each company’s current fiscal year. Based on an assumed PE for each, the likely gains are determined and then ranked, with the stocks with the highest potential gains ranked first followed by the rest, in descending order. Potential values will change as stock prices fluctuate and will result in movements of the selection in and out of the lists for most weeks. Earnings per share are revised on an ongoing basis based on new information received that can result in changes in and out of the list as well.
Earth quake in upper St Andrew
Citizens fell an earthquake in upper St Andrew around 1.43 PM on Sunday. The quake that lasted a few seconds shook buildings in the area but there was no immediate signs of physical damage.
The quake that was first felt as a minor tremor, subsequently increased in intensity, to a level that the rattling of buildings could be heard. Reports so far, are that it was felt as far as Clarendon.
All 3 TTSE market indices slip – Friday
All three main indices of the Trinidad & Tobago Stock Exchange, closed higher on Friday, with the Composite Index lost 0.53 points to 1,217.30, the All T&T Index fell 0.38 points to 1,689.27, while the Cross Listed Index dipped 0.09 points to close at 100.19.
At close, 11 securities changed hands, with the price of 3 rising, 4 declining and 4 remaining unchanged, against 12 trading on Thursday.
The market ended trading of 161,575 shares valued $7,040,684, compared to 110,652 shares valued $1,395,005 changing hands on Thursday
IC bid-offer Indicator| At the end of trading, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator reading closed with 4 stocks ending with higher bids than the last selling prices and 3 with lower offers.
Stocks closing with gains| Ansa Merchant gained 1 cent and settled at $38, after exchanging 3,338 shares, Republic Financial Holdings ended trading with a rise of 2 cents to a 52 weeks’ high of $103.68, after exchanging 51,911 shares and West Indian Tobacco closed with a gain of 1 cent and completed trading of 3,599 units at $87.56.
Stocks closing with losses| Clico Investments closed with a loss of 1 cent and ended at $19.99, with 793 stock units changing hands, First Citizens closed with a loss of 20 cents and settled at $32.60, after exchanging 3,086 shares, JMMB Group shed 1 cent and ended at $1.68, after exchanging 62,560 shares and Scotiabank lost 1 cent and completed trading with 6,855 units at $64.94.
Stocks trading with no price change| Calypso Macro Index Fund traded 300 units to close at $15.82, Guardian Holdings completed trading of 21,507 units at $17, Sagicor Financial ended at $7.52, with 1,952 stock units changing hands and Trinidad & Tobago NGL settled at $29, after exchanging 5,674 shares.
Prices of securities trading for the day are those at which the last trade took place.
Where has NCB supply gone?
NCB Financial closed at a record price of $130 on Thursday, with the price gaining 24 percent since August 20 when it traded at $105 but was trading in the $120 level in Trinidad and Tobago.
The stock current trades on the Trinidad & Tobago Stock Exchange at TT$5.68, the equivalent of J$115.
All 3 TTSE market indices rose – Thursday
All three main indices of the Trinidad & Tobago Stock Exchange, closed higher on Thursday, with the Composite Index rising 3.71 points to 1,217.83, the All T&T Index adding 0.06 points to 1,689.65, while the Cross Listed Index inched 1.02 points higher to close at 100.28.
At close, 12 securities changed hands, with the price of 8 rising, 2 declining and 2 remaining unchanged, against 12 trading on Wednesday.
The market ended trading of 110,652 shares valued $1,395,005, compared to 75,767 shares valued $1,249,873 changing hands on Wednesday.
IC bid-offer Indicator| At the end of trading, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator reading closed with 4 stocks ending with higher bids than the last selling prices and 4 with lower offers.
Stocks closing with gains| Calypso Macro Index Fund gained 1 cent in trading 600 units to close at $15.82, Clico Investments rose 1 cent and ended at $20, with 3,777 shares changing hands, First Caribbean International Bank added 10 cents and completed trading of 66,163 units at $8.50, First Citizens increased 5 cents and settled at $32.80, after exchanging 1,600 shares, NCB Financial Group rose 8 cents and settled at $5.68, exchanging 1,000 shares. Sagicor Financial closed with a gain of 1 cent and ended at $7.52, with 1,782 stock units changing hands, Scotiabank gained 3 cents and completed trading of 3,000 units at $64.95 and West Indian Tobacco finished trading 39 shares with a gain of 5 cents at $87.55.
Stocks closing with losses| JMMB Group closed with a loss of 1 cent and concluded at $1.69, after exchanging 16,000 shares and Trinidad & Tobago NGL closed with a loss of 23 cents and settled at $29, after exchanging 14,076 shares.
Stocks trading with no price change| Guardian Holdings completed trading at $17, with 2,365 units and National Enterprises ended at $8.95, with 250 stock units changing hands.
Prices of securities trading for the day are those at which the last trade took place.